UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 (August 04, 2018)

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  • MadTiger
    SBR MVP
    • 04-19-09
    • 2724

    #36
    I know Cody's Aunt Jill.

    But, while I will root for Cody (Ohio!), realistically, TJ has more ways to win. If Cody can stuff a few takedowns, and get his KO power on point, we will see a minor upset.
    Comment
    • WolfTicketDealer
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-05-17
      • 384

      #37
      -115 is generous on Dillashaw. Garbrandt's certainly live but I think Dillashaw is better pretty much everywhere except power. This will probably be my biggest bet of the card. Not a max bet, but certainly worthy of a few units.

      Agree with Hugo that Swanson has good value, also liking Shorty Torres and Ramos ITD. We'll see what Viana ITD or sub is but that may be playable as well.
      Comment
      • Hugo de Naranja
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-14-16
        • 14140

        #38
        Originally posted by WolfTicketDealer
        -115 is generous on Dillashaw. Garbrandt's certainly live but I think Dillashaw is better pretty much everywhere except power. This will probably be my biggest bet of the card. Not a max bet, but certainly worthy of a few units.

        Agree with Hugo that Swanson has good value, also liking Shorty Torres and Ramos ITD. We'll see what Viana ITD or sub is but that may be playable as well.
        Viana R1 may be worth a look as well. She has the vast majority of her finishes in R1 and is definitely a Submission First Grappler.
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        • rsynweap84
          Restricted User
          • 06-24-16
          • 622

          #39
          Originally posted by WolfTicketDealer
          -115 is generous on Dillashaw. Garbrandt's certainly live but I think Dillashaw is better pretty much everywhere except power. This will probably be my biggest bet of the card. Not a max bet, but certainly worthy of a few units.

          Agree with Hugo that Swanson has good value, also liking Shorty Torres and Ramos ITD. We'll see what Viana ITD or sub is but that may be playable as well.
          Def agree w/ you and Hugo here...

          Think if this hits the floor we might get a pretzel here...
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          • Hugo de Naranja
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-14-16
            • 14140

            #40
            Originally posted by rsynweap84
            Def agree w/ you and Hugo here...

            Think if this hits the floor we might get a pretzel here...
            Might want to consider Aldana ITD or -3.5 over Bethe. She's a big puncher with a lot of regional scene finishes and Bethe isn't that hard to finish.
            Comment
            • rsynweap84
              Restricted User
              • 06-24-16
              • 622

              #41
              Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
              Might want to consider Aldana ITD or -3.5 over Bethe. She's a big puncher with a lot of regional scene finishes and Bethe isn't that hard to finish.
              I was thinkin’ tko and also a round prop, not sure if I want 1-2 or 2-3, might just see whether they have positive odds on the girls fights not goin the distance.

              Still thinkin’ Viana has a good shot at a early finish but should that cardio wane for too much ground work I am not opposed to a late KO by Aldrich...

              Buncha r1 finishes can have bad effects on cardio but still lika Viana and Aldana. Only thing that worries me
              bout Bethe is she got KO’d by Ronda...makes me confident she has nil compared to Aldana, makes me question that durability, specially after Holly kicked Bethe’s face crooked in Singapore...
              Last edited by rsynweap84; 07-31-18, 01:39 AM.
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              • Hugo de Naranja
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-14-16
                • 14140

                #42
                Originally posted by rsynweap84
                I was thinkin’ tko and also a round prop, not sure if I want 1-2 or 2-3, might just see whether they have positive odds on the girls fights goin the distance.

                Still thinkin’ Viana has a good shot at a early finish but should that cardio wane for too much ground work I am not opposed to a late KO by Aldrich...

                Buncha r1 finishes can have bad effects on cardio but still lika Viana and Aldana. Only thing that worries me
                bout Bethe is she got KO’d by Ronda...makes me confident she has nil compared to Aldana, makes me question that durability, specially after Holly kicked Bethe’s face crooked in Singapore...
                Yeah I'd go Aldana R1/R2 since she usually looks for the kill early.
                Comment
                • Sanity Check
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-30-13
                  • 10962

                  #43
                  This entire card is bantamweights, flyweights, featherweights and strawweights.

                  Only 1 middleweight bout on the card.

                  It would be funny if every fight ends in a decision.

                  Maybe I should parlay the overs.
                  Comment
                  • WolfTicketDealer
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-05-17
                    • 384

                    #44
                    Anyone else thinking of taking a small stab at Holland KO? It's a huge step up for Holland but I'm not sure how Santos's chin is considering he just got KO'ed by Branch who is NOT a big puncher.
                    Comment
                    • Teem
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 04-11-17
                      • 343

                      #45
                      I like Perez/Torres, Swanson/Moi, and Zhang/Taylor to all GTD. Juicy line but I don't see how Vera loses to Buren. I think he finishes him. And Aldrich is a solid dog.
                      Last edited by Teem; 07-31-18, 10:20 AM.
                      Comment
                      • Hugo de Naranja
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-14-16
                        • 14140

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Teem
                        I like Perez/Torres, Swanson/Moi, and Zhang/Taylor to all GTD. I don't see how Vera loses to Buren. I think he finishes him. And Aldrich is a solid dog.
                        Careful with that Zhang fight. She is a finisher.
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                        • Thrilla
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-10-15
                          • 13809

                          #47
                          Trash talk

                          Keep in mind the "Bad blood= under/ inside the distance" rule.

                          Comment
                          • Hugo de Naranja
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-14-16
                            • 14140

                            #48
                            Originally posted by Thrilla
                            Keep in mind the "Bad blood= under/ inside the distance" rule.

                            ITD is super steep at (-300)
                            Comment
                            • TJcaliente
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 07-23-18
                              • 15

                              #49
                              Bethe correia out. This was gonna be easy money, shes just plain bad.
                              Comment
                              • Thrilla
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-10-15
                                • 13809

                                #50
                                Originally posted by TJcaliente
                                Bethe correia out. This was gonna be easy money, shes just plain bad.

                                Nooooooo!!! Not Bethe? She is one of my favorite fighters of all time!

                                Last edited by Thrilla; 07-31-18, 11:05 PM.
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                                • firekillex
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-18-13
                                  • 6420

                                  #51
                                  really hope youre joking thrilla
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                                  • Demonata
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 07-12-11
                                    • 25829

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by firekillex
                                    really hope youre joking thrilla
                                    Yo fire whats a good parlay we can make a shit ton of money on?
                                    Comment
                                    • firekillex
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-18-13
                                      • 6420

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by Demonata
                                      Yo fire whats a good parlay we can make a shit ton of money on?
                                      tbh i dont really mess with parlays unless theres a bet i love at -200/-300 range that ill just add as a 2nd piece to other bets im already going to do..... this card not seeing much i love , will most likely just be going small on a few things and enjoying the main 2 fights

                                      killed it last week so im happy with that and dont want to chase bets , ive learned from doing that in the past
                                      GL this weekend
                                      Comment
                                      • rsynweap84
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 06-24-16
                                        • 622

                                        #54
                                        Yea Biatch is out, she says her left eyeball is like her fight style, straight garbage...

                                        truth be told she knows she sucks, didn’t feel like gettin murdered by Aldana, so it begins who goes next ya think?
                                        Comment
                                        • Thrilla
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-10-15
                                          • 13809

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by firekillex
                                          really hope youre joking thrilla
                                          Not joking. I have expressed my love for Bethe before.

                                          Ofcourse not my favorite because of her fighting skills...lol

                                          Like the character Bethe.
                                          Comment
                                          • Teem
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 04-11-17
                                            • 343

                                            #56
                                            Yeah I may just take Zhang ML rather than that fight GTD. I think she can definitely finish Taylor despite Taylor popping in and out picking her shots like she does. Even if it GTD, I don't think Taylor can steal a split decision against Zhang.
                                            Comment
                                            • WolfTicketDealer
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 11-05-17
                                              • 384

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by Teem
                                              Yeah I may just take Zhang ML rather than that fight GTD. I think she can definitely finish Taylor despite Taylor popping in and out picking her shots like she does. Even if it GTD, I don't think Taylor can steal a split decision against Zhang.
                                              Best bet in that fight IMO is Zhang ITD.
                                              Comment
                                              • Thor4140
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-09-08
                                                • 22296

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by Thrilla
                                                Not joking. I have expressed my love for Bethe before.

                                                Ofcourse not my favorite because of her fighting skills...lol

                                                Like the character Bethe.
                                                She reminds me of a strip club dancer you pray doesn't stop at your table
                                                Comment
                                                • UncleChael
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-30-13
                                                  • 3979

                                                  #59
                                                  Killashaw is probably one of my favourite horses to bet on. I hit a 25-1 ITD over Barao. TJ's a god.
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                                                  • TJcaliente
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 07-23-18
                                                    • 15

                                                    #60
                                                    Ramos vs kang is gonna be my money fight. They both have similar styles but Ramos is way more beasty and has better stand up and stronger ground game. He should take over the fight with no problem.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Teem
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 04-11-17
                                                      • 343

                                                      #61
                                                      I like the value on Ramos/Kang O1.5 at -210 for a parlay prop. I think Ramos looks similar to Moicano and will pick his shots. Kang is durable enough to hang with Ramos if not beat him Over 1.5. And if it goes to the ground both can hang there.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hugo de Naranja
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-14-16
                                                        • 14140

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by Teem
                                                        I like the value on Ramos/Kang O1.5 at -210 for a parlay prop. I think Ramos looks similar to Moicano and will pick his shots. Kang is durable enough to hang with Ramos if not beat him Over 1.5. And if it goes to the ground both can hang there.
                                                        I disagree on this one. Both guys are Submission First grapplers who are good at locking chokes up in scrambles. I think if this goes to the mat for any extended period of time, someone is getting subbed.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Thrilla
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-10-15
                                                          • 13809

                                                          #63
                                                          MMA Pros Pick



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                                                          • Thrilla
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-10-15
                                                            • 13809

                                                            #64
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                                                            • SmellMyFinger
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 04-15-18
                                                              • 117

                                                              #65
                                                              Heavy Hands



                                                              Vicisection




                                                              Turbo !!!!!! i need your insight on the Viana - Aldrich fight (i already favored Aldrich, on level of competition and grittiness alone, but i would love your opinion on this one) there is some good potential dog money to be made on this i think
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Shagdogy
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-16-10
                                                                • 3564

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by SmellMyFinger
                                                                Heavy Hands



                                                                Vicisection



                                                                Turbo !!!!!! i need your insight on the Viana - Aldrich fight (i already favored Aldrich, on level of competition and grittiness alone, but i would love your opinion on this one) there is some good potential dog money to be made on this i think
                                                                Just capped this one myself and came here to say the same exact thing. I don’t see any reason to favor Viana 2-1 at all. I think this line is way off. Aldrich has fought better competition by far, she trains in CO with Thug Rose, she’s a BJJ brown belt (even if it’s not as high level as Viana’s purple she’s not gonna make this fight easy for Viana like other opponents have). On the feet Aldrich holds a massive advantage in technique and variety. Plus she fights nice and fluid out of that southpaw stance. Curious where Turbo stands here but I will most likely be playing Aldrich no matter what. She is young and has shown some good improvements recently I think (it’s hard to look that good against boring ass Danielle Taylor).
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Shagdogy
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-16-10
                                                                  • 3564

                                                                  #67
                                                                  ^ of course my book has the worst line on Aldrich at +140. I’ll wait a little and see if it climbs back towards where the other books have it or if the others start dropping too I’ll go ahead and just play it. It’s value regardless. She should be favored IMO.
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                                                                  • SmellMyFinger
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 04-15-18
                                                                    • 117

                                                                    #68
                                                                    as always thank you for your insight Shag, i think the line is still pretty hitable at +140, also aldrich by dec at +300 is also worth a look, and with a small hedge on Viana itd at +182 (just so hugo feels comfortable) )
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                                                                    • Teem
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 04-11-17
                                                                      • 343

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Delete
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                                                                      • Teem
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 04-11-17
                                                                        • 343

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                                        I disagree on this one. Both guys are Submission First grapplers who are good at locking chokes up in scrambles. I think if this goes to the mat for any extended period of time, someone is getting subbed.
                                                                        I respect your opinion. I'll rethink this prop. Who do you like in this one?
                                                                        Comment
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