UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2

[Hugo de Naranja]

Sal D'Amato. None of our decisions are safe.

Man he turned in some awful cards for this event. Good call on that.

[Hugo de Naranja]

I cant hedge and bet that pieve of shit covington

Smh. Shudda listened

[Hugo de Naranja]

That (+8000) DRAW was super live for me too. Would have been a 20u hit

Most common fan score was DRAW.

10 Media Members had it 48-47 Romero, 8 had it 47-47 DRAW, 5 had it 48-46 Romero, and 5 had it 48-47 Whittaker. Feel a little hard done by to miss DRAW (+8000), Romero Decision (+1275), Romero Split/Majority Decision (+1415), and Whittaker Unanimous Decision (+325). Whittaker Split was definitely the worst decision outcome for me.

[UncleChael]

Its one thing to to say something, its another thing to fukking do it. Covington's a beast!! Comes into Many Men and gets the job done. Well done Colby. ::

[Thor4140]

Man he turned in some awful cards for this event. Good call on that.

About two years ago on this site i went down a ton of bad decision in big money fights and checked out the refs who were making these bad decisions and this asshole was always on the side of the bookies. That is why this shitbag Sal D'amato does these big fights. He is there for a reason. The same reason guys like Roth, Ford and Moretti are always on the big boxing matches. Oh an of course that no good bitch CJ Ross who i think was finally thrown out of boxing.

[JIBBBY]

Keeping it simple and straight with this card.. Not getting to cute with the prop hedging.. Odds are close to even on most fights so I'm going to bet most just straight up.. My usual $100 bet sizing mostly..

Here is how I'm playing it.... Good luck everyone!!!

1) Ing Straight
2)Oliveira Straight
3)Benivedez by Dec
4)Smith ITD
5)Coulter by KO
6)Bektic by KO
7)Gadelha by Dec
8)Blaydes by KO
9)Jackon ITD
10)Tuivasa by KO
11)Covington Straight
12) Whittiker by Dec/hedged Romero by KO

Well this is how the event went for me below..

Pretty much a wash.. Went 6-6 with this card.. Couple prop misses stung mid way thru, I should have played those straight. Started off winning and finished winning so that saved me.. Maybe won a few bucks with the last 2 bigger betting fights at the end the card. My book balances pretty much look the same before and after the event finished..

Oh well...Too lazy to copy and paste.. Onto the next event I guess...

1) Ing Straight WIN
2)Oliveira Straight WIN
3)Benivedez by Dec LOSS
4)Smith ITD WIN
5)Coulter by KO LOSS
6)Bektic by KO LOSS
7)Gadelha by Dec WIN
8)Blaydes by KO LOSS
9)Jackon ITD LOSS
10)Tuivasa by KO LOSS
11)Covington Straight WIN
12) Whittiker by Dec/hedged Romero by KO WIN

[firekillex]

lots of fights with tricky scorecards to be honest... a few fights really couldve gone either way
esparza vs gadehla was a very very close fight if you go by damage esparza won, if you go by rounds i think gadehla won 2-1 just by pure size and strength really

whittaker vs yoel romero was another close one i had it a draw , if you go by volume and rounds with no 10-8s whittaker wins, if you go by damage yoel obviously won

tuivasa vs arlovski another very very close fight i had tuivasa 2-1 but that was honestly just razor close either couldve have it


rda vs covington i see some people actually had RDA , i even bet RDA fairly big but i though it was 2-2 going into round 5 and covington stole the round... damage wise RDA was hitting covington with much harder shots and the strikes were almost even, covington was just throwing light strikes to get pressure and press against the cage to not do much damage but he controlled the fight and you gotta give him the win for that , sometimes the more skilled fighter doesnt win its the bigger, strong, more aggressive fighter who knows ( covington , claudia both proved that )

[Slevin07]

I had Colby big. Whittaker small in a parlay, got lucky on that. It was probably a draw but if Whittaker didn't injure his right hand he would've taken it more convincingly.

leaned pettis but didn't take him. I'm trying to just stick with picks that really stand out to me, hit those at a good rate. Next big bet I see might be Cody over Dillashaw at anything near even odds. If odds weren't trashed now, I would take Stipe over DC even though I want DC to win.

[Sanity Check]

Sanity...my dear Trumptard. You are right about the troll part. But am I a random now..who contributes nothing and tails Hugo?

You have a good username...but I can't connect sanity with Trump though...more like insanity..

Maybe you meant others as randoms.. apologies in advance if so. Since you did give credit for my posts in the past...

Nvm.

Trying to juggle too many things and getting irritated.

Next time if I'm annoyed I'll roll in the mud like a fool with other fools and it will all be good.

[Hugo de Naranja]

lots of fights with tricky scorecards to be honest... a few fights really couldve gone either way
esparza vs gadehla was a very very close fight if you go by damage esparza won, if you go by rounds i think gadehla won 2-1 just by pure size and strength really

whittaker vs yoel romero was another close one i had it a draw , if you go by volume and rounds with no 10-8s whittaker wins, if you go by damage yoel obviously won

tuivasa vs arlovski another very very close fight i had tuivasa 2-1 but that was honestly just razor close either couldve have it


rda vs covington i see some people actually had RDA , i even bet RDA fairly big but i though it was 2-2 going into round 5 and covington stole the round... damage wise RDA was hitting covington with much harder shots and the strikes were almost even, covington was just throwing light strikes to get pressure and press against the cage to not do much damage but he controlled the fight and you gotta give him the win for that , sometimes the more skilled fighter doesnt win its the bigger, strong, more aggressive fighter who knows ( covington , claudia both proved that )

I think you owe me some BPs for that Covington/RDA fight. Agreed with all your analysis above.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Nvm.

Trying to juggle too many things and getting irritated.

Next time if I'm annoyed I'll roll in the mud like a fool with other fools and it will all be good.

Holding you to this.

[SmellMyFinger]

Most common fan score was DRAW.

10 Media Members had it 48-47 Romero, 8 had it 47-47 DRAW, 5 had it 48-46 Romero, and 5 had it 48-47 Whittaker. Feel a little hard done by to miss DRAW (+8000), Romero Decision (+1275), Romero Split/Majority Decision (+1415), and Whittaker Unanimous Decision (+325). Whittaker Split was definitely the worst decision outcome for me.

feel for you hugo i scored it a draw as well, and in the end the rda covington fight was more of a tossup than i imagined, congrats on the breakdown

[JIBBBY]

Whittiker was rocked pretty badly standing twice in that fight.. Romero had any better cardio he could have finished I think..

Romero's biggest problem is not his age but it's always his cardio.. He was pacing himself when I think he should have put it all out there when Whittiker was doing the drunken dance..

Romero was gonna lose on the cards most likely anyways as it played out.. I think fighters up against should go all out when they get fighters rocked anyways..

A Loss is Loss regardless if you get stopped because you gassed and couldn't finish or if you go the distance.. Romero came close their twice to getting the stoppage...

Romero takes the loss.... Goes back down the latter for the goal of getting the belt. Rankings drop... End of story..

[firekillex]

I think you owe me some BPs for that Covington/RDA fight. Agreed with all your analysis above.

what did we bet i forget amigo??

[Hugo de Naranja]

feel for you hugo i scored it a draw as well, and in the end the rda covington fight was more of a tossup than i imagined, congrats on the breakdown

Thanks mate. Felt pretty good about my picks/breakdowns even though it wasn't a great betting night for me.

[firekillex]

id like to see Romero at 205 would be interesting

imagine him versus DC that would be fireworks

[Thor4140]

id like to see Romero at 205 would be interesting

imagine him versus DC that would be fireworks

I never saw a guy especially this old improve like Romero does. I have seen him rocked a few times but the other night it was like he was made out of granite and the speed of some of those punches my lord they are fast for a 21 year old. To me he is on my short list of must see UFC fighters. And Whitaker my goodness what is his beard made of. I would love to see a third fight with these guys but than again maybe that is not a good idea for these two guys careers.

[Thor4140]

Whittiker was rocked pretty badly standing twice in that fight.. Romero had any better cardio he could have finished I think..

Romero's biggest problem is not his age but it's always his cardio.. He was pacing himself when I think he should have put it all out there when Whittiker was doing the drunken dance..

Romero was gonna lose on the cards most likely anyways as it played out.. I think fighters up against should go all out when they get fighters rocked anyways..

A Loss is Loss regardless if you get stopped because you gassed and couldn't finish or if you go the distance.. Romero came close their twice to getting the stoppage...

Romero takes the loss.... Goes back down the latter for the goal of getting the belt. Rankings drop... End of story..

you don't drop in rankings with a performance like that JIbby. Are u still smoking the same shit u were smoking Saturday night?

[stonebanks]

very interesting

'About two years ago on this site i went down a ton of bad decision in big money fights and checked out the refs who were making these bad decisions and this asshole was always on the side of the bookies. That is why this shitbag Sal D'amato does these big fights. He is there for a reason. The same reason guys like Roth, Ford and Moretti are always on the big boxing matches. Oh an of course that no good bitch CJ Ross who i think was finally thrown out of boxing.'

[stonebanks]

KMT is my summary of this event, I brokeabout even, maybe even slightly down, the benavidez decision hurt me and a few parlaysI had, not listed below but benavidez cracked a 9 parlay that would have comein, better to lose it at the start rather than the end I guess!

Nobody hurt me as much as Mike Jackson. TheA-hole should be fined for match fixing. Talk about carrying a man to the finalbell. Wasted some money on that one, moral of the story is to not bet on sh*t.

Would have turned a big profit with Blaydesby decision but Reem couldn’t hang on another half round.

Lumped some money on a covington andwhittaker double chasing some losses which came in to pretty much level me outfor the night.

Also tailed on IGE by submission which camein at the start so thanks for the tip Hugo on that one.

Onto the next one.

GUIDA VS OLIVERIA
Guida L
Hedge oliveria submission W

*added* fight go the distance no W

BENAVIDEZ VS PETTIS
Benavidez L
Benavidez decision L
Hedge pettis ITD (hedge in case benavidez does have an injury) L

EVANS VS SMITH
Still deciding
*Went with Smith and fight won’t go thedistance* W W

OVEREEM VS BLAYDES
Blaydes decision L
Hedge - Overeem ITD L



COULTER VS ROCHA
Rocha - W
Over 1.5 rounds - W

ARLOVSKI VS TURVISA
Arlovski - L
*added over 1.5 round - W

PUNK VS JACKSON
Jackson - W
Under 1.5 rounds - L
Jackson ITD - L

HOLM VS ANDERSON
Holm - W
Anderson decision hedge - Cancelled bet

Added holm decision - W

LAMAS VS BEKTIC
Bektic - W

Parlays
Bektic - W
Jackson - W
Gadelha - W

Cm punk - fight to not go the distance L
Benavidez - L
De la rocha - W
Gadelha - W

[PaperTrail07]

The guy only scores boxing LOL...

Man he turned in some awful cards for this event. Good call on that.

[JIBBBY]

you don't drop in rankings with a performance like that JIbby. Are u still smoking the same shit u were smoking Saturday night?

He was ranked #1 he'll drop to #2 or #3 now.. It's still a loss, don't think he'll get an instant rematch with Whittiker now either since he lost 2 against him... Romero will probably have to fight Gastelum now or some one lower ranked to then be in line for another title shot..

Rankings before the fight last night...

Champion : Robert Whittaker

1	Yoel Romero
2	Luke Rockhold
3	Chris Weidman
4	Kelvin Gastelum
5	Jacare Souza
6	Derek Brunson 1
7	David Branch 1
8	Brad Tavares 1
9	Lyoto Machida
10	Uriah Hall 1
11	Paulo Costa 3
12	Antonio Carlos Junior
12	Thiago Santos 1
14	Elias Theodorou 1
15	Krzysztof Jotko *NR

[brooks85]

worthless judges.

[PaperTrail07]

That Bene Pettis Decision absolutely ruined the card for me.....also using it as a lesson no to overbet 1 single fight...figured it would be close and pretty much saw it going that way....all except the shit judging...

[firekillex]

Romero wont drop down in rankings lol
Wonderboy lost to Woodley and stayed #1
somebody will have to beat Romero to take the #1 spot

Dana saying he wants Romero at 205 and i think it would bring LHW some life tbh....

Weidman is hurt with a broken hand and says he can fight in October
Whittaker has a broken hand from the Romero fight
Gastelum was supposed to be the backup fighter for this card but Dana says he had some "personal problems" he has to fix and didnt seem happy..... conspiracy theory either his weight was off or he was smoking weed to close to the card????

Dana isnt happy with Gastelum and Weidman/Whittakers timetables line up perfectly it seems so i think thatll be the fight , even though id rather watch Gastelum Vs Whittaker that fight would be bananas

[Hugo de Naranja]

Whittaker would wreck Weidman

[JIBBBY]

worthless judges.

Those judges that scored those close fights 30 -27 should not be allowed to judge again.. When you have 2 judges split then the 3rd go 30-27 that's a big red flag..It means he's off his meds, it's rigged or he's just blind...

[Demonata]

Still pissed about benavidez losing...

[Sanity Check]

Ever get that feeling where things have been going too well for awhile now.

I'm almost expecting the sky fall or something catastrophic to make up for it.

[Shagdogy]

Guida +114, risk .88u to win 1u
Pettis +170, risk .74u to win 1.25u
Coulter/De La Rocha o1.5, +140, risk .71u to win 1u
Punk/Jackson FDGTD -220, risk 2.2u to win 1u
Punk by sub +384, risk .26u to win 1u
Anderson +182, risk 1u to win 1.82u
Holm/Anderson u2.5, +265, risk .38u to win 1u
Romero round 3 +1000, risk .4u to win 4u

Blaydes + Bektic parlay, +124, risk 1.5u to win 1.86u
Blaydes + Tuivasa parlay, +117, risk 1u, to win 1.17u
Smith + Whittaker parlay, +105, risk 1u, to win 1.05u

Good luck everyone! Yes, I bet on CM Punk by sub with a tiny little stab. What the hell. Call it a hunch, but what the hell is the UFC gonna do with Mike Jackson?

Might add some other things here or there... props if anything, I think? Will likely hedge with Overeem if both of my Blaydes parlays win the first leg. We'll see.

Added:
Gadelha + Tuivasa +105, risk 1u to win 1.05u

Also added:
RDA +127, risk .79u to win 1u

Card Total: 6-7, +1.47u

YTD: 81-74, +23.96u

Event Total: 11-6

[Thrilla]

At UFC 225, Holly Holm demonstrated real improvement in her incredible win over Megan Anderson at UFC 225. By contrast, the CM Punk experiment appears to have come to a grinding halt after a poor showing against Mike Jackson on the same fight card. We'll go over the good and bad of it all. It's the Monday Morning Analyst with Luke Thomas.

<iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/_WThn4Ox65I" width="560" height="315" frameborder="0"></iframe>

[PaperTrail07]

literally may kill him lol

Whittaker would wreck Weidman

[firekillex]

i dont agree. werent people saying gastelum would kill weidman lol
a lot of people here seem to sleep on weidman big time it seems, i dont even love the guy but i think he would have a legit shot against whittaker

id still take whittaker in that scrap for his speed and TDD , but i think it would be a great scrap..

i think Gastelum would have a better shot at beating whittaker though, that boys chin is made of steel

[Thrilla]

[Thrilla]