UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes (June 01, 2018)

[Shagdogy]

Gillespie is dominant so far, but Pichel looks to be conserving energy well. I still believe he can crack Gillespie so hes gonna have to just stay on him.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Had no idea the odds were that good for the under. Going to hit this one too

Jumping on with y'all

Added:
Rivera+Moraes Under 4.5 (+175) 1u

[PaperTrail07]

Very nice....

[Shagdogy]

Prepare for a sweet post-fight speech.

[Shagdogy]

Jumping on with y'all

Added:
Rivera+Moraes Under 4.5 (+175) 1u

Well then I guess I'm gonna have to do this too. Cheers everyone!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Dominant win from my boy Gillespie

[Degenregen]

This would be taking a flier.

Means result picked not expected to win but you bet anyway because you liked the odds.

Eh, that's just a longshot or a hail mary, too many terms for that already. Of course I knew it encompassed those terms, but unlike those it's always used with a small bet amount. Always meant just a bet you make to have action on something for all the years I've been reading this forum.

So what do you guys use to describe a small bet on a decently sized favorite?

Edit: Looked up the term, its not a term thats really established in gambling lingo yet as few sites put up a definition for it. Which makes me believe all of you are just making up a meaning for the word yourselves. To then tell others how to use it...

The one site I see attempting to define it says its a term used to describe a high risk bet or investment using an amount you dont mind losing.

[Shagdogy]

Fight Night 131 Bets:

Torres -150, win 1u
Esquibel -102, win 1u
David Teymur -270, win 2u **Max Bet**
Alvey by KO/TKO +185, win 1u
Daniel Teymur KO/TKO +558, risk .25u
Arce by dec +230, win 1.25u
Rivera -103, win 2u

Harris + Wood parlay -118, win 1u
Gillespie + Muhammad + Esquibel/Aguilar o2.5 parlay -110, win 1u

Coming in with about 12.5 units wagered tonight which is a real big night for me. Hoping for the best. I will definitely be missing the early fights and looking to catch up to live a bit later. Will hop back on here if I get up to the live broadcast. BOL everyone!

Added:
Rivera/Moraes u4.5, +170, win1u - Community play!

[the1yankee]

Man....I love that guy!!!

Fuking white �� killa!!!

Water on a Rock ����

[the1yankee]

Eh, that's just a longshot or a hail mary, too many terms for that already. Of course I knew it encompassed those terms, but unlike those it's always used with a small bet amount. Always meant just a bet you make to have action on something for all the years I've been reading this forum
So what do you guys use to describe a small bet on a decently sized favorite?

Action!

[turbozed]

Added:
Rivera/Moraes u4.5, +170, win1u - Community play!

Irrational exuberance?

Seriously though thats a wacky line. O/u 4.5 is 4 over 5 under at bantam weight with average odds at - 110 or so. +170 seems very generous

[Degenregen]

action!

But you could bet on something just to say you have action on something, and it could be a regular sized bet.

To say you have a flier on a favorite gets across your betting small still.

[the1yankee]

We used to roll around in nice glassy Buick Riviera, drinkin 40s n smokin that iller at 15.

Now I'm Rollin Jimmy Rivera!!

Let's get em

[the1yankee]

Pick up th e middle age black guy
to buy us brew, for about $3-4 bucks so he can get his own alcohol lol
i miss bein a kid


Les go Rivy

[PaperTrail07]

Wow booooooooooooooom lol......under and moraes....

[the1yankee]

Damn!

Nice hit on community under

[PaperTrail07]

WOW...

[Hugo de Naranja]

Wow. What a finish from Moraes!

[Shagdogy]

Damn. Sounded like he got hit by a baseball bat. Ouch. That switch left leg is the same one that he KO'd Aljo with. I guess it really is a weapon.

[Mackballs]

Literally out of nowhere

[Sanity Check]

Can't believe Moraes won to finish some parlays 4 me. Wtf.

(Nice hit on the under call! I never tail but nice call ftl)

[turbozed]

Guys under 4.5 rounds in main event is +180.

We have bad blood under or inside the distance rule.

I hit the over implementing the over friendly rule in Alvey vs. Villante.

Sup?

Thanks for this post Thrilla! How did none of us notice this line until like 10 mins before the fight? Lol community play wins!

[turbozed]

Welp that's another 4-figure win this week. Hope you guys did well!

Being on here during the event is definitely +EV so thanks everybody!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Solid profit for me. Thinking about +10u. Will post results tomorrow.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Welp that's another 4-figure win this week. Hope you guys did well!

Being on here during the event is definitely +EV so thanks everybody!

Great job mate.

[Sanity Check]

Biggest parlay hit of the night 4 me.



Would be nice if Pettis won too.

Welp that's another 4-figure win this week. Hope you guys did well!

Being on here during the event is definitely +EV so thanks everybody!

Nice!

[Thrilla]

Thanks for this post Thrilla! How did none of us notice this line until like 10 mins before the fight? Lol community play wins!

The greatest sports bettor in the history of mankind strikes again. Bet was never in doubt.

Don't lol at community plays. Those are the best ones. I increased my stakes once so many agreed on the play.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Biggest parlay hit of the night 4 me.



Would be nice if Pettis won too.





Nice!

what sportsbook is that?

[turbozed]

Marlon vs either Cody or TJ should be hot fire. Guaranteed action.

[Biffsbook]

Also like Gillespie and Teymur both by finish parlay

Saunders by ko as a hedge is interesting at 6.5 as he'll come out looking for the clinch and could have success with the knees early on providing ellenberger doesn't work the leg kicks like jouban did.

Acre to win in round 3 interests me as Daniel teymur showed cardio issues in his last fight and acre seems to have no
Issues however he did take it at short notice in another weight class I believe so could have been a one off but I'll go small at 11s

David teymur by ko in round 2 or 3 also worth a small play as teymur seems to figure his opponents out in round 1 then find more success in round 2

I was looking at chance rencountre ML as a dog but seems belal has strategies against people with his tall statue with who he's fought and also looked at the fact he's fasting for Ramadan throughout camp but he's done this successfully last year even though other fighters are typically against it. Not played this yet but may go chance Ml as a dog

Didn't watch all the event due to the time difference and it been a Friday night so just caught up.

Happy with the Arce round 3 finish that I was on since the start which earned some nice profit

The Saunders ko hedge also came in as he did come and and use the clinch which was also a nice hit

I was hoping for a David teymur finish as well but will take the other 2 cashing

[JIBBBY]

Watched the event this morning on DVR.. Some head kick to end the main event.. Didn't see that coming.. Hard to knock Rivera out....

ITook a pass on betting this event, which may be a first. ... Didn't really get around to capping this event leading up.. I knew I'd be busy all night and absent.. Couple good fights though.. A few of the late fights on the main card did not end as expected so I can only guess the MMA heads on this forum probably lost those fights, I know I would have..

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 131: Rivera vs. Moraes Picks:
Jose Torres Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Nathaniel Wood Round 1 KO (Punches)
Jodie Esquibel Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2) -> Cancelled
Desmond Green Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Belal Muhammad Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
David Teymur Round 2 TKO (Knees and Punches)
Sijara Eubanks Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Sam Alvey Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Julio Arce Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Jake Ellenberger Round 2 KO (Punch)
Walt Harris Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Gregor Gillespie Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Jimmie Rivera Unanimous Decision (49-46 x3)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 131: Rivera vs. Moraes

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Torres (DEBUT) vs. Brooks
Torres ITD (+255) +2.55u
Torres KO/TKO (+470) +2.35u

Hedge:
Brooks Submission (+1300) -.5u

Result: Jose Torres Round 2 TKO (Slam and Punches)
Fight: +4.4u
Card: +4.4u

Fight #2: Wood (DEBUT) vs. Eduardo
Wood Round 1 (+170) -1u

Hedge:
Eduardo KO/TKO (+435) -.5u

Result: Nathaniel Wood Round 2 Submission (D’Arce Choke)
Fight: -1.5u
Card: +2.9u

Fight #3: Esquibel vs. Aguilar
Esquibel (+118) +0u
Esquibel Decision (+160) +0u

Result: Fight Cancelled Due to NYSAC Stupidity
Fight: +0u
Card: +2.9u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #4: Green vs. Tibau
Green KO/TKO (+360) -1u

Hedge:
Tibau Submission (+1275) -.5u

Result: Desmond Green Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-27)
Fight: -1.5u
Card: +1.4u

Fight #5: Muhammad vs. Rencountre (DEBUT)
Muhammad Round 3 (+1200) -.75u

Hedge:
Rencountre ITD (+650) -.5u

Result: Belal Muhammad Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: -1.25u
Card: +0.15u

Fight #6: Teymur vs. Lentz
Teymur ITD (+240) -1u
Teymur KO/TKO (+330) -1u
Teymur Round 2 (+750) -.5u

Hedge:
Lentz Submission (+1275) -.5u

Added:
Teymur -3.5 (+105) +3.05u

Result: David Teymur Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Fight: +0.05u
Card: +0.2u

Fight #7: Eubanks (DEBUT) vs. Murphy
Eubanks ITD (+315) -2u
Eubanks Submission (+1000) -.5u

Hedge:
Murphy ITD (+930) -1u

Added:
Eubanks -3.5 (+160) +1.6u

Result: Sijara Eubanks Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Fight: -1.9u
Card: -1.7u

Main Card:

Fight #8: Alvey vs. Villante
Alvey ITD (+203) -2u

Result: Sam Alvey Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: -2u
Card: -3.7u

Fight #9: Arce vs. Teymur
Arce Round 2 (+600) -.5u
Arce Round 3 (+1050) +5.25u
Arce/Teymur Draw (+7500) -.1u

Hedge(s):
Teymur Round 1 (+525) -.5u
Teymur KO/TKO (+550) -.5u

Added:
Arce Decision (+285) -1u

Result: Julio Arce Round 3 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +2.65u
Card: -1.05u

Fight #10: Ellenberger vs. Saunders
Ellenberger Round 2 (+525) -1u

Hedge:
Saunders KO/TKO (+594) +2.97u

Result: Ben Saunders Round 1 TKO (Knee to Body and Punches)
Fight: +1.97u
Card: +0.92u

Fight #11: Harris vs. Spitz
Parlays

Result: Walt Harris Round 2 TKO (Elbows and Punches)

Fight #12: Gillespie vs Pichel
Gillespie ITD (+100) +1u
Gillespie KO/TKO (+260) -1u

Added:
Gillespie -3.5 (-185) +3.5u
Gillespie Round 1 (+225) -.5u
Gillespie/Pichel Draw (+9500) -.1u

Added Hedge:
Pichel ITD (+485) -1u

Result: Gregor Gillespie Round 2 Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Fight: +1.9u
Card: +2.82u

Fight #13: Rivera vs. Moraes
Rivera (-105) -2.625u
Rivera ITD (+425) -.5u
Rivera KO/TKO (+645) -1u
Rivera/Moraes Draw (+7000) -.1u

Hedge:
Moraes ITD (+400) +4u

Added:
Rivera+Moraes Under 4.5 (+175) +1.75u

Result: Marlon Moraes Round 1 TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
Fight: +1.525u
Card: +4.345u

Straight Parlays:
Torres/Teymur (+104) +3.12u
Gillespie/Rivera (+125) -1u
Eubanks/Arce (+147) +1.47u
Alvey/Arce (+164) +1.64u

Results: See Above
Fights: +5.23u
Card: +9.575u

Prop Parlays:
Harris ITD/Gillespie (+106) +1.06u
Eubanks/Alvey/Arce (+310) +1.55u
Torres/Wood ITD/Esquibel (+467) +.476u
Ellenberger/Harris ITD/Gillespie+Pichel Under 2.5/Rivera (+835) -.5u
Green Decision/Muhammad Decision/Teymur+Lentz Under 2.5 (+993) -.25u

Added:
Ellenberger+Saunders WSR3/Harris -3.5 (+122) +1.22u

Results: See Above
Fights: +3.556u
Card: +13.131u

Live Betting:
Gillespie+Pichel Goes Distance (+100) -1u
Harris+Spitz Goes Distance (+180) -1u

Results: See Above
Fights: -2u
Card: +11.131u

Full Card Props:
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+128) +0u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+337) +0u
No Fights End in Submission (+438) +0u
Over 9.5 Fights Go Distance (+979) +0u

FOTN: None
POTN: Moraes, Gillespie, Saunders, Wood
Fastest Submission: Wood R2 (2:18)
Fastest KO: Moraes R1 (0:33)
Submissions: 3
Knockouts: 4
Decisions: 5
Results: +0u, All FCPs Cancelled Due to Esquibel+Aguilar Cancellation
Fights: +0u
Final Card Total = +11.131u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Gillespie/Poirier (+114) 1u

Results: Gillespie Wins
Fights: +0u, Carries Over to UFC on Fox 30
Multi-Event Parlay = +0u, Carries Over to UFC on Fox 30

[Hugo de Naranja]

Solid night of picks and bets. Went 10/12 on Picks with 1 Exact Pick. Pulled in a little over 11u in profit. Won on Torres ITD + KO/TKO, Teymur -3.5, Arce Round 3, Saunders KO/TKO Hedge, Gillespie -3.5 + ITD, Rivera+Moraes Under 4.5 + Moraes ITD Hedge, Straight Parlays, and Prop Parlays. Lost on Wood Round 1, Green KO/TKO, Muhammad Round 3, Alvey ITD, and Live Betting.

My three biggest takeaways from this card:
1. Julio Arce is someone to watch out for.
2. Marlon Moraes is more dangerous than he is getting credit for.
3. Gregor Gillespie is a Future UFC Champion, mark my words.

[firekillex]

Gregor Gillespie looks great no doubt, but he looks a little bit to focused on the takedown right now
55 is shark infested water, would like to see him get a top 10-15 guy next and see where hes really at

id like a matchup with either trinaldo, OAM, or James vick


looking at the ufc lightweight rankings jesus its CRAZY .. almost all the guys in the top 20 fringe are on 3 fight+ win streaks
only guy i see whos in there who doesnt belong is Jim Miller , everybody else is a monster

you got guys like Islam Makhachev barely on the top 20 wow