UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Poirier (November 11, 2017)

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-12-17, 01:08 AM

Originally posted by Kermit

TKO?

Yeah injury finishes are always TKOs

**turbozed** · 11-12-17, 01:08 AM

Woah, he tapped. Shouldn't that be a submission?

TKO injury is really what happened but the fight ended because he verbally tapped.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-12-17, 01:09 AM

Also just hit that Under 2.5 by like 30 seconds.

**PaperTrail07** · 11-12-17, 01:09 AM

Good FIght,......weird end...

**Shagdogy** · 11-12-17, 01:10 AM

Originally posted by turbozed

I think he pulled or tore an ab muscle. Not sure that would've broken a rib.

I popped cartilage in a jiu jitsu tournament in a similar way. Painful. Feels like bubble wrap going off in your torso when you even sip a breath in. It's not technically a broken bone but I've heard it referred to as a broken rib anyway. That was like 6-7 years ago and I still have the knot sticking out of my rib cage.

**Kermit** · 11-12-17, 01:10 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Yeah injury finishes are always TKOs

Yeah, but I don't recall anyone tapping out like this without seeing anything really happening. I guess it makes sense though.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-12-17, 01:11 AM

Originally posted by Kermit

Yeah, but I don't recall anyone tapping out like this without anything really happening.

Northcutt against Barberena haha

**Kermit** · 11-12-17, 01:12 AM

IMO, If a fighter gets mounted and gets pounded on and taps out, that should also be a TKO, but it isn't.

**Unwritten Law** · 11-12-17, 01:12 AM

My former captain at Norfolk base was on tv and predicted Poirier in the 3rd lol. Congrats all!!!

**Kermit** · 11-12-17, 01:13 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Northcutt against Barberena haha

LOL Yeah, I remember that. He was tapping before it was even set in.

**KalouKalou** · 11-12-17, 01:13 AM

5dimes graded the under has a loss wtf

**turbozed** · 11-12-17, 01:15 AM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

I popped cartilage in a jiu jitsu tournament in a similar way. Painful. Feels like bubble wrap going off in your torso when you even sip a breath in. It's not technically a broken bone but I've heard it referred to as a broken rib anyway. That was like 6-7 years ago and I still have the knot sticking out of my rib cage.

Sounds horrific. How long did that sideline you from training?

**Kermit** · 11-12-17, 01:16 AM

Wait a second, Junior Albini wears his shorts like a diaper because his nickname is "Baby" ?

Jesus Christ.

**firekillex** · 11-12-17, 01:16 AM

sucks the fight got so bloody , really liked pettis getting a sub off his back here... way to slippery to lock anything in

sweet fight though , porier been in a ton of exciting bouts lately .... him vs justin gaetje would be absolute fireworks
give the loser to pettis in a fight where there was no true loser imo

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-12-17, 01:17 AM

Originally posted by KalouKalou

5dimes graded the under has a loss wtf

It was 2.5 right? If so, they'll fix it

**TPowell** · 11-12-17, 01:18 AM

Wait, I had Strickland NO CARDS parlayed with Brown ITD. That should be a win right? I would be risking the original bet to win less money on just Brown ITD

**Shagdogy** · 11-12-17, 01:19 AM

Originally posted by turbozed

There's an appropriate Charlie Munger quote here that I'm probably butchering. It goes:

Try to make money. Don't lose money. But if you have to lose money, don't lose too much.

Yeah man. I won just a little bit today. I've been avoiding big losses for a real long time. I've had a number of cards now where the breaks just happen where I'm so close to big wins and instead I end up hanging right around even.

I'll take the +1u win but damn If either Guida or Fortuna go differently it's +6u and if both hit it's a real big night. Fortuna was one poor armbar attempt from winning that decision too. Still waiting on that breakthrough. Maybe next card...

**Shagdogy** · 11-12-17, 01:20 AM

Originally posted by firekillex

sucks the fight got so bloody , really liked pettis getting a sub off his back here... way to slippery to lock anything in

sweet fight though , porier been in a ton of exciting bouts lately .... him vs justin gaetje would be absolute fireworks
give the loser to pettis in a fight where there was no true loser imo

Does Poirier have the chin to hang in there with Gaethje? He seems tailor made for Gaithje's trademark fight of trading bombs until someone (the other guy) falls.

**TPowell** · 11-12-17, 01:20 AM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

Yeah man. I won just a little bit today. I've been avoiding big losses for a real long time. I've had a number of cards now where the breaks just happen where I'm so close to big wins and instead I end up hanging right around even.

I'll take the +1u win but damn If either Guida or Fortuna go differently it's +6u and if both hit it's a real big night. Fortuna was one poor armbar attempt from winning that decision too. Still waiting on that breakthrough. Maybe next card...

Right there with you buddy. If Dodson gets the decision I win 10 units. Instead, I win a little over 2 (after the parlay is graded right). Had Dodson in a couple 1 unit parlays to win good money

**firekillex** · 11-12-17, 01:21 AM

just rewatched the fight

didnt even notice pettis had a full triangle locked in when the ref stood them up........ WTFFFF

**TPowell** · 11-12-17, 01:21 AM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

Does Poirier have the chin to hang in there with Gaethje? He seems tailor made for Gaithje's trademark fight of trading bombs until someone (the other guy) falls.

Think he'll bomb for a bit and then shoot for the TD. He fought a good fight here. No way to lock up a sub in that mess so take the path of least resistance

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-12-17, 01:22 AM

Originally posted by TPowell

Wait, I had Strickland NO CARDS parlayed with Brown ITD. That should be a win right? I would be risking the original bet to win less money on just Brown ITD

That's right. Should just be a single bet on Brown ITD

**Shagdogy** · 11-12-17, 01:22 AM

Originally posted by TPowell

Think he'll bomb for a bit and then shoot for the TD. He fought a good fight here. No way to lock up a sub in that mess so take the path of least resistance

But Gaethje has very good wrestling. That plan doesn't work the way it did tonight.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-12-17, 01:23 AM

Originally posted by firekillex

just rewatched the fight

didnt even notice pettis had a full triangle locked in when the ref stood them up........ WTFFFF

Yeah I saw that after too. That was bad. Not sure that it was totally locked in but he had Poirier in trouble for sure.

**TPowell** · 11-12-17, 01:24 AM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

But Gaethje has very good wrestling. That plan doesn't work the way it did tonight.

When guys get to swinging like they could, the wrestling may not matter if the shot is timed well.

**turbozed** · 11-12-17, 01:24 AM

Hope you guys had a good event. I just slightly raised my unit size so this ended up being the biggest cash of the year for me. Thanks again to everyone for the helpful feedback and analysis!

I haven't had a losing week since July, and this board has a lot to do with it. Cheers

**firekillex** · 11-12-17, 01:26 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Yeah I saw that after too. That was bad. Not sure that it was totally locked in but he had Poirier in trouble for sure.

that was by far the tightest triangle he had in, legit think that couldve been a 50/50 finish ..... what a terrible time to stand them up when he had so many chances to before that..... tough to watch that, was super bloody but it looked like it was very close to locked in

hope pettis bounces back , he hasnt looked the same in a while though, id like to see him vs alvarez and gaethje vs porier though

**TPowell** · 11-12-17, 01:29 AM

Excellent event. Poor Assuncao. Looked golden for $50K

Poirier/Pettis FOTN
Guida POTN
Brown POTN

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-12-17, 01:31 AM

Originally posted by firekillex

that was by far the tightest triangle he had in, legit think that couldve been a 50/50 finish ..... what a terrible time to stand them up when he had so many chances to before that..... tough to watch that, was super bloody but it looked like it was very close to locked in

hope pettis bounces back , he hasnt looked the same in a while though, id like to see him vs alvarez and gaethje vs porier though

I think his flaws have been exposed and he's done beating elite fighters.

**Sanity Check** · 11-12-17, 01:32 AM

This is the silliest night ever for me.

I bet $10 on Sage to win $5.

Then I made two $1 parlays. One was 13x the other was 15x. Both hit.

Weirdest thing ever.

I skipped this event thinking I wouldn't win anything & I hit everything I tried.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-12-17, 01:32 AM

Originally posted by TPowell

Excellent event. Poor Assuncao. Looked golden for $50K

Poirier/Pettis FOTN
Guida POTN
Brown POTN

That would be my best guess for all three.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-12-17, 01:32 AM

Originally posted by Sanity Check

This is the silliest night ever for me.

I bet $10 on Sage to win $5.

Then I made two $1 parlays. One was 13x the other was 15x. Both hit.

Weirdest thing ever.

Too bad you didn't have more on those. Great hits though!

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-12-17, 01:33 AM

Originally posted by turbozed

Hope you guys had a good event. I just slightly raised my unit size so this ended up being the biggest cash of the year for me. Thanks again to everyone for the helpful feedback and analysis!

I haven't had a losing week since July, and this board has a lot to do with it. Cheers

Very impressive Turbo. Keep up the great work!

**Shagdogy** · 11-12-17, 01:33 AM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

Ok here's my card. I started out disciplined and then at some point said screw it's let's gamble tonight:

Roberson -215, 2.15u
McGee/Strickland o2.5 -225, 2.25u
Ansaroff +160, 1u
Dodson -113, 1.13u
Guida by dec +160, 1.5u
Lauzon rd 1 +500, .5u
Lauzon rd 2 +700, .5u
Lopez +270, 1u
Fortuna/Suarez/Arlovski-Albini o1.5 +350, 1u
Suarez/Brown -140, 1.4u

Lost that first Suarez parlay with Fortuna blowing it so I'm doubling the Suarez/Brown parlay.

Added Poirier +106, 1.5u

For W/L purposes I'll count the Guida/Lauzon bets as one loss since I lost on that fight.

Card Total: 5-4, +1.56u
YTD: 101-90, +14.11u

**TPowell** · 11-12-17, 01:37 AM

So I won 1.75 units on Suarez. If I don't watch any tape, I would have faded and lost a unit on the dog for a net loss of 2.75 units. I was leaning towards playing Quinones ML or by decision but after further study I went with OVER 1.5 rounds in a parlay that hit. I talked myself out of Fortuna SOMEHOW and saved myself at least a couple units there. All in all I'm guessing I saved myself 6 units by doing tape study on 5 of the fights tonight.