Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series: Week 2

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  • turbozed
    SBR MVP
    • 10-15-08
    • 2435

    #1
    Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series: Week 2
    DANA WHITE'S TUESDAY NIGHT CONTENDER: WEEK 2

    Dana White's Contender Series: Week 2 - The Ultimate Fighter Gym - Las Vegas, Nevada
    Tue 7/18 3001 Angel DeAnda +160 o2½ -180
    8:00PM 3002 Daniel Spohn -210 u2½ +140
    Tue 7/18 3101 Alfred Khashakyan +170 o1½ -180
    8:00PM 3102 Sean O'Malley -230 u1½ +140
    Tue 7/18 3201 Thanh Le -140 o1½ -175
    8:00PM 3202 Lazar Stojadinovic +100 u1½ +135
    Tue 7/18 3301 Michael Cora +140 o1½ -190
    8:00PM 3302 Sidney Outlaw -180 u1½ +150
    Tue 7/18 3401 Casey Kenney -120 o2½ -260
    8:00PM 3402 Cee Jay Hamilton -120 u2½ +180
    Lines are out for this event tomorrow 7/18. This thread is for discussion. Cheers.
  • turbozed
    SBR MVP
    • 10-15-08
    • 2435

    #2
    Thanh Le vs Lazar Stojadinovic should be a very exciting scrap. Both strikers. Lazar has very fast hands and has a boxing background. Thanh Le fights 'kung fu' but somewhat like Machida in that he jumps in and out though not quite as bladed stance.

    Le finishes most of his fights via 1st round KO. He's got a laser sharp straight right that just drops guys if it lands. Also has great killer instinct, really pushing the pace and swarming his opponents if they are on their backfoot.

    Lazar plans and throws some lightning quick hooks. He's got very fast hands and looks like a pretty good chin as well. He looks like he's going to be the smaller and shorter fighter, which may be a problem for him in the clinch. Le has had some brutal KOs via knees and if he's bigger and stronger than Lazar, he might be able to do good work with them here. This should stay on the feet although Le has competed in grappling tournaments lately and Lazar now trains at ATT in Florida so neither of them are going to be completely outmatched if it hits the ground. Another thing to look for is Le's body kicks which are fast and will be more of a factor fighting the southpaw Lazar (Le is orthodox).

    Don't really have a lean on the side here but the under might be a decent play at plus odds. Le probably has more tools to win and was good at +110 but maybe not so much now at -140. Both are good strikers, both are aggressive, and both are hittable. Of course, we've seen that it happen a lot where two 1st round finishers meet and they end up going the distance. If it does go the distance, then it'll most likely be Lazar winning via volume. Unfortunately, there are no props here because Le KO and Lazar Decision seem to be the two likely outcomes. Betting or not, it's a fight to look forward to.
    Last edited by turbozed; 07-18-17, 12:20 AM.
    Comment
    • Hugo de Naranja
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 04-14-16
      • 14140

      #3
      Originally posted by turbozed
      Thanh Le vs Lazar Stojadinovic should be a very exciting scrap. Both strikers. Lazar has very fast hands and has a boxing background. Thanh Le fights 'kung fu' but somewhat like Machida in that he jumps in and out though not quite as bladed stance.

      Le finishes most of his fights via 1st round KO. He's got a laser sharp straight right that just drops guys if it lands. Also has great killer instinct, really pushing the pace and swarming his opponents if they are on their backfoot.

      Lazar plans and throws some lightning quick hooks. He's got very fast hands and looks like a pretty good chin as well. He looks like he's going to be the smaller and shorter fighter, which may be a problem for him in the clinch. Le has had some brutal KOs via knees and if he's bigger and stronger than Lazar, he might be able to do good work with them here. This should stay on the feet although Le has competed in grappling tournaments lately and Lazar now trains at ATT in Florida so neither of them are going to be completely outmatched if it hits the ground. Another thing to look for is Le's body kicks which are fast and will be more of a factor fighting the southpaw Lazar (Le is orthodox).

      Don't really have a lean on the side here but the under might be a decent play at plus odds. Le probably has more tools to win and was good at +110 but maybe not so much now at -140. Both are good strikers, both are aggressive, and both are hittable. Of course, we've seen that it happen a lot where two 1st round finishers meet and they end up going the distance. If it does go the distance, then it'll most likely be Lazar winning via volume. Unfortunately, there are no props here because Le KO and Lazar Decision seem to be the two likely outcomes. Betting or not, it's a fight to look forward to.
      Great write up Turbo. I got in early on Le (+110) for small.
      Comment
      • Rich Benjamins
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-15-15
        • 831

        #4
        Thanks Turbozed. I watched Lazar's last fight, he looked a little timid. Whereas Le has the athleticism to be a world champ, Lazar not so much. I put $350 on Le at -140.

        Originally posted by turbozed
        Thanh Le vs Lazar Stojadinovic should be a very exciting scrap. Both strikers. Lazar has very fast hands and has a boxing background. Thanh Le fights 'kung fu' but somewhat like Machida in that he jumps in and out though not quite as bladed stance.

        Le finishes most of his fights via 1st round KO. He's got a laser sharp straight right that just drops guys if it lands. Also has great killer instinct, really pushing the pace and swarming his opponents if they are on their backfoot.

        Lazar plans and throws some lightning quick hooks. He's got very fast hands and looks like a pretty good chin as well. He looks like he's going to be the smaller and shorter fighter, which may be a problem for him in the clinch. Le has had some brutal KOs via knees and if he's bigger and stronger than Lazar, he might be able to do good work with them here. This should stay on the feet although Le has competed in grappling tournaments lately and Lazar now trains at ATT in Florida so neither of them are going to be completely outmatched if it hits the ground. Another thing to look for is Le's body kicks which are fast and will be more of a factor fighting the southpaw Lazar (Le is orthodox).

        Don't really have a lean on the side here but the under might be a decent play at plus odds. Le probably has more tools to win and was good at +110 but maybe not so much now at -140. Both are good strikers, both are aggressive, and both are hittable. Of course, we've seen that it happen a lot where two 1st round finishers meet and they end up going the distance. If it does go the distance, then it'll most likely be Lazar winning via volume. Unfortunately, there are no props here because Le KO and Lazar Decision seem to be the two likely outcomes. Betting or not, it's a fight to look forward to.
        Comment
        • turbozed
          SBR MVP
          • 10-15-08
          • 2435

          #5
          Dan Spohn vs. Angel Deanda

          Bottom line for this fight is that Deanda is a very soft looking welterweight that's moving up to LHW to fight a very large and lean LHW in Dan Spohn. Deanda is a good striker, and held his own against Tyrone Spong. However, Tyrone Spong wasn't looking to take him down. If you watch that fight, you'll see what Deanda will look like at 205. Deanda is a very tubby and flatfooted but competent counterpuncher.

          So the question is what the UFC is doing booking a big LHW against a guy who should never be competitive at LHW just due to size alone? My guess is that they are expecting him to win and add a new name to the very small LHW roster. Deanda looks relatively strong for his size, but he didn't overpower his competition in the clinch or grappling. Spohn on the other hand will be 20 lbs larger and can outwrestle and slam guys his own size. Deanda's cardio looks okay when it's only a mma kickboxing match, but that's probably not going to be the case when he's put on his back and made to work. I don't see Deanda stopping these takedowns.

          Deanda basically has the first round to try to land something clean before getting clinched up and put on his back it seems. He doesn't have seem to have crazy one punch power, and will be less able to catch a guy 8 inches taller than him (Deanda is 5'8" and Spohn is 6'4"). The size, height, and most likely strength differential will be just crazy in this fight.

          Line opened at -165 Spohn and was quickly bet down to -210. Still might be some value there or you can toss this in a parlay. For some reason 5d isn't letting me parlay within this same Tuesday night event though.
          Comment
          • Rich Benjamins
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-15-15
            • 831

            #6
            I think the reason why Deanda was put in there is because he's a late notice replacement. Another reason to bet on Spohn, which I did. Don't think -210 reflects how big of a favorite he should be. Spohn trains and spars with Stipe.

            Originally posted by turbozed
            Dan Spohn vs. Angel Deanda

            Bottom line for this fight is that Deanda is a very soft looking welterweight that's moving up to LHW to fight a very large and lean LHW in Dan Spohn. Deanda is a good striker, and held his own against Tyrone Spong. However, Tyrone Spong wasn't looking to take him down. If you watch that fight, you'll see what Deanda will look like at 205. Deanda is a very tubby and flatfooted but competent counterpuncher.

            So the question is what the UFC is doing booking a big LHW against a guy who should never be competitive at LHW just due to size alone? My guess is that they are expecting him to win and add a new name to the very small LHW roster. Deanda looks relatively strong for his size, but he didn't overpower his competition in the clinch or grappling. Spohn on the other hand will be 20 lbs larger and can outwrestle and slam guys his own size. Deanda's cardio looks okay when it's only a mma kickboxing match, but that's probably not going to be the case when he's put on his back and made to work. I don't see Deanda stopping these takedowns.

            Deanda basically has the first round to try to land something clean before getting clinched up and put on his back it seems. He doesn't have seem to have crazy one punch power, and will be less able to catch a guy 8 inches taller than him (Deanda is 5'8" and Spohn is 6'4"). The size, height, and most likely strength differential will be just crazy in this fight.

            Line opened at -165 Spohn and was quickly bet down to -210. Still might be some value there or you can toss this in a parlay. For some reason 5d isn't letting me parlay within this same Tuesday night event though.
            Comment
            • Shagdogy
              SBR MVP
              • 06-16-10
              • 3564

              #7
              Originally posted by turbozed
              Thanh Le vs Lazar Stojadinovic should be a very exciting scrap. Both strikers. Lazar has very fast hands and has a boxing background. Thanh Le fights 'kung fu' but somewhat like Machida in that he jumps in and out though not quite as bladed stance.

              Le finishes most of his fights via 1st round KO. He's got a laser sharp straight right that just drops guys if it lands. Also has great killer instinct, really pushing the pace and swarming his opponents if they are on their backfoot.

              Lazar plans and throws some lightning quick hooks. He's got very fast hands and looks like a pretty good chin as well. He looks like he's going to be the smaller and shorter fighter, which may be a problem for him in the clinch. Le has had some brutal KOs via knees and if he's bigger and stronger than Lazar, he might be able to do good work with them here. This should stay on the feet although Le has competed in grappling tournaments lately and Lazar now trains at ATT in Florida so neither of them are going to be completely outmatched if it hits the ground. Another thing to look for is Le's body kicks which are fast and will be more of a factor fighting the southpaw Lazar (Le is orthodox).

              Don't really have a lean on the side here but the under might be a decent play at plus odds. Le probably has more tools to win and was good at +110 but maybe not so much now at -140. Both are good strikers, both are aggressive, and both are hittable. Of course, we've seen that it happen a lot where two 1st round finishers meet and they end up going the distance. If it does go the distance, then it'll most likely be Lazar winning via volume. Unfortunately, there are no props here because Le KO and Lazar Decision seem to be the two likely outcomes. Betting or not, it's a fight to look forward to.
              Good write up. Sorry to say but I disagree that Lazar will be all that outmatched on the feet and I think the ground is not a toss up as you say, I believe Lazar holds a good advantage there. For me, if Le doesn't KO in the first, he loses, and Lazar has never been KO'd and looks to have a good chin. He's younger, well rounded, and from a great camp. Le is definitely exciting but give me Lazar at plus money.

              O'Malley/Khash and Kenney/Hamilton are two real good fights as well.
              Comment
              • Shagdogy
                SBR MVP
                • 06-16-10
                • 3564

                #8
                I think Kenney is a decent bet. Hamilton has the speed and athleticism but he's a little erratic and he slows down as the fight gets deep. I think Kenney can grind on him. Very high level judo. Good wrestling. Cardio is solid. Undefeated. I think he will take his fight over late and win rounds 2 and 3.
                Comment
                • Shagdogy
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-16-10
                  • 3564

                  #9
                  Watched a little Deanda last night and I was not impressed, especially when you consider Spohn has never been KO'd. I don't have a clear memory of Spohn so I need to watch a little bit, but my first instict is that he may be worth whatever juice cause Deanda's one path to victory (KO) doesn't look all that impressive and is a bad matchup vs Spohn.
                  Comment
                  • Ty$
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-20-16
                    • 1241

                    #10
                    I'd stay away from that under on the Le fight. Expect Lazar to fight slow like he did Richman. Not betting tonight ...
                    Comment
                    • Ty$
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-20-16
                      • 1241

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Shagdogy
                      Watched a little Deanda last night and I was not impressed, especially when you consider Spohn has never been KO'd. I don't have a clear memory of Spohn so I need to watch a little bit, but my first instict is that he may be worth whatever juice cause Deanda's one path to victory (KO) doesn't look all that impressive and is a bad matchup vs Spohn.
                      Spohn got tkod in the house by Van Buren
                      Last edited by Ty$; 07-18-17, 10:46 AM.
                      Comment
                      • PaperTrail07
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-29-08
                        • 20423

                        #12
                        Yeah 5 D not allowing parlays at the moment on the Tues fights...
                        Comment
                        • Shagdogy
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-16-10
                          • 3564

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Ty$
                          Spohn got tkod in the house by Van Buren
                          Good look. Yeah. Like I said, hadn't gotten to tape on him. Just glanced at the record. Thanks for pointing it out. I have to go get a good look at him but my impression of Deanda is still pretty poor.

                          Always gotta remember to look up that TUF record and tape since it doesn't show on pro record.
                          Comment
                          • Shagdogy
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-16-10
                            • 3564

                            #14
                            Originally posted by PaperTrail07
                            Yeah 5 D not allowing parlays at the moment on the Tues fights...
                            I played a small parlay last week on my book. Put it in late though. My book still doesn't even have lines up.
                            Comment
                            • Shagdogy
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-16-10
                              • 3564

                              #15
                              Scratch that they're up and I'm getting all the worst lines. Love it.
                              Comment
                              • turbozed
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-15-08
                                • 2435

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                Good write up. Sorry to say but I disagree that Lazar will be all that outmatched on the feet and I think the ground is not a toss up as you say, I believe Lazar holds a good advantage there. For me, if Le doesn't KO in the first, he loses, and Lazar has never been KO'd and looks to have a good chin. He's younger, well rounded, and from a great camp. Le is definitely exciting but give me Lazar at plus money.

                                O'Malley/Khash and Kenney/Hamilton are two real good fights as well.
                                I actually agree with you. Lazar's accuracy, volume, and overall toughness may get him the win if the fight goes to later rounds. The big question mark is Le's power. Some of the guys just drop like a sack of potatoes when Le touches them but I have doubts about the quality of his opponents. If Lazar can't take those punches then he'll suffer the same fate. In a straight boxing match Lazar's defense seems good enough for this not to happen. But Le can open him up a bit with the kicking game. As you said, I think we'll know how the fight will play out in the first round. For me, most questions will be answered once we see how well or poorly Lazar can handle a clean shot from Le.
                                Comment
                                • turbozed
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-15-08
                                  • 2435

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                  Good look. Yeah. Like I said, hadn't gotten to tape on him. Just glanced at the record. Thanks for pointing it out. I have to go get a good look at him but my impression of Deanda is still pretty poor.

                                  Always gotta remember to look up that TUF record and tape since it doesn't show on pro record.
                                  Tapology.com shows the TUF exhibition bouts and even amateur records in fighter profiles. If you're using Sherdog fight finder instead of Tapology, I highly recommend that you make the switch.
                                  Comment
                                  • turbozed
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-15-08
                                    • 2435

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Ty$
                                    I'd stay away from that under on the Le fight. Expect Lazar to fight slow like he did Richman. Not betting tonight ...
                                    I think the under has some value at near +140. Le seems to really push the pace in the striking. In fights that he hasn't, it's because he's wary of takedowns from better grapplers. I don't think that's an issue with this fight. Lazar also doesn't back away and reset from exchanges. He just plants and trades. We haven't seen Le get hit much from competent strikers so the fact that he hasn't lost by KO doesn't necessarily mean he can't be hurt. Another factor is we're going to have the smaller TUF cage, so there won't be much room for either fighter to retreat and reset. Coinflip at + odds I think.
                                    Comment
                                    • JIBBBY
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-10-09
                                      • 83686

                                      #19
                                      Don't know any fighters, didn't cap any of these fights. I'm out.

                                      May tail you guys for small if I get bored.. Seems like some you took the time to cap this...
                                      Comment
                                      • Demonata
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 07-12-11
                                        • 25829

                                        #20
                                        I'm going to lose so much in this event
                                        Comment
                                        • Shagdogy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-16-10
                                          • 3564

                                          #21
                                          Just got to rewatching Spohn and now that my memory is refreshed I don't really like him either. Should he be able to handle Deanda on short notice with a giant size advantage? Yeah, probably. But he's so plain and lacks any urgency at all. Not the kind of guy I'd want to ever commit too much money to. He's in a great situation here, but I'm not a big fan of what I've watched.
                                          Comment
                                          • Shagdogy
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-16-10
                                            • 3564

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by turbozed
                                            I actually agree with you. Lazar's accuracy, volume, and overall toughness may get him the win if the fight goes to later rounds. The big question mark is Le's power. Some of the guys just drop like a sack of potatoes when Le touches them but I have doubts about the quality of his opponents. If Lazar can't take those punches then he'll suffer the same fate. In a straight boxing match Lazar's defense seems good enough for this not to happen. But Le can open him up a bit with the kicking game. As you said, I think we'll know how the fight will play out in the first round. For me, most questions will be answered once we see how well or poorly Lazar can handle a clean shot from Le.
                                            I think Lazar's on the up. I like his well roundedness and the way he fights with pressure but stays calm and composed. I just trust him a bit more than Le, and obviously the cat is out of the bag in terms of gameplan. Lazar knows to keep away from Le's big strikes (easier said than done). This is also why I agree with Ty that he will likely slow it down and fight could go over.
                                            Comment
                                            • PaperTrail07
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-29-08
                                              • 20423

                                              #23
                                              Le just more skills
                                              Comment
                                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 04-14-16
                                                • 14140

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by turbozed
                                                Thanh Le vs Lazar Stojadinovic should be a very exciting scrap. Both strikers. Lazar has very fast hands and has a boxing background. Thanh Le fights 'kung fu' but somewhat like Machida in that he jumps in and out though not quite as bladed stance.

                                                Le finishes most of his fights via 1st round KO. He's got a laser sharp straight right that just drops guys if it lands. Also has great killer instinct, really pushing the pace and swarming his opponents if they are on their backfoot.

                                                Lazar plans and throws some lightning quick hooks. He's got very fast hands and looks like a pretty good chin as well. He looks like he's going to be the smaller and shorter fighter, which may be a problem for him in the clinch. Le has had some brutal KOs via knees and if he's bigger and stronger than Lazar, he might be able to do good work with them here. This should stay on the feet although Le has competed in grappling tournaments lately and Lazar now trains at ATT in Florida so neither of them are going to be completely outmatched if it hits the ground. Another thing to look for is Le's body kicks which are fast and will be more of a factor fighting the southpaw Lazar (Le is orthodox).

                                                Don't really have a lean on the side here but the under might be a decent play at plus odds. Le probably has more tools to win and was good at +110 but maybe not so much now at -140. Both are good strikers, both are aggressive, and both are hittable. Of course, we've seen that it happen a lot where two 1st round finishers meet and they end up going the distance. If it does go the distance, then it'll most likely be Lazar winning via volume. Unfortunately, there are no props here because Le KO and Lazar Decision seem to be the two likely outcomes. Betting or not, it's a fight to look forward to.
                                                Looks like 5Dimes is offering the "basic 7" props on this card so we have either fighter ITD, Decision, etc.
                                                Comment
                                                • Sanity Check
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 03-30-13
                                                  • 10962

                                                  #25
                                                  Thanh Le was on the Conor McGregor / Urijah Faber season of the Ultimate Fighter.

                                                  Le is a good standup fighter who needed to work on his wrestling. Not sure where he's @ now.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Demonata
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 07-12-11
                                                    • 25829

                                                    #26
                                                    I like Lazar to beat than le. He trains out of American top team. Can knock you out and good wt submissions. Than likely can get flashy but I think Lazar is the better fighter. I feel he should be favored. I think he knocked him out or takes him down and submits li.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Demonata
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 07-12-11
                                                      • 25829

                                                      #27
                                                      my bets

                                                      Here's all my bets on this card. I think at least 2 out if 3 will hit. Betting about $70 per bet. Was a tough card to BETSLIP ID:
                                                      10099189546
                                                      BETSLIP PLACED:
                                                      July 18, 2017 2:51pm
                                                      2 Bet Parlay
                                                      Pending
                                                      18 July 6:10pm
                                                      Baseball - MLB
                                                      Los Angeles Dodgers v Chicago White Sox
                                                      Game: Los Angeles Dodgers ML
                                                      1.312 (-321)
                                                      Pending
                                                      18 July 6:30pm
                                                      Mixed Martial Arts - UFC
                                                      Sidney Outlaw v Michael Cora
                                                      Fight: Sidney Outlaw ML
                                                      1.544 (-184)
                                                      PARLAY
                                                      2.026 (+103)
                                                      0.03000
                                                      0.03078

                                                      BETSLIP ID: 10099189503
                                                      BETSLIP PLACED: July 18, 2017 2:49pm
                                                      1 Straight Bet
                                                      Pending
                                                      18 July 7:00pm
                                                      Mixed Martial Arts - UFC
                                                      Lazar Stojadinovic v Thanh Le
                                                      Fight: Lazar Stojadinovic ML
                                                      2.098 (+110)
                                                      0.03000
                                                      0.03294


                                                      BETSLIP ID: 10099189486
                                                      BETSLIP PLACED: July 18, 2017 2:48pm
                                                      4 Bet Parlay
                                                      Pending
                                                      18 July 6:00pm
                                                      Mixed Martial Arts - UFC
                                                      C.J. Hamilton v Casey Kenney
                                                      Fight: Casey Kenney ML
                                                      1.860 (-116)
                                                      Pending
                                                      18 July 6:30pm
                                                      Mixed Martial Arts - UFC
                                                      Sidney Outlaw v Michael Cora
                                                      Fight: Sidney Outlaw ML
                                                      1.544 (-184)
                                                      Pending
                                                      18 July 7:30pm
                                                      Mixed Martial Arts - UFC
                                                      Sean O'Malley v ALfred Khashakyan
                                                      Fight: Sean O'Malley ML
                                                      1.452 (-221)
                                                      Pending
                                                      18 July 8:00pm
                                                      Mixed Martial Arts - UFC
                                                      Daniel Spohn v Angel Deanda
                                                      Fight: Daniel Spohn ML
                                                      1.323 (-310)
                                                      PARLAY
                                                      5.517 (+452)
                                                      0.02800
                                                      0.12648
                                                      Last edited by Demonata; 07-18-17, 04:11 PM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • turbozed
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-15-08
                                                        • 2435

                                                        #28
                                                        Spohn/DeAnda now at -325/+295. Might arb out a bit since went pretty heavy Spohn -210. Spohn probably destroys him still but it's hard not to take a freeroll with this sort of level of competition.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Shagdogy
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-16-10
                                                          • 3564

                                                          #29
                                                          Nobody talking about O'Malley? That kid is legit. But Khash has KO'd every single fight that stayed standing. O'Malley has the skills to ground him and control or sub, but he prefers to dictate striking. Good fight.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JIBBBY
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-10-09
                                                            • 83686

                                                            #30
                                                            OK reading up now on this event.. You guys talked me into it.... Hmmmm?

                                                            I found this write up on bloody elbow - Dayne Fox is the writer.. -



                                                            Daniel Spohn (15-5) vs. Angel DeAnda (18-5), Light Heavyweight
                                                            The only participant on this week’s edition with UFC experience, Spohn has gone on a nice roll since losing to Pat Walsh in his cup of tea three years ago, winning seven of his last eight. Spohn has always looked the part, possessing a solidly built frame with a 79" reach. Spohn’s tendency to freeze up in the spotlight is what made his UFC stay so brief, falling victim to his own inactivity. When his head is right, Spohn’s a solid takedown artist with occasional one-punch KO power. When he does get the fight to the ground, Spohn’s top control and ground-and-pound effectively wears out his opponent if it doesn’t put them away.
                                                            DeAnda has consistently been more entertaining than Spohn given his preference to stand and bang. He does a good job of mixing in kicks with his punching combinations in addition throwing to all levels of the body while constantly pressing forward. Though he’s often the aggressor, DeAnda’s fast hands allow him to counter effectively too. Where the California native gets into trouble is when the fight goes to the ground. He knows how to survive, but that is about it as DeAnda has yet to secure a single submission finish of his own over the course of his lengthy career.
                                                            DeAnda has spent a considerable amount of his career competition at middleweight, worrying me that he won’t be able to deal with the monstrous Spohn… provided Spohn doesn’t break mentally. DeAnda is likely to have some moments, but I fully expect Spohn – who could get away with fighting at heavyweight – to wear down his much smaller opponent. Spohn via decision

                                                            Sean O’Malley (7-0) vs. Alfred Khashkyan (8-3),
                                                            Bantamweight

                                                            At 22-years old, O’Malley is still very young in his MMA career to be getting an opportunity like this. A high-energy outside striker, he is difficult to catch as he dances around from the outside, picking apart his opponent with heavy kicks. Given his 5'11" frame, he has a far greater range on his kicks than the average bantamweight. O’Malley’s wrestling and grappling hasn’t been tested, though he has shown just enough to indicate that he isn’t a complete novice in either area.
                                                            Perhaps best known for being a teammate of Ronda Rousey – yes, that means Edmond Tarverdyan is his coach – Khashkyan employs a much more straightforward boxing game than O’Malley. Despite Edmond’s reputation as a poor coach, his strikers do throw technically sound punches with a lot of power and Khashkyan is no exception. Khashkyan needs to be the one applying pressure for his offense to work. He has yet to show more than the ability to survive on the ground and has struggled to separate when clinched up with too.
                                                            I’m not picking against Khashkyan simply because he’s a product of Edmond. I simply don’t believe he is as skilled or talented as O’Malley. That doesn’t mean Khashkyan isn’t talented as every single one of his victories have come by way of KO/TKO, an impressive feat for a smaller weight class. However, he has yet to win a fight that has gone to decision and O’Malley will be tough to catch. I see the youngster picking Khashkyan apart from the outside over the course of fifteen minutes. O’Malley via decision

                                                            Tranh Le (6-1) vs. Lazar Stojadinovic (12-5),
                                                            Featherweight

                                                            Le had a small taste of the UFC when he appeared in the 22nd edition of TUF, making it in the house only to be eliminated by Martin Svensson in his next contest. Even in his short stint, it was clear his striking is on a different level than most. The kung fu specialist throws a wide variety of vicious kicks, from spinning back kicks to round kicks. That isn’t even taking into account Le’s fast and powerful hands. What cut Le’s stint short is he doesn’t respond well to pressure and has a very limited ground game. He shows potential to be a good scrambler as he is quick to get back to his feet… provided his opponent is unable to get top position quickly.
                                                            Fighting out of ATT, Stojadinovic has put together an eight-fight win streak after opening up his career with a lowly 4-5 record. During that stretch, he’s picked up wins over Bellator alum Jordan Parsons and Mike Richman, including five finishes. A strong combination puncher, Stojadinovic’s favorite range is in the clinch where he can piece up the body and wing hard uppercuts where his professional boxing experience shines through. Though wrestling isn’t his primary background, Stojadinovic can hit the occasional change of pace takedown and is effective in scrambles.
                                                            Le’s unique striking ability makes him a tough matchup for any opponent willing to stand and trade with him. Stojadivovic’s footwork and use of angles should allow him to be one of the few on the regional scene to effectively pressure Le, piece him up and bit, and get the fight to the ground periodically. Whether he gets the finish is another question, but I think he can do it. Stojadinovic via submission of RD2

                                                            Sidney Outlaw
                                                            (8-3) vs. Michael Cora (4-1), Welterweight

                                                            A difficult contest to get a feel for given the lack of recent footage on the participants, the one thing that we do know is that the combatants will want to take the fight to completely different avenues. Cora is the greater mystery with five professional contests and only one opponent owning more than one professional contest under their belt going into their fight. Though Cora’s aggressive pursuit of the finish often proves to be entertaining, no one will know what to make of him until he faces at least one prove opponent. Nonetheless, he’s a good athlete who prefers to stay standing, possessing dynamite in his fists and a high ceiling.
                                                            Outlaw is on the opposite end of the spectrum, taking the fight to the ground at every opportunity that presents itself. He has participated in a number of grappling tournaments and fared quite well in that environment. Outlaw has also fought some tough opposition in Elijah Harshbarger and current UFC lightweight Gregor Gillespie. His striking hasn’t developed as hoped, still using it almost exclusively to set up his takedown attempts. Though his smothering style is appreciated by only a select few observers, Outlaw’s ability to find the choke shouldn’t be underestimated.
                                                            I’m not denying Cora’s talent. What I’m worried about is his lack of experience against high-level competition. He hasn’t exactly been a model of consistency when it comes to stopping takedowns either. Outlaw appears to be a bad stylistic matchup for the youngster. Either way, it’s a good contest to test each in their areas of weakness. Outlaw via submission of RD1

                                                            Cee Jay Hamilton (11-4) vs. Casey Kenney (6-0-1),
                                                            Flyweight

                                                            Hamilton rides into the contest on a six-fight win streak and a well-rounded approach. Staying on the outside and picking his spots to explode with offense is Hamilton’s modus operandi. The question is whether he will shoot for a takedown or leap at the opposition with a flying knee, one of his favorite techniques. Blessed with an abundance of athleticism, Hamilton is an underrated takedown artist with a deep bag of tricks to get the fight to the ground. Where he struggles is when his opponent looks to go to the ground as he doesn’t possess the much in terms of takedown defense.
                                                            That’s music to the ears of Kenney. A grappler first and foremost, he’s slowly made strides in his striking to at least be respectable on the feet. However, it’s his wrestling that really shines as his takedown arsenal is even deeper than that of Hamilton. Kenney’s greatest weapon sound top control – surprising as it seems impossible to maintain control in the flyweight division. Then again, his level of competition has been questionable. Kenney also has a knack for securing a neck in the midst of a scramble for a submission win.
                                                            This may be the hardest contest to predict. Kenney turned pro less than three years ago and is still improving. His recent work with Chris Cariaso has continued to sharpen his striking, though I don’t know if it will be enough for him to catch up to Hamilton’s abilities on the feet. Though Hamilton could struggle to keep Kenney from dragging him to the ground, expect him to win the standup by a sizeable margin and go home the winner. Hamilton via decision
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JIBBBY
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-10-09
                                                              • 83686

                                                              #31
                                                              Going with all the favorites except Le.. Lazar at plus money I tried instead.. Parlay in 2's..Lazar straight..

                                                              I'll gamble.. Fight Pass for viewing...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JIBBBY
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-10-09
                                                                • 83686

                                                                #32
                                                                Props are out on 5dimes...


                                                                Angel DeAnda vs Daniel Spohn - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - DWCS 2
                                                                Tue 7/18 3003 DeAnda / Spohn goes 3 round distance -130
                                                                10:00PM 3004 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -110
                                                                Tue 7/18 3005 DeAnda wins inside distance +440
                                                                10:00PM 3006 Not DeAnda inside distance -720
                                                                Tue 7/18 3007 DeAnda wins by 3 round decision +600
                                                                10:00PM 3008 Not DeAnda by 3 round decision -1200
                                                                Tue 7/18 3009 Spohn wins inside distance +168
                                                                10:00PM 3010 Not Spohn inside distance -225
                                                                Tue 7/18 3011 Spohn wins by 3 round decision +121
                                                                10:00PM 3012 Not Spohn by 3 round decision -161
                                                                Tue 7/18 3013 DeAnda / Spohn draw +6500
                                                                10:00PM 3014 Fight not a draw -16500
                                                                Alfred khashakyan vs Sean O'Malley - Bantamweight 3 rounds - DWCS 2
                                                                Tue 7/18 3103 Khashakyan / O'Malley goes 3 rd distance +175
                                                                9:30PM 3104 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -245
                                                                Tue 7/18 3105 Khashakyan wins inside distance +345
                                                                9:30PM 3106 Not Khashakyan inside distance -515
                                                                Tue 7/18 3107 Khashakyan wins by 3 round decision +565
                                                                9:30PM 3108 Not Khashakyan by 3 round decision -1095
                                                                Tue 7/18 3109 O'Malley wins inside distance +100
                                                                9:30PM 3110 Not O'Malley inside distance -140
                                                                Tue 7/18 3111 O'Malley wins by 3 round decision +211
                                                                9:30PM 3112 Not O'Malley by 3 round decision -291
                                                                Tue 7/18 3113 Khashakyan / O'Malley draw +7500
                                                                9:30PM 3114 Fight not a draw -20000
                                                                Thanh Le vs Lazar Stojadinovic - Featherweight 3 rounds - DWCS 2
                                                                Tue 7/18 3203 Le / Stojadinovic goes 3 round distance +165
                                                                9:00PM 3204 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -215
                                                                Tue 7/18 3205 Le wins inside distance +144
                                                                9:00PM 3206 Not Le inside distance -184
                                                                Tue 7/18 3207 Le wins by 3 round decision +337
                                                                9:00PM 3208 Not Le by 3 round decision -507
                                                                Tue 7/18 3209 Stojadinovic wins inside distance +255
                                                                9:00PM 3210 Not Stojadinovic inside distance -365
                                                                Tue 7/18 3211 Stojadinovic wins by 3 round decision +280
                                                                9:00PM 3212 Not Stojadinovic by 3 round decision -400
                                                                Tue 7/18 3213 Le / Stojadinovic draw +7500
                                                                9:00PM 3214 Fight not a draw -20000
                                                                Michael Cora vs Sidney Outlaw - Welterweight 3 rounds - DWCS 2
                                                                Tue 7/18 3303 Cora / Outlaw goes 3 round distance +160
                                                                8:30PM 3304 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -210
                                                                Tue 7/18 3305 Cora wins inside distance +248
                                                                8:30PM 3306 Not Cora inside distance -342
                                                                Tue 7/18 3307 Cora wins by 3 round decision +550
                                                                8:30PM 3308 Not Cora by 3 round decision -1050
                                                                Tue 7/18 3309 Outlaw wins inside distance +145
                                                                8:30PM 3310 Not Outlaw inside distance -185
                                                                Tue 7/18 3311 Outlaw wins by 3 round decision +205
                                                                8:30PM 3312 Not Outlaw by 3 round decision -285
                                                                Tue 7/18 3313 Cora / Outlaw draw +7500
                                                                8:30PM 3314 Fight not a draw -20000
                                                                Casey Kenney vs Cee Jay Hamilton - Flyweight 3 rounds - DWCS 2
                                                                Tue 7/18 3403 Kenney / Hamilton goes 3 round distance -215
                                                                8:00PM 3404 Fight won’t go 3 round distance +165
                                                                Tue 7/18 3405 Kenney wins inside distance +300
                                                                8:00PM 3406 Not Kenney inside distance -420
                                                                Tue 7/18 3407 Kenney wins by 3 round decision +165
                                                                8:00PM 3408 Not Kenney by 3 round decision -215
                                                                Tue 7/18 3409 Hamilton wins inside distance +410
                                                                8:00PM 3410 Not Hamilton inside distance -620
                                                                Tue 7/18 3411 Hamilton wins by 3 round decision +166
                                                                8:00PM 3412 Not Hamilton by 3 round decision -220
                                                                Tue 7/18 3413 Kenney / Hamilton draw +5500
                                                                8:00PM 3414 Fight not a draw -13500
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Shagdogy
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-16-10
                                                                  • 3564

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I read that write up Jibbs. Agreed with pretty much everything except the fight pick in Hamilton/Kenney. I think there's a tide shift in that one and Kenney takes it.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JIBBBY
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-10-09
                                                                    • 83686

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                                                    I read that write up Jibbs. Agreed with pretty much everything except the fight pick in Hamilton/Kenney. I think there's a tide shift in that one and Kenney takes it.
                                                                    Yep I trust the write up predictions with BloodyElbow/SBRNation.. Most of the writers usually know what they are writing about.. I don't know this writer though but the write up seems to make sense.. I played all the props for small in that write up except in the Kenney fight.. Completely tailing..

                                                                    I also agree with Kenney having a chance as I read your post #8 and took notice to it.. Thanks for sharing.. Seems like you know these fighters well.... I'll take your word for it Shag as you've proven to be a solid MMA capper in the past.. This is my only play with Kenney and I hope it lands Shagster!!!....

                                                                    $68.10 $91.90 Pending 2 Team Parlay
                                                                    Pending 7/18/17 10:00pm UFC Fighting 3002 Daniel Spohn -355* vs Angel DeAnda
                                                                    Pending 7/18/17 8:00pm UFC Fighting 3401 Casey Kenney -120* vs Cee Jay Hamilton
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 04-14-16
                                                                      • 14140

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contenders Series #2 Picks:
                                                                      Cee Jay Hamilton Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
                                                                      Sidney Outlaw Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
                                                                      Thanh Le Round 1 TKO (Punches)
                                                                      Alfred Khashakyan Round 1 KO (Punch)
                                                                      Daniel Spohn Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                                                                      Comment
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