UFC Fight Night: Mir vs. Duffee (July 15, 2015)

the xx · 07-15-15, 04:19 PM

On paper and principle, Miri is right.

You have some really solid input and analysis Jibby, I think you'd be surprised how well you would do with a more strict list of betting guidelines to follow.

Still, being accustomed to your style is equally important, if it's working then stick w it

mirinquads · 07-15-15, 04:40 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Dissagree - I play the entire card as you know...

Example on minimising risk with parlay play -

If I parlay up 2 or 3 heavy favorites on a card that I really believe will win I can risk $100 to win $100 maybe.. If I play each straight to win $100 I'm then risking maybe $1500 or more to win $300 perhaps..

You miss one of those heavy favorite straight win bets it can ruin your night and put you in the red just like that.... You miss the parlay for a $100 you can rebound easily...

I'm not into picking up change in front of a steam roller Miri

You're missing the point once again. You don't minimize any risk by putting things in parlays, you actually increase it.

But people have tried to make this clear for you before, and it hasn't really worked, so I'm going to call it a day here.

JIBBBY · 07-15-15, 04:44 PM

I got your point Miri..

I like parlay play with MMA and it has worked out for me over the years.. I'll stick with what works... Just like teasers might work out better for some in other sports.

You are right we have been over this topic many times.. Bottom line is you need to pick em first for any gambling system of play to work and have success...

nanderson1134 · 07-15-15, 04:50 PM

I have a feeling tonight is going to be a really good card.hoping for some good fight especially out of lyman.

mirinquads · 07-15-15, 04:52 PM

A viable way to look at it is to refuse to play big favorites, due to the unpredictability of the sport. That makes much more sense and is a sentiment I can agree with. But if you feel Andarde should be -500 here, you should absolutely play it at -330 or whatever it is.

BIGDAY · 07-15-15, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by mirinquads

A viable way to look at it is to refuse to play big favorites, due to the unpredictability of the sport. That makes much more sense and is a sentiment I can agree with. But if you feel Andarde should be -500 here, you should absolutely play it at -330 or whatever it is.

But it's huge rush to have money on the huge favs!!

JIBBBY · 07-15-15, 05:25 PM

Just signed on to Draftkings the other day for giggles and kicks, now talk about parlay play.. Lol.. That's all they do in a sense with that bookie...

Thru a benny down and tried all those $3, $5, $10, $20 MMA contest plays... Wondering if I just threw away $100???

Anyone have any thoughts on Draftkings? https://www.draftkings.com/contest-lobby

the xx · 07-15-15, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Just signed on to Draftkings the other day for giggles and kicks, now talk about parlay play.. Lol.. That's all they do with that bookie...

Thru a benny down and tried all those $3, $5, $10, $20 MMA contest plays... Wondering if I just threw away $100???

Anyone have any thoughts on Draftkings? https://www.draftkings.com/contest-lobby

Interesting note on 1 vs 1 matches. Almost all of the $500/$1000 contests are vs. the same person despite different usernames.

JIBBBY · 07-15-15, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by the xx

Interesting note on 1 vs 1 matches. Almost all of the $500/$1000 contests are vs. the same person despite different usernames.

I noticed that could be the case XX.. Should probably start a thread on DraftKings.. I lose that $100 I'm done with it though...

JIBBBY · 07-15-15, 05:43 PM

15 minutes away from start time gents!!!!! GL to all!!!

Rolling the dice with Craig in this first bout. See if the dogs start barking again in lead off..

This first fight should get violent in a hurry anyways..

$100.00

$235.00

Pending

7/15/15 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2101 Andrew Craig +235* <small>vs</small> Lyman Good

the xx · 07-15-15, 05:46 PM

With you here. Craig has aggression if not much else, Good can be very passive and a sheer difference in volume could be the difference

Originally posted by JIBBBY

15 minutes away from start time gents!!!!! GL to all!!!

Rolling the dice with Craig in this first bout. See if the dogs start barking again in lead off..

This first fight should get violent in a hurry anyways..

$100.00

$235.00

Pending

7/15/15 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2101 Andrew Craig +235* <small>vs</small> Lyman Good

spurginobili · 07-15-15, 06:07 PM

Need Lyman here

the xx · 07-15-15, 06:20 PM

I have no interest in seeing Andrew Craig fight again

JIBBBY · 07-15-15, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by spurginobili

Need Lyman here

Good job Spurg... Nice start...

nanderson1134 · 07-15-15, 06:27 PM

yeah baby lyman laying the beat down

spurginobili · 07-15-15, 06:31 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Good job Spurg... Nice start...

TY Sir

JIBBBY · 07-15-15, 06:44 PM

Casey winning so far thru 2.... Hope he doesn't gas out in the 3rd..

I'm on Stricklen next.. Need this to hit after that Craig loss..

Pending	2 Team Parlay
		Pending	7/15/15 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1901 Sean Strickland -360* <small>vs</small> Igor Araujo
		Pending	7/15/15 7:30pm UFC Fighting 2001 Kevin Casey -115* <small>vs</small> Ildemar Alcantara

PaperTrail07 · 07-15-15, 06:46 PM

Fire both these guys my God

mirinquads · 07-15-15, 06:47 PM

AlCANtra is Pendred level awful...

PaperTrail07 · 07-15-15, 06:47 PM

Guy is not even trying

PaperTrail07 · 07-15-15, 06:50 PM

Top 5 worst of the year

PaperTrail07 · 07-15-15, 06:51 PM

Casey is a joke

JIBBBY · 07-15-15, 06:56 PM

Both of those guys do suck.. Boring fight for the most part..

JIBBBY · 07-15-15, 07:03 PM

Strickland needs to avoid the submissions if it goes to the ground..

JIBBBY · 07-15-15, 07:17 PM

Strickland dominationg thru 2.. Don't like the way he fights with his chin up and hands down though.. Will fade him against a good boxer with good TD defense in future fights..

beermankirk · 07-15-15, 07:21 PM

SBR book still has Andrade at -280, she -450 everywhere else...

If u like play money...

Demonata · 07-15-15, 07:28 PM

lets gooooo kanehara

JIBBBY · 07-15-15, 07:30 PM

Originally posted by Demonata

lets gooooo kanehara

Yep, thinking he's too long and quick for Rani.. He's gotta keep this fight standing though.. We see?

Demonata · 07-15-15, 07:36 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Yep, thinking he's too long and quick for Rani.. He's gotta keep this fight standing though.. We see?

I totally agree.

the xx · 07-15-15, 07:39 PM

Yahya has some sneaky takedowns

spurginobili · 07-15-15, 07:40 PM

Rani's like a barnacle, can't get him off you

KalouKalou · 07-15-15, 07:44 PM

Great first round by Yahya but he looks tired

JIBBBY · 07-15-15, 07:49 PM

Rani fading.. 1-1 I got.. 3rd round takes it IMO... I like our chances in this 3rd round...

richie360 · 07-15-15, 07:50 PM

This jap is shit. Brazilian is gassed as penetrate and he can't do anything with him. Yet anyway.

GoGoGadget · 07-15-15, 07:51 PM

This fight is awful