UFC 188: Velasquez vs. Werdum (June 13, 2015)

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  • fitguy67
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-13-11
    • 5082

    #106
    My 5 pre-event plays, prices as of execution (all yesterday, except took Werdum weeks back, mid-May...would've been better if i had waited)

    *rodriguez+187

    *alvarez +150

    *pendred +137

    *werdum +400


    everything to win 1u, except werdum to win 4u

    *(perez-173 x collard -251)>>+120 (also played to win 1u)
    ________________
    overall risking 3.765u in pursuit of 8u
    Last edited by fitguy67; 06-13-15, 12:29 AM.
    Comment
    • THE_LOCKSMITH
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-25-08
      • 7237

      #107
      Originally posted by UncleChael

      I think I'll bite.
      ...
      Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 03-30-16, 03:52 PM. Reason: image does not exist
      Comment
      • JAKEPEAVY21
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 03-11-11
        • 29235

        #108
        I have a feeling that Werdum can win tonight...he is always undervalued and Cain coming off a long layoff.
        Comment
        • GR33D
          SBR Sharp
          • 02-25-14
          • 481

          #109
          layed $3k on cain itd. at 1.72. its now at 1.53, fark no value left now
          Comment
          • JIBBBY
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-10-09
            • 83693

            #110
            Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
            I have a feeling that Werdum can win tonight...he is always undervalued and Cain coming off a long layoff.
            I'd be shocked if Werdum won.. I do think it's gonna be an early well placed shot to the chin that stops Cain as he's coming in if it is to happen.. Like an up knee that landed on Mark Hunt or something.. I think Werdum gets overwhelmed and steam rolled in this fight myself..
            Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 03-30-16, 03:51 PM. Reason: image does not exist
            Comment
            • JAKEPEAVY21
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-11-11
              • 29235

              #111
              Originally posted by JIBBBY
              I'd be shocked if Werdum won.. I do think it's gonna be an early well placed shot to the chin that stops Cain as he's coming in if it is to happen.. Like a knee that landed on Mark Hunt or something.. I think Werdum gets overwhelmed and steam rolled in this fight myself..
              Werdum's stand up has improved leaps and bounds the last few years going from a weakness to a strength..also watch out for the devastating knees...I hope the Mexican gets beat down in Mexico City
              Comment
              • JIBBBY
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-10-09
                • 83693

                #112
                Originally posted by GR33D
                layed $3k on cain itd. at 1.72. its now at 1.53, fark no value left now
                I also got a pretty penny riding on "fight won't go the distance" and -

                Pending6/13/15 11:59pm Props Fighting 1041 Velasquez wins by TKO/KO -110* <small>vs</small> Any other result
                Comment
                • TTA_President
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-14-10
                  • 1434

                  #113
                  I went to school with Patrick williams the undercard. I am biased so not sure how to play it.
                  Comment
                  • brooks85
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-05-09
                    • 44709

                    #114
                    you're biased because you went to school with him? I don't get what you'd be bias about.

                    I'd throw him under the bus if I thought he was going to lose, who cares if you were school buddies.
                    Comment
                    • LtDarsh
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-14-13
                      • 1440

                      #115
                      Jibby are we going to stack that chedder tonight
                      Comment
                      • JAKEPEAVY21
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 03-11-11
                        • 29235

                        #116
                        I have to work this afternoon, hoping I get off in time for the main card. GL to all on your wagers
                        Comment
                        • Thor4140
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-09-08
                          • 22296

                          #117
                          Well here is my opinion for what its worth. I can't bet on Cain with these prices cause the value diff is there with Werdum (at these prices) Werdum can win many ways but Cain is relentless. If the odds were even i would have no problem taking Cain. I don't bet value so no way i take Werdum so i pass. Melendez Eddie i have to go Melendez because Eddie just seems to have holes in his striking game. If he would just slow it down a little but he goes balls out and i think Melendez is a little more technical for Eddie. People forget Eddie had Cerrone hurt early and if he finishes everyone would be on Eddie. Should be a great fight if it gets out of the first round. I have to pass on this one to. This has all the makings of a split decision. If i had to bet a parlay that looks like money it would be Cain and Cejudo. No way Cejudo is gonna lose but betting him at these odds are insane.
                          Comment
                          • GoBlue77
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-20-11
                            • 9166

                            #118
                            Gastelum looked fat. Really want to take a stab on Marquardt but he's such a washed up bum
                            Comment
                            • JIBBBY
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-10-09
                              • 83693

                              #119
                              Originally posted by LtDarsh
                              Jibby are we going to stack that chedder tonight
                              If it's a repeat like the last UFC event the cheddar will be flowing Hopefully the wins come one after another pal...
                              Comment
                              • JIBBBY
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-10-09
                                • 83693

                                #120
                                Going with the favorites on this card mostly which isn't a secret... Was trying to get away from the parlay plays and work the single prop bets for better value instead when betting on the heavy favorites.. That's not happening though as I'm gonna start off with this little 2 team piggy... $150 to win a $100

                                Pending 2 Team Parlay
                                Pending 6/13/15 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1802 Johnny Case -485* <small>vs</small> Frank Trevino
                                Pending 6/13/15 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2002 Clay Collard -265* <small>vs</small> Gabriel Benitez

                                Also going with the OVER in the second fight... 160 to win 100

                                Pending6/13/15 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1901 Augusto Montano/Cathal Pendred Over 1½ -160*


                                Let's see how these first 3 fights go to start it all off????? Those are my early plays anyways...
                                Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-13-15, 01:18 PM.
                                Comment
                                • shabang
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-23-13
                                  • 1814

                                  #121
                                  on cain tonight. Don't really see how werdum wins this unless he gets lucky...also on torres big
                                  Comment
                                  • GoBlue77
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-20-11
                                    • 9166

                                    #122
                                    1 unit on nate the great "just for fun"
                                    Last edited by GoBlue77; 06-13-15, 02:11 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • mirinquads
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-22-13
                                      • 3927

                                      #123
                                      Perez, Rosa and Pendred unless he get's his ass KO'ed
                                      Comment
                                      • UncleChael
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-30-13
                                        • 3979

                                        #124
                                        Angela Hill kick boxes like a man.
                                        Comment
                                        • JIBBBY
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-10-09
                                          • 83693

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by UncleChael
                                          Angela Hill kick boxes like a man.
                                          Yeah but she may end up on her back like a woman this entire fight defending the ground and pound and submission attempts....

                                          I got Torres by decision myself...
                                          1411 Torres wins by 3 round decision <input id="editx" name="M1_102" size="4"> -104
                                          Comment
                                          • UncleChael
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-30-13
                                            • 3979

                                            #126
                                            KEEP it on the feet Miss Hill 1st black Womens strawweight champion!
                                            Comment
                                            • fitguy67
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-13-11
                                              • 5082

                                              #127
                                              Originally posted by UncleChael
                                              Angela Hill kick boxes like a man.
                                              chael...anything even near the level of JJ...the only woman in UFC i know of with real baseball-bat striking...with a little more MMA seasoning (and meat on the bone), that pasty-faced "olive oly" look-alike could be super-fight material against ole' pouty-face...thing about JJ is that she actually hits as hard as many (most would be an exaggeration) current UFC male FlyWs...perfect form, like some skinny guy you know that can hit a golf ball a mile...it's a gift...can't be learned or trained

                                              how'd you compare Hill's anything with JJ's (obviously an unfair comparison as JJ is SIX-time MuayThai WC...)...

                                              i made good coin believing Jens Pulver's hype about her when he was calling some her pre-UFC stuff...knew Esparza and Joe-UFC-fan was gonna get surprised by a woman who REALLY hits like a man her size or bigger...

                                              you saying Hill kick boxes "like a man" has got me interested in checking out her vids to see if she's got any "shock value" power betting-wise like JJ had before Esparza tilt...the kinda' stuff that won't show up in WL records but you can see it in footage
                                              Last edited by fitguy67; 06-13-15, 03:54 PM.
                                              Comment
                                              • UncleChael
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-30-13
                                                • 3979

                                                #128
                                                We will see tonight! JJ is good don't get me wrong.. but I thought she lost to Claudia then ended up steam rolling Carla no Hands Esparza.
                                                Comment
                                                • UncleChael
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-30-13
                                                  • 3979

                                                  #129
                                                  Angela Hill doesn't talk, doesn't need backers, but I'll back her. Talk with those fists, baby girl!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • UncleChael
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-30-13
                                                    • 3979

                                                    #130
                                                    If I was Cain I would beat the hell outta of him for 5 rounds to show how much I miss fighting or I would finish him in the 1st to show everyone who the real Champion is. Just my thoughts. Regardless Cain wins!
                                                    CAIN IS GONNA SMASH HIM!
                                                    Last edited by UncleChael; 06-13-15, 04:04 PM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                      • 83693

                                                      #131
                                                      $3 lotto parlay play... For the O/U's....

                                                      $3.00 $971.74 Pending 12 Team Parlay
                                                      Pending 6/13/15 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1001 Fabricio Werdum/Cain Velasquez Under 2½ +105*
                                                      Pending 6/13/15 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1102 Gilbert Melendez -175* <small>vs</small> Eddie Alvarez
                                                      Pending 6/13/15 11:00pm UFC Fighting 1201 Kelvin Gastelum -500* <small>vs</small> Nate Marquardt
                                                      Pending 6/13/15 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1301 Yair Rodriguez/Charles Rosa Under 2½ +115*
                                                      Pending 6/13/15 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1402 Tecia Torres -300* <small>vs</small> Angela Hill
                                                      Pending 6/13/15 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1501 Chico Camus/Henry Cejudo Over 2½ -230*
                                                      Pending 6/13/15 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1601 Efrain Escudero/Drew Dober Over 2½ -245*
                                                      Pending 6/13/15 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1702 Alejandro Perez -170* <small>vs</small> Patrick Williams
                                                      Pending 6/13/15 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1801 Frank Trevino/Johnny Case Under 2½ +110*
                                                      Pending 6/13/15 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1901 Augusto Montano/Cathal Pendred Over 1½ -145*
                                                      Pending 6/13/15 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2002 Clay Collard -265* <small>vs</small> Gabriel Benitez
                                                      Cancelled 6/13/15 6:30pm UFC Fighting 2101 Andrew Todhunter/Albert Tumenov Under 1½ -115*
                                                      My $5 straight pick parlay special is top secret information... All favorites except for Pendred.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • nanderson1134
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 08-07-11
                                                        • 554

                                                        #132
                                                        Go time!!!!!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Giants007
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 06-03-15
                                                          • 801

                                                          #133
                                                          El Nino down to -145 now
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JIBBBY
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-10-09
                                                            • 83693

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by Giants007
                                                            El Nino down to -145 now
                                                            Saw that, thinking of hitting it again actually.. It goes down to -140 I will...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • fitguy67
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-13-11
                                                              • 5082

                                                              #135
                                                              i agree on Gadelha being the grapple-beast equiv to JJ's striking-beast...clearly the two best 115'rs...

                                                              rematch an inevitability...and if JJ's TDD hasn't improved, Claudia likely to get the nod she probably deserved that night
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Killer_Demo
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 06-15-08
                                                                • 8409

                                                                #136
                                                                Ready for the fights, let$ get it Gil Melendez
                                                                Comment
                                                                • fitguy67
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-13-11
                                                                  • 5082

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by fitguy67
                                                                  My 5 pre-event plays, prices as of execution (all yesterday, except took Werdum weeks back, mid-May...would've been better if i had waited)

                                                                  *rodriguez+187

                                                                  *alvarez +150

                                                                  *pendred +137

                                                                  *werdum +400


                                                                  everything to win 1u, except werdum to win 4u

                                                                  *(perez-173 x collard -251)>>+120 (also played to win 1u)
                                                                  ________________
                                                                  overall risking 3.765u in pursuit of 8u
                                                                  just added

                                                                  Hill +240 (SIA, also here at betpoints-book) to win a unit: risking 0.417u to win 1u
                                                                  _______________
                                                                  overall: 6 wagers risking 4.182u in pursuit of 9u
                                                                  Last edited by fitguy67; 06-13-15, 05:46 PM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JIBBBY
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-10-09
                                                                    • 83693

                                                                    #138
                                                                    OK it's start time!!!! Let's get this fellas!!!

                                                                    Mr Clay Collard serve up a win to get things rolling and off to a good start...
                                                                    Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 03-30-16, 03:51 PM. Reason: image does not exist
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Karmaphobia
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 06-24-14
                                                                      • 115

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Olé
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • fitguy67
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 03-13-11
                                                                        • 5082

                                                                        #140
                                                                        I'm on collard, but benitez def won round 1...
                                                                        Comment
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