UFC on Fox 6 - Johnson vs. Dodson

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  • The Fobfather
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-25-12
    • 156

    #1
    UFC on Fox 6 - Johnson vs. Dodson
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    Really liking this card. Think it'll be really entertaining and hopefully profitable.

    My plays so far.

    Moderate on Lamas
    Moderate on Petis.

    Anxious to see what the other fights open at.
  • Broxbomber
    SBR High Roller
    • 10-09-12
    • 132

    #2
    I can't wait for the Pettis vs Cerrone match up. All action stand up war. Both are some of my favorite fights as they always bring it. I would take the bet for this fight to go the distance. Skill level is so close between them.
    Comment
    • GunShard
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-05-10
      • 10031

      #3
      Glover should be able to win his fight.
      Comment
      • Sacrelicious
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-29-12
        • 5984

        #4
        Glover will annihilate Rampage.

        I've got quite a bit on him.
        Comment
        • Mercersux
          SBR MVP
          • 05-03-12
          • 1521

          #5
          Originally posted by Sacrelicious
          Glover will annihilate Rampage.

          I've got quite a bit on him.
          For your sake of having so much on Glover, I hope Rampage comes in terrible shape so I avoid laying anything on him. If he comes in looking like he has taken this fight seriously, you may be in some serious trouble. Just an opinion but I just don't see anything outside of things on Rampage's side that could make Glover such a lock. At the worst this fight is a serious tossup.
          Comment
          • The Fobfather
            SBR High Roller
            • 01-25-12
            • 156

            #6
            Originally posted by Mercersux
            For your sake of having so much on Glover, I hope Rampage comes in terrible shape so I avoid laying anything on him. If he comes in looking like he has taken this fight seriously, you may be in some serious trouble. Just an opinion but I just don't see anything outside of things on Rampage's side that could make Glover such a lock. At the worst this fight is a serious tossup.
            I'm hesitant to lay the juice on Glover. I'm a big fan but worried he might be sucked into a stand up war with Rampage.
            Comment
            • Bradbatross
              SBR High Roller
              • 06-27-12
              • 201

              #7
              Come on now, anyone who thinks Rampage stands a chance against Glover should go re-watch some recent Rampage fights. He's not going to magically turn everything around and become a serious fighter again. I certainly hope the fight stays standing, if it does Rampage is getting knocked out.
              Comment
              • gabe
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-12-11
                • 7405

                #8
                Originally posted by The Fobfather
                I'm hesitant to lay the juice on Glover. I'm a big fan but worried he might be sucked into a stand up war with Rampage.
                He will annihilate Rampage in a stand up war.
                Comment
                • ShotgunRua
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-12-12
                  • 376

                  #9
                  My pick is Glover, but not at -250. No play.
                  Comment
                  • v1y
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-02-11
                    • 1138

                    #10
                    lamas? the guy who got KO'ed by alcantara who is facing an even better striker in koch?
                    Comment
                    • omalley21
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 908

                      #11
                      If Rampage takes this remotely serious he could KO glover. Glover drops his hands too much. Rampage has looked bad lately, but nobody has been trading punches with him... Glover will be the first person to exchange in the pocket with Rampage in a while. KO power is the last thing to go on an old fighter.
                      Comment
                      • Bradbatross
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 06-27-12
                        • 201

                        #12
                        You guys should go watch Glover vs Moldonado again.
                        Comment
                        • The Fobfather
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 01-25-12
                          • 156

                          #13
                          Originally posted by v1y
                          lamas? the guy who got KO'ed by alcantara who is facing an even better striker in koch?
                          That is a worry. I think its a bad matchup for Koch however. He hasn't been in the octagon since Sept '11 and his last fight against Brookins wasn't impressive to say the least. I can see Lamas doing what Brookins did in controlling that first round against the fence.
                          Comment
                          • omalley21
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-08-10
                            • 908

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Bradbatross
                            You guys should go watch Glover vs Moldonado again.
                            I remember Maldonado clipping him with a left hook when glover dropped his hands. I also remember Glover not being smart enough to go for a submission on a boxer. I had glover by sub and doesn't complete 2 rounds. penetrate glover.
                            Comment
                            • Rubber Guard
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-22-11
                              • 1550

                              #15
                              I find it odd that people keep bringing up the one punch Maldonado landed...as if he exposes Glover's whole game or something...
                              Comment
                              • omalley21
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 908

                                #16
                                It could only take one punch... I noticed Glover dropped his hands A LOT even before the maldonado fight. Also that his cardio is suspect. He should beat Rampage but I certainly wouldn't bet on it.
                                Comment
                                • Bradbatross
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 06-27-12
                                  • 201

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by omalley21
                                  I remember Maldonado clipping him with a left hook when glover dropped his hands. I also remember Glover not being smart enough to go for a submission on a boxer. I had glover by sub and doesn't complete 2 rounds. penetrate glover.
                                  Moldonado clipped him after Glover landed around 70 significant punches in less than 5 mins and started to get a little cocky. Rampage wouldnt be able to take a quarter of the abuse that Moldonado took. Glover did go for the submission and almost had it but Moldonado just has to much heart. The only reason that fight went past the first round is because of Moldonado's great chin and his heart.
                                  Comment
                                  • bjpenn85
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-17-11
                                    • 5059

                                    #18
                                    word
                                    Comment
                                    • Spencer19
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 12-24-12
                                      • 23

                                      #19
                                      Glover is good value.
                                      Comment
                                      • Judgejoebrwn
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 03-22-12
                                        • 471

                                        #20
                                        I like Dodson as that large of an underdog. I think he's just as quick at DJ, but much stronger.
                                        Comment
                                        • Crassus
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-08-12
                                          • 1538

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Bradbatross
                                          Moldonado clipped him after Glover landed around 70 significant punches in less than 5 mins and started to get a little cocky. Rampage wouldnt be able to take a quarter of the abuse that Moldonado took. Glover did go for the submission and almost had it but Moldonado just has to much heart. The only reason that fight went past the first round is because of Moldonado's great chin and his heart.
                                          Rampage wouldn't take that sort of damage because he has some sort of striking defense. He also has a comparable chin to Maldonado, hasn't been rocked since the Shad fight.
                                          Comment
                                          • The Fobfather
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 01-25-12
                                            • 156

                                            #22
                                            I don't like Glover at the current odds. I know Rampage has looked horrible in his last few fights. But none of his opponents in the last few fights have went toe to toe. Bader, Jones, Hamil, Machida.
                                            Comment
                                            • Bradbatross
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 06-27-12
                                              • 201

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Crassus
                                              Rampage wouldn't take that sort of damage because he has some sort of striking defense. He also has a comparable chin to Maldonado, hasn't been rocked since the Shad fight.
                                              Moldonado has a great chin and good heart but it only took two punches to put him on his ass. Glover has serious power, it doesn't matter what kind of defense Rampage has, the shots are getting through. I'm guessing that rampage is going to block a couple shots and then Glover will sneak a nice upper cut in and end the fight.
                                              Comment
                                              • brokenbrain
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 05-13-12
                                                • 138

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Judgejoebrwn
                                                I like Dodson as that large of an underdog. I think he's just as quick at DJ, but much stronger.
                                                Agreed. I think there's value here. I see it closer to a 'pick em' fight. 2 fast, tiny dudes flying around for 25 minutes - my money's on the dog by Decision.
                                                Comment
                                                • tbird509
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-05-09
                                                  • 761

                                                  #25
                                                  the play here is pettis,cerone has zero standup power and wont connect any head kicks,this a dime play for me,goodluck if your betting against me
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Educ8d Degener8
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-12-10
                                                    • 3177

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by tbird509
                                                    the play here is pettis,cerone has zero standup power and wont connect any head kicks,this a dime play for me,goodluck if your betting against me
                                                    Comment
                                                    • tbird509
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-05-09
                                                      • 761

                                                      #27
                                                      pettis would never allow himself to be in the position to be kicked in the face,cerrone did land a nice kick but definetly has zero power from his hands...i like this play alot
                                                      Comment
                                                      • v1y
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-02-11
                                                        • 1138

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by tbird509
                                                        pettis would never allow himself to be in the position to be kicked in the face,cerrone did land a nice kick but definetly has zero power from his hands...i like this play alot
                                                        I don't know... Cerrone's hands looked really sharp against Stephens. Arguably sharper than Pettis' have ever looked...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Crassus
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-08-12
                                                          • 1538

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Bradbatross
                                                          Moldonado has a great chin and good heart but it only took two punches to put him on his ass. Glover has serious power, it doesn't matter what kind of defense Rampage has, the shots are getting through. I'm guessing that rampage is going to block a couple shots and then Glover will sneak a nice upper cut in and end the fight.
                                                          You really think Glover is going to be the third man in history to finish Rampage? Really? Rampage has been out cold once, even after the annihilation by Shogun he was still conscious. Cmon now.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Sacrelicious
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-29-12
                                                            • 5984

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Crassus
                                                            You really think Glover is going to be the third man in history to finish Rampage? Really? Rampage has been out cold once, even after the annihilation by Shogun he was still conscious. Cmon now.
                                                            Glover is a mad finisher.

                                                            That being said, finishing rampage is a tossup.

                                                            Pick Glover to win, the KO prop is a total gamble.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KushMoney
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 07-11-11
                                                              • 658

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Sacrelicious
                                                              Glover is a mad finisher.

                                                              That being said, finishing rampage is a tossup.

                                                              Pick Glover to win, the KO prop is a total gamble.
                                                              Fight ends only a couple ways

                                                              Rampage "Haha I still got it" Jackson by KO/TKO
                                                              Glover "See I'm as good as Jon Jones and avoided his powershots" Teixeira by SUB
                                                              or
                                                              Glover "Shit, I almost had that negro finished but still dominated that fight" Teixeira


                                                              You're welcome.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Sacrelicious
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 11-29-12
                                                                • 5984

                                                                #32
                                                                Largely agreed. The KO/TKO by Glover is still a possibility, however this is not a fight I'd prop bet on.

                                                                Take Glover as a solid winner, I'm on him so heavy its almost ridiculous. Do not prop bet this fight.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Bradbatross
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 06-27-12
                                                                  • 201

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Crassus
                                                                  You really think Glover is going to be the third man in history to finish Rampage? Really? Rampage has been out cold once, even after the annihilation by Shogun he was still conscious. Cmon now.
                                                                  Well Glover is one of the hardest hitters he's fought so yea, I wouldn't be surprised if he dropped him with a clean strike. It probs wouldn't be a one punch KO but he could drop him and then finish him with strikes or a submission.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Mercersux
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-03-12
                                                                    • 1521

                                                                    #34


                                                                    Peeps better start pounding the Pettis line for this vid starts getting out more...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MD
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-31-12
                                                                      • 9728

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Reading people post about Glover vs Rampage makes me realize how little people actually understand the striking game.
                                                                      Comment
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