UFC on Fox 6 - Johnson vs. Dodson

[The Fobfather]

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Really liking this card. Think it'll be really entertaining and hopefully profitable.

My plays so far.

Moderate on Lamas
Moderate on Petis.

Anxious to see what the other fights open at.

[Broxbomber]

I can't wait for the Pettis vs Cerrone match up. All action stand up war. Both are some of my favorite fights as they always bring it. I would take the bet for this fight to go the distance. Skill level is so close between them.

[GunShard]

Glover should be able to win his fight.

[Sacrelicious]

Glover will annihilate Rampage.

I've got quite a bit on him.

[Mercersux]

Glover will annihilate Rampage.

I've got quite a bit on him.

For your sake of having so much on Glover, I hope Rampage comes in terrible shape so I avoid laying anything on him. If he comes in looking like he has taken this fight seriously, you may be in some serious trouble. Just an opinion but I just don't see anything outside of things on Rampage's side that could make Glover such a lock. At the worst this fight is a serious tossup.

[The Fobfather]

For your sake of having so much on Glover, I hope Rampage comes in terrible shape so I avoid laying anything on him. If he comes in looking like he has taken this fight seriously, you may be in some serious trouble. Just an opinion but I just don't see anything outside of things on Rampage's side that could make Glover such a lock. At the worst this fight is a serious tossup.

I'm hesitant to lay the juice on Glover. I'm a big fan but worried he might be sucked into a stand up war with Rampage.

[Bradbatross]

Come on now, anyone who thinks Rampage stands a chance against Glover should go re-watch some recent Rampage fights. He's not going to magically turn everything around and become a serious fighter again. I certainly hope the fight stays standing, if it does Rampage is getting knocked out.

[gabe]

I'm hesitant to lay the juice on Glover. I'm a big fan but worried he might be sucked into a stand up war with Rampage.

He will annihilate Rampage in a stand up war.

[ShotgunRua]

My pick is Glover, but not at -250. No play.

[v1y]

lamas? the guy who got KO'ed by alcantara who is facing an even better striker in koch?

[omalley21]

If Rampage takes this remotely serious he could KO glover. Glover drops his hands too much. Rampage has looked bad lately, but nobody has been trading punches with him... Glover will be the first person to exchange in the pocket with Rampage in a while. KO power is the last thing to go on an old fighter.

[Bradbatross]

You guys should go watch Glover vs Moldonado again.

[The Fobfather]

lamas? the guy who got KO'ed by alcantara who is facing an even better striker in koch?

That is a worry. I think its a bad matchup for Koch however. He hasn't been in the octagon since Sept '11 and his last fight against Brookins wasn't impressive to say the least. I can see Lamas doing what Brookins did in controlling that first round against the fence.

[omalley21]

You guys should go watch Glover vs Moldonado again.

I remember Maldonado clipping him with a left hook when glover dropped his hands. I also remember Glover not being smart enough to go for a submission on a boxer. I had glover by sub and doesn't complete 2 rounds. penetrate glover.

[Rubber Guard]

I find it odd that people keep bringing up the one punch Maldonado landed...as if he exposes Glover's whole game or something...

[omalley21]

It could only take one punch... I noticed Glover dropped his hands A LOT even before the maldonado fight. Also that his cardio is suspect. He should beat Rampage but I certainly wouldn't bet on it.

[Bradbatross]

I remember Maldonado clipping him with a left hook when glover dropped his hands. I also remember Glover not being smart enough to go for a submission on a boxer. I had glover by sub and doesn't complete 2 rounds. penetrate glover.

Moldonado clipped him after Glover landed around 70 significant punches in less than 5 mins and started to get a little cocky. Rampage wouldnt be able to take a quarter of the abuse that Moldonado took. Glover did go for the submission and almost had it but Moldonado just has to much heart. The only reason that fight went past the first round is because of Moldonado's great chin and his heart.

[bjpenn85]

word

[Spencer19]

Glover is good value.

[Judgejoebrwn]

I like Dodson as that large of an underdog. I think he's just as quick at DJ, but much stronger.

[Crassus]

Moldonado clipped him after Glover landed around 70 significant punches in less than 5 mins and started to get a little cocky. Rampage wouldnt be able to take a quarter of the abuse that Moldonado took. Glover did go for the submission and almost had it but Moldonado just has to much heart. The only reason that fight went past the first round is because of Moldonado's great chin and his heart.

Rampage wouldn't take that sort of damage because he has some sort of striking defense. He also has a comparable chin to Maldonado, hasn't been rocked since the Shad fight.

[The Fobfather]

I don't like Glover at the current odds. I know Rampage has looked horrible in his last few fights. But none of his opponents in the last few fights have went toe to toe. Bader, Jones, Hamil, Machida.

[Bradbatross]

Rampage wouldn't take that sort of damage because he has some sort of striking defense. He also has a comparable chin to Maldonado, hasn't been rocked since the Shad fight.

Moldonado has a great chin and good heart but it only took two punches to put him on his ass. Glover has serious power, it doesn't matter what kind of defense Rampage has, the shots are getting through. I'm guessing that rampage is going to block a couple shots and then Glover will sneak a nice upper cut in and end the fight.

[brokenbrain]

I like Dodson as that large of an underdog. I think he's just as quick at DJ, but much stronger.

Agreed. I think there's value here. I see it closer to a 'pick em' fight. 2 fast, tiny dudes flying around for 25 minutes - my money's on the dog by Decision.

[tbird509]

the play here is pettis,cerone has zero standup power and wont connect any head kicks,this a dime play for me,goodluck if your betting against me

[Educ8d Degener8]

the play here is pettis,cerone has zero standup power and wont connect any head kicks,this a dime play for me,goodluck if your betting against me

[tbird509]

pettis would never allow himself to be in the position to be kicked in the face,cerrone did land a nice kick but definetly has zero power from his hands...i like this play alot

[v1y]

pettis would never allow himself to be in the position to be kicked in the face,cerrone did land a nice kick but definetly has zero power from his hands...i like this play alot

I don't know... Cerrone's hands looked really sharp against Stephens. Arguably sharper than Pettis' have ever looked...

[Crassus]

Moldonado has a great chin and good heart but it only took two punches to put him on his ass. Glover has serious power, it doesn't matter what kind of defense Rampage has, the shots are getting through. I'm guessing that rampage is going to block a couple shots and then Glover will sneak a nice upper cut in and end the fight.

You really think Glover is going to be the third man in history to finish Rampage? Really? Rampage has been out cold once, even after the annihilation by Shogun he was still conscious. Cmon now.

[Sacrelicious]

You really think Glover is going to be the third man in history to finish Rampage? Really? Rampage has been out cold once, even after the annihilation by Shogun he was still conscious. Cmon now.

Glover is a mad finisher.

That being said, finishing rampage is a tossup.

Pick Glover to win, the KO prop is a total gamble.

[KushMoney]

Glover is a mad finisher.

That being said, finishing rampage is a tossup.

Pick Glover to win, the KO prop is a total gamble.

Fight ends only a couple ways

Rampage "Haha I still got it" Jackson by KO/TKO
Glover "See I'm as good as Jon Jones and avoided his powershots" Teixeira by SUB
or
Glover "Shit, I almost had that negro finished but still dominated that fight" Teixeira


You're welcome.

[Sacrelicious]

Largely agreed. The KO/TKO by Glover is still a possibility, however this is not a fight I'd prop bet on.

Take Glover as a solid winner, I'm on him so heavy its almost ridiculous. Do not prop bet this fight.

[Bradbatross]

You really think Glover is going to be the third man in history to finish Rampage? Really? Rampage has been out cold once, even after the annihilation by Shogun he was still conscious. Cmon now.

Well Glover is one of the hardest hitters he's fought so yea, I wouldn't be surprised if he dropped him with a clean strike. It probs wouldn't be a one punch KO but he could drop him and then finish him with strikes or a submission.

[Mercersux]

Peeps better start pounding the Pettis line for this vid starts getting out more...

[MD]

Reading people post about Glover vs Rampage makes me realize how little people actually understand the striking game.