2012 MLB Plays-Pitching Knowledge+Price+Discipline=$$$$$

[jbart28]

BOOM! Good work! I am glad i jumped on this thread early! Thanks for sharing

Thanks- and thanks for the points! I spend a lot of time capping in the wee hours of the morning. I have certain tabs on my laptop that just never get closed. ever.

I might miss adding the late game last minute plays in time for people, but I will have the majority of the card up in plenty of time.

For people that tail, play the whole card and be strict on the unit size if you wanna see long term results. I am building my roll on 5D and only deposited once. I will remain very disciplined on bet sizing even though I sometimes wanna bet 20-25 units on a game. Bankroll management is so important. Baseball season is 6 months long and with so many plays it isn't worth subjecting myself to crazy swings when I know I can cap games, use the reduced juice, and make money long term. The variance involved with huge unit plays on single games just isn't worth it imo.

[Maddhatter]

Keep punching in those winners bud. Tomorrow's card is small so gotta get to work finding those hidden gems and those "not so hidden" gems and hopefully take advantage of them. Definitely a thread I enjoy keeping tabs on and comparing my own picks to. Good job jbart!

[jbart28]

Keep punching in those winners bud. Tomorrow's card is small so gotta get to work finding those hidden gems and those "not so hidden" gems and hopefully take advantage of them. Definitely a thread I enjoy keeping tabs on and comparing my own picks to. Good job jbart!

You and I need to keep crushing! Thursday is not very appealing like you said. Let's see if we can find some value and turn a profit. GL

[jbart28]

Thursday 04/26 Leans

Cleveland OVER 8.5 -115
Red Sox first 5
Red Sox UNDER first 5
Toronto -112
Marlins 1st 5 innings

pretty meh card tomorrow

I might not lock anything in tonight. I am not seeing much.

[jbart28]

04/26 Thursday

Marlins -105 first 5 3U WIN
RED Sox UNDER 4 first 5 +100 3U
Red Sox UNDER 8 -105 3U

[jbart28]

Gonna play the late games

[jbart28]

Padres first 5 -103 3U

That is it for tonight.

[jbart28]

[QUOTE=jbart28;14568596]04/26 Thursday

Marlins -105 first 5 3U WIN +3U
RED Sox UNDER 4 first 5 +100 3U LOSS -3U
Red Sox UNDER 8 -105 3U LOSS -3UQUOTE]


Padres first 5 -103 3U CANCELLED

1-2 -3U

YTD 51-37 +89.86 U

Friday 04/27 is gonna be a MONSTER DAY. Stay tuned!

[blackeyeshamus]

right behind you, jbart!
ready for an awesome friday!
best of luck, sir!

[RyDogg]

Keep up the good work, looking forward to it

[jbart28]

Friday is SICK! I have 22 Leans. I just went through the whole card for the last 4 hours.

For anyone tailing please make sure you tail the WHOLE card. DO NOT CHERRY PICK I PROMISE YOU WILL GET BURIED IF YOU DO> I just capped my ass off and I prioritized the plays according to my statistical perception and intangibles EV.

I am so sick I have the phone numbers for the hotlines for roof statuses on all the dome games

I am still working but I will have the card up in the next hour.

EDIT. This will be the biggest sweat of the season. If you like action, you need to get a fresh can of Kodiak or a bag of seeds and some gatorade to go with you
MLB Package scattered on as many devices you have to your name. ha

[jbart28]

Friday 04/27 Card 120 UNITS IN PLAY- Not for the faint of heart

Waiting till closer to game for these plays to hit my book so I can play them:

Angels 1st 5 8U
Nats UNDER 1st 5 3U
Red Sox First 5 10U
Rockies first 5 5U *******Changed this play to New York Mets/Colorado Rockies 1st 5 Innings Under 5 -110******

Philadelphia Phillies -1½ -115 5U
Houston Astros/Cincinnati Reds Over 8 +102 5U
Pittsburgh Pirates +1½ -136 3U
Pittsburgh Pirates/Atlanta Braves Under 7 -101 3U
Washington Nationals +1½ -125 5U
Washington Nationals +188 2U
Washington Nationals/Los Angeles Dodgers Under 6 -113 5U
New York Yankees +1½ -143 10U
New York Yankees +122 5U
Seattle Mariners +1½ -115 8U
Seattle Mariners +195 3U
Seattle Mariners/Toronto Blue Jays Under 8 -107 3U
Baltimore Orioles -127 15U !! don't be scared
Texas Rangers -135 10U
Boston Red Sox -108 3U
Kansas City Royals +120 3U
Kansas City Royals/Minnesota Twins Under 8½ -110 3U


And here is a parlay for you if you want:
Los Angeles Angels -139
Baltimore Orioles -127
Texas Rangers -136 3UNITS

good night and good luck!!!!!!!!!!!! Play the whole card or nothing at all. OR- don't complain if you cherry pick

[jbart28]

I may be adding some team total stuff and a couple other plays. Stay tuned, I will have them up by 6:30.

GL

[blackeyeshamus]

Best of luck, sir!

[jbart28]

CraZY 7 team parlay for 1 unit= 5 bucks

907 Pittsburgh Pirates/Atlanta Braves Under 7 -115* (A Burnett - R must Start T Hanson - R must Start)
				Pending	4/27/12 8:40pm MLB Baseball 912 Colorado Rockies -156* vs New York Mets (C Schwinden - R must Start D Pomeranz - L must Start)
				Pending	4/27/12 10:10pm MLB Baseball 913 Washington Nationals/Los Angeles Dodgers Under 6½ -139* (R Detwiler - L must Start C Kershaw - L must Start)
				Pending	4/27/12 10:15pm MLB Baseball 915 San Diego Padres -114* vs San Francisco Giants (C Luebke - L must Start E Hacker - R must Start)
				Pending	4/27/12 10:15pm MLB Baseball 915 San Diego Padres/San Francisco Giants Under 7½ -160* (C Luebke - L must Start E Hacker - R must Start)
				Pending	4/27/12 8:10pm MLB Baseball 929 Kansas City Royals Over 4 +100* vs Minnesota Twins (E Teaford - L must Start C Pavano - R must Start)
				Pending	4/27/12 8:10pm MLB Baseball 927 Boston Red Sox 1st 5 Innings -115* vs Chicago White Sox (D Bard - R must Start J Danks - L must

[Maddhatter]

Got a lot of similar games on the board tonight bud. Good luck on your card and hopefully we both end up in the green! Phillies bats need to wake the F up!

[jbart28]

go fuk yourself daniel bard wtf are you thinking throwing a get me over 3-0 fastball to konerko. you stupid thrower. you are not a pitcher.

[jbart28]

I had the cubs and I changed it at the last minute. FML tonight is all fuked up. Mariners are gonna fuk me too

[jbart28]

Mariners!

[jbart28]

Friday 04/27 Card 120 UNITS IN PLAY- Not for the faint of heart

Waiting till closer to game for these plays to hit my book so I can play them:

Angels 1st 5 8U WON +8
Nats UNDER 1st 5 3U CANCELLED
Red Sox First 5 10U LOSS -11.5U FU BARD
Rockies first 5 5U *******Changed this play to New York Mets/Colorado Rockies 1st 5 Innings Under 5 -110****** LOSS -5.5 U

Philadelphia Phillies -1½ -115 5U LOSS -5.75U
Houston Astros/Cincinnati Reds Over 8 +102 5U WIN +5U
Pittsburgh Pirates +1½ -136 3U LOSS -4.08 U
Pittsburgh Pirates/Atlanta Braves Under 7 -101 3U CANCELLED
Washington Nationals +1½ -125 5U WIN +5.10 U Washington Nationals +188 2U LOSS 2U
Washington Nationals/Los Angeles Dodgers Under 6 -113 5U WIN +5U
New York Yankees +1½ -143 10U WIN +10U
New York Yankees +122 5U WIN +6.10U
Seattle Mariners +1½ -115 8U WIN +8U
Seattle Mariners +195 3U WIN +5.85U
Seattle Mariners/Toronto Blue Jays Under 8 -107 3U LOSS -3.21
Baltimore Orioles -127 15U !! don't be scared LOSS -19.05U OUCH
Texas Rangers -135 10U LOSS -13.5U
Boston Red Sox -108 3U WON +3U
Kansas City Royals +120 3U WON +3.6U
Kansas City Royals/Minnesota Twins Under 8½ -110 3U LOSS 3.3U

Day 10-9 -7.94 MEH could have been worse, could have been better...


YTD 61-46 +81.92

balty and texas got me good and bard got me on 1st5 3-0 melon to konerko.

Back to the grind. damn that was a lot of plays. Gotta get the volume down a little.

[jbart28]

Saturday 04/28

967 Los Angeles Angels -128 10U
969 Kansas City Royals -116 10U
951 Milwaukee Brewers/St. Louis Cardinals Over 7½ +103 5U
Oakland Athletics/Baltimore Orioles Under 8 -112 8U
Washington Nationals -115 9U
Cincinnati Reds -1½ +113 8U

[Mr Handicapable]

The Orioles stunk up the place. Oakland is just one of those teams that I never seem to beat even though they've been a glorified AAA team for several years now. I noticed Boston has only 2 wins of 9 by only 1 run. Even without Ellsbury & Crawford they seem to score at will.

[Mr Handicapable]

I did a little homework on your StL/Mil Over 7.5 play. I like it! Lohse has a career 4.80 era vs Milw and it turns out Fielder was only 6-26 vs him without a hr. Braun, ARam, Gamel, Alex Gonz, and Lucroy have all hit him well. Estrada of course just got into the Brewer rotation due to injury and is a 5-6 inning guy at most & middle relievers are always good for Over.

I have another 5 inning guy that I'm fading tonite. Jeff Niemann for Tampa is a decent pitcher but he's kind of fat and he's also given up 15 er in 12.2 vs Texas. Colby Lewis for Texas is a little underrated in my book w/a very nice 1.05 whip and 24-1 k/bb ratio so far. Minus -155 is a little high but it is Texas after all.....also going against my own 24 outs vs 27 argument w/RL home teams and playing +125. GL I like your thread

[jbart28]

GL to you guys! Let's go hosmer and the royals! Ha

[blackeyeshamus]

best of luck, sir!
let's get 'em today!
good luck!

[jbart28]

saturday 04/28

967 los angeles angels -128 10u win +10u
969 kansas city royals -116 10u cancelled
951 milwaukee brewers/st. Louis cardinals over 7½ +103 5u win +5.15u
oakland athletics/baltimore orioles under 8 -112 8u loss -8.96u
washington nationals -115 9u loss unreal -10.35
cincinnati reds -1½ +113 8u win+9.04 u

3-2 +4.88u

ytd 64-48 + 86.80 u

[Maddhatter]

Supposed to be 4-1. Bad beat on Nationals. Green for the day is still good. Awesome record this season bud! Let's keep killin it.

[jbart28]

Supposed to be 4-1. Bad beat on Nationals. Green for the day is still good. Awesome record this season bud! Let's keep killin it.

Thanks! Gotta keep grinding to overcome these bullpen fiasco's. Let's finish the week STRONG!

[blackeyeshamus]

[jbart28]

Sunday 04/29

St. Louis Cardinals -118 9U
St. Louis Cardinals -1½ +190 6U
Milwaukee Brewers/St. Louis Cardinals Over 7½ +108 7U
Cincinnati Reds -1½ +115 10U
Seattle Mariners +134 5U
New York Mets -114 6U
Boston Red Sox -121 6U915 Washington Nationals -108 4U
Los Angeles Angels +105* 4U
Kansas City Royals -110 3U
Chicago Cubs -104 3U
Los Angeles Angels/Cleveland Indians Under 8½ -112 3U
Seattle Mariners/Toronto Blue Jays Under 8½ +110 3U

And my reward to myself for having a good start to the MLB season is this gambull gambull on the run line 4 teamer:

$20.25	$649.52	Pending	4 Team Parlay
				Pending	4/29/12 1:10pm MLB Baseball 902 Miami Marlins -1½ +125* vs Arizona Diamondbacks (W Miley - L must Start J Johnson - R must Start)
				Pending	4/29/12 1:10pm MLB Baseball 904 Cincinnati Reds -1½ +110* vs Houston Astros (J Lyles - R must Start M Latos - R must Start)
				Pending	4/29/12 1:35pm MLB Baseball 907 Chicago Cubs -1½ +150* vs Philadelphia Phillies (M Garza - R must Start K Kendrick - R must Start)
				Pending	4/29/12 2:15pm MLB Baseball 910 St. Louis Cardinals -1½ +180* vs Milwaukee Brewers (Z Greinke - R must Start J Garcia - L must Start)

Let's cash those tickets!

someone PM'ed me asking what my unit size was/is. I have altered my original thought process and now am using a 0.5% of current bankroll per unit wagered. So far I have been reconciling my bankroll daily and using the .5% format. Lately I have been betting high volume and doing ok but I still feel a little shaky even with the 1/2 percent as a unit size. I am going to reevaulate everything May 1st and may reduce volume but increase to 1% unit size.

GL

Edit: Having 25% of my roll out there the past few sessions has been really absurd but I am pretty risk tolerant because my initial starting roll was so low. My goal is to get my stack to 5k from the initial small deposit by the all star break. This is going to be a challenge. I am sitting at 11 hundo from my initial deposit.

The season goal is to run it up to 10K. The percentile method automatically builds in growth so if I can keep in the green ......

[nosaij]

Hi jbart

oh nevermind, was asking how much is 1u for you then got it

followed your parlay!! hope we get lucky

[jbart28]

Adding Texas -129 30U -

[jbart28]

Sunday 04/29

St. Louis Cardinals -118 9U loss-=10.62
St. Louis Cardinals -1½ +190 6U loss -6
Milwaukee Brewers/St. Louis Cardinals Over 7½ +108 7U loss-7
Cincinnati Reds -1½ +115 10U loss -10
Seattle Mariners +134 5U loss -5
New York Mets -114 6U won +6
Boston Red Sox -121 6U loss -7.26
915 Washington Nationals -108 4U loss -4.32
Los Angeles Angels +105* 4U loss -4
Kansas City Royals -110 3U loss -3.30
Chicago Cubs -104 3U won +3
Los Angeles Angels/Cleveland Indians Under 8½ -112 3U won+3
Seattle Mariners/Toronto Blue Jays Under 8½ +110 3U loss -3
Texas loss -38.71

3-11 today lol -87.20

YTD 67-59 -.4U

Well that was the worst day ever

gonna take a day off after today's catastrophe

.

.....

[Maddhatter]

We've all had days, and in some cases weeks like these (2nd half of my NCAAB season). Take a break and clear your head. Come back strong bud.

[jbart28]

We've all had days, and in some cases weeks like these (2nd half of my NCAAB season). Take a break and clear your head. Come back strong bud.

Good think I went down to .5% per unit. I would have went bust today. LOL- lost half my roll. My inital deposit was tiny but I hate losing. Nice day again! Keep it up- I'll be back Tuesday ready to roll!