system integrity 2012

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  • slapshot
    SBR MVP
    • 10-27-07
    • 1194

    #666
    79-58-32-3-1
    wins-losses-pushes-rain-pitching change

    saturday
    detroit -1

    yesterday
    milwaukee -1 *loss*
    Comment
    • slapshot
      SBR MVP
      • 10-27-07
      • 1194

      #667
      80-58-32-3-1
      wins-losses-pushes-rain-pitching change

      sunday
      atlanta -1

      yesterday
      detroit -1 *win*
      Comment
      • slapshot
        SBR MVP
        • 10-27-07
        • 1194

        #668
        81-58-32-3-1
        wins-losses-pushes-rain-pitching change

        monday
        new york yankees-1

        yesterday
        atlanta -1 *win*
        Comment
        • slapshot
          SBR MVP
          • 10-27-07
          • 1194

          #669
          82-58-32-3-1
          wins-losses-pushes-rain-pitching change

          tuesday
          washington -1

          yesterday
          new york yankees -1 *win*
          Comment
          • alexknyc
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 03-22-11
            • 861

            #670
            Originally posted by slapshot
            82-58-32-3-1
            wins-losses-pushes-rain-pitching change

            tuesday
            washington -1

            yesterday
            new york yankees -1 *win*
            Washington isn't even close to being the largest favorite of the day.
            Comment
            • slapshot
              SBR MVP
              • 10-27-07
              • 1194

              #671
              Originally posted by alexknyc
              Washington isn't even close to being the largest favorite of the day.
              washington opened as the biggest favorite today but with the pitching change they aren't anymore.....the play is cancelled.
              Comment
              • slapshot
                SBR MVP
                • 10-27-07
                • 1194

                #672
                82-58-32-3-2
                wins-losses-pushes-rain-pitching change

                wednesday
                new york yankees -1

                yesterday
                washington -1 *pitching change*
                Comment
                • slapshot
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-27-07
                  • 1194

                  #673
                  that's the end of the regular season the record for the 2012 season is
                  83-58-32-3-2
                  wins-losses-pushes-rain-pitching change

                  yesterday
                  new york yankees -1 *win*

                  the system did well towards the end of the season but overall this was the worst season to date going back to 2006.
                  Comment
                  • alexknyc
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 03-22-11
                    • 861

                    #674
                    Does anyone have a final unit count? I'm sure the system won back some units on its late run, but it was a rough year.
                    Comment
                    • Teamprofit101
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-14-11
                      • 336

                      #675
                      The system won 83 games and pushed 32 times.

                      Is it not worth it to play moneyline with a good money management system?
                      Comment
                      • slapshot
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-27-07
                        • 1194

                        #676
                        Originally posted by alexknyc
                        Does anyone have a final unit count? I'm sure the system won back some units on its late run, but it was a rough year.
                        the units record depends on how you play the system......how many games you chase before taking the loss etc. its all individual. if you were to play the picks without chasing, flat betting, playing -1 you would have been -8.2 units for the season.
                        Comment
                        • slapshot
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-27-07
                          • 1194

                          #677
                          Originally posted by Teamprofit101
                          The system won 83 games and pushed 32 times.

                          Is it not worth it to play moneyline with a good money management system?
                          it has been discussed earlier...you would have a nice winning percentage but the juice is massive and that would force you lower your unit size an awful lot in order to be have chance to chase through a losing streak as long as seven games as we saw this season.

                          playing the the biggest fav -1 and a 1% of the bankroll unit size proved to be too steep....playing moneyline, i would say you have to lower the unit size to 0.1% of the bankroll to be able to chase long streaks..............the question is if it's worthwhile playing the system making such small profit that goes along with a 0.1% unit size.

                          and i doubt any money mangement system can change that low unit size.
                          Comment
                          • Ville Helm
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 05-20-12
                            • 22

                            #678
                            Originally posted by slapshot
                            that's the end of the regular season the record for the 2012 season is
                            83-58-32-3-2
                            wins-losses-pushes-rain-pitching change

                            yesterday
                            new york yankees -1 *win*

                            the system did well towards the end of the season but overall this was the worst season to date going back to 2006.

                            What's your feeling about next season? Going to try again the same or are you looking to adjust the system somehow? Would be nice to be able to avoid the nasty losing streaks we endured this year. During that horrible run at the end of July, Texas were the favs on the day they lost & we bet them (sat 27th). They won every other game of that particular series. It's horrible to lose that way!
                            Comment
                            • slapshot
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-27-07
                              • 1194

                              #679
                              Originally posted by Ville Helm
                              What's your feeling about next season? Going to try again the same or are you looking to adjust the system somehow? Would be nice to be able to avoid the nasty losing streaks we endured this year. During that horrible run at the end of July, Texas were the favs on the day they lost & we bet them (sat 27th). They won every other game of that particular series. It's horrible to lose that way!
                              the system needs to adjusted to the results we had this season, and it's going to be a heck of challenge to find a solution to the low winning percentage and a seven game losing streak...ideally, to be on the safe side, we should have a plan for dealing a losing streak one or two games longer than the longest we've ever seen.

                              betting moneyline would pump up the winning percentage significantly but you can imagine the money you risk after a six game losing streak heading into game seven with an average odds of 1.5 decimal on each game of the six losses. you would be forced to play the system with a ridiculously low unit size to deal with scenarios like that.

                              i guess some money management strategy that can handle losing streaks real well can be the solution but i have no idea what that mm strategy would look like. having said all this, as you can tell, i'm not overly optimistic about next season.
                              Comment
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