that's the end of the regular season the record for the 2012 season is
83-58-32-3-2
wins-losses-pushes-rain-pitching change
yesterday
new york yankees -1 *win*
the system did well towards the end of the season but overall this was the worst season to date going back to 2006.
Comment
alexknyc
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-11
861
#674
Does anyone have a final unit count? I'm sure the system won back some units on its late run, but it was a rough year.
Comment
Teamprofit101
SBR Sharp
12-14-11
336
#675
The system won 83 games and pushed 32 times.
Is it not worth it to play moneyline with a good money management system?
Comment
slapshot
SBR MVP
10-27-07
1194
#676
Originally posted by alexknyc
Does anyone have a final unit count? I'm sure the system won back some units on its late run, but it was a rough year.
the units record depends on how you play the system......how many games you chase before taking the loss etc. its all individual. if you were to play the picks without chasing, flat betting, playing -1 you would have been -8.2 units for the season.
Comment
slapshot
SBR MVP
10-27-07
1194
#677
Originally posted by Teamprofit101
The system won 83 games and pushed 32 times.
Is it not worth it to play moneyline with a good money management system?
it has been discussed earlier...you would have a nice winning percentage but the juice is massive and that would force you lower your unit size an awful lot in order to be have chance to chase through a losing streak as long as seven games as we saw this season.
playing the the biggest fav -1 and a 1% of the bankroll unit size proved to be too steep....playing moneyline, i would say you have to lower the unit size to 0.1% of the bankroll to be able to chase long streaks..............the question is if it's worthwhile playing the system making such small profit that goes along with a 0.1% unit size.
and i doubt any money mangement system can change that low unit size.
Comment
Ville Helm
SBR Rookie
05-20-12
22
#678
Originally posted by slapshot
that's the end of the regular season the record for the 2012 season is
83-58-32-3-2
wins-losses-pushes-rain-pitching change
yesterday
new york yankees -1 *win*
the system did well towards the end of the season but overall this was the worst season to date going back to 2006.
What's your feeling about next season? Going to try again the same or are you looking to adjust the system somehow? Would be nice to be able to avoid the nasty losing streaks we endured this year. During that horrible run at the end of July, Texas were the favs on the day they lost & we bet them (sat 27th). They won every other game of that particular series. It's horrible to lose that way!
Comment
slapshot
SBR MVP
10-27-07
1194
#679
Originally posted by Ville Helm
What's your feeling about next season? Going to try again the same or are you looking to adjust the system somehow? Would be nice to be able to avoid the nasty losing streaks we endured this year. During that horrible run at the end of July, Texas were the favs on the day they lost & we bet them (sat 27th). They won every other game of that particular series. It's horrible to lose that way!
the system needs to adjusted to the results we had this season, and it's going to be a heck of challenge to find a solution to the low winning percentage and a seven game losing streak...ideally, to be on the safe side, we should have a plan for dealing a losing streak one or two games longer than the longest we've ever seen.
betting moneyline would pump up the winning percentage significantly but you can imagine the money you risk after a six game losing streak heading into game seven with an average odds of 1.5 decimal on each game of the six losses. you would be forced to play the system with a ridiculously low unit size to deal with scenarios like that.
i guess some money management strategy that can handle losing streaks real well can be the solution but i have no idea what that mm strategy would look like. having said all this, as you can tell, i'm not overly optimistic about next season.