3 chase systems

illisdre · 08-06-12, 10:02 PM

looks like another sweep. Congrats:!

Stifler · 08-07-12, 03:49 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

06.08.2012

S3

(A Bet) NYY fade: Detroit 1,613 1,63u
(A Bet) Balti: Baltimore 1,763 1,31u
(A Bet) Cin fade: Milwaukee 1,758 1,32u

records:
S1: W 35 | L 0 (+35 units)
S2: W 24 | L 2 (-16,053 units)
S3: W 156 | L 3 (+79,528 units)

Pittsburgh play would have qualified due to late line movement, unfortunately i missed it.

Stifler · 08-07-12, 04:06 AM

07.08.2012

S2

(A Bet) SF: San Francisco 2,68 0,595u

illisdre · 08-07-12, 10:54 PM

Lol.. i just did something funny.. I convinced myself it was Baltimore that Id placed the bet on.. and was watching it (now the 14th inning)...

Yet another win.
Stiff, I wonder if you took the results from the previous years and ever tried graphing them out, interms of the "cashflow" of units. Might be interesting to see the volatility, or if there are patterns that form over seasons (ie beginning, middle, end)

Stifler · 08-08-12, 02:04 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

07.08.2012

S2

(A Bet) SF: San Francisco 2,68 0,595u

records:
S1: W 35 | L 0 (+35 units)
S2: W 25 | L 2 (-15,053 units)
S3: W 156 | L 3 (+79,528 units)

Stifler · 08-08-12, 02:12 AM

Originally posted by illisdre

Stiff, I wonder if you took the results from the previous years and ever tried graphing them out, interms of the "cashflow" of units. Might be interesting to see the volatility, or if there are patterns that form over seasons (ie beginning, middle, end)

Dont make sense in my opinion. There is too much variance. If u had a good 1. half it doenst mean u are having a good 2.half. And even if all 1. halfs in the previous 6 years would be more profitable i wouldnt give a damn about that. This could change for the next 6 years.

illisdre · 08-08-12, 02:32 AM

Yea it may not.
Perhaps I wasn't too clear with my explanation/reasoning.
I have recently been attempting to find the "accuracy" of odds in predicting results (ie favorite winning).
Comparing the beginning of the season to the end. I expected there to be greater accuracy of odds towards the end of the season. My findings weren't conclusive off of my one year data set, but did seem to favour the middle of season in accuracy.

I just point this out because I know your system is very odds dependent, ie. bets arising on favorites for select teams in S3. If favs were accurate at such and such a time ... im sure you get my point.
All the best.

Stifler · 08-08-12, 02:37 AM

08.08.2012

S2

(A Bet) Ari fade: Pittsburgh 2,18 0,847u

DerekMadden · 08-08-12, 10:25 PM

On a rolllllllllll

leo2302 · 08-08-12, 11:42 PM

Keep it going Stifler!!

Stifler · 08-09-12, 06:57 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

08.08.2012

S2

(A Bet) Ari fade: Pittsburgh 2,18 0,847u

records:
S1: W 35 | L 0 (+35 units)
S2: W 26 | L 2 (-14,053 units)
S3: W 156 | L 3 (+79,528 units)

mrk77 · 08-09-12, 08:37 AM

anything for today?

pm9964 · 08-09-12, 10:10 AM

bump

Stifler · 08-09-12, 10:42 AM

09.08.2012

nothing today

Stifler · 08-10-12, 03:17 AM

10.08.2012

S1

(A Bet) KC fade: Baltimore 1,787 1,27u

S3

(A Bet) SD fade: Pittsburgh 1,752 1,33u
(A Bet) Det fade: Texas 1,769 1,30u
(A Bet) Oak fade: White Sox 1,855 1,17u
(A Bet) SF: San Francisco 1,457 2,188u
2u play (A Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,885 2,26u

potential plays:

- S3 Tor, if line < +100
- S3 TB fade, if line +100 or more

Lakey · 08-10-12, 06:41 AM

Wow big day, cheers Stifler.

rurku · 08-10-12, 09:57 AM

thanks! Any specific reason to double stake on LAA?

illisdre · 08-10-12, 01:05 PM

Originally posted by rurku

thanks! Any specific reason to double stake on LAA?

It's the daily double.

Stifler · 08-10-12, 01:11 PM

Originally posted by rurku

thanks! Any specific reason to double stake on LAA?

i missed a play a few days ago and i feel like this is a good spot to put 2u on. On a sidenote why not adding a little money management to a chase system. I already had something like that in mind, but i wont go for it this season. This play is an exception.

Stifler · 08-11-12, 04:35 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

10.08.2012

S1

(A Bet) KC fade: Baltimore 1,787 1,27u

S3

(A Bet) SD fade: Pittsburgh 1,752 1,33u
(A Bet) Det fade: Texas 1,769 1,30u
(A Bet) Oak fade: White Sox 1,855 1,17u
(A Bet) SF: San Francisco 1,457 2,188u
2u play (A Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,885 2,26u

records:
S1: W 36 | L 0 (+36 units)
S2: W 26 | L 2 (-14,053 units)
S3: W 158 | L 3 (+82,528 units)

Stifler · 08-11-12, 05:32 AM

11.08.2012
S3

(B Bet) SD fade: Pittsburgh 1,752 1,33u | Pittsburgh 1,588 3,963u
(B Bet) Det fade: Texas 1,769 1,30u | Texas 2,34 1,716u
(B Bet) SF: San Francisco 1,457 2,188u | San Francisco 1,444 7,18u

sergiudec · 08-11-12, 06:00 AM

Hats off Stifler for your work, ballsy today to fade Verlander but let's do this !

Stifler · 08-12-12, 04:23 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

11.08.2012
S3

(B Bet) SD fade: Pittsburgh 1,752 1,33u | Pittsburgh 1,588 3,963u
(B Bet) Det fade: Texas 1,769 1,30u | Texas 2,34 1,716u
(B Bet) SF: San Francisco 1,457 2,188u | San Francisco 1,444 7,18u

records:
S1: W 36 | L 0 (+36 units)
S2: W 26 | L 2 (-14,053 units)
S3: W 160 | L 3 (+84,528 units)

Stifler · 08-12-12, 04:37 AM

12.08.2012

S3

(C Bet) SD fade: Pittsburgh 1,752 1,33u | Pittsburgh 1,588 3,963u | Pittsburgh 1,602 10,453u

sportscreep1 · 08-12-12, 12:58 PM

Not a good start for Pitt! SD goes to Atl tomorrow, will prob be huge juice game for a 'd' bet!! Hopefully big comeback by Piratesvis in the future!!

everythingred · 08-12-12, 02:47 PM

What a comeback. WOW

sportscreep1 · 08-12-12, 06:31 PM

Thank you Pirates!!

illisdre · 08-13-12, 12:24 AM

Pirates are somethin special. Great day for me. Strung a 7. Play parlay. Nice work!

Stifler · 08-13-12, 05:00 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

12.08.2012

S3

(C Bet) SD fade: Pittsburgh 1,752 1,33u | Pittsburgh 1,588 3,963u | Pittsburgh 1,602 10,453u

records:
S1: W 36 | L 0 (+36 units)
S2: W 26 | L 2 (-14,053 units)
S3: W 160 | L 3 (+85,528 units)

Stifler · 08-13-12, 05:22 AM

13.08.2012

S1

(A Bet) SD fade: Atlanta 1,526 1,90u

S3

(A Bet) NYY: Yankees 1,901 1,11u
(A Bet) Tex fade: Yankees 1,901 1,11upotential plays:

- S3CHW fade, if line +100 or more

sportscreep1 · 08-13-12, 09:45 AM

My book has Tex even and NYY -110 as of this post, so I did a "double" bet on NYY. Don't think CWS number gonna get there. GL everyone.

Stifler · 08-13-12, 01:02 PM

Yankees line updated.

Stifler · 08-14-12, 05:50 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

13.08.2012

S1

(A Bet) SD fade: Atlanta 1,526 1,90u

S3

(A Bet) NYY: Yankees 1,901 1,11u
(A Bet) Tex fade: Yankees 1,901 1,11u

records:
S1: W 36 | L 0 (+36 units)
S2: W 26 | L 2 (-14,053 units)
S3: W 162 | L 3 (+87,528 units)

Stifler · 08-14-12, 05:52 AM

14.08.2012

S1

(B Bet) SD fade: Atlanta 1,526 1,90u | Atlanta 1,588 4,932u

S3

(A Bet) Cin: Cincinnati 1,556 1,80u
(A Bet) Stl: St.Louis 1,862 1,16u

Stifler · 08-15-12, 02:56 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

14.08.2012

S1

(B Bet) SD fade: Atlanta 1,526 1,90u | Atlanta 1,588 4,932u

S3

(A Bet) Cin: Cincinnati 1,556 1,80u
(A Bet) Stl: St.Louis 1,862 1,16u

records:
S1: W 37 | L 0 (+37 units)
S2: W 26 | L 2 (-14,053 units)
S3: W 164 | L 3 (+89,528 units)

lucky Stl came through, as the line jumped to +101, which didnt qualify for the system. Anyway im taking the win.