No inning firsts often look easy, but they arent. I've been tracking a few of them in my thread and havent had good results. I'm on this one though.
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ICE-BLOOD
SBR MVP
07-21-08
1004
#3
the juice is inflated on these 'score in the 1st' props when a game total is a run or two above or below 9
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ZBOIZ
SBR Posting Legend
06-22-08
21464
#4
I have the Under 7
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ICE-BLOOD
SBR MVP
07-21-08
1004
#5
most of the #'s and stats seem to say not much scoring
Comment
jtuck
SBR MVP
02-18-08
2051
#6
Originally posted by ICE-BLOOD
most of the #'s and stats seem to say not much scoring
Yeah, all the numbers point to this saying no score. I tried to seriously cap these a few weeks ago and they are quite unpredictable. I had no score 1st in the phillies/padres game sunday and lost on an error and a sac fly, only 2 more runs scored the rest of the game.
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ICE-BLOOD
SBR MVP
07-21-08
1004
#7
do the math. lets say peavy allows a run in 2 of the first 5 innings and 3 zeroes. haren allows only 1 run and 4 zeroes in the 1st 5. multiply that stuff out and there's about a 50-50 chance of 2 zeroes in the 1st....or something like that, gotta factor in a big inning possibility too
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awholelottalumps
SBR MVP
12-14-07
1049
#8
That's a winner.The juice is -160 for a reason.
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BearBryant
SBR High Roller
07-25-08
126
#9
if lumps likes it, its a loser
Comment
BearBryant
SBR High Roller
07-25-08
126
#10
no outs and you alreadt lost
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ryanXL977
SBR Posting Legend
02-24-08
20615
#11
that was quick
sorry dude
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jtuck
SBR MVP
02-18-08
2051
#12
Comment
BearBryant
SBR High Roller
07-25-08
126
#13
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ryanXL977
SBR Posting Legend
02-24-08
20615
#14
i swaer those no score first inning bets almost always cash on huge chalk with a score
and then when you are sure someone will score, like nate robertson and millwood, nobody scores
total coin toss
Comment
BearBryant
SBR High Roller
07-25-08
126
#15
Haren don't look like he is in form tonight
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nysmoneyman
SBR MVP
04-13-08
3101
#16
like this one tonite
Date placed: Aug 20, 2008 8:42pSingle #119153292 Baseball - MLB (Game) Total NATIONAL LEAGUE (961) San Diego Padres vs. (962) Arizona Diamondbacks Over 7 (EVEN) Wed@9:40p * Game must go 9 innings (8.5 if home team is ahead) or this pick is NO ACTION.* Jake Peavy (R) must throw first pitch for San Diego Padres or this pick is NO ACTION.* Dan Haren (R) must throw first pitch for Arizona Diamondbacks or this pick is NO ACTION.
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ryanXL977
SBR Posting Legend
02-24-08
20615
#17
jesus christ
i didnt touch the game but figured az would win
not a good start
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ZBOIZ
SBR Posting Legend
06-22-08
21464
#18
the under is selling my 3 team parlay out
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BearBryant
SBR High Roller
07-25-08
126
#19
Originally posted by ryanXL977
i swaer those no score first inning bets almost always cash on huge chalk with a score
and then when you are sure someone will score, like nate robertson and millwood, nobody scores
total coin toss
theres no way to handicap a first inning score, people that bet these don't no how to bet and are just guessing.
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ryanXL977
SBR Posting Legend
02-24-08
20615
#20
yep
and the best batters bat in the first inning too
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BearBryant
SBR High Roller
07-25-08
126
#21
4-0 in the first
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jtuck
SBR MVP
02-18-08
2051
#22
1st inning props are almost always long term losers. I'm done with them. Saw it was up to -185 before the first pitch, lots of people banking on that one tonight.
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ZBOIZ
SBR Posting Legend
06-22-08
21464
#23
Wow!!!!!! 4-0 In The 1st!
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ZBOIZ
SBR Posting Legend
06-22-08
21464
#24
We need a 5-1 final!
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AC1318
SBR Hall of Famer
10-09-06
6712
#25
Originally posted by The HOFF
-160
Looks too easy with Peavy and Haren.
you were right
Comment
nysmoneyman
SBR MVP
04-13-08
3101
#26
Originally posted by BearBryant
theres no way to handicap a first inning score, people that bet these don't no how to bet and are just guessing.
not true...u study a little bit as in any other bet and if u like it u bet it...it's a bet just like a runline or moneyline or anything else
to hammer a guy after he lost seems to make a lot of people on this site feel superior
how about...hey u took a shot at it...good luck on the next one
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endorphin
SBR High Roller
07-28-08
122
#27
so much for the under 7, and no score in 1st innings.
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BearBryant
SBR High Roller
07-25-08
126
#28
moneyman, go fvck your mother, you dumba$$
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BearBryant
SBR High Roller
07-25-08
126
#29
4-3 in the first
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ryanXL977
SBR Posting Legend
02-24-08
20615
#30
i swear the people who call games over in the first crack me up
some of the people in here are just brain dead guys who dont watch games, they just see scores on yahoo or espn
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nysmoneyman
SBR MVP
04-13-08
3101
#31
i stand by what i wrote...look above...bearbryant waited and said nothing until the a run was scored in the 1st inning and then proved he is superior than all of us...no input before the game started...2 seconds after a run was scored he shows up
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BearBryant
SBR High Roller
07-25-08
126
#32
i never said i bet on a run you douche
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nysmoneyman
SBR MVP
04-13-08
3101
#33
i respect everyone who tries to pick and bet games on this site...i wonder why someone hides and comes out to hammer another capper when they don't even pick games
i respect everyone who tries to pick and bet games on this site...i wonder why someone hides and comes out to hammer another capper when they don't even pick games
Agreed
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SlappyWhite
SBR Sharp
07-22-08
443
#35
i think the only time i would ever get on someones case is when they say bet your house, car, future, legs, penis, anus, or sisters virginity on a game....