Do you guys think the Nats line will get better? I have a feeling most people are going to be on Oliver Perez and will force the Nats upward. What do you all think?
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Now it's at +145. You guys think I should wait til +150?Comment -
I think the mets win
phils are a good dog betComment -
If you want to know my reasons for choosing the Nats, see my post titled Thursday Value Plays. Do you really want to cough up that kind of chalk for Oliver Perez on the road?Comment -
Mets are playin for something, they need all the easy wins they can get, and want to finish off the sweep going into the weekend series against Pitt. Im on the MetsComment -
Every team is playing to win regardless of their pennant race status. Look at the Padres right now. By your logic, they should be losing.Comment -
Regardless of what side you all are on, do you think the Nats line will move upward?Comment -
True, but you have two of the best pitchers throwing in the bigs in that game, alot more different than the situation u have with this game. New York has been playing great ball as of late (6-3) in the last 9 games. Nats our (2-7) in there last 9 games only winning the double header they had against Colorado. Collin Balester is not a guy who goes more than 4-5 innings a game which mean Nats bullpen which has thrown a ton of innings as of late will have some more overtime 2night as well. Other than having a hunch I just cant see any reason to back the Nats.(Regardless of the line)
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+148 right now at BetJam...seems to be headed up. I can see it hitting +150Comment -
The answer should be yes fifa so wait until close to game time. Persomally, I think the Under is the best play in this game.Comment -
I got it at +145. I know that it will prob go up, but I don't wager enough for it to make that much of a difference. And I don't feel like waiting at my computer. If you all want a reason to take the nats, see my post Thursday Value PlaysComment -
Your Cons out Weigh your Pros, but either way good luck sir, hopefully Tb pulls it out and mets giving me the 3-0
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The Nats sucking has already factored into the equation. Besides, they are a better team than they were earlier in the season since they have all their guys back from the DL. They have some fast guys like Bonifacio, Milledge, Harris, and Guzman.
May the best man win.Comment -
Only thing you have + on me right now is laying less money for a better return than me lol 400 to win 226 is rough but just anthor day betting!Comment -
I'm not wagering nearly as much. I usually put two units on a play that is more conservative and I put one on the less conservative. In this case, the Nats are my less conservative play.Comment -
whats a unit to you as far as $?Comment -
30Comment -
people keep betting the Nats because of "value"
and day in and day out people keep heading to the poorhouse
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True I havent kept track but a lot of the favorite in baseball have been winning, I dont have and stats or ect, but not to many underdogs are on the winning sides.Comment -
I don't cap baseball for profit. I mean I do, but I do it more for fun. That's why I am only risking 30. It makes baseball season a lot more interesting.Comment -
The reason why capping is a loser's game is because the lines makers give you such crappy returns on sure winners. IF you are able to find value in mistakes of the lines makers, then you will make money in capping.Comment -
True, but if you ever wanna make good money you have to bet SMART. Meaning dont bet to just bet, and take Money when given to you. Basically means dont Parlay and dont bet for the fact of betting(value), this is the first time in a while ive bet more than 2 games in a single day, just cause the 3 games I liked a lot. But take it one day at a time and build your roll is all you can do.Comment -
Betting value is the best way to make money. I don't take every game that has value. I select them. I don't stake my livelihood on baseball games.Comment -
And you shouldnt lol, but if your gonna bet baseball games you wanna be profitable. Im not saying you are or arent, Im just saying you dont wanna take a shots/value because I know for a fact in the long run its just like Parlays. You wanna bet the games that you consider locks, those make you money not value. Know matter what sport you bet, for fun or as a job(for some) you wanna have a good return on your investment just like any stocks ect.Comment -
BOL.
On the Mets RL. With the Astros RL and the Red Sox as well.
only risking 5 bucks to win 32Comment -
I don't think you understand the term "value." Betting a -200 favorite is most likely not value. So while the pick may cash, if you are paying too much for it, you will lose in the long run. The Red Sox today are the complete opposite of Value. They might win today. However, if you win, your payout is terrible. That is why value betting is the only way to win in this business. You have to get good lines on probable winners. Thats what I try to do. I think the Nats have a pretty good chance of cashing today. That's why I consider them a value play.Comment -
No I understand Value, The only way to win in the betting world is spot betting, plain in simple. When you bet a game regardless of payout(which is semi important) how much you bet any of that you want it to be a winner, Ill take my 2/1 odds picking winners over value betting 40/60 dogs, there is no way value betting has made anyone in this world. I promise you that, but I do agree once in a blue moon value betting has its moments.Comment -
Nice start so far with you and the OsComment -
Thanks, but the only way to make money is betting value. The Met's for example are not value. You are paying a heavy price for a road favorite whose bullpen is known to blow games. You are also betting on a pitcher who has struggled versus this team in the past and is certainly due to get hit. You are also betting on a sweep. How is that a money making bet?Comment -
lol k, this tb oak game is killin me fk meComment
