1 play that looks easy today

bradleysnyder · 08-08-08, 10:27 AM

CHICAGO CUBS are 69-46 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 43-16 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 67-42 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 64-53 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 31-25 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ST LOUIS is 88-60 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 64-53 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 31-21 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 114-96 (-40.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 134-185 (-63.6 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 445-482 (-119.6 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-3 (+0.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

BRADEN LOOPER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LOOPER is 2-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 0.971.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.4 units)

Ih8dancox · 08-08-08, 10:34 AM

Originally posted by bradleysnyder

alllllllll overrrrrrrr the cubs

st louis is awful against the cubs,specially at wrigley

BET ID = 251371513.

Straight Wager

Bet $500.00
to Win $600.50
500.00
600.50
Date Team Line

Is there value in -150 for the Cubs though?
I like them but I dont see a a ton of value?

08/08/08 Cubs(Chicago) -1.5
14:20 ET (+130)

Your Total Bet: 500.00
Total Potential Win: 600.50

Is there any vaule in -150 thoug

Brady2Moss · 08-08-08, 11:08 AM

This is not a good play, pinny is giving +138 and the Cards are the value team at +140 or better

B1GER1C828 · 08-08-08, 12:06 PM

chc/stl UNDER 8.5 5 units

Wilforth · 08-08-08, 12:08 PM

Over is 4-1 in Lillys last 5 starts vs. Cardinals.
Under is 4-1 in Loopers last 5 starts vs. Cubs.
Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.
Cardinals are 6-13 in the last 19 meetings.
Cardinals are 5-13 in the last 18 meetings in Chicago.

B1GER1C828 · 08-08-08, 12:16 PM

cards +148
cards -1.5 +225

under 8.5

ArenaPlaya · 08-08-08, 12:39 PM

The smart play is Cards FF

so-classy#23 · 08-08-08, 01:58 PM

What about the Angels at home with Weaver going again in Anaheim??

so-classy#23 · 08-08-08, 01:58 PM

I'd rather take a home team with a chance to win in the ninth instead of getting screwed by a walk off as a visitor with the way bullpens are today....

Kingctb27 · 08-08-08, 02:23 PM

Went with the Cards baby

TPowell · 08-08-08, 02:42 PM

I'm with ya, I've got the Cubbies as well

pat venditto · 08-08-08, 08:22 PM

another victim of the runline sucker bet.

chipski · 08-09-08, 05:07 AM

Originally posted by pat venditto

another victim of the runline sucker bet.

friday biggest favs on board were as follows (-140 or higher)
are overnight lines
RESULTS
nl
brew -320 > won by 5
phils -175 > lost
cubs -155 > won by 1
mets -150 > won by 3

al
o's -170 > won by 8
angels -165 > won by 5
tigers -160 > lost

who wagers high odd games on single wagers and makes anything significant ? i have alot in the past and sure plenty
of guys do TODAY but when your high fav loses straight up what do you do next if you lose a chunk ?
i understand it is smarter not to give up the 1.5 if you parlay the high favs .. but posting -200 winners on a forum board and actually wagering real $$ on those high favs can be worlds apart ..

what exactly do people do with the high favs on single wagers $ wise ? if the line is -200 you wager $200 to make $100 or what ?
i have asked other people this question after they post high fav odd games and give out those high odd plays and never get any feedback .

worrying about your team winning by a run i know .
2 advantages to giving up the run . your fav can lose straight up so you saved $ in how much you wagered by giving up the run with better odds ..
the other advantage is you wager less to make more most of the time .

i do parlays alot so yeah i dont give up the 1.5 with those like talking about it so i guess i can relate . i just hate to see people lose big chunks on big mls when the big fav loses .
gl

chipski · 08-09-08, 05:18 AM

Originally posted by pat venditto

another victim of the runline sucker bet.

another words , going by your comment above for this particular friday game . this game was the only one of the 7 games with the highest favs that was affected by giving up the 1.5 with the fav . it was also the only fav on the board to win by 1 run out of all the 15 games on the board .

the day before there was only 1 fav win by a run on the whole board .

the day before that there was only one fav to win by a run one the whole board .

the day before that there were 2

the day before that there was only 1 fav win by a run

the day before that which was sun there was only 1 fav win by a run

the day before that there was only 1 fav win by a run

the day before that which was friday there were 5 fav wins by a run

the day before that there were none

the day before that there was only one fav win by a run

the day before that there were 3

the day before that there was only one fav win by a run

the day before that there was only one fav win by a run

the day before that there was only one fav win by a run

the day before that which was friday there were 3 fav wins by a run

the day before that there were 2 fav wins by a run

the day before that there was only one fav win by a run

the day before that there was only 1 fav win by a run , yes again

the day before that which was monday there were none

the day before that there was only 1 fav win by a run

the day ... okay ? lol

chipski · 08-09-08, 06:54 PM

2 of the biggest favs on the board lost straight up for sat already with 5 games to go in this cat . i guess it would have made alot of sense for the scared guys to have wagered the ml on the bjays and cubs . yeah i know you can indeed pick your spots and have a nice run .
i am on phil and det in the highest listed cat -1.5 .

biggest favs for sat (overnight lines)
nl
brew -250 >
phils -210 >
cubs -200 > lost
rocks -175 >
dbacks -160 >

al
bjays -220 > lost
tigers -200 >
angels -165 > won by 7

good feedback guys

chipski · 08-09-08, 10:26 PM

Originally posted by chipski

2 of the biggest favs on the board lost straight up for sat already with 5 games to go in this cat . i guess it would have made alot of sense for the scared guys to have wagered the ml on the bjays and cubs . yeah i know you can indeed pick your spots and have a nice run .
i am on phil and det in the highest listed cat -1.5 .

biggest favs for sat (overnight lines)
nl
brew -250 > won by 6
phils -210 > won by 2
cubs -200 > lost
rocks -175 > lost
dbacks -160 > lost

al
bjays -220 > lost
tigers -200 > won by 8
angels -165 > won by 7

good feedback guys

looks like the fav winning by a run didn't come into play again . i think people just remember when it does and like to point it out but they fail to mention the rest .
end thread