Saint Andrew 60% or better Second-half Thread

[St. Andrew]

The Mission

Hit 60% of plays for the entire second half of the season with no single play greater than -139 juice.

The starting bankroll: $1,259

THE RESULT:

[wallym]

I don't mind having that type of "shower"...All the best mate!

[TheLock]

There are 3 or 4 ppl on this site that can hit 60%.

The Saint is one of them.

Good luck man. I'll definitely tail you (except on the full steam all in plays )

[AmazingAmanda]

Best of luck Andrew!

[DarkLord_Rathi]

GL man.

[Wilforth]

GL Saint

[zentiense]

GL Chief!

[St. Andrew]

Thursday

Cardinals -112

$114 to win $102

- STL are 10-1 in Lohses last 11 starts.
- Peavey on the road: 4.41 ERA
- Lohse at home 5-1, 2.75
- Lohse at night 7-0, 2.16
- Padres offense pathetic as always

[soni]

good luck man!

[HOTSHAAT]

There are 3 or 4 ppl on this site that can hit 60%.

The Saint is one of them.

Good luck man. I'll definitely tail you (except on the full steam all in plays )

Who else would you recommend on this site with a proven record?

[rake922]

off to a horrrid start................ cards are +101 on matchbook

[DarkLord_Rathi]

The Card's will not lose this game. I am going.

[bigugly]

I've got cards today, too. good luck.

[wolfwright]

GL Saint, Cards here too!

[Wilforth]

Who else would you recommend on this site with a proven record?

It's not the winning percentage that matters, it's the units balance that matters. You could win 70% of -250 favorites and win far less units than someone on 55% with plays of -110 to +120.
So it's the units earned that counts more than the winning percentage.

[TheLock]

The Padres only score fvcking runs when I bet against them or they play my favorite team.

Jesus.

[St. Andrew]

Wow, Lohse is way off target tonight. It's strange that this is happening against the Padres.

[St. Andrew]

1-0
Bank: $1361

Friday

St. Louis -135

$114 to win $84

- Maddux last three: 0-2, 6.11
- Maddux on the road: 2-5, 5.71
- Looper at night: 7-4, 3.39
- SD are 8-25 in the last 33 meetings in St. Louis
- SD are 6-20 in their last 26 games on grass
- ST LOUIS is hiting .315 vs righties in the last 10 games

[DarkLord_Rathi]

St. I am with you again on this. Looper is going to come out of his funk and Maddux has a 4.00 era at Busch. The bats are hot. It is a great time in STL.

[fifawcs]

Do you guys really think there is value at -135 on this? Looper is a question mark to me. I would much rather take Felix Hernandez -137 against a crap cleveland team.

[DarkLord_Rathi]

Looper has never lost more then 3 games in a row ever. The Card's kill right hand pitching and Maddux is a has been. He would be a better coach. He needs to retire like Farve.

[St. Andrew]

Do you guys really think there is value at -135 on this? Looper is a question mark to me. I would much rather take Felix Hernandez -137 against a crap cleveland team.

Good luck on this play. I looked at it hard and saw that Cleveland is outscoring Seattle over the last 10 games 5.6 to 2.8 runs per game. Take Seattle? No, thanks.

[Wilforth]

Good luck on this play. I looked at it hard and saw that Cleveland is outscoring Seattle over the last 10 games 5.6 to 2.8 runs per game. Take Seattle? No, thanks.

By the time you do a home-road split analysis of the RPG by each side, you'll see that the Mariners have a clear edge. In the interval July 1-9, the Indians lost all their 7 road games and scored 3 runs or less in 4 of those. They then went home to post 31 runs in 4 games, winning all between July 10-14. A team that loses 7 straight road games then wins 4 straight games at home can't be considered a serious threat on the road, more so that they have no pitching edge in today's match-up.
I also cashed on the Cardinals yesterday but I can't trust Looper (0-4 in his last 4) with as much as -135 chalk. The Mariners appear to me the better option. Plus, the Mariners are 10-4 in Riggleman's first 14 games as manager and I think they'll take the first game of this series against the Tribe who offer one of the worst road records of recent.
Go Mariners
GL to you Saint.

[BuddyBear]

Do you guys really think there is value at -135 on this? Looper is a question mark to me. I would much rather take Felix Hernandez -137 against a crap cleveland team.

The only team worse than CLEV in the AL is SEA. Now you have SEA laying chalk against a left-handed pitcher...and SEA is horrid against LH pitching.

STL is a better play IMO, but I think there are better plays than that such as Minnesota.....

[Wilforth]

The only team worse than CLEV in the AL is SEA. Now you have SEA laying chalk against a left-handed pitcher...and SEA is horrid against LH pitching.

STL is a better play IMO, but I think there are better plays than that such as Minnesota.....

Before the change in SEA's management, I'll agree with you. But when a team goes 10-4 following a change in management, we have to acknowledge that the team is headed in a different and better direction. Even if SEA was still the SEA of the past, I'll still go with the home team when the road team has no clear edge. In the Cardinals' case, we're talking about a Looper who doesn't know how to win games anymore! I'd rather go with a team that's ambitious and intent on moving up than one which isn't quite sure which way to go.

[St. Andrew]

St. I am with you again on this. Looper is going to come out of his funk and Maddux has a 4.00 era at Busch. The bats are hot. It is a great time in STL.

Cards cash again. I love this team and their power line-up

2-0
Bank: $1445

[nervlol]

Yeah good stuff andrew, lookin foward for your pick tomorrow!

[St. Andrew]

Saturday

Parlay: Atlanta/White Sox (+150)

$171 to win $257


- Nats are 1-10 in their last 11 road games.
- Braves are 8-1 in Jurrjens's last 9 home starts.
- Nats are 5-13 in Lannan's starts this year.
- Braves are 31-18 at home.
- Braves are .284 vs lefties at home, Nats are .237 vs righties in their last 10 games.


- Sox are 6-1 vs Royals this year.
- Sox are 13-5 in their last 18 games.
- Sox are 33-13 at home.
- KC are 14-43 in the last 57 meetings in Chicago.
- Gavin Floyd is 7-1, 2.57 at home.
- Meche is 3-5, 4.06 on the road and 3-6, 5.19 at night.
- Sox are outscoring Royals 5.8 to 4.2 in the last 10 games.

[St. Andrew]

The Nationals only have 1 player in their line-up today who is hitting better than .250


Therefore....I am doing a second play today:

Play #2

Parlay: Braves/Cardinals (+153)

$116 to win $178


- Wellemeyer and Wolf have both been horrible lately, but Wolf is 6.66 on the road and Wellemeyer is 4.83 at home. This is a day game. Wellemeyer is a respectable 3.54 in 28 daylight innings and he beat the Padres earlier this year.
- SD are 6-21 in their last 27 overall.
- SD are 8-26 in the last 34 meetings in St. Louis.
- Cards are outscoring Padres 5.4 to 3.7 in their last 10 games.
- The Cardinals have hit 39 homers since June 19, the most in baseball.
- Adrian Gonzalez is struggling at the plate thus far in July, hitting .208 with four RBIs, and the Padres have scored 3.3 runs per game this month. He is the Padres's only source of offense.

[St. Andrew]

Saturday Play #3

Parlay: White Sox/Cardinals (+181)

$116 to win $211

[DarkLord_Rathi]

Your going all out huh??

[St. Andrew]

Your going all out huh??

Well it's $403 to win $646.

$403 is 28% of my bankroll. Smart bettors shouldn't bet like this. However, I absolutely love these three teams today.

[jtuck]

Braves and Sox are solid, still on the fence with STL though. GL to ya

[TheLock]

Which play is your strongest?

Refinance my house and go Braves?

[St. Andrew]

Which play is your strongest?

Refinance my house and go Braves?

ATLANTA/WHITE SOX ....but it's close. I love all three plays obviously. GL whatever you do today Lock!