will CC get his first win tonight as a brewer ??

LT Profits · 07-08-08, 09:43 AM

Maybe but I'll have no money on the game.

ryanXL977 · 07-08-08, 09:46 AM

yep
put it in all your parlays

mark redman is worse than pedro and eaton

BuddyBear · 07-08-08, 10:09 AM

yeah, i would say so. They are expecting a sell out tonight in MIL which is rare for a tuesday night game against a poor attendance drawing COL team so the atmosphere should be electric, a lot like a SAT night game at Miller Park and if you've ever seen one of those games you know how intense it gets.

MIL hits left-handed pitching very very well (19-8, +10.4 betting units) and is one of the better home teams in the league (28-14, +9.9 betting units) and now throw in the electric atmoshphere expected tonight against a team like COL who is so poor on the road (13-31, -15.3 betting units) and Sabathia who despite being in the AL his entire career has pitched extremely well against the National League in his career....this should be a nice victory for MIL tonight you just have to pay quite a bit for it if you want it.

accuscoresucks · 07-08-08, 10:19 AM

yes for the most part

but they can keep that juice
i save plays off -220 higher for tiger wood type bets

BadFinger · 07-08-08, 10:22 AM

i thought about playing the brew crew on the run line but only if i can get +110 min price. milwaukee is just 1 more reliever away from taking the nl this year imo.

DarkLord_Rathi · 07-08-08, 10:54 AM

I took the rockies. I really think this is Redman's time to shine. CC will choke under the pressure. He is not that great and he is in a new place.

ryanXL977 · 07-08-08, 11:00 AM

are you being serious

strictlywinners · 07-08-08, 11:02 AM

I mean if odds were even, yea why not take the BRewers but at -220 CC has been subpar this year and I just don't trust him.

DarkLord_Rathi · 07-08-08, 11:14 AM

Yes very much so. Just a feeling I have.. Look at the #'s. The Brew Crew is a good team but they have a winning streak and then lose and pick back up. I just think after looking at everything. It will be a close game and as we saw last night. They can not get runners home when they need too.

LT Profits · 07-08-08, 01:43 PM

CC is one of the top 3 left-handers in all of baseball, and he will only get better facing NL lineups.

pokernut9999 · 07-08-08, 01:48 PM

A 6-8 record and odds of -230 does not add up.

LT Profits · 07-08-08, 01:57 PM

For the 100th time, W/L record means NOTHING! CC is 6-8 because the Indians can't hit. His 1.23 WHIP in a league with a DH is much more meaningful, and he lowered his ERA to 3.83 after just a dreadful start this year.

pokernut9999 · 07-08-08, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

For the 100th time, W/L record means NOTHING! CC is 6-8 because the Indians can't hit. His 1.23 WHIP in a league with a DH is much more meaningful, and he lowered his ERA to 3.83 after just a dreadful start this year.

So then how much money has been won with CC on the mound this year ?

And you are the same person that has said too much is put on the starters , so why a line of -230

LT Profits · 07-08-08, 02:08 PM

Oh I agree that the line is inflated, but neither team has a bullpen edge and the brewers have the better home/away splits so this is a no play for me.

And of course CC is negative money this year because of his record and he is always favored, but I give absolutely no consideration to a pitcher's W/L when handiapping a game. In fact, I often prefer pitchers with mediocre records and good WHIPs, as those are the hidden gems that are undervalued.

accuscoresucks · 07-08-08, 02:16 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Oh I agree that the line is inflated, but neither team has a bullpen edge and the brewers have the better home/away splits so this is a no play for me.

And of course CC is negative money this year because of his record and he is always favored, but I give absolutely no consideration to a pitcher's W/L when handiapping a game. In fact, I often prefer pitchers with mediocre records and good WHIPs, as those are the hidden gems that are undervalued.

agreed i really cant understand why someone would even consider this as a wise investment,i see no edge no data that sways anyway so quit simply its a PASS

the attention this game is getting is unreal

pokernut9999 · 07-08-08, 02:24 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Oh I agree that the line is inflated, but neither team has a bullpen edge and the brewers have the better home/away splits so this is a no play for me.

And of course CC is negative money this year because of his record and he is always favored, but I give absolutely no consideration to a pitcher's W/L when handiapping a game. In fact, I often prefer pitchers with mediocre records and good WHIPs, as those are the hidden gems that are undervalued.

A lot of lines are out there that make no sense.

Take all of Lincecum starts , best winning %, best ERA and never gets any respect because of who he pitches for.

I agree you look at other stats beside W-L but a 6-8 pitcher making his first start for a team at -230 is insane.

I am not saying he will not win , but the line is off.

Wilforth · 07-08-08, 02:32 PM

Originally posted by accuscoresucks

agreed i really cant understand why someone would even consider this as a wise investment,i see no edge no data that sways anyway so quit simply its a PASS

the attention this game is getting is unreal

Agreed. There are 10 other better games to pick from than the Brewers game. The Brewers are now an over-inflated -230 favorite. If that was the only game for the day, I'd take today off.

pokernut9999 · 07-08-08, 02:43 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

Agreed. There are 10 other better games to pick from than the Brewers game. The Brewers are now an over-inflated -230 favorite. If that was the only game for the day, I'd take today off.

Well the post is will he win his first game , not is anyone betting it.

If I am reading it right there is one guy on Rockies, one thinking of Brewers in a parlay , and one guy looking for a price on the RL.

So not really a lot of people actually looking to bet it.

I for one am not , just commenting on the line being out of wack.

The HOFF · 07-08-08, 02:46 PM

Brew Crew is -250 right now. No way I would lay that much. CC is capable of laying an egg.

pat venditto · 07-08-08, 02:48 PM

brewers are -228 at 5dimes. p.s bookmaker sucks

ArenaPlaya · 07-08-08, 02:49 PM

Yes he will got it at -203

MonkeyF0cker · 07-08-08, 03:11 PM

If anything, I'd play the Crew on the RL...

Wilforth · 07-08-08, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by pokernut9999

Well the post is will he win his first game , not is anyone betting it.

If I am reading it right there is one guy on Rockies, one thinking of Brewers in a parlay , and one guy looking for a price on the RL.

So not really a lot of people actually looking to bet it.

I for one am not , just commenting on the line being out of wack.

I think he'll win though. I wish him luck even though it's a no-play for me.