biggest favs on the board > track it

[chipski]

fri july 4th 2008
happy 4th to all !!!

nl
reds -150 >
brew -210 >
braves -180 >
dbacks > -200

al
rays -160 >
wsox -160 >


realstic fav/dog result with these 6 games ? 4 - 2
who are the 2 fav losers ? haha . that's a very good question . not in a free flow state of mind at the moment or i would tell you ..
the 4 - 2 result could very easily end up at 3 - 3 .
4 - 2 looks about right though .

note : all 6 of these high favs are at home

will track every day to show the balance that occurs day in and day out , more than not a balanced result occurs .

is it possible that all 6 of these high home favs win at home on the 4th of july ? hehe

[chipski]

1 down

fri july 4th 2008


nl
reds -150 > won
brew -210 > won
braves -180 >
dbacks -200 >

al
rays -160 >
wsox -160 >

note : all 6 of these high favs are at home

brew crushes pitt to start it out 1 - 0 . reds follow it up , favs start 2 - 0 .
this is going to be a very interesting result because of the holiday ..

[BuddyBear]

I had a slight bias to many home teams today simply b/c it was the 4th of July. I am not really sure how home teams perform on holidays (memorial, 4th of july, labor, etc...) but it seems to me that attendence is way up on those holiday games and that creates a stronger home field. With a holiday and on a Friday, I really looked to a lot of home teams today in my capping.

[chipski]

big favs start 3 - 0

fri july 4th 2008
happy 4th to all !!!

nl
reds -150 > won by 3
brew -210 > won by 8
braves -180 > won by 4
dbacks -200 >

al
rays -160 > won by 9
wsox -160 > lost by 6

bear , yeah they started great so far today .

here we are for the night games ..

[chipski]

2 teamer
cards +107
jays +114

[chipski]

last 3 yrs look

I had a slight bias to many home teams today simply b/c it was the 4th of July. I am not really sure how home teams perform on holidays (memorial, 4th of july, labor, etc...) but it seems to me that attendence is way up on those holiday games and that creates a stronger home field.

last 3 years

july 4th 2005 > was on a monday . favs won 10 - 6 .
two favs won by a run .
nl 5 favs won 5 of 8 .
al 5 favs won 5 of 8 ) dh in clev
in the nl away teams won 6 of the 8 games
in the al home teams won 5 of the 8 games
7 overs and 7 unders . 2 pushes

july 4th 2006 > was on a tues . favs won 9 - 6 . three favs won by a run .
nl favs won 6 of 8 .
al dogs won 4 of 7 .
three favs won by a run .
nl home teams almost swept the board winning 7 of 8 (cards with carpenter spolied the 8 - 0 home nl sweep
al home teams won 5 of the 7
10 overs and 5 unders

july 4th 2007 > was on a wed . favs won 9 - 6 . two favs won by a run .
nl favs won 5 of the 8
al favs won 4 of the 7
nl home teams won 5 of the 8
al home teams won 3 of the 7
3 teams were trying to avoid the sweep and 2 avoided ..

my 2 big misses last year on the 4th were chic/chic , they were beat by the scrub o's and nats ..

[chipski]

result was favs 4 - 2

fri july 4th 2008
happy 4th to all !!!

nl
reds -150 > won by 3 runs
brew -210 > won by 8 runs
braves -180 > won by 4 runs
dbacks > -200 > lost

al
rays -160 > won by 9 runs
wsox -160 > lost


realstic fav/dog result with these 6 games ? 4 - 2
who are the 2 fav losers ? haha . that's a very good question . not in a free flow state of mind at the moment or i would tell you ..
the 4 - 2 result could very easily end up at 3 - 3 .
4 - 2 looks about right though .

was 4 - 2 result for the high odd favs

ariz and chicw fell short on the 4th

[chipski]

sat july 5th

biggest favs on the board
brew -150 >
braves -160 >
rocks -140 >

several in the -135 range , not high enough to list but they may go up before gametime , i wont list the rise or fall in the line regardless . is too much bs involved , will just leave the odds as they are ..
i originally was thinking i would only list -150 or greater but ..
these will work . not trying to get too deep ..

[chipski]

favs owned july 4th 2008

last 3 years

july 4th 2005 > was on a monday . favs won 10 - 6 .
two favs won by a run .
nl favs won 5 of 8 .
al favs won 5 of 8 ) dh in clev
in the nl away teams won 6 of the 8 games
in the al home teams won 5 of the 8 games
7 overs and 7 unders . 2 pushes

july 4th 2006 > was on a tues . favs won 9 - 6 . three favs won by a run .
nl favs won 6 of 8 .
al dogs won 4 of 7 .
three favs won by a run .
nl home teams almost swept the board winning 7 of 8 (cards with carpenter spolied the 8 - 0 home nl sweep
al home teams won 5 of the 7
10 overs and 5 unders

july 4th 2007 > was on a wed . favs won 9 - 6 . two favs won by a run .
nl favs won 5 of the 8
al favs won 4 of the 7
nl home teams won 5 of the 8
al home teams won 3 of the 7
7 overs and 6 unders . 2 pushes
3 teams were trying to avoid the sweep and 2 avoided ..

my 2 big misses last year on the 4th were chic/chic , they were beat by the scrub o's and nats ..

july 4th 2008 > was on a fri . favs won 12 - 3 .
two favs won by a run . ( if you counted the giants as the fav then it was 11 - 4 )
nl favs won 5/6 of the 8 games
al favs won 6 of the 7 games (lone al fav was no good was wsox)
nl home teams won 5 of the 8
al home teams won 5 of the 7
8 overs and 7 unders

1st place teams went 4 - 2 with the 2 losers being dbacks and wsox ..
there were 7 daytime games , if you count the dodgers as the fav then
the favs went 7 - 0 in the daytime .

[chipski]

stormin

sat july 5th

biggest favs on the board
brew -150 >
braves -160 >
rocks -140 >

rays -145 >

several in the -135 range , not high enough to list but they may go up before gametime , i wont list the rise or fall in the line regardless . is too much bs involved , will just leave the odds as they are ..
i originally was thinking i would only list -150 or greater but ..
these will work . not trying to get too deep ..

two of the 4 above are in a 4 game series and have a chance to at least create the trying to avoid the 4 game sweep scenario if not the 4 game sweep > rocks and rays

clarify ? you have to win 3 in a row to put the team in the trying to avoid the 4 game sweep category ..

same applies to the 3 game sweep cat , which if the braves and brew win then we have 2 teams making the trying to avoid the 3 game sweep on sunday .
find your best candidates and you have a perfect brainstorm to generate $$ .. or at the very least come out a little ahead .

note : this is game # 2 in tb

[chipski]

highest favs finish 3 - 1 on sat

sat july 5th

biggest favs on the board
brew -150 > won by 1
braves -160 > lost
rocks -140 > won by a 100

rays - 145 > won by 3

high favs went 3 - 1 sat

[chipski]

sun july 6th

biggest favs on the board
reds -210 > won by 1 . swept nats 4 straight in cinn
rocks -185 > lost by 5 in col . fla avoids 4 game sweep
brew -155 > won by 5 . swept pitt
dbacks -155 > won by 1 . avoided sweep at home

rays -210 > won by 7
yanks -160 > won by 1 on espn sun night

[DazeyBlazer]

i dont like the yanks at all...
but
reds , rays, brew i like...
rock..ya..but im a fla fan......
and dbacks no trust

[DazeyBlazer]

hm....put this together....

Date placed:
Jul 06, 2008 8:07a6 Team Parlay #116865240 Baseball - MLB (Game) Moneyline
NATIONAL LEAGUE
(952) Cincinnati Reds -220* Sun@1:15p
Competitor951) Washington Nationals Baseball - MLB (Game) Moneyline
NATIONAL LEAGUE
(954) Philadelphia Phillies -130* Sun@1:35p
Competitor953) New York Mets Baseball - MLB (Game) Moneyline
AMERICAN LEAGUE
(970) Tampa Bay Rays -220* Sun@1:40p
Competitor969) Kansas City Royals Baseball - MLB (Game) Moneyline
NATIONAL LEAGUE
(958) Milwaukee Brewers -157* Sun@2:05p
Competitor957) Pittsburgh Pirates Baseball - MLB (Game) Moneyline
NATIONAL LEAGUE
(960) Colorado Rockies -190* Sun@3:05p
Competitor959) Florida Marlins Baseball - MLB (Game) Moneyline
AMERICAN LEAGUE
(979) Boston Red Sox +140* Sun@8:05p
Competitor980) New York Yankees Risk US$ 38.50 to win US$ 825.65*
* Odds and win amount may not be the same as at time of placement, if a pitcher change takes place.

[head_strong]

GL

[chipski]

i dont like the yanks at all...
but
reds , rays, brew i like...
rock..ya..but im a fla fan......
and dbacks no trust

RRR > reds rocks rays seems worth a shot for a 3 teamer ..

pitching change for marlins , volstad .

[chipski]

big favs doing well

sun july 6th

biggest favs on the board
reds -210 > won by 1
rocks -185 > lost , they need their players back
brew -155 > won by 5
dbacks -155 > won by __

rays -210 > won by 7
yanks -160 >

i see you on rsox tonight blaze

big favs kicking butt and taking names ..
rocks and dbacks in progress ..

yanks tonight on espn

possibility of a 6 - 0 sweep with these ? well , i could never in a million years type in here that the yanks will spoil it and these will end up 5 - 1 .. lol
like yanks tonight
rise joba rise !

i see you are on rsox tonight blaze . great job if it happens . rocks blow it , phils in rain delay

looks like rocks are going down . so if yanks win the results will be 5 - 1 for favs above ..

[chipski]

sunday thread results

sun july 6th

biggest favs on the board
reds -210 > won by 1
rocks -185 > lost
brew -155 > won by 5
dbacks -155 > won by 1

rays -210 > won by 7
yanks -160 > won by 1

high favs went 5 - 1 on sunday .

[chipski]

mon july 7th

highest favs on the board

rays -187 > lost by 3 . kc avoids 4 game sweep in tb
rsox -180 > won by 1
a's -155 > won by 1
angels -140 > won by 3

results
listed high favs go 3 - 1

2 of the 3 win by a run killing all -1.5 plays

favs went 5 - 4 on monday

[tab]

We may be looking at one run games. I will not be putting none of these teams on the runline except maybe for the a's.

[chipski]

daytime dog starts out mon magic

mon july 7th

highest favs on the board

rays -187 > lost
rsox -180 >
a's -155 >
angels -140 >

3 to go ..

tab , cool .
personally i am liking dodgers and rsox for mon

[chipski]

tues july 8th

biggest favs on the board

nl
phils -200 > lost
dbacks -165 > won
brew -230 > won
cubs -160 > won
dodgers -140 >

al
rsox -170 > won
a's -185 >
jays -140 > won
tigers - 185 > won

looks like more than half the matchups will be high odds ..
very interesting and maybe even silly .
looks like only 2 away favs of the 15 games > ariz and chicw

what is funny is how the media talks up a bunch of bs so much . what ? because clev got rid of a starter they are saying clev has given up on their season .
i bet clev will play better now that they dont have ... or whoever . they will play great and kill people's $$ that think losing one guy makes or breaks a team .
is all about other guys stepping up and making you forget about or scratch your head about a teams improvement after the bigger name guy/guys that were released or traded ..
will this apply in clev ? it may apply just as easily as it may not .
i have seen this scenario many times before . i have even seen it with clev . lol

[DazeyBlazer]

do you got the YTD biggest fav results? atleast since this thread began?

[chipski]

do you got the YTD biggest fav results? atleast since this thread began?

on this thread looks like fav domination 15 - 5 in 4 days ..

fri > 4 - 2
sat > 3 - 1
sun > 5 - 1
mon > 3 - 1

[chipski]

tues revision with the lines

tues july 8th

biggest favs on the board

nl
phils -210 > lost , shutout at home
dbacks -160 > won by 2
brew -230 > won by 4
cubs -160 > won by 4
dodgers -145 > lost by 6

al
rsox -175 > won by 1 , for the 2nd straight night with big 8th inn in each game
a's -185 > won by 2 in shutout over sea
jays -140 > won by 1
tigers - 185 > won by 7

looks like more than half the matchups are high odds ..

this is gonna be something ..

i know there are different lines everywhere , is not relevant in this fav track .

there are 3 home dogs
nats > they lost
rangers > they won by 1
royals > they lost in 13 inn

high fav results on tues
favs 7 - 2
al teams swept 4 - 0

[FreeFall]

care to give the value in american odds? favs tend to take alot more from you when they lose even though it looks like you should be ahead as of now.

[chipski]

track it , see it , smell it , pounce on it

care to give the value in american odds? favs tend to take alot more from you when they lose even though it looks like you should be ahead as of now.

i parlay favs like this . is just a track of the biggest favs on the board for the day ..
american or chinese , if you parlayed these favs the last 4 days there were 15 teams you would have put check marks beside and 5 that would have been x's to kill parlays ..

value ?
a track like this thread is left up to the beholder to get something from . you may see a thread like this and decide to wager all or some of the dogs that play these particular high favs .. all on single wagers with good +odds .. or parlay the juicy sweet odd dogs that play these favs on 2 teamers .. endless options exist
is up to you .
for anyone that has any experience , threads like these can be useful because of WHAT YOU KNOW . not because of what i know or what i might think i might know .

[DazeyBlazer]

greaet infoo ... i got a whole file dedicated to ur posts....very helpful additions...

[chipski]

tues thread results

tues july 8th

biggest favs on the board

nl
phils -200 > lost , shutout at home
dbacks -165 > won by 2
brew -230 > won by 4
cubs -160 > won by 4
dodgers -140 > lost

al
rsox -170 > won by 1 , for the 2nd straight night with big 8th inn in each game .
no ortiz right now , no problem
jays -140 > won by 1
tigers -185 > won by 7
a's -185 > won by 2

highest favs on the board continue to show well and get the job done ..

results
favs won 7 -2
al high favs swept 4 - 0

[AC1318]

all good stuff

thanks

[chipski]

tues big favs went 7 - 2 posted above .
if you count the yanks as the fav yesterday the final count was favs dominated 12 - 3 . the 3 fav losers of the whole board were phils , dodgers and angels (2 1st place teams )
the al favs almost swept the al going 6 - 1 ..
al home teams almost swept the board going 6 - 1 , wsox killed the 7 - 0 al home sweep .

[chipski]

wed july 9th

biggest favs on the board

a look from highest to lowest
rsox -250 > won by 13
brew -240 > lost
mets -220 > won by 3
cubs -180 > won by 4
a's -165 > lost
bjays -155 > won by 1
tigers -155 > won by 2
angels -142 > lost
phils -142 > won by 2

9 big favs listed again here just like tues .
5 in the al and 4 in the nl .
8 are at home while 1 is away , the angels .
3 of these high fav listed teams are 1st place teams > phils cubs angels


5 day w/l results for this thread > favs 22 wins the dogs 7 wins


normal look in nl/al format
nl
brew -240 > lost , poor bullpen work
mets -220 > won by 3 in shutout , santana was a due as ever ..
cubs -180 > won by 4
phils -142 > won by 2

al
rsox -250 > won by 13 in a daytime slaughter
a's -165 > lost
jays -155 > won by 1 , ryan comes in gives up a 2 out jack to kill the -1.5 ..
tigers -155 > won by 2 (walkoff
angels -142 > lost , blown save

[chipski]

closing in on gametime

wed july 9th

biggest favs on the board

9 big favs listed again here just like tues .
5 in the al and 4 in the nl .
8 are at home while 1 is away , the angels .
3 of these high fav listed teams are 1st place teams > phils cubs angels


5 day w/l results for this thread > favs 22 wins the dogs 7 wins

nl
brew -240 > lost , poor bullpen showing by mota
mets -220 > won by 3 , shutout sf
cubs -180 > won by 4
phils -142 > won by 2

al
rsox -250 > won by 13
a's -165 > lost
jays -155 > won by 1
tigers -155 > won by 2
angels -142 > lost , blown save

rsox destroy the twins by 13 runs to kick it off on wed ..

inching closer to gametime , bring on the night !

results
favs won 6 - 3

[chipski]

high favs almost over the top again

wed july 9th

biggest favs on the board

a look from highest to lowest
rsox -250 > won by 13
brew -240 > lost
mets -220 > won by 3
cubs -180 > won by 4
a's -165 > lost
bjays -155 > won by 1
tigers -155 > won by 2
angels -142 > lost
phils -142 > won by 2

9 big favs listed again here just like tues .
5 in the al and 4 in the nl .
8 are at home while 1 is away , the angels .

3 of these high fav listed teams are 1st place teams
phils > $$
cubs > $$
angels > x it

wed results for high favs > 7 - 2 or 6 - 3 depending on if a's come back or not ..

result was favs 6 - 3

[chipski]

thurs july 10th
biggest favs on the board

nl
mets -210 ,-220 > won by 4 , swept sf
brew -170 > won by 10
cubs -165 > lost , blown the f out
dbacks -145 > won by 2 in 11 inn
dodgers -140 > lost in 11 inn

al
a's -175 > won by 1 in 11 inn
angels -140 > won by 1 in 13 inn

results > high favs went 5 - 2