jtuck MLB Thread

[jtuck]

This is my first season betting baseball and have had a rough start, trying a different capping angle. I'm going to start tracking here. Lines from 5 Dimes.

6/19/08

2* White Sox (-144) WIN
1* Orioles (-123) WIN
1* Yankees -1.5 (-105) LOSS
1* D Backs (+102) WIN

[jtuck]

3-1, +2.97

6/20/08

1* Braves -120

[jtuck]

Been away for a few days, got one for the late games

YTD 3-2, +1.77

Phillies -108

[jtuck]

Been away for a few days, got one for the late games

YTD 3-2, +1.77

Phillies -108LOSS

3-3, +0.69

6/25/08
2* Blue Jays (-165)
2* Angels (-155)

[jtuck]

Getting Killed, Back at it though. Like quite a few tomorrow.

YTD 3-5, -5.71

6/30/08
3*Cubs -133 Max Play
1*Nationals +124
1*Dodgers +135
1*Tigers -115

[jtuck]

YTD 3-5, -5.71

6/30/08
3*Cubs -133 Max Play WIN
1*Nationals +124 LOSS
1*Dodgers +135 LOSS
1*Tigers -115

WIN[/QUOTE]

YTD 5-7, -3.71

Plays for 7/1/08

2* Braves/Phillies U9 +105
1* White Sox -129

[jtuck]

YTD 5-7, -3.71

Plays for 7/1/08

2* Braves/Phillies U9 +105 LOSS
1* White Sox -129 WIN

YTD 6-8, -4.71

[jtuck]

7/2/08

2* Cubs (-133)
1* A's/Angels under 8 (-110)
1* Astros (-101)

[jtuck]

Adding two more for tonight, gonna stupidly chase with some chalk.

2*Yankees -167
2*Rockies -146

[jtuck]

7/2/08

2* Cubs (-133) WIN
1* A's/Angels under 8 (-110) LOSS
1* Astros (-101) LOSS
2* Yankees (-167) WIN
2* Rockies (-146) WIN

YTD 9-10 (-.82)

7/3/08
2* Tigers (-130)

[jtuck]

For 7/3
add
1* Cubs/Giants No Run in First Inning (-150)

Made some money with these props earlier in the year, gonna start playing them every now and then again.

[jtuck]

That didnt work out too well, now i chase with a 2* on No 1st Inning Run OAK/CWS (-130)

[Deke101]

Ouch...no namer hits a homer.

If your gonna chase tonight I like the Tigers/Mariners Over. Or add to your Tigers bet.

[ZBOIZ]

And here's a EASY PLAY!!!!! Take Detroit tonight to win!!!!

And the Over also looks solid but If I was you I would play both!

[jtuck]

YTD 9-10 (-.82)

7/3/08
2* Tigers (-130) WIN

However, lost 3.10 on first innings plays.
Stuck with just the tigers ML, felt confident in it getting some of my units back. I think those first inning plays can work out, especially without chasing em.

YTD 10-12 -1.92

4th of July Plays

3* Parlay D-Backs & Brew Crew (+131) Not a pick of simply two high chalks, but after looking at both games i see the chances of one of them losing are about the same as a 6 run bottom of the ninth.
1* Parlay D-Backs, Brewers, Braves (+262) Worth a shot, think Hudson can shut down Houston.
1* Marlins (+114) FFlridas pitching is much better than colorado and the marlins O should be able to put runs up against Reynolds in Coloroado, even though he is a righty.

[jtuck]

3* Parlay D-Backs & Brew Crew (+131)
1* Parlay D-Backs, Brewers, Braves (+262)
1* Marlins (+114)

Add
2* Brewers RL (+100)

[onlooker]

Hey Jtuck. Post the large picture of your avatar, or a link.

Good luck on your bets today, I will be on the Marlins today as well.

[jtuck]

Hey Jtuck. Post the large picture of your avatar, or a link.
Good luck on your bets today, I will be on the Marlins today as well.

I cant remember where i saw it at, i'll see if i can dig it up for ya

[jtuck]

That Parlay & Florida both loosing the way they did hurt, took today off except for a couple small plays

YTD 11-15 -4.92

For 7/6/08
None of the favorites stand out but like 4 dogs that i think can at least split for a profit.

1* Astros +127
1* Pirates +145
1* Padres +149
1* Red Sox +150

[jtuck]

That Parlay & Florida both loosing the way they did hurt, took today off except for a couple small plays

YTD 11-15 -4.92

For 7/6/08
None of the favorites stand out but like 4 dogs that i think can at least split for a profit.

1* Astros +127 LOSS
1* Pirates +145 LOSS
1* Padres +149 LOSS
1* Red Sox +150 LOSS

Fantastic day if you faded, 4 team parlay woulda paid +678. Houston and Boston both have seventh inning leads and lose in extras. 5 for monday.

1* Parlay Tampa/Boston +144
1* Marlins +111
1* Phillies -126
1* Brewers -127
1* Atlanta +120

[jtuck]

11-19 -8.92
The climb out of the red begins tonight, put in a parlay right before game time.

2* Parlay Cubs & Brewers (+128)

[jtuck]

11-20, -10.92

Dammit. Thank god baseball isnt all i bet. From here on its strict spot plays. I've actually made 1.6 units on my 2 & 3 unit plays, just past time to stop playing the 1 unit bets.

7/10/08
4* Diamondbacks -150

Upping my max play from 3* to 5*, i know its not the smartest thing to do but with spot bets i can make up my large deficit ive gotten into. Little more juice than i like but see tons of value in it. Washington is 1-8 in Bergmann's last 9 starts. The diamondbacks bats have been much better against righties, hitting .285 in their last ten, and scoring nearly 4 runs per. Washington also struggles against righties hitting just .220 in their last ten.
Haren has also been great in his last 3 starts, going 1-1 but with a .86 ERA and a .86 WHIP. Bergmann is no slouch, but his numbers fall off in night games, with a WHIP of 1.57 and opponents hitting .366 off of him. Finally, the Nationals are 0-5 in Bergmann's night starts, allowing 7 runs per game and only scoring 1.88. Very Confident in the Diamondbacks here, I think they should be around -170 or so.

[jtuck]

Finally on the right side of one, but Arizona sure didnt make it easy.

YTD 12-20, -6.92

[jtuck]

2 Plays for today

4* Tampa Bay -134
Rays bats have been struggling but they hit much better against righties. Garza has been lights out in his last three starts, going 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA and a WHIP of 0.79. Ginter's AAA numbers arent anything special either, just 6-6 with a 4.14 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP.

2* Cubs First 5 -240
Not a very smart play, but this is as close to a lock you'll get in baseball this year.

[jtuck]

13-21, -10.28

7/17/08
5* Mets -1/2 First 5 (-120) BetOnline

Santana hasn't given up more than 3 ER to a NL team since April 12. His WHIP is actually better on the road than at home, and he has an ERA of just 2.74 in night games. Cueto's numbers are solid as of late, but they have came against offensively challenged teams like the Yankees, DOdgers, Indians, and Nationals. Opponents are hittin g .364 at night off of Cueto, and he has a night WHIP of 1.57. Mets have a .390 OBP in there last 10 against lefties, scoring 6.5 runs per game. Santana is 4-0 since 2004 in his first start after the break.

2* STL/SD No Score 1st (-145)

[jtuck]

0-2 tonight. I retire