FreeFall's lazy system

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  • FreeFall
    SBR MVP
    • 02-20-08
    • 3365

    #1
    FreeFall's lazy system
    I have been viewing wagerlines "expert" picks from time to time and I think there may be some success in them. My system will look at all the "experts" plays for the day and if there is a 3:1 ratio of one team over the other one, along with there being 12 or more people picking that side I will bet them. This has been profitable for the one month I tried it. Small sample yes. Very lazy system, YES. But I'm going to try it for fun and maybe it works.

    will post the plays before game time since there are three games at 11:3 right now that need one more on the 11 side to become playable.
  • FreeFall
    SBR MVP
    • 02-20-08
    • 3365

    #2
    LA Dodgers -157
    Flor v Atl U10 -125
    Comment
    • FreeFall
      SBR MVP
      • 02-20-08
      • 3365

      #3
      LA Angels -133
      Chi Cubs -155
      Comment
      • FreeFall
        SBR MVP
        • 02-20-08
        • 3365

        #4
        3-1 +1.75

        lots of chalk, but a system is a system.
        Comment
        • FreeFall
          SBR MVP
          • 02-20-08
          • 3365

          #5
          LADodgers -144
          Comment
          • FreeFall
            SBR MVP
            • 02-20-08
            • 3365

            #6
            Chi White Sox -122
            Phil v Cin U10 +100
            Comment
            • FreeFall
              SBR MVP
              • 02-20-08
              • 3365

              #7
              Originally posted by FreeFall
              LADodgers -144
              Originally posted by FreeFall
              Chi White Sox -122
              Phil v Cin U10 +100
              5-2 +2.31
              Comment
              • FreeFall
                SBR MVP
                • 02-20-08
                • 3365

                #8
                Boston -180
                Chi. White Sox -170

                this system eats lots of chalk, but I guess we'll see how it works out in the end.
                Comment
                • Wilforth
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-10-08
                  • 16309

                  #9
                  What makes it a "lazy" system? There ain't many who don't at least "look" at the front page free picks. Keep up with whatever works.
                  Comment
                  • FreeFall
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-20-08
                    • 3365

                    #10
                    plays for today would've been

                    minn twins -120
                    atl braves -163

                    I wont count them because I didnt post them before game time though.

                    Originally posted by Wilforth
                    What makes it a "lazy" system? There ain't many who don't at least "look" at the front page free picks. Keep up with whatever works.
                    I just liked the name plus it requires no work on my part. I just steal the common consensus of those that win. But you have the same ideals as me as Whatever works works.
                    Comment
                    • FreeFall
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-20-08
                      • 3365

                      #11
                      Boston -156
                      Phil v ATL U9 -110
                      Toronto -168
                      Tor v Balt U8.5 +100

                      heres the plays so far. Might be one more.
                      Comment
                      • maritime
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 10-26-05
                        • 474

                        #12
                        I'm familiar w/ wagerline and it occasionally factors into my plays. May I suggest a filter for your "lazy" system. If the so-called "exper opinion" is predominantly in favor of 1 team yet there is sig. line movement the opposite way or sometimes just absence of movement, then be very cautious playing on the expert pick. In fact, either make it a no-play or cap the game some more and consider the other side.
                        Comment
                        • maritime
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 10-26-05
                          • 474

                          #13
                          For example, right now I see over 70% picks for Toronto, and the expert opinion is a blistering 16 to 1 for Toronto. Check the line movement, hasn't moved. Makes it a no play for me or possibly a play on Baltimore. But making bets solely on info like this is not what I'd recommend. I use it more to rule out playing on Toronto, if I happened to like them at first glance.

                          To me, it suggests some sharper action on Baltimore.
                          Comment
                          • Salcas
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-24-08
                            • 1211

                            #14
                            Ive come to learn the hard way that all of this consensus and expert crap means shit. In my opinion, go with your gut and stats to help you win.
                            Comment
                            • FreeFall
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-20-08
                              • 3365

                              #15
                              Florida -129
                              Comment
                              • FreeFall
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-20-08
                                • 3365

                                #16
                                YTD: 8-6 -.22

                                ATL -128
                                ATL v Phil U 10 -110
                                BOS -179
                                Comment
                                • FreeFall
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-20-08
                                  • 3365

                                  #17
                                  YTD 10-7 +.5

                                  woke up too late today to bet.
                                  Comment
                                  • FreeFall
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-20-08
                                    • 3365

                                    #18
                                    Toronto -173
                                    Comment
                                    • FreeFall
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-20-08
                                      • 3365

                                      #19
                                      YTD: 10-8 -1.23

                                      nicely done seattle.
                                      Comment
                                      • FreeFall
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-20-08
                                        • 3365

                                        #20
                                        Bos -213
                                        Comment
                                        • FreeFall
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-20-08
                                          • 3365

                                          #21
                                          Minn v Cle O8 -110
                                          Chi White Sox -121
                                          Tor -180
                                          Hou -136
                                          Hou v Mil U9 +100
                                          Comment
                                          • FreeFall
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-20-08
                                            • 3365

                                            #22
                                            YTD: 13-11 -2.67

                                            Philadelphia -154
                                            Phil v Flor O8.5 -110
                                            Hou v Mil U9.5 -110
                                            Comment
                                            • FreeFall
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-20-08
                                              • 3365

                                              #23
                                              YTD 13-14 -6.41

                                              CO -122

                                              maybe I should fade the plays instead of playing them?

                                              If it hits -15 units I'll fade everyone.
                                              Comment
                                              • FreeFall
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-20-08
                                                • 3365

                                                #24
                                                YTD 13-15 -7.63

                                                Balt -130
                                                Cin -102
                                                Mil v Tor U8.5 -110
                                                Chi Wht Sox -174
                                                Comment
                                                • FreeFall
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-20-08
                                                  • 3365

                                                  #25
                                                  YTD 16-16 -5.65

                                                  Chi Wht Sox -165
                                                  Comment
                                                  • FreeFall
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-20-08
                                                    • 3365

                                                    #26
                                                    Balt -156
                                                    NYY -130
                                                    Comment
                                                    • FreeFall
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-20-08
                                                      • 3365

                                                      #27
                                                      YTD 19-16 -2.65

                                                      nice night for the favs that I bet. I wonder if this system will ever pick underdogs.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • FreeFall
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-20-08
                                                        • 3365

                                                        #28
                                                        NYY -219
                                                        Chicago White Sox -160
                                                        Balt -122
                                                        Comment
                                                        • FreeFall
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-20-08
                                                          • 3365

                                                          #29
                                                          YTD 22-16 +.35

                                                          Chi cubs -133
                                                          Comment
                                                          • FreeFall
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-20-08
                                                            • 3365

                                                            #30
                                                            YTD 23-16 +1.35

                                                            no games fit the system today
                                                            Comment
                                                            • FreeFall
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-20-08
                                                              • 3365

                                                              #31
                                                              Cleveland -170
                                                              Atlanta -136
                                                              St. Louis +152
                                                              Chi Cubs -133
                                                              Comment
                                                              • FreeFall
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-20-08
                                                                • 3365

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by FreeFall
                                                                Cleveland -170
                                                                Atlanta -136
                                                                St. Louis +152
                                                                Chi Cubs -133
                                                                YTD 24-19 -1.52
                                                                Comment
                                                                • FreeFall
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-20-08
                                                                  • 3365

                                                                  #33
                                                                  LAAngels -153
                                                                  Chi Cubs -181
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • FreeFall
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-20-08
                                                                    • 3365

                                                                    #34
                                                                    YTD 25-20 -205

                                                                    Det Tigers -124
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • FreeFall
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-20-08
                                                                      • 3365

                                                                      #35
                                                                      YTD 26-20 -105

                                                                      Minn Twins -106
                                                                      Comment
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