Prop not even up at BM yet. . . (Gonna juice it good, I'm guessing)
Dialysis1 On for 9 Years and Counting . . .
Comment
NOREGRETS
SBR MVP
02-12-10
1326
#1612
Originally posted by saints1856
I'm on this too... 3 up 3 down gents
TIMES TWO...
Comment
somachino1
SBR Sharp
02-11-11
279
#1613
May God help you and your epic money in the fireplace streak.
Comment
justwinthisone
SBR MVP
09-27-10
1604
#1614
Originally posted by saints1856
I'm on this too... 3 up 3 down gents
6 up 6 down
Comment
justwinthisone
SBR MVP
09-27-10
1604
#1615
Originally posted by somachino1
May God help you and your epic money in the fireplace streak.
u say that but i know your in here looking for my plays.....its ok even though u hate i have no issues with u.....fade it
Comment
SilverTongueFox
SBR MVP
11-23-10
2338
#1616
Any concern with the line movement early game. Local drop to -150 (from -165). 5D drop to -145 (from -150). Think I'll wait and see if it goes back up - may add more.
Edit - 5D just went back up
Comment
justwinthisone
SBR MVP
09-27-10
1604
#1617
i am waiting til this first game is over to decide where to eat lunch........steak house if i win and fighting with a homeless guy for the dumpster if i lose
Comment
justwinthisone
SBR MVP
09-27-10
1604
#1618
Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
Any concern with the line movement early game. Local drop to -150 (from -165). 5D drop to -145 (from -150). Think I'll wait and see if it goes back up - may add more.
Edit - 5D just went back up
its bc the over under is going from 7 to 7.5 back to 7.......
Comment
saints1856
SBR MVP
11-12-10
1189
#1619
I read this on espn.com's preview of the game:
"Karstens, though, could be hard-pressed to put up similar numbers given his recent struggles versus the Reds, who roughed him up for five runs and eight hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 7-6 Pittsburgh road win April 17."
Who gives a f*** what happened in a game in April? I see another lower scoring game, with no runs being scored until the 3-4th inning
Comment
paul051966
SBR High Roller
04-09-11
185
#1620
On it 1 unit at -130, 5D dropped it at the last second.. GL
Comment
justwinthisone
SBR MVP
09-27-10
1604
#1621
great first at bat......error by short stop runner on 2nd... routine ground ball
Comment
justwinthisone
SBR MVP
09-27-10
1604
#1622
Originally posted by justwinthisone
great first at bat......error by short stop runner on 2nd... routine ground ball
cannot catch a break
Comment
justwinthisone
SBR MVP
09-27-10
1604
#1623
no hits in the top of the 1st but they score....what bs
Comment
paul051966
SBR High Roller
04-09-11
185
#1624
Nice 2 base error to start, can luck get any worse? geez..
Comment
joco
SBR MVP
04-24-11
3242
#1625
this is bad. ive been play no scores for the last 3 months with success but i think the cons r starting to outweigh the pros
Comment
dlightner
Restricted User
04-30-08
401
#1626
And I Loaded up
Comment
ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#1627
Originally posted by joco
this is bad. ive been play no scores for the last 3 months with success but i think the cons r starting to outweigh the pros
Books catch on.. games r over juiced.. they know these bets suck people in cause most r not patient
Comment
BettingBogie
SBR Rookie
06-18-11
36
#1628
That's it folks....I think perhaps a switch to Yes's is in order, simply because there's not so much juice involved. If we lose, fine, but not at -150....these props are killing my bankroll here.
Comment
justwinthisone
SBR MVP
09-27-10
1604
#1629
wow
Comment
justwinthisone
SBR MVP
09-27-10
1604
#1630
fuk it im goin all in on no run 1st sf/lad for 50 units
Comment
somachino1
SBR Sharp
02-11-11
279
#1631
Nothing against you either jwto but boondoggle is right, mathematically you would have to hit about 75% just to stay afloat.
Not only that, you're obviously in a slump and you continue to lay large units on the highest juiced bets available.
I know you were fluctuating your units for a while but its clear that you're chasing.
You're smarter than that, take a little break and come back with smaller units until no scores start to come back around.
Comment
letsgo
SBR MVP
03-27-10
2204
#1632
Originally posted by justwinthisone
fuk it im goin all in on no run 1st sf/lad for 50 units
You deserve to lose it all if you bet like that.
Comment
firehoyt
SBR MVP
12-02-10
3569
#1633
No more "No's" for me. This just isn't worth it anymore.
Comment
justwinthisone
SBR MVP
09-27-10
1604
#1634
Originally posted by letsgo
You deserve to lose it all if you bet like that.
thanks for your opinion..........its just money
Comment
boondoggle
SBR MVP
09-29-10
3014
#1635
Justwinthisone,
I think you are onto something here but it needs a little tweaking. You need to include yes's in your model to offset the high juice of no's. If you did this, I think you would be more successful.
Comment
dugdogg
SBR MVP
11-10-10
2708
#1636
50 units lol....ok now we know this is all fake...no one's betting 50 units on a -175 prop...i mean if this is what a few days or a week of losing bets does to you then geez...what could happen to you in other situations in life
Comment
NOREGRETS
SBR MVP
02-12-10
1326
#1637
Originally posted by justwinthisone
fuk it im goin all in on no run 1st sf/lad for 50 units
I am in for 15 units. If this does not hit, I may not be around at least for a while. If it hits, I may even take a break... Let's get that money bitches!!!!!
Comment
saints1856
SBR MVP
11-12-10
1189
#1638
Originally posted by justwinthisone
thanks for your opinion..........its just money
I lost 2 units on the Cin/Pit prop, so I'm betting 4 units to win those 2 back on LAD/SF... 6 up 6 down and lets break even on this b*tch
Comment
NOREGRETS
SBR MVP
02-12-10
1326
#1639
Comment
unclebuzz1
SBR Wise Guy
08-23-09
565
#1640
Option (1)
Option (2)
I vote option (1)
.
Comment
somachino1
SBR Sharp
02-11-11
279
#1641
I'm gonna put a small wager on no in the first in the phillies game. It's at +125. I like the odds considering it has gone yes the last 2 games.
Wish me luck.
Comment
Dollaz
SBR High Roller
04-14-11
115
#1642
wow..i guess im lucky i didn't catch the first game but im on sf/lad...Let the gods be with us!!
Comment
NOREGRETS
SBR MVP
02-12-10
1326
#1643
LA/SFO has been soooo risky. Last two games, a man has reached third base (from SFO) in first inning. I don't give a $hit what happens, as long as there is no score. Let's cash this MONSTER
Comment
paul051966
SBR High Roller
04-09-11
185
#1644
Originally posted by BettingBogie
That's it folks....I think perhaps a switch to Yes's is in order, simply because there's not so much juice involved. If we lose, fine, but not at -150....these props are killing my bankroll here.
Yah, very small % can hope to profit long term playing high juice favs as main strategy. You'd have to find a niche somewhere in there (i.e. only dodger games if the juice isn't too high). There is another strategy where a guy plays yes on 8.5 o/u only night games ($10 chasing) and he hasn't lost yet. Usually the yes in that category will get even/+ odds.
Comment
wquine
SBR MVP
09-30-09
2046
#1645
Dont think chasing is goood, but GL nevertheless JWTO.