Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Wednesday, 5/21/08

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Wednesday, 5/21/08
    Starting Thursday (May 1), we will start a new May Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest with a prize of $250 account at BetJamaica, 3 time roll-over. Last place will receive a $25 BetJamaica account with a 3 time roll over. If there is a tie for last place in both units and wins (20 plays minimum), there will be be multiple last place boobie prizes.

    *IMPORTANT*
    All players must have an account at BetJamaica prior to making picks Sign up here

    Before participating, players must PM their BetJamaica account ID to SBRforum Staff


    1. Check in the BASEBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Only the UNDERDOGS in games posted by LT will be eligible for selection, which will be only games that have underdog prices of greater than +110.

    3. All plays will be RISKING one unit, and selections may NOT be changed once posted.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up! The write-up does not have to be long, just a sentence or two (or more) about why you are making your play.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis will be NO ACTION. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake, need to add analysis or wish to enter a corrected line, do so in a separate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not go off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not contest selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts, LT's notes to posters or congratulatory posts.

    6. And here’s the fine print:

    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per home and computer.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one underdog pick per day, minimum 20 underdog plays required to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker for first place is total WINS. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head underdog match until winner is determined. This would begin on the first day of next month with no passes allowed. If co-leader passes during tie-breaking period, he or she is eliminated, even if other co-lealers lose.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    [B]Name            W       L       Units[/B]
    shantystar 	11	5	11.12
    Wrigley     	12	6	10.13
    bbyhill      	12	6	9.98
    fifawcs    	11	8	6.74
    louisvillekid  	11	9	4.97
    Cabo        	6	4	3.80
    Checkerboard	8	9	3.77
    Sportsgirl	8	7	3.66
    TexAg001   	7	5	3.60
    Wyndham 	3	1	3.08
    pats3peat 	4	3	2.90
    soli        	9	10	2.71
    rjt721      	6	5	2.41
    dog       	6	7	2.27
    mr. leisure 	9	9	2.27
    pimike        	2	1	2.03
    szaidi99    	5	4	1.93
    stevek173 	5	6	1.84
    MOONCRICKET	7	8	1.60
    wtt0315    	4	4	1.52
    stump      	3	3	1.29
    indy62      	6	7	0.74
    THE HITMAN	7	9	0.55
    Shooter    	6	7	0.49
    mofome    	4	6	-0.36
    greg66     	2	3	-0.51
    Pigpen     	3	5	-0.52
    clarkd32    	1	2	-0.52
    WakeuP420 	1	2	-0.52
    billmunny   	6	8	-0.67
    marley33   	1	2	-0.77
    Cee          	3	5	-0.93
    HedgeHog   	7	10	-0.98
    juuso      	6	9	-0.99
    anjac      	0	1	-1.00
    ClassicBaseball	0	1	-1.00
    justdoingit 	0	1	-1.00
    Poker Beast	0	1	-1.00
    twtb19     	0	1	-1.00
    WizardofWins	0	1	-1.00
    MonkeyF0cker	5	8	-1.25
    awatkins011	2	4	-1.28
    LB         	4	7	-1.43
    dannyt76 	1	3	-1.53
    DeluxeLiner 	2	5	-1.60
    SexyMit     	4	7	-1.65
    EaglesPhan36	5	8	-1.69
    capitalist pig	3	6	-1.70
    diogee    	5	8	-1.81
    Immortality  	3	6	-1.99
    aca          	0	2	-2.00
    Illusion    	0	2	-2.00
    Jiggy Fly  	0	2	-2.00
    elguason  	4	7	-2.05
    frostno98  	2	5	-2.15
    brock      	5	9	-2.17
    rsigley     	2	5	-2.35
    rake922      	5	9	-2.47
    GoHeels12	5	10	-2.69
    sharktank1  	7	13	-2.74
    regularguy  	4	8	-2.84
    THE POSTMAN	1	4	-2.86
    msubulldog	1	4	-2.89
    2Pac       	0	3	-3.00
    babaoriley 	0	3	-3.00
    gummo     	0	3	-3.00
    sportsfun   	3	7	-3.03
    Kaps       	2	6	-3.14
    20Four7     	3	7	-3.17
    Microphone	4	8	-3.19
    Meestermike	3	7	-3.20
    luciano    	4	8	-3.27
    junkman773	4	9	-3.48
    rm18        	1	5	-3.55
    ChuteBoxe  	2	6	-3.68
    goldengoat    	2	6	-3.75
    doye      	4	9	-3.84
    Bills Hooligan	3	8	-3.93
    WonTooManyBets	0	4	-4.00
    Bshark    	3	8	-4.24
    element1286	2	7	-4.72
    trytrytry   	1	6	-4.73
    mundane   	4	10	-5.04
    chipski      	4	10	-5.09
    mbr 18      	2	9	-5.67
    oakas      	6	13	-6.00
    Mr KLC      	3	10	-6.07
    LT Profits	5	14	-7.28
    pokernut9999	3	13	-7.90
    Junkyard Dog	4	15	-8.97
    treece     	2	14	-11.64
    Comment
    • 20Four7
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-08-07
      • 6703

      #3
      Balt +136

      As per yesterday fading yankees is always value especially with how bad they have been playing. Baltimore is rolling along with 7 wins last 10 and the yanks....well who cares anymore.
      Comment
      • shantystar
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-13-05
        • 7299

        #4
        mariners+131,strong inside info.
        Comment
        • stevek173
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-29-08
          • 27598

          #5
          Stl (Looper) +130....Nice value here in getting one of the sports better teams so far against the sports worst. Young is good, but his #'s this year arent so much.
          Comment
          • junkman773
            Restricted User
            • 02-04-08
            • 1316

            #6
            977 Cleveland +132
            Byrd 9-2 last 11 vs CWS with an ERA of 4.13

            CWS now 4-6 last 10 vs tribe

            Great spot for Tribe

            Cleveland + is the play
            Comment
            • rake922
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-23-07
              • 11692

              #7
              Originally posted by shantystar
              mariners+131,strong inside info.
              What inside info?
              Comment
              • chipski
                SBR MVP
                • 11-16-07
                • 1745

                #8
                lets see the 2 biggest dogs on the board are marlins and royals . which one has the best chance ? very tough decision . i like the dbacks to finally lose when webb starts but why go against he best . i dont like tomko for the royals or going against the mighty rsox at fenway . hmm

                indians +130
                maybe tribe win one , really i like the wsox but will try this one on here .
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Wed 5/21 951 San Francisco Giants +140
                  3:05PM (EST) 952 Colorado Rockies

                  Wed 5/21 953 Milwaukee Brewers
                  7:05PM (EST) 954 Pittsburgh Pirates +121

                  Wed 5/21 955 Arizona Diamondbacks
                  7:10PM (EST) 956 Florida Marlins +149

                  Wed 5/21 957 New York Mets +126
                  7:10PM (EST) 958 Atlanta Braves

                  Wed 5/21 959 Philadelphia Phillies
                  7:10PM (EST) 960 Washington Nationals +120

                  Wed 5/21 963 St Louis Cardinals +132
                  10:05PM (EST) 964 San Diego Padres

                  Wed 5/21 965 Cincinnati Reds +128
                  10:10PM (EST) 966 Los Angeles Dodgers

                  Wed 5/21 969 Kansas City Royals +152
                  7:05PM (EST) 970 Boston Red Sox

                  Wed 5/21 971 Seattle Mariners +130
                  7:05PM (EST) 972 Detroit Tigers

                  Wed 5/21 973 Baltimore Orioles +135
                  7:05PM (EST) 974 New York Yankees

                  Wed 5/21 975 Los Angeles Angels +123
                  7:05PM (EST) 976 Toronto Blue Jays

                  Wed 5/21 977 Cleveland Indians +132
                  8:10PM (EST) 978 Chicago White Sox

                  Wed 5/21 979 Texas Rangers +132
                  8:10PM (EST) 980 Minnesota Twins
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    MARLINS +149: Yes, I know Webb is 9-0, but he can’t win 0-0 right? The D-Backs are not hitting right now, batting .220 as a team over the last 10 games including a pathetic .179 vs. righties. The Snakes are averaging 3.90 runs over these 10 games, while Florida is averaging 5.80 runs in the same span. Now, Nolasco may not be much, but he has been fine in small doses, allowing three runs or less in four of his last five starts while never going more than six innings. A repeat would be fine given Florida’s fine 3.36 bullpen ERA.
                    Comment
                    • fifawcs
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-14-07
                      • 2888

                      #11
                      Marlins +149
                      What better team to give Webb his first loss than the Florida Marlins? They hit righties well and the offense has been stagnant as of late. The way Gregg saved them yesterday makes me think he can hold any lead.
                      Comment
                      • Bshark
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 07-18-07
                        • 956

                        #12
                        Baltimore

                        Bullpen System Play here. With the Yankees struggling and the Os hot, I see value here.
                        Comment
                        • JRS21386
                          Restricted User
                          • 04-13-08
                          • 2213

                          #13
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          MARLINS +149: Yes, I know Webb is 9-0, but he can’t win 0-0 right? The D-Backs are not hitting right now, batting .220 as a team over the last 10 games including a pathetic .179 vs. righties. The Snakes are averaging 3.90 runs over these 10 games, while Florida is averaging 5.80 runs in the same span. Now, Nolasco may not be much, but he has been fine in small doses, allowing three runs or less in four of his last five starts while never going more than six innings. A repeat would be fine given Florida’s fine 3.36 bullpen ERA.
                          I think teams perform better behind certain pitchers... I think they start stickin the ball tonight with Webb on the mound..
                          Comment
                          • fifawcs
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-14-07
                            • 2888

                            #14
                            Originally posted by fifawcs
                            Marlins +149
                            What better team to give Webb his first loss than the Florida Marlins? They hit righties well and the offense has been stagnant as of late. The way Gregg saved them yesterday makes me think he can hold any lead.
                            I meant the Dbacks offense has been stagnant.
                            Comment
                            • bbyhill
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-16-07
                              • 2991

                              #15
                              Wed 5/21 973 Baltimore Orioles +135
                              The O's are 3-1 against a strugling Yank team this season.They are 1-0 on the road against.Rasner is 0-2 starting against the O's.Was going to go for the Tribe think CWS are due for a loss.
                              Comment
                              • GoHeels12
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 12-11-07
                                • 33

                                #16
                                Florida +149:Arizona hasn't been hitting and Florida will get at least 5, should be enough
                                Comment
                                • Wrigley
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-28-07
                                  • 7268

                                  #17
                                  979 Texas Rangers +132
                                  Ponson has fared well against Twins his career Stats vs Twins 9-2, 2.56 ERA
                                  Comment
                                  • SexyMit
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-12-06
                                    • 6139

                                    #18
                                    Florida +149

                                    Webb won't go 10-0 and Marlins are at home, They have been on a streak in the month of maym so I will take the home team. Diamondbacks have not been hitting that well lately so I will take Marlins at home.
                                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                    Comment
                                    • TexAg001
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 05-15-06
                                      • 168

                                      #19
                                      Wed 5/21 957 New York Mets +126
                                      Braves swept a dh yesterday and the mes are due to bounce back. Pelfrey has been more quality then not dispite his 2-4 reccord.
                                      Comment
                                      • Sportsgirl
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-10-06
                                        • 4493

                                        #20
                                        Baltimore Orioles +135

                                        I liked Texas today, too, but I think with Olsen on the mound, the O's 20-9 nightgame record and the Yanks being only 6-10 in May games, Baltimore is the better value tonight.
                                        Comment
                                        • Meestermike
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-21-06
                                          • 329

                                          #21
                                          963 St Louis Cardinals +132

                                          Liking the Cards here today in a positive 'Dog spot.
                                          LOOPER is 2-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.750.
                                          SAN DIEGO is 10-23 (-15.1 Units) vs. the money line in night games this season & is 3-13 (-11.2 Units) vs. the money line after a win this season.
                                          Comment
                                          • Cabo
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-07-06
                                            • 5273

                                            #22
                                            St Louis Cardinals +132
                                            Look for the Cards to bounce back tonight, after tough loss last night.
                                            Comment
                                            • louisvillekid
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-14-07
                                              • 9262

                                              #23
                                              #963 STL +132 : got to back the team that's hitting .326 L7 vs. .238 L7, and these 2 pitchers faced off about a year ago in S.D. ,with STL winning 5-0.
                                              Comment
                                              • sharktank1
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-17-07
                                                • 970

                                                #24
                                                Orioles + 135

                                                Da birds are gonna be flying against the Yanks, in this battle of undefeated pitchers.
                                                Comment
                                                • Mr KLC
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-19-07
                                                  • 31097

                                                  #25
                                                  Washington Nationals +120

                                                  I think Chico will be revitalized being in a starter role again. He's looked pretty good in his last 3 appearances. Moyer got shelled by the Nationals in April.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • soli
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-10-06
                                                    • 2503

                                                    #26
                                                    St Louis +132

                                                    This is an even pitching match up but I will ride the bats of St Louis to edge
                                                    this game out.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mbr_18
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 03-24-07
                                                      • 119

                                                      #27
                                                      Kansas City Royals +152
                                                      They don't get swept & I could use the points (not good betting strategy)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Pigpen
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-09-08
                                                        • 2752

                                                        #28
                                                        Wed 5/21 963 St Louis Cardinals +132


                                                        The Cardinal bats are coming around. In their last 3 games the Birds are hitting .318 while the Padres are just batting .218 in their last 3 contests.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Checkerboard
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 05-15-06
                                                          • 7799

                                                          #29
                                                          Seattle Mariners +130

                                                          Tigers in clubhouse disarray.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JRS21386
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 04-13-08
                                                            • 2213

                                                            #30
                                                            Angels +127 (Bodog)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MonkeyF0cker
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 06-12-07
                                                              • 12144

                                                              #31
                                                              St. Louis +132

                                                              A battle between two pitchers of equal talent, in my estimation. The Cardinals have the more potent offense, however.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • rjt721
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-06-07
                                                                • 7929

                                                                #32
                                                                Indians +132

                                                                Typically very competitive games when these teams meet. Vazquez can be volatile at times, while Byrd does nothing but throw strikes and put the ball in play.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • elguason
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 05-09-08
                                                                  • 44

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Wed 5/21 965 Cincinnati Reds +128
                                                                  10:10PM (EST) 966 Los Angeles Dodgers

                                                                  Cueto had a no-hitter through five innings but started struggling with his location and gave up three hits (all home runs) in the sixth to receive a no-decision the Reds' 4-3 win over Cleveland on Friday. He finished with seven strikeouts.

                                                                  Kuroda, has only one win in nine starts.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • indy62
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 07-21-07
                                                                    • 321

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Los Angeles Angels +123 ..if laa can score one run in this contest they should win the way the jays offence has been
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mundane
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-25-08
                                                                      • 3592

                                                                      #35
                                                                      St Louis Cardinals +132
                                                                      Cardinals are 7-3 in Loopers last 10 starts during game 3 of a series.
                                                                      Padres are 3-7 in Youngs last 10 starts during game 3 of a series.
                                                                      Comment
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