Best of series

[chipski]

pirates at mets -260
reds at cards -145
astros at dbacks -200
rockies at giants both -115
padres at phils -170
brew at cubs -135
braves at nats not released
-135 dodgers at marlins

a's at angels -190
mariners at indians -200
tigers at yanks -155
bjays at rsox -180
royals at rangers -120
drays at o's both -115
wsox at twins not released


little look :
went 2 - 3 on last series predictions like this with rsox , bjays and brew crew being the 3 losers .
mets -260 is too high but look good .
are the dbacks ever going to cool off ? -200 is high but seems the stick with the hot team play .
if ever the padres were going to start hitting , here is their chance in a hitters ballpark , good +135 odds with maddux , young and wolf .
marlins been hot , dodgers come in to town about to pull out the can of whup ass right ..
drays stay hot dismantle orioles ?

5 good ones to take the series :
rockies > morales , cook , jimenez
cards > wellemeyer , pineiro , looper
dodgers > lowe , billingsley , kuroda
rsox > dice k , lester , wakefield
angels > garland , saunders and santana , doesn't look great no ..

funny that the 2 teams to kill alot of $ for me were rsox and bjays this past series , now they play each other , straight bs bad luck .

[element1286]

I actually like Oakland and Pittsburgh as values picks.

The three guys that LA is putting out are no better than the three Oakland is starting. And the price is very steep for the Angels.

I think the Pirates are going to turn it around. Duke might get knocked around, but Snell and Gorzelanny are solid. The price is also very high on the Mets, for good reason. But this is more of a hunch play.

[chipski]

how about rockies , dodgers and rsox to win their series ?

[chipski]

starter is one factor just like a qb is only one factor

I actually like Oakland and Pittsburgh as values picks.

The three guys that LA is putting out are no better than the three Oakland is starting. And the price is very steep for the Angels.

I think the Pirates are going to turn it around. Duke might get knocked around, but Snell and Gorzelanny are solid. The price is also very high on the Mets, for good reason. But this is more of a hunch play.

ty for the feedback .

I am in no way shape or form betting any best of series because of who the starters are . The reason I list the starters is just as a GAUGE (also as something to hold some faith in) . Time after time you will see the guy you bet on that started leave the game when the game is still in the balance .
So , you can scratch the listed starters as having anything to do with what the outcome will be for that game .
So instead of thinking you are betting gaudin vs garland you are really betting on :
d. oliver 4.35 > he sucks
spier 3.48
shields 2.13 VS embree , braden , devine 0.96 , etc ,
or simply closer VS closer .

WHO STARTS IS THROWN OUT THE WINDOW MORE TIMES THAN NOT and it becomes pitcher A vs pitcher B , pitcher c vs pitcher d , sometimes guys we can't believe are coming into the game trot in , like darren oliver or ________________ .

Is nice to seclude the matchup to starter vs starter but this is not really how baseball works as a whole . Sure sometimes a guy goes 8 or even 9 inn , but ......

my plays for team to win series are :
rockies -115
dodgers -135
cards -145
rsox -180
angels -190
drays -115

[element1286]

I like the Rockies, because of the value. But I am not a fan of laying the juice. I like to find one or two underdogs. That being said I do like the Bo Sox and the Dodgers.

[chipski]

to win their series
dodgers
rsox
drays

3 of my teams lost game 1 of the series on monday , though they could easily win games 2 and 3 , the fact this happened has to put more value into my other 3 picks , la , bos , tb .

[chipski]

some cross sport 10 teamers for $3 apiece , must share because one could be good .

NEVER GIVE UP POINTS ON THESE AND ALWAYS TAKE (+ PTS SAVES AN OTHERWISE DEAD LONGSHOT) +1.5 IN MLB + NHL + NBA WITH DOGS IF IT IS ONE YOU LIKE . give yourself an advantage whenever it presents itself .

#1 > mets , dodgers , rangers , angels , nyr , sj +1.5 , spurs , jazz +1 , hornets , angels for wed for possible hedge .

#2 > mets , dodgers , brew , drays , drays over 10 , rangers mlb , rangers over 10 , penguins +1.5 , stars , pistons .

#3 > mets , dodgers , drays over 10 , angels , nyr , sj +1.5 , rwings , spurs , hornets , pistons .

#4 > mets , dodgers , brew , rockies +1.5 , rsox , nyr , stars , mavs +7 , suns +5 , pistons .

#5 >> phils , mets , dodgers , bjays +1.5 , rangers mlb , angels , hornets , jazz +1 , spurs , pistons .

#6 > (texas connection) spurs , rockets , rangers , stars , mets , dodgers , angels , hornets , pistons , giants under 7 .

#7 >> mets , dodgers , phils , indians , angels , nyr , redwings , mavs +7 , spurs , pistons .

20 some dollars just to throw around doing this , always would think it will be a complete miss but you never know .

[chipski]

nyr kill 1 , 3 , 4 and 7 . drays kill # 2 as their 6 game win streak is snapped , sad .
have texas rangers on other ones that say rangers , should have just did rangers over and took penguins +1.5 but thought nyr would be something tonight .

have some 10 teamers still going though nevertheless

[chipski]

so the fricken nyr in some hockey bs kill two 10 teamers for me tues , nice . mlb rangers kill another one . i sure was thinking the ranger ranger combo would fly .
see where things stand now as far as the mlb series go .

my picks to win series were :
cards > $ won games 2 and 3
rockies > lost 2 of 3 no good
rsox > $ won first 2 so is good
angels > $ won games 2 and 3
dodgers > $ won first 2 so is good
drays > $ won games 2 and 3

so not too bad .

teams trying to avoid sweep on thurs are : (do not count 2 game series as sweep situation)

marlins > dodgers have dominated them and are on a 5 game win streak .
bjays > not trying to think about what they have done . (have lost 7 of their last 8 games , swept the rsox earlier this year now rsox about to return the favor)
yanks > have faced being swept 4 times already this year and avoided the sweep every time .

results > marlins were swept , bjays avoided the sweep , yanks were finally swept after surviving 4 previous scenarios .

[chipski]

some selections

dodgers > good
dodgers over 9.5 > no good
tigers > good
tigers over 10.5 > good
rsox > no good

[chipski]

betting on best of series

ty for the feedback .

Is nice to seclude the matchup to starter vs starter but this is not really how baseball works as a whole . Sure sometimes a guy goes 8 or even 9 inn , but ......

my plays for team to win series are :
rockies -115 > no good
dodgers -135 > $$
cards -145 > $$
rsox -180 > $$
angels -190 > $$
drays -115 > $$

looks like I cash 5 of the 6 , almost perfection . I'm always striving for perfection ,
the more I pick on one given day the more i will miss no doubt , , nature of the beast .

useless add : i keep reading that there is no quality on this site reading the main forum . people concentrate on nothing related to making $ . read someone say go to the think tank for quality read and info . seems some people have no $ to bet so they just complain . why waste my time pointing this out ? not sure . is just annoying i guess .

IS IT LIKE THAT HERE BY DESIGN ?

[chipski]

BeSt Of SeRiEs StArTing FriDaY MaY 2nd :

-145 padres at marlins +115
+135 reds at braves -170
+170 giants at phils -200
brew at astros both -115
-105 dodgers at rockies -125
+115 mets at dbacks -145
+105 cubs at cards -135

+200 royals at indians -260
+115 mariners at yanks -145
+135 wsox at bjays -170
+150 drays at rsox -190
-140 tigers at twins +110
+160 o's at angels -200
+160 rangers at a's -200

left out pitt at wash since it is 4 game series that started thurs .

strong 3 with odds not so high :
tigers -140
rockies -125
padres -145

3 with good value and high probability :
mets +115
brew -115
cubs +105

high % 2 with high odds :
rsox -190
Phils -220

playing against sterotypical teams that tend to be in the sweep category , you would take :
padres
braves
phils
indians
yanks
rsox
angels

[chipski]

5 selections friday

phils , rockies +1.5 , rsox , tigers , angels

if i had to pick the whole board
NL hils , padres +1.5 , padres over 9 , reds +1.5 , nats over 9 , astros , cubs +1.5 , rockies +1.5 , and mets +1.5
AL: rsox , indians , mariners +1.5 , wsox +1.5 , tigers , tigers over , angels , no pick on a's .

[chipski]

2 - 3 wagering strategies a night and they all turn out to be $

5 selections friday

phils , rockies +1.5 , rsox , tigers , angels

if i had to pick the whole board
NL hils , padres +1.5 , padres over 9 , reds +1.5 , nats over 9 , astros , cubs +1.5 , rockies +1.5 , and mets +1.5
AL: rsox , indians , mariners +1.5 , wsox +1.5 , tigers , tigers over , angels , no pick on a's .

whole board selections are for parlay style wagering , is better to get a return than a loss of $ . the +1.5 can indeed save an otherwise dead wager / parlay . safe than sorry overall is always smart thinking no matter what the results for that given night happen to be .
though this is just one strategy to implement into your night , you can do it this way as well as have single wagers going and whatever else you like to do wager style .

[chipski]

friday night mlb unkind , sat grbwt strategy

5 selections friday

phils , rockies +1.5 , rsox , tigers , angels

if i had to pick the whole board
NL hils , padres +1.5 , padres over 9 , reds +1.5 , nats over 9 , astros , cubs +1.5 , rockies +1.5 , and mets +1.5
AL: rsox , indians , mariners +1.5 , wsox +1.5 , tigers , tigers over , angels , no pick on a's .

5 i liked went 2 - 3 friday .

GRBWT STRATEGY MEANS GOING RIGHT BACK WITH THE TEAM THAT LOST FOR YOU THE NIGHT BEFORE , even if they all did not lose we can call it the grbwt strategy :
phils > lost in extras
rockies > stink
rsox > won
tigers > stink
angels > won

also like padres , the over in yankees game , over in rockies game .

3 teamer :
padres , rsox , hornets > was $$

[chipski]

results / big picture going into sunday

BeSt Of SeRiEs StArTing FriDaY MaY 2nd :

-145 padres 1 at 2 marlins +115 > pads won game 2 (peavy)
+135 reds 0 at 3 braves -170 > braves sweep 3 - 0
+170 giants 1 at 2 phils -200 > giants won game 2 (cain)
brew 0 at astros 3 both -115 > astros sweep 3 - 0
-105 dodgers 2 at 1 rockies -125 > rocks avoid sweep won game 2 (cook)
+115 mets 2 at 1 dbacks -145 > dbacks won game 2 (webb)
+105 cubs 1 at 2 cards -135 > cubs won game 2 (lilly)

pirates 1 at 3 nats 4 game series > nats won games 1 , 3 and 4

+200 royals 2 at 0 indians -260 > game 1 ppd , kc won game 2 + 3 = bs
+115 mariners 0 at 3 yanks -145 > yanks sweep 3 - 0
+135 wsox 0 at 4 bjays -170 > bjays sweep 4 - 0
+150 drays 0 at 3 rsox -190 > rsox sweep 3 - 0
-140 tigers 0 at 3 twins +110 > twins sweep 3- 0
+160 o's 1 at 2 angels -200 > o's won game 1 (guthrie)
+160 rangers 2 at 1 a's -200 > a's avoid sweep won game 3 (smith)

left out pitt at wash since it is 4 game series that started thurs .

strong 3 with odds not so high :
tigers -140 > no good
rockies -125 > no good
padres -145 > no good

3 with good value and high probability :
mets +115 > good
brew -115 > no good
cubs +105 > no good

high % 2 with high odds :
rsox -190 > good
Phils -220 > good

playing against sterotypical teams that tend to be in the sweep category , you would take :
padres > no good
braves > good
phils > good
indians > game 1 ppd , no action
yanks > good
rsox > good
angels > good

some results above thus far and the complete picture for sunday .

breakdown of teams trying to avoid the sweep sunday
reds > lost
brew > lost thanx to gagne and ump
rockies > won (about time)

mariners > lost
wsox > lost > game 4 is monday > lost game 4 as well
drays > lost
tigers > lost
A's > won

8 teams are trying to avoid the sweep on sunday . *

nationals have won games 1 and 3 in the 4 game series thus far with game 4 looking like a perfect opp for a simple 2 - 2 split of the series on sun > nats took 3 of 4
wsox at bjays is also a 4 game series > bjays swept them 4 - 0

home teams trying to avoid the sweep :
Rockies > won
A's > won

results :
6 of the 8 teams were swept with the only 2 avoiding the sweep being the 2 home teams .

[chipski]

10 high % plays for sunday :
NL:
Pirates -105 scratch those scrubs , no pick on pitt . replace it with over in fla
padres over 9 -115
Phils -1.5 +125
Brew -150
Mets -120
Rockies game over 9.5 +105

AL:
RSox -1.5 +160
Angels - 1.5 +120
Indians -1.5 +130
yanks game over 9.5 -110
Tigers game over 9 -115 > this series has been killing me .

giving up the 1.5 is optional , sometimes I do them both ways on the same day . depends on if it's on a single wager or parlay .

(1) 3 teamer > mets , phils , rsox
(2) 3 teamer > mets , indians , angels
(3) 3 teamer > phils , tigers , tigers game over 9
(4) 3 teamer > yanks game over 9.5 , mets , rockies game over 9.5
(5) 3 teamer > phils , tigers , rsox
(6) 3 teamer > angels , phils , mets
(7) 3 teamer > padres , mets , yanks game over 9.5
(8) 3 teamer > padres game over 9 , brew , athletics
(9) 3 teamer > phils , angels , penguins
(10) 3 teamer > phils , penguins , stars

(1) 10 teamer :
tigers over 9 , phils , rockies over 9.5 , mets , indians , yanks over 9.5 , angels , penguins , stars , lakers .
(2) 10 teamer no o/u ers
phils , brew , mets , indians , padres , rsox , tigers , penguins ,stars , lakers .
(3) 10 teamer > like picks + nhl nba , one o/u
padres over 9 , phils , brew , mets , rsox , angels , indians , penguins , stars , lakers
if i kept going some could easily be 10 - 0 . 3 chances is not too many , is best to do at least 15 for a great chance of getting one or more . all it takes is phils to lose or any # of the other ones i have maxed on each parlay to kill this , so yes people will always be skeptical .
combos . a good combo ? say , phils , tigers , penguins could be 3 to include on five 4 team parlays . making the 4th team on each parlay different . if the 3 combo is good then so will a couple or more of your 4 teamers .
phils , tigers , penguins , celtics -14
phils , tigers , penguins , mets
phils , tigers , penguins , rsox
phils , tigers , penguins , angels
phils , tigers , penguins , stars
most of you know about how to do this , for those that dont , here it is .
this strategy is all about catching em on the right day . sunday may 4th could be the right day for this . never know until after the games go final if it was smart or not ..

why play tigers ? because they should win .

if you like you can replace tigers with indians , royals are averaging 2.7 runs off leftys in 8 games so far this year .
brew crew are 5 - 0 in sheet's starts thus far .
braves are 0 - 4 when glavine starts thus far .
mets should be an easy play on sunday .
bjays are due to win in halladays start , team is 2 -4 in his starts so far . been staying away from jays because of what they have done to me so far this year . of course now they win 2 and are going for the sweep .
giants could be hard pressed to score , phils 7 - 2 , g-men average 2.8 on the road in 14 games . unless it is fixed . if so it is going over 7.5 ALL DAY . add > weather can be a factor in games so posting to early could hurt , but , ooh well what is 7.5 runs . weather might be a factor in many games ... could help as well as hurt these plays .
angels are 6 - 0 when saunders starts , bet against trachsel . probably over 9 as well , saunders will give up some .
10 teamer inspired
phils
phils over 7.5 (line moved down from 8 in morning hours , silly .
padres
padres over 9
mets
indians
angels
penguins
stars
lakers

two 4 teamers with 1st class wings in a journey for the $ :
padres , padres over 9 , phils , phils over 7.5

angels , angles over 9 , tigers , tigers over 9 , break out det !!

3 teamer with 3 teams to avoid getting swept
rockies , tigers , a's

turned into a book , hopefully not one to burn .

[chipski]

plays are going pretty good thus far . could go either way in being oustanding or 1 or 2 to mess it all up .
might want to see what i have left going and fade if the win % above is too high thus far .

add : after sunday results .
tigers +1.5 would have saved many parlays above which i did have on some of them in real time . many parlays right if you have the + 1.5 with tigers ... both odds were in the minus either way you had it , -103 and -210 , greed reveals itself when things like this happen if you go for more $ instead of TAKING WHAT IT GIVEN TO YOU .
indians , tigers straight, padres and brew , rocks over 9.5 were p killers .

the 5 added teams to the 3 team combo doing five 4 team parlays were all good at 5 - 0 . tigers will wake up sometime , thought they already had . will not give up on them by any means . 4 parlays posted were good . was 8 out of 12 good if you took the +1.5 with tigers i think .
giving up the 1.5 showed itself to be lame here causing 7 - 3 to go to a sick 5 - 5 in 10 selections . still did pretty good but could have really went over the top if indians were good on some i didn't post .

sunday count was 12 - 3 favs , exactly the same count it was 365 days ago on sunday .

[chipski]

tues may 6th
NL:
padres +120 > about to put it in drive
mets +110 > win game 2 on road
cubs -120 > win game 2 on road , under is 6 - 1 when these 2 start so far ,
this one goes over 8 > all day
brew even > start win streak at 1
AL:
tigers -115 win game 2 of 4 game and the over
indians +110 > sneak one in , win game 2 and over 8
royals over 9 -120 > should be 4- 4 at some point , is shaky maybe a bad surprise with great pitching or bad bullpen and extra innings . who better for adenhart to pitch well against right , iffy
wsox -126 > both streaks break

5 road teams , doesn't matter .

[chipski]

line movements

tues may 6th
NL:
padres +120 > about to put it in drive
mets +110 > win game 2 on road
cubs -120 > win game 2 on road , under is 6 - 1 when these 2 start so far ,
this one goes over 8 > all day
brew even > start win streak at 1
AL:
tigers -115 win game 2 of 4 game and the over
indians +110 > sneak one in , win game 2 and over 8
royals over 9 -120 > should be 4- 4 at some point , is shaky maybe a bad surprise with great pitching or bad bullpen and extra innings . who better for adenhart to pitch well against right , iffy
wsox -126 > both streaks break

5 road teams , doesn't matter .

mostly everthing in my favor by doing it late at night :
tigers o/u from 9.5 to 10
indians o/u moved from 8 to 9
pads up to +135 some places , cough
brew goes to -110
royals over 9 up to -140 some places , others up to 9.5 , now 9.5
tigers line moved in my favor as well and the o/u jumped to 10.5 some places .
cubs line dropped is now -120 to take the over
mets line up to +115 some places

5 ten teamers: $3 apiece for fun , but not really , is serious .
padres +1.5 , phils +1.5 , mets +1.5 , tigers , indians +1.5 , wsox , mariners over 9 , celtics under 183 , stars +1.5 (thurs) , penguins (fri)
ten teamer:
padres +1.5 , cubs , cubs over 8 , brew +1.5 , phils over 10 , indians +1.5 , royals over 9 , wsox , wsox over 9 , penguins
ten teamer :
brew +1.5 , cards over 11 , mets +1.5 , phils +1.5 , phils over 10 , indians +1.5 , royals over 9 , wsox , stars +1.5 , penguins
ten teamer :
padres +1.5 , brew +1.5 , cards , mets +1.5 , tigers over 10 , indians +1.5 , drays +1.5 , twins +1.5 , celtics -9.5 , penguins
ten teamer :
padres +1.5 , cubs over 8 , brew +1.5 , phils +1.5 , mets +1.5 , royals over 9 , wsox , stars +1.5 , lakers , penguins

[chipski]

royals o/u up to 9.5 now

some 3 teamers :
pads , cubs , cub over 8
cards , cards over 11 , tigers
wsox , wsox over 9 , celts under whatever
brew , phils over 10 , drays
indians , celts - whatever , rwings over 5
drays , wsox , royals over whatever
mariners , mariners over 9 , celts - whatever
padres , indians , tigers over 10
pirates , celtics - , celtics under whatever
wsox over 9 , mariners , celtics under whatever
padres , phils over 10 , cards , cards over 11 > 4 team
cubs , phils over 10 , mets over 8.5
tigers , indians , wsox
padres , cubs , wsox over 9

whatever means most likely wont matter what it is .

4 teamers :
padres , cubs over 8 , cards over 11 , tigers over 10 ,
padres , indians , royals , royals over 9.5
padres , indians , phils over 10 , penguins
padres , indians , cards over 11 , tigers over 10
5 teamers :
padres , indians , phils over 10 , lakers , penguins
padres , indians , rangers over 9 , lakers , penguins
padres , indians , mets , lakers , penguins
padres , indians , phils over 10 , tigers over 10 , lakers

how good do i feel about this ? could be complete sick tues , would be nothing new if it was , but am liking them though . only $5 each on the majority . if all no good i get that back on one simple single wager to cover the bs .

[chipski]

tues parlay central was no good .

parlay central is not affected and anxious for wed : start off with $3 long shots for a potential big hedge on penguins game friday .

wed may 7th
throw $30 out here and hope for everything to swing my way .
10 teamer out the gate :
cubs over 9 , brew +1.5 , brew over 10.5 , rockies , astros , wsox over 8.5 , yanks over 7.5 , lakers , stars over 5 (thurs) , penguins (fri)

warmed up :
(2) lakers , over 209.5 , pistons +3.5 , brew +1.5 , padres +1.5 , yanks over 7.5 , wsox over 8.5 , spurs (thurs) , stars +1.5 (thurs) penguins (fri)

(3) lakers , magic , cubs over 9 , astros , bjays , yanks , spurs , spurs under 183 (thurs) stars +1.5 , penguins (fri)

(4) lakers , rockies , braves , astros , dbacks , wsox , yanks , spurs , rwings , penguins

(5) lakers , pistons +3.5 , brew +1.5 , brew over 10.5 , astros , rockies , bjays , yanks over 7.5 , rwings , penguins

(6) lakers , cubs over 9 , rockies , yanks over 7.5 , wsox , wsox over 8.5 , o's +1.5 , spurs under 183 , rwings , penguins

(7) lakers , lakers over 209.5 , magic , magic over 186.5 , astros , rockies , yanks over 7.5 , spurs , spurs under 183 , penguins

(8) lakers , pistons +3.5 , padres +1.5 , brew +1.5 , rockies , phils +1.5 , phils over 10.5 , spurs under 183 , rwings over 5 , penguins

(9) lakers , magic , brew over 10.5 , astros , rockies , rsox over 9.5 , indians +1.5 , spurs under 183 , stars +1.5 , penguins

(10) lakers , lakers under 209.5 , astros , padres over 8.5 , yanks , yanks over 7.5 , wsox over 8.5 , spurs , spurs under 183 , penguins

Ten 3 teamers : $5 on each
wsox , wsox over 8.5 , spurs under 183
wsox , wsox over 8.5 , lakers over 209
wsox , wsox over 8.5 , royals under 8
wsox , wsox over 8.5 , yanks over 7.5
wsox , wsox over 8.5 , astros
wsox , wsox over 8.5 , penguins over 5.5
wsox , wsox over 8.5 , rwings over 5
mets +1.5 , lakers -6.5 , penguins -1.5
braves , yanks , penguins
astros , rockies , dodgers

4 teamer : $20 on each
mets +1.5 , rsox , wsox , penguins (fri)
mets +1.5 , mets over 8 , yanks , yanks over 7.5

Cliff Lee is perfect thus far in 3 starts on the road giving up 0 runs , this is about to change . yanks have not done too well off leftys so far , that will change too .
both pitchers have a perfect record , this should change and fast . doesnt matter though , tribe bullpen may have problems wed .
yankees going for 5 in a row , this may be the time they hit a streak of 7 or 8 in a row , is about time .

$110 wagered for a sizable potential gain if the pendulum is on my side .
if they get torn to pieces early I will do go with lakers -6.5 and over to hopefully get the bill back .
key teams to make this fly in combo are wsox and the over . wsox snapped 6 game losing streak yesterday . twins will be happy to get some swings off a pitch to contact pitcher in buehrle . livan may get rocked . need a 3 or 4 run inning to have a great chance . 7 - 4

favs swept the national leauge 8 - 0 on tues night . only 2 favs won in the AL .

[chipski]

trying to avoid sweep on wed + results :
reds > won
mets > won
rockies > is 3rd game of 4 > won

tigers > is 3rd game of 4 > won
royals > won
o's > lost

6 of 8 teams got swept in the last scenario on sun . i never really count the 3rd game of a 4 game series in the sweep category , but it's 3 in a row to the same team on the line nevertheless so ...

playing the teams in just the 3 game series to get swept you would take :
cubs > lost
dodgers > lost
angels > lost
a's > won
odds of these 4 pulling the sweep by the matchups look okay but there is usually one to mess up a perfect strategy with multiple teams . angels may be without their leadoff hitter and who better to be pitching than greinke , is tough one maybe .
weaver cost me losing to the o's last time he pitched . i was sitting there watching that bs and wondering how in the hell was i thinking he was so good . he looked like a lil blonde raggedy anne . ooh yeah i was thinking about his brother and wondering the talent gap between the 2 .
remember weaver was the ace of the tigers , ooh man . he stunk it up more than he was great if i remember .
so , here is weaver for the cards , pitching lights out all of the sudden in the playoffs and world series ? what the **** was that anyway . where did all that come from . he had a great pitching coach right , taught him some new things right ...

so ? is jered weaver a jek and hyde like his older brother ? who knows right . on wed he will give up nothing right , and greinke will be on his game too . this game will come down to the bullpens in a tie game . originally i had the over 7.5 as a pick but had to erase it as this could be a pitchers duel in kc . need to know if figgins will be playing , he can make a big difference in causing trouble for some rally innings ... he most likely wont play and this game will be a 3 - 2 game .
flip side , weaver sucks , and is a royals win never even close . i give and say who knows . under 8 seems the play but i flip flopped on it .

RESULTS WERE 5 OF THE 6 TEAMS WON AVOIDING THE SWEEP ON WED .

[chipski]

tues parlay central was no good .

parlay central is not affected and anxious for wed : start off with $3 long shots for a potential big hedge on penguins game friday .

wed may 7th
throw $30 out here and hope for everything to swing my way .
10 teamer out the gate :
cubs over 9 , brew +1.5 , brew over 9.5 , rockies , astros , wsox over 8.5 , yanks over 7.5 , lakers , stars over 5 (thurs) , penguins (fri)

warmed up :
(2) lakers , over 209.5 , pistons +4.5 , brew +1.5 , padres +1.5 , yanks over 7.5 , wsox over 8.5 , spurs (thurs) , stars +1.5 (thurs) penguins (fri)

(3) lakers , magic , cubs over 9 , astros , bjays , yanks , spurs , spurs under 183 (thurs) stars +1.5 , penguins (fri)

(4) lakers , rockies , braves , astros , dbacks , wsox , yanks , spurs , rwings , penguins

(5) lakers , pistons +4.5 , brew +1.5 , brew over 9.5 , astros , rockies , bjays , yanks over 7.5 , rwings , penguins

(6) lakers , cubs over 9 , rockies , yanks over 7.5 , wsox , wsox over 8.5 , o's +1.5 , spurs under 183 , rwings , penguins

(7) lakers , lakers over 209.5 , magic , magic over 186.5 , astros , rockies , yanks over 7.5 , spurs , spurs under 183 , penguins

(8) lakers , pistons +4.5 , padres +1.5 , brew +1.5 , rockies , phils +1.5 , phils over 10.5 , spurs under 183 , rwings over 5 , penguins

(9) lakers , magic , brew over 9.5 , astros , rockies , rsox over 9.5 , indians +1.5 , spurs under 183 , stars +1.5 , penguins

(10) lakers , lakers under 209.5 , astros , padres over 8.5 , yanks , yanks over 7.5 , wsox over 8.5 , spurs , spurs under 183 , penguins

Ten 3 teamers : $5 on each
wsox , wsox over 8.5 , spurs under 183
wsox , wsox over 8.5 , lakers over 209
wsox , wsox over 8.5 , royals under 8
wsox , wsox over 8.5 , yanks over 7.5
wsox , wsox over 8.5 , astros
wsox , wsox over 8.5 , penguins over 5.5
wsox , wsox over 8.5 , rwings over 5
mets +1.5 , lakers -6.5 , penguins -1.5
braves , yanks , penguins
astros , rockies , dodgers

4 teamer : $20 on each
mets +1.5 , rsox , wsox , penguins (fri)
mets +1.5 , mets over 8 , yanks , yanks over 7.5

Cliff Lee is perfect thus far in 3 starts on the road giving up 0 runs , this is about to change . yanks have not done too well off leftys so far , that will change too .
both pitchers have a perfect record , this should change and fast . doesnt matter though , tribe bullpen may have problems wed .
yankees going for 5 in a row , this may be the time they hit a streak of 7 or 8 in a row , is about time .

$110 wagered for a sizable potential gain if the pendulum is on my side .
if they get torn to pieces early I will do go with lakers -6.5 and over to hopefully get the bill back .
key teams to make this fly in combo are wsox and the over . wsox snapped 6 game losing streak yesterday . twins will be happy to get some swings off a pitch to contact pitcher in buehrle . livan may get rocked . need a 3 or 4 run inning to have a great chance . 7 - 4

favs swept the national leauge 8 - 0 on tues night . only 2 favs won in the AL .

reds game a push , cub come up nil .

3 teamer :
brew over 9.5
angels
angles under 8 results > this parlay was complete opposite . livan shines in chic , yanks get shut out . wsox and yanks get shut out at home , this is pretty unlucky . wsox score 1 run rather , they are sick , thought they would break out tonight after floyd almost threw a no hitter the day before . they come back with no inspiration and cant do shit . padres not waking up . brew not waking up .
indians +1.5 and angels game over and tigers +1.5 and the over were what I wanted to incorporate in these posts but flip flopped to do the losers .
scrap wed as a minimal loss .

[chipski]

thurs may 8th action <>

teams trying to avoid the sweep in their 3 game series :
results :
padres > lost
brew > lost
giants > lost
nats > won

yanks > won makes 5 times they have avoided the sweep , were swept once by det (in ny)
wsox > won
results for the sweep category go a normal balanced 3 - 3 .

ten teamer for thurs : $3 on each
(1) spurs , spurs under 183 , cards +1.5 , cards over 11 , braves over 9.5 , rsox over 8.5 , o's under 8.5 , mariners , wings over 5 , penguins

(2) spurs , cards +1.5 , pirates , brew over 9.5 , dbacks over 8.5 , drays over 9 , mariners , royals , stars +1.5 , penguins

(3) celtics , spurs , cards over 11 , yanks over 9.5 , rsox , drays +1.5 , drays over 9 , rwings , rwings over 5 , penguins

# 3 was barking a little bit , fell short a half a run in the yanks game . that hook is a bitch ! would just need the penguins on friday night if i could have gotten the yanks over or had another one instead of that bs , should have just taken yanks to avoid the sweep huh .

amazing ! ny ny big city of dreams , everything in ny and always what it ...

had some other long shot cheap investment parlays like this of course for last night and was the same killers with yanks over and braves over , brew and over were x'ing them .
had one 10 teamer with spurs under 183 that killed it from flying into friday with just the penguins left . that was sick for me to watch , no more old spurs and under going on , not with this series .
had other 3 and 4 teamers and got some but nothing too great $ wise .
the stars play was just a cover becuse i have parlays still flying with rwings and penguins so had to cover . i liked rwings and the over sure enough . figures a push on total .

[chipski]

BEST OF SERIES : start time friday

Results for each series :
dbacks at cubs > cubs sweep 3 - 0
reds at mets > mets won 2 of 3 , reds won game 2 of dh on sat
marlins at nats > marlins sweep 3 - 0
rocks at pads > pads win 2 of 3 , rocks won game 1 francis over peavy
phils at giants > g-men win 2 of 3 , phils won game 1 (hamels)
astros at dodgers > astros go in and sweep them 3 - 0
bravs at pirates > 4 game series > pirates won game 1 and 2 game 3 ppd , dh mon . braves win game 2 of dh (hudson) pirates take 3 of 4
cards at brew > 4 game series > brew won 1 of 3 , cards won game 1 , gagne bs . cards won game 2 (pineiro) brew won 3 of 4

yanks at tigers > 1 - 1 , game 2 ppd , yanks won game 2
angels at drays > drays sweep the mighty halos
athletics at rangers > a's avoid sweep won game 3 (harden)
wsox at mariners > mariners avoid sweep won game 3 (batista)
rsox at twins > 4 game series ) twins won game 1 and 3 game 4 mon . twins won 3 of 4
bjays at indians > 4 game series > indiand won first 2 , dh on mon . bjays won game 2 of the dh (burnett) which was game 4 , indians won 3 of 4
o's at royals > 4 game series started thurs > royals avoid 4 game sweep won game 4 (bannister)

losing teams due to turn the corner a little bit with couple wins in their series . in due theory mainly : not attractive to the eye , but when they do turn , they turn ! prob is these teams suck right now , am just doing some brainstroming ..
cubs , (rocks at padres clash of the struggling ) brew , reds . cant force myself to type in sf.
o's , wsox , mariners . (wsox play at the mariners is a struggle struggle ) ( o's snapped 5 game losing streak at royals yesterday and play game 2 of 4 in kc )

indians , royals , tigers . yanks went cold again . is pretty tough to track as a whole with many definitives .. when the teams go hot and cold like they have been . (always do though) BUTT with 6 - 8 teams staying hot and sweeping their series , A 3 GAME WIN STREAK IS NORMAL for 6 - 8 teams at the same time in 3 game span of time . fri - sun is easy to look at .

YANKS HAVE BEEN PRETTY BAD ALL YEAR THUS FAR . losing the first 2 games in a series 5 or 6 times already and landing in the trying to avoid the sweep category at a high rate thus far . yanks avoided the sweep every time but once (tigers swept them in ny) . hard to figure them out right now really , except to say they suck . no sense even talking about the tigers right now and wouldnt you know they play the yanks this weekend . crazy to say the least . i like tigers though and some high scoring affairs , nothing too great though . some real fireworks though .

hottest teams coming into this series going by their record in the last 10 + recent : can play them to keep pace or fall off . is not a good cateogry really , is better to look what a team has done in their last 5 or 6 games , or just the game before really . but ...
rsox should have won 7 in a row had lugo not made an error in the det series in the 9th , twins are 7 -3 their last 10 but have lost 2 out of 3 last 3 games , (a's on 4 game win streak at rangers who have won their last 3 )
braves are on 6 game win streak at pirates who have won 3 in a row , dodgers , marlins 4 game streak , cards , nats , astros 5 game win streak snapped by nats yesterday .

rsox go in minn and do what ? stay nasty ? most likely .
angles go to tb and do what ?
2 serious underachievers right now wsox at mariners ?
a's at rangers is a money drainer or rangers stay on the winning end ?

here are some intersting #s in what occured in the NL tues - thurs :
NL favs won 19 out of the 22 games . going 8 - 0 on tues . (went 2 - 2 monday )
NL home teams won 17 of the 22 games also .

of course the AL was on the dog side 11 - 9 in that same span .

what will happen friday ?
last friday it was 9 - 5 favs took it . only 1 fav won by a run .
friday before that dogs won 11 - 3 . all the dogs were good ats as the 3 favs won by a run . dogs 14 the favs 0 ats !!!!@##!!!!
friday before that ? 8 - 7 favs edge . 2 favs won by a run .
friday before that the count was also 8 - 7 favs edge . all 8 favs won by more than a run .
friday before that dogs won 11 - 4 .
3 favs won by a run . so the count was 14 - 1 dogs ats . the one fav -1.5 to cash was the brew at home over the giants .

friday before that which takes us to ? there was no friday before that .

so what will happen friday may 9th ? crazy dog day ? crazy fav day ? balanced results ?
it looks like a 9 - 6 favs day to me .
this would mean that it would have to be a big fav day in the AL , with 5 favs winning to hit right on with my 4 - 4 even fav/dog result in the NL . 5 favs win in the AL ? ooh my
will the first game be fav or dog ? they are both -110 , no such thing as a fav right . who is -1.5 representing the fav for numerical purposes ? looks like you can get chic -1.5 . the lines are not the same everywhere and sure it is ariz -1.5 some places so this tracking system is flawed or can vary by where you get the line , but is good enough really . doesn't matter too much in the end .
so will it be ariz or chic to start my fav dog count ? well , i can tell you getting this one to start friday off could be huge , and all momentum could produce a big night cashing that first game .

too bad the cubs aren't still on the road , the way they looked at cinn on wed . if they went anywhere to play and a good starter was the opposing pitcher i would pound away fading chic .
on paper all points to ariz as being the play .

Friday may 9th : strong 3
no pick on brew now . liking the padres , dodgers ,and I guess the phils now after scratching brewers , like the over in the mets game . 3 home favs in the nl . if we picked the nl favs the last 3 days in many combos they would have all been right pretty much as the favs dominated the nl the last 3 days like i was just talking about above . Add :2:27 pm (need a 4th nl fav as i changed my mind on milw ) ooh well . i have 30 + parlays with this strategy right now , so what i tell you guys is just a map , your parlays may not match up to mine and that could work very very easily as well .

yes , phils sure look tempting , damn , can sf lose every game . they win 70 games ? if so then we can keep fading them and not be afraid too much . (if sf loses 92 games this year then they have 72 more losses in them . so if i add phils then that is 4 favs so that would mean using my 4 - 4 fav/dog nl strategy , the losers ( by my tracking ) would have to be cubs , pirates , nats , and mets .

so ? do the nl favs now become the fat x's ? well , that is how it usually works , in shifts , but i like the 4 nl favs above . maybe they are in fact the only 4 favs to win in the nl on friday . throw in another fav for good measure like ny and get rid of milw on some parlays . >>>>> simple fav count result for the nl on friday , 4 - 4 forecast .
okay , let me stop now . i would write a book easy just for one day in some baseball . there is just so much and so many angles and brainstorms that exist . i have not even tipped a fraction of the iceberg really . but yes i could skip all this and just wager to make 100 on the pens , lakers +4 and peavy right ? maybe . wow , if padres lose that will be some f'ed up occurence . their bullpen could kill them right . peavy has to be the STOPPER HERE !

AL ? haha , j/ k .
yes , give me the _________ damn dont like any of them right now .
picking at first glance / gut / semi leans i would take tigers game over , rsox , drays , and the sorry azz royals and the over 9 bucking the trendy past .

the 4 - 4 fav/dog strategy in the NL is just one of a hundred different ways of forcasting and strategizing the probable results for any given night .... you can come up with many if you haven't already . you can play it to be 4 - 3 favs way every day in the AL and nail it like it aint shi$ , on any given night (esp when you play many different combinations with the same stategy ! )

just pick your favorite 4 favs in the AL and take the remaining 3 dogs in the other 3 games for that night in the AL . longshot is big payout yes , that is the difference no doubt . give yourself 4 or 5 chances using the same strategy with one slate of games for that day ... GL !

[chipski]

scratch brew as sheets may well be the stopper on sat to stop the brewers losing streak . brew do not have to win today , a loss would set up a big situation on sat with sheets being the guy to start the win streak .

results > izzy blows the save , brew snap 6 game losing streak . geez , about f time .

[chipski]

NL dip

here are some intersting #s in what occured in the NL tues - thurs :
NL favs won 19 out of the 22 games . going 8 - 0 on tues . (went 2 - 2 monday )
NL home teams won 17 of the 22 games also .

so ? do the nl favs now become the fat x's ? well , that is how it usually works , in shifts . simple fav count result for the nl on friday , 4 - 4 forecast .


the 4 - 4 fav/dog strategy in the NL is just one of a hundred different ways of forcasting and strategizing the probable results for any given night

like clockwork the best looking favs in the NL are shit . padres dodgers and maybe phils . not cool , but is a postive occurence as well because it sets things up for sat and sun with a clearer pic of what will occur in the NL both days .

blown saves : rsox and cards . pap now blown 2 in a row . is no biggie .

now phils broke it open .

NL fav 4-4 forecast/strategy ended up being 4 - 3 favs with mets ppd . favs good were cubs , pirates , brew , phils .

AL 4- 3 forecast /strategy ended up close but 4 - 3 dogs edged . the 3 favs that were good were
indians , tigers , drays . needed 1 of the games to swing the favs way for the 4 - 3 favs edge to come true . like no blown save from pap and it would have resulted in favs 4 - 3 for one example ..

of course i had rockies +1.5 and astros +1.5 also but could not put it together with this strategy for friday as padres burnt it up basically . did okay with other wagers though , thanks to jazz and pens winning . lakers 2nd half was good . padres hurt me again and feeling like a fool for putting myself in that situation to begin with , but only because they happened to lose . thought peave would win since it was a rematch of the big extra inning game that rocks stole from them .
results for the day were straight 7 - 7 balance fav/dogs . imagine that right .

[chipski]

sat results unfold before they happen with a capital MAYBE : odds are always against pefection with large base but it does happen .
simple strategy , this is just 1 projection of many you can make , give yourself 10 - 15 shots at nailing the whole nl or al board , if you got it like that .
nl fav projecting 5 - 3 favs way .
fav sweep in the dh , brew , padres , and dodgers = 5 favs wins in the nl .
so the dog wins would have to be dbacks , phils , braves (that's one try you have as many more as you can afford) . leaving out the nats game .

al fav projection of 4 - 3 favs way is not what i see so i will go the 5 - 2 favs way route ........
FIRST STAB = 5 favs are indians , rsox , drays , rangers and wsox . automatically making the play on yanks and o's . add on hours later > (you can leave one out like the wsox and play it favs 4 -2 )
any way a person wants to use this is fine . i'm sure most would just want to narrow it down and pick 2 or 3 and that is smart !!!
i personally am parlay central as well as incorporating single wagers into each day . i love parlaying , big time with a capital B .

yes , yeah , yes , yep , of course parlays can be killers that is what is so great about hitting on big days . when everything is right , it happens so easily just like when it misses . it just is , is no biggie . you have to be consistent and do it everyday to have the big days where everything you did was right . basically .
of course you need to have a nice bankroll to be able to not worry about it ....

i always try and do single wagers to cover the parlay venture each day . parlays a bust then is okay if you get the simple 1 single wager or 2 .

sat gonna be a big fav day ? a big dog day ? a balanced day ?
well , it looks like a majority fav day for sure given the matchups and the results on fri in game 1 .
i will go right back with the padres and dodgers . if one or both are no good again . that's fine .

3 teamers / 2 team combination + 3rd selection :
padres dodgers brew
padres dodgers phils
padres dodgers dbacks
padres dodgers braves
padres dodgers yanks
padres dodgers o's
padres dodgers rsox
padres dodgers drays
padres dodgers , rangers
padres dodgers wsox

obviously if the combo is 2 - 0 then it should be on the plus side . if combo is 1 - 1 then we have a bust . is no big deal either way . minimal loss for me and i know it could be no good just as easy as it will fly . you should think the same way in whatever you pull the trigger on .
wager less to make more has it's advantages if you do it right and it is the right time . will sat be the right time or will my combo go 1 -1 or 0 -2 ? then come right back on sun and both win ... i want to make them prove it to me . i liked the dodgers alot because i thought cassell was pitching for hous , but he isint . i still like it and dont care who is starting , is a simple 3 hour baseball game . not a chess match where one is superior to the other in all facets . okay we understand i hope .

sooo , i have the sorry azz padres again lookig for maddux to make history .
you can do your 2 team combo and do very well like this adding a different 3rd team on 3 teamers , could be the right day on sat or sun , there is no doubt about it at all .

some other 2 team combos instead of the bs nl west losers i have for sat :
pick a combo and roll :
padres , dodgers
rockies , astros (opposite of mine could work just like it did today)
brew , drays
yanks mets -1.5 game 1
braves mets game -1.5 game 1
indians wsox
rsox cards
o's cubs
marlins , twins
a's astros
braves yanks
tigers phils
stars , celtics
cetlics pistons +5
rsox celtics

COME UP WITH YOUR BEST 2 TEAM COMBINATION , DOESN'T MATTER WHAT THE ODDS ARE , A WIN IS A WIN . THEN ADD A 3RD TEAM TO IT ON 10 DIFFERENT PARLAYS . YOU GO 2 -0 WITH YOUR COMBO THEN YOU WILL GET AT LEAST 5 OF THE PARLAYS RIGHT IF YOU GO A SICK 5 - 5 WITH YOUR 3RD TEAM ADD ONS .

the key is your super 2 team combo both winning .
padres and dodgers dont seem like a great combo after today no , but we will see .

[chipski]

incorporate 2 strategies into 1 and watch it fly

3 teamers / 2 team combination + 3rd selection :
padres dodgers brew
padres dodgers phils
padres dodgers dbacks
padres dodgers braves
padres dodgers yanks
padres dodgers o's
padres dodgers rsox
padres dodgers drays
padres dodgers , rangers
padres dodgers wsox

obviously if the combo is 2 - 0 then it should be on the plus side . if combo is 1 - 1 then we have a bust .

okay , check this out . there is investing and then there is gambling right . while both are synonymous there is something we all know to reduce the gambling aspect and make it more like investing . guess what that is ?
anyone that reads what i say on here knows i play the teams trying to avoid the sweep strategy right . okay , well we know that there are always 6 -8 , - 10 teams trying to avoid the sweep on sunday . well , i know it if you dont or are not sure , for sure . okay so we incorporate those 15 teams that lost friday in game 1 to lose again on sat / to make the avoid the sweep cateogry on sunday . okay ?

those teams that lost on friday are :
nl:
dbacks
braves
nats
cards
padres
dodgers
giants

al :
bjays
yanks
angels
a's
rsox
mariners
royals 3rd game of 4

mets series game 1 being ppd would be left out of this as an add on 3rd team unless you just love it . making our parlay total 14 instead of 15 .

so we would add each of these teams above as our 3rd team using the strategy i talk about in the thread above . 2 team best combo + add on 3rd team on 14 three teamers . okay ?
note : while this may not work many times because your 2 team combo is a bust , it will work many more times overall as long as you can show a good 2 team combo % overall .

add : at least 8 teams will always be trying to avoid the sweep on sunday . am counting the o's even though this is game 3 of 4 as well as the other 4 series that are a 4 game series . is more comforting maybe when they are all in a 3 game series but what can you do ? you could leave those 5 series out if you choose . not that those will be no good but .... is nothing definitive either way regarding that .

the only other possible scenario that happens in the 3 game series is the rubber game . so of course you can (anticipate) play it to be a rubber game on sunday as well in each 3 game series matchup IF YOU LIKE THAT BETTER THAN PLAYING EVERY TEAM TO LAND IN THE TRYING TO AVOID THE SWEEP CATEGORY . okay , i'm done . i hope .

thanks Chute . 2 teams are undefeated tonight when these guys start : dice k and saunders . both teams 7 - 0 in their starts thus far . ( due for perfection to end is usually my play with #s so unbalanced .. esp in mlb ) of course there are exceptions to the rule like with the greatest teams ..

[ChuteBoxe]

Good luck this weekend bud.

[chipski]

looking like 7 - 0 with one simple strategy stab

sat results unfold before they happen with a capital MAYBE : odds are always against pefection with large base but it does happen .



al fav projection of 4 - 3 favs way is not what i see so i will go the 5 - 2 favs way route ........
FIRST STAB = 5 favs are indians , rsox , drays , rangers and wsox . automatically making the play on yanks and o's .

In the american leauge it is looking like i predicted the future here for a 7 - 0 sweep of the AL board if the rangers , wsox and o's hold the lead . amazing i would say given it is just one stab using this strategy . usually to sweep the nl or al you would need 3 - 5 - 10 trys for that calendar day to even think of going 7 - 0 or 8 - 0 in either leauge on one parlay .

one game left , wsox up 7 - 4 in the 8th inn .

MY PREDICTION HITS FOR A 7 - 0 SWEEP IN THE AMERICAN LEAUGE FOR SATURDAY ! yeah boyee

[chipski]

Best of series start time mon/tues :

astros 3 at 1 giants > astros won 3 of 4 , giants won game 2 (cain)
braves 1 at 2 phils > braves won game 2 (glavine)
pirates 2 at 1 cards > cards won game 2 (wellemeyer)
rockies 0 at 3 dbacks > 3 - 0 sweep , dbacks continue to stomp opps
dodgers 2 at 1 brew > brew won game 1 (villaneuva)
marlins 0 at 3 reds > 4 game reds sweep 3 - 0 , 4th game ppd
nats 3 at 1 mets > 4 game > mets won game 2 (maine)
padres 1 at cubs 3 > 4 game > sorry pads won game 2 (estes) (sad)


a's 0 at 3 indians > indians 3- 0 sweep
mariners 1 at 2 rangers > m's avoid sweep won game 3 (silva)
tigers 0 at 3 royals > royals aweep 3 - 0 (sad)
bjays 3 at 0 twins > bjays sweep 3- 0
rsox 0 at 2 o's > 2 game > o's sweep the 2 game series (sadder than sad)
yanks 1 at 3 drays > 4 game yanks won game 3 (mussina)
wsox 2 at 2 angels > 4 game wsox won games 3 + 4 (contreras and vazquez)

tues best 3 mlb :
phils > won
rsox > lost
yanks > lost

some tues 10 teamers for $3
(1)phils , mets , brew+1.5 , rockies +1.5 , astros +1.5 , rsox , yanks , flyrers +1.5 , pistons , hornets

(2)braves +1.5 , marlins +1.5 , nats +1.5 , cubs over 12.5 , cards , rsox , indians , tigers +1.5 , magic +6 , hornets


(3)phils , mets , dodgers , pirates +1.5 , dbacks , rsox , yanks , mariners , hornets , stars+1.5 (wed)

(4)braves +1.5 , nats +1.5 , brew +1.5 , rockies +1.5 , o's +1.5 , royals , flyers +1.5 , pistons , hornets , lakers (wed)

(5)phils , reds , mets , rockies +1.5 , rsox , indians , drays 1.5 , flyers +1.5 , hornets , lakers (wed)

(6)mets , dodgers over 8.5 , cards over 9 , dbacks , rsox , indians , rangers +1.5 , bjays +1.5 , penguins , hornets

(7)phils , mets , rockies +1.5 , astros +1.5 , rsox , yanks ,yanks over 8.5 , tigers +1.5 , spurs +4 , stars +1.5 (wed)

(8)brew +1.5 , cubs over 12.5 , dbacks , astros +1.5 , astros under 8 , indians , yanks , bjays +1.5 , pistons , lakers (wed)

(9)phils , tigers +1.5 , mets , yanks , cubs , wsox +1.5 , hornets > 7 teamer = ny/ny chic/chic +philly det and nba home

phils , flyers , hornets > 3 teamer > flyers kill it
phils , rsox , hornets > 3 teamer > rsox kill it

[chipski]

best 10 teamer tues :
(10)phils , mets , brew +1.5 , cards over 9 , rockies +1.5 , astros +1.5 (iffy) , rsox , indians , yanks , hornets

(#11)remove 2 iffy play and with it ,cover rsox and mets > phils , nats +1.5 , brew +1.5 , pirates +1.5 , dbacks , o's +1.5 , yanks , hornets , pistons , stars +1.5 (wed)

(#12) 3 nl +3 al + 1 nhl + 3 nba home + hedge
phils , mets , rockies +1.5 , rsox , yanks , mariners , penguins , pistons , hornets , lakers (wed)

brainstormin :
twins may have hangover after just beating bos 3 of 4 games .
chances of drays winning 10 in a row at home seems unlikely .

[chipski]

rsox and yanks lose on tues on the 13th of may lucky lucky

(#11)remove 2 iffy play and with it ,cover rsox and mets > phils , nats +1.5 , brew +1.5 , pirates +1.5 , dbacks , o's +1.5 , yanks , hornets , pistons , stars +1.5 (wed)

i should have covered the other ny team instead of covering the mets . then i would have mets and drays instead of nats and yanks . and its all good . would need stars +1.5 .
usually average 7 - 3 or 8 -2 on these things .

tues was 8 - 7 favs just like i knew it would be , or 7/8 the other way depending on where the line was used . needed rsox as another fav and i would have done very good , could not get it . manny up no outs in the 7th bases juiced and he hits it right back to the pitcher for a dp ? this really sucks to put it mildly .
only 3 of the 7 favs won in the al . 5 of 8 in the nl .

so then i have astros +1.5 to complete some parlays and those mfers lose after winning over and over . still am okay but had some bad luck .
GETTING THE ONE RUN GAMES TO GO YOUR WAY COMPARED TO LOSING THEM BY A RUN IS LIKE DODGING LANDMINES . SEEMS SO EASY WHEN YOU WALK FREELY BUT WHEN YOU HIT THE MINE , THATS IT . YOU LOSE . NOT COOL !!!

teams trying to avoid the sweep on wed :

marlins > 3rd of 4 > reds win first 3 game 4 ppd

mariners > lost first 3 won game 4
yanks > lost first 2 , won game 3 and lost game 4
wsox > won games 3 and 4 , 2 - 2 series result

a normal occurence is for a team to win the 3rd game of a 4 game series and then to go on and win game 4 just like it is normal for them to lose the 3rd and set up the oooh no way the good teams gets beat 4 in a row by the same team scenario !!! .

would lOOK like this : if ny and chic wake up :
yanks 2 at 2 drays > yanks won games 3 + 4 ( mussina , kennedy)
wsox 2 at 2 angels > wsox won games 3 + 4 (contreras , vazquez )

while these may not be good/winning examples at this particular time > this is how it goes down more so than the (GOOD) teams being DOWNRIGHT DOWN AND OUT MAKING THE SICKLY TRYING TO AVOID THE 4 GAME SWEEP CATEGPRY . depends simply on the matchup really more so than any #s we could try and play one way or another . but ... actually teams do lose game 1 and 2 more so than the face the rubber game in a 3 game series but the #s are close .

seems to me teams in a 4 game series .... i will make thread on 4 game series results thus far for the 08 . the trick is for you to foresee these results by what has occured thus far in each particular series . another words , yanks looking down to you right , they have key players inj , playing in fla and may not see the light until they hook up in the ny/ny series on friday right ? so it would be no biggie for them to get pounded by the rays the next 2 games ... well , i am playing ny , good +120 odds , not the smartest of plays but i like ny in game 3 . so i foresee how it will be written down , like i wrote above , 2 - 2 ... not so confident about 2 - 2 series but at least they can get game 3 on wed ...
this may be the worst of examples , but , is an example nonetheless of how it works and how you can ANTICIPATE AND ALREADY SEE THE SERIES COUNT WRITTEN DOWN BEFORE IT HAPPENS .