John Morrison 2011 MLB

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  • hagball52
    SBR MVP
    • 09-22-10
    • 3053

    #2101
    Hey bauerranch if you're out there I finally put this together.
    Here's an update JM System Plays.
    4/25 MIL v CIN Win [b] 4/26
    5/02 LAA @ BOS Win [C] 5/04
    5/03 SEA v TEX Win [A]
    5/06 TAM @ BAL Win [A]
    5/09 NYM @ COL Win [A]
    5/09 CHW @ LAA Win [A]
    5/13 SEA@CLE
    5/13 BAL@TAM
    5/16 COL v SFO * this is a 2 game series and must be tracked for future plays
    5/16 KAN v CLE * same as above
    5/18 KAN v TEX * same as above
    5/23 BOS @ CLE
    5/23 MIL v WAS
    5/31 WAS v PHI
    6/02 MIN @ KAN
    6/03 CHW v DET
    6/09 DET V SEA
    6/14 DET v CLE
    7/04 MIN v TAM
    7/14 BAL v CLE
    7/22 SDG @ PHI
    8/12 ARI v NYM
    8/15 SFO @ ATL
    8/22 BOS @ TEX
    9/09 PIT v FLA
    9/12 HOU v PHI

    The team on the left is the one to bet on. Finally got one of my kids to show me how to do this and paste it. This is a running account on the JM MLB plays. It is every play and does not show R/L or M/L or official and unofficial. It’s just my personal updateable list. I’ll post it from time to time just so all of you can keep up. The JM MLB System page will have the scores broken down. Hope this helps.
    Last edited by hagball52; 05-12-11, 01:10 PM.
    Comment
    • hagball52
      SBR MVP
      • 09-22-10
      • 3053

      #2102
      Originally posted by h00dini
      hey hagball........who was his v2 play?
      MIL v CIN 5/26
      Comment
      • Wallco99
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-01-11
        • 7261

        #2103
        Originally posted by GGPLAYER
        Wallco I don't even see odds for the game but you said your getting +127. You use a local or a on-line book?
        That was based on ScoresandOdds.com this morning.
        Comment
        • h00dini
          Restricted User
          • 09-17-09
          • 659

          #2104
          Originally posted by hagball52
          MIL v CIN 5/26
          thank you.
          Comment
          • soldier1047
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-26-10
            • 332

            #2105
            Nice update Hagball!
            Comment
            • ken23lau
              SBR Sharp
              • 09-11-10
              • 296

              #2106
              Originally posted by IceBet
              GoGooners keep in mind that Pinnacle doesn't offer the alternative run line either. It just happened that the other night they disagreed on the underdog/fave so their line was opposite of Bet365.

              IceBet
              yes..they do
              Comment
              • teecee
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-18-09
                • 6298

                #2107
                i know it's not a play, but the rays moved from underdog to favorite today. i hit up the rays -1.5, and so far, so good. i've noticed that alot of these dogs that move to fave (dodgers yest.), hit that -1.5, kids. just a heads up. i've been keeping my eye on this.

                okay, the a's were getting smoked yesterday, but 1-1 on the -1.5 earns a profit.

                maybe i'm just trying to convince myself. i'll take a peek at this season's results to at least try and legitimize what i'm thinking may be true.

                i'm thinking road teams here.
                Last edited by teecee; 05-12-11, 12:28 PM.
                Comment
                • COYLO
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-18-10
                  • 2844

                  #2108
                  col still the play for today?
                  Comment
                  • hagball52
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-22-10
                    • 3053

                    #2109
                    Originally posted by soldier1047
                    Nice update Hagball!
                    Thanks. I'll post it periodically just so we all can be on the same page. It helps to have multiple people tracking in case I make a mistake.
                    Comment
                    • Wallco99
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-01-11
                      • 7261

                      #2110
                      Originally posted by COYLO
                      col still the play for today?
                      Official this morning. Once it says Official, it won't change.
                      Comment
                      • COYLO
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-18-10
                        • 2844

                        #2111
                        thanks wallco99
                        Comment
                        • hagball52
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-22-10
                          • 3053

                          #2112
                          Just found my first mistake. I went back and edited my list and highlighted it in red and deleted the 7/29 play because if the 2 game set doesn't continue the sweep it won't be a future play.
                          Comment
                          • BigOrangeBrother
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-10-10
                            • 1538

                            #2113
                            Originally posted by Wallco99
                            Official this morning. Once it says Official, it won't change.
                            Liking Colorado today.....good call Wallco!!

                            Let's go rockies!!

                            Comment
                            • teecee
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-18-09
                              • 6298

                              #2114
                              Originally posted by teecee
                              i know it's not a play, but the rays moved from underdog to favorite today. i hit up the rays -1.5, and so far, so good. i've noticed that alot of these dogs that move to fave (dodgers yest.), hit that -1.5, kids. just a heads up. i've been keeping my eye on this.

                              okay, the a's were getting smoked yesterday, but 1-1 on the -1.5 earns a profit.

                              maybe i'm just trying to convince myself. i'll take a peek at this season's results to at least try and legitimize what i'm thinking may be true.

                              i'm thinking road teams here.

                              IF the rays can hold on, betting this scenario s/u this season would be 14-15, +6.7u.

                              i have not check out the chase, as of yet, but it would probably bring alot more.

                              the home teams are 2-14 in this situation (moving from dog to fave), playing the -1.5 r/l. this season, betting the +1.5 on the road team, when the home dog moves to a fave, is like taking candy from a baby. very small sample, here.

                              this would require watching line movement, and playing it close to game time, much like wallco's.

                              i think i'll backtest this some more. see what's up.
                              Last edited by teecee; 05-12-11, 02:49 PM.
                              Comment
                              • oklahoma
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-22-10
                                • 602

                                #2115
                                rockies game delay.
                                Comment
                                • Kev the Brit
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-25-09
                                  • 2027

                                  #2116
                                  Originally posted by COYLO
                                  col still the play for today?
                                  Hi Coylo, Yeh, Col was made official 6 hrs ago, at 0732 EDT, at post #2095, so if you came straight to the last page of this thread you missed it.

                                  What I do, to ensure I do not miss stuff on this thread is this:

                                  When I have read the latest post on the last page I click on File > Send > Shortcut to Desktop. This action saves that specific page on my desktop. When I exit the thread I delete the desktop shortcut I recently used to access that session, thus leaving my new shortcut as the only one on the desktop ready to take me back to the page I was on when I left the thread. I then know I can return later and pick up from where I left off.

                                  Hope this helps.

                                  Regards
                                  Kev
                                  Comment
                                  • isg2010
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 09-28-10
                                    • 126

                                    #2117
                                    Kev - I normally scroll back until I am on the same day. I haven't had to go back more than 2 pages before.
                                    Comment
                                    • kjrudemi
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-20-10
                                      • 105

                                      #2118
                                      Let's hope this one doesn't get rained out too.
                                      Comment
                                      • xgame
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 07-21-10
                                        • 675

                                        #2119
                                        let just cancel the game, refund my money back...lol
                                        Comment
                                        • alexy
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 05-23-10
                                          • 217

                                          #2120
                                          teecee. Your post 2118. Thanks for the advise. I have a question. When you say "playing -1.5 r/l" ; is this TWO bets?. Can you give me two examples, just tell me the date and the teams, I'll get the necessary data to develop a route map. Thanks and GL.
                                          Comment
                                          • COYLO
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-18-10
                                            • 2844

                                            #2121
                                            thanks kev
                                            Comment
                                            • monostereo
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 04-20-10
                                              • 55

                                              #2122
                                              no im a bit raged, how the hell can it be 5-1 allready ... what is the name of that pitcher and I will pay him a visit with an axe and a shovel....
                                              Comment
                                              • oklahoma
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-22-10
                                                • 602

                                                #2123
                                                games only half way done and it isnt unlikely of the mets to fall apart in the end.
                                                Comment
                                                • Wilba
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-29-10
                                                  • 702

                                                  #2124
                                                  Originally posted by IceBet
                                                  GoGooners keep in mind that Pinnacle doesn't offer the alternative run line either. It just happened that the other night they disagreed on the underdog/fave so their line was opposite of Bet365.

                                                  IceBet
                                                  PINNACLE is very good and they DO offer the alternate runline. All you need to do to access it is click the 'Baseball Betting' dropdown menu, then select the 6th option 'alternate runline'

                                                  they don't release it until the day of the game, but game day it is always offered
                                                  Comment
                                                  • oklahoma
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-22-10
                                                    • 602

                                                    #2125
                                                    Originally posted by Wilba
                                                    PINNACLE is very good and they DO offer the alternate runline.
                                                    i can vouch for this. ive only had to use it once or twice but pinnacle does have alternate runlines.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Wilba
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-29-10
                                                      • 702

                                                      #2126
                                                      teecee - my opinion is that you should not call a play as a good one after the team you are calling already has a 4-0 lead. Of course easy to call a play after a big head start (why not call it before the game starts?). Also, I think there is no relevance to any trend without at least a minimum of 1000 examples (10,000 examples strictly required to get a sensible feel of the actual statistics). Looking at this season's results will not prove/disprove anything about your hunch. I'm guessing you already realise to some extent that without much, much, more research it is meaningless info, but I'm not sure why you would post it based on <30 games of research.

                                                      Dogs in AL games which start at 3.05pm on Thursday's are 18-11 last 29 plays. Therefore dogs in AL games starting at 3.05pm are a good play?

                                                      I know that is silly obviously, but you get my point

                                                      here come the rockies! game not over til its over
                                                      Last edited by Wilba; 05-12-11, 06:26 PM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BCC585
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 04-27-11
                                                        • 603

                                                        #2127
                                                        So onto the D bet?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Fede_Gu
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 05-03-11
                                                          • 138

                                                          #2128


                                                          Hope for (D) Bet... and for a huge payout!!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • YorkHunt
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-11-10
                                                            • 7496

                                                            #2129
                                                            D bet will be on Rockies (De La Rosa) -1.5 tomorrow at home vs. Padres (moseley)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • oklahoma
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 11-22-10
                                                              • 602

                                                              #2130
                                                              Originally posted by YorkHunt
                                                              D bet will be on Rockies (De La Rosa) -1.5 tomorrow at home vs. Padres (moseley)
                                                              or it could be the padres. no disrespect but with all the complaints regarding games being official or jumping teams throughout the day, we should leave the plays to wallco.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jpeterb
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 05-06-11
                                                                • 26

                                                                #2131
                                                                All we can do is move on to the D, or wait for the new A's to roll in. Bankroll baby keep up..keep up!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Wallco99
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-01-11
                                                                  • 7261

                                                                  #2132
                                                                  Originally posted by jpeterb
                                                                  All we can do is move on to the D, or wait for the new A's to roll in. Bankroll baby keep up..keep up!
                                                                  Tomorrow is LOADED.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • dlunc3
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 10-31-09
                                                                    • 9129

                                                                    #2133
                                                                    Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                                    Tomorrow is LOADED.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RAK
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 11-29-10
                                                                      • 237

                                                                      #2134
                                                                      That's exactly what I do on my smartphone. Good tip.

                                                                      Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                                                                      Hi Coylo, Yeh, Col was made official 6 hrs ago, at 0732 EDT, at post #2095, so if you came straight to the last page of this thread you missed it.

                                                                      What I do, to ensure I do not miss stuff on this thread is this:

                                                                      When I have read the latest post on the last page I click on File > Send > Shortcut to Desktop. This action saves that specific page on my desktop. When I exit the thread I delete the desktop shortcut I recently used to access that session, thus leaving my new shortcut as the only one on the desktop ready to take me back to the page I was on when I left the thread. I then know I can return later and pick up from where I left off.

                                                                      Hope this helps.

                                                                      Regards
                                                                      Kev
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • teecee
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 09-18-09
                                                                        • 6298

                                                                        #2135
                                                                        Originally posted by Wilba
                                                                        teecee - my opinion is that you should not call a play as a good one after the team you are calling already has a 4-0 lead. Of course easy to call a play after a big head start (why not call it before the game starts?). Also, I think there is no relevance to any trend without at least a minimum of 1000 examples (10,000 examples strictly required to get a sensible feel of the actual statistics). Looking at this season's results will not prove/disprove anything about your hunch. I'm guessing you already realise to some extent that without much, much, more research it is meaningless info, but I'm not sure why you would post it based on <30 games of research.

                                                                        Dogs in AL games which start at 3.05pm on Thursday's are 18-11 last 29 plays. Therefore dogs in AL games starting at 3.05pm are a good play?

                                                                        I know that is silly obviously, but you get my point

                                                                        here come the rockies! game not over til its over
                                                                        i just mentioned i was going to look into something, so that i might be able to contribute more than a 'thanks, wallco!' everytime a play hit. i posted that i was going to backtest, and gave stats as a reason to legitimize a backtest. oh, nevermind. i'll just keep the info to myself.
                                                                        Comment
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