Tool's MLB 4.8 0-1 -1.25 units

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  • tool21
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-25-08
    • 102

    #1
    Tool's MLB 4.8 0-1 -1.25 units
    Oakland (Gaudin) @ Toronto (Burnett) -135

    Gaudin hasn't pitched this year but from last year as a primary starter you can see that his ERA is right around 4.5 with a sub-par 11-13 record. Burnett on the other hand has had an ERA below 4 the past 5 years. His only start this year was against the Yankees and he only gave up 5 hits and 2 runs in 6 innings. Pretty impressive. Toronto has begun this season with a great start at 4-2 with an even better 3-0 home record. The Bluejays have scored 32 runs in 7 games compared to Oaklands 24 runs in 7 games. Using last years pitching data and this years hitting data i came up with a line of Toronto -240 not looking at bullpens (spreadsheet doesn't do that yet) But Toronto's bullpen has also been phenominal as of late with a ERA below a run. Take that line with a grain of salt, the season is young and the database isn't close to being built to a good level. Toronto seems like a great pick at only -135!

    Best of luck!
  • ChuteBoxe
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-21-07
    • 6885

    #2
    Good luck today tool.
    Comment
    • dannyt76
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 06-29-07
      • 779

      #3
      Jays -135 is really good value since the early line on them yesterday was -140 and that was with Harden pitching. Now that Gaudin is in, I'm all over the Jays. GL.
      Comment
      • mofome
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-19-07
        • 13003

        #4
        gl today Tool
        Comment
        • tool21
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-25-08
          • 102

          #5
          Looks like i beat this line move. Always a good thing. Posted at 10:42 and the line moves at 10:53 Someone must be watching my posts

          Betjamaica Odds (Line) Over/Under (Total)
          04/07/08 4:33:17 PM -136 (Open) OFF
          04/07/08 5:03:17 PM -136 7.5 -110 (Open)
          04/07/08 9:43:17 PM -130 7.5 -110
          04/08/08 10:33:23 AM -130 8.5o -120
          04/08/08 10:53:17 AM -164 8.5o -120
          04/08/08 11:23:17 AM -162 8.5o -120
          04/08/08 11:33:17 AM -163 8.5o -120
          04/08/08 12:03:17 PM -164 8.5o -120
          Comment
          • mofome
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-19-07
            • 13003

            #6
            Harden was been replaced by Guadin (as u noted) and the line took off.

            well done.
            Comment
            • tool21
              SBR High Roller
              • 01-25-08
              • 102

              #7
              Thanks for the info MO. Bet is voided then it should have said Harden not Gaudin. When i posted on the forums i used covers for the pitching matchups. Didn't know it had changed.

              New line
              Oakland (Gaudin) @ Toronto (Burnett) -165

              Gotta keep it honest!
              Comment
              • mofome
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-19-07
                • 13003

                #8
                Originally posted by tool21
                Thanks for the info MO. Bet is voided then it should have said Harden not Gaudin. When i posted on the forums i used covers for the pitching matchups. Didn't know it had changed.

                New line
                Oakland (Gaudin) @ Toronto (Burnett) -165

                Gotta keep it honest!

                not a problem. who's surprised that Harden is already missing a start?

                Comment
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