**'s Tuesday Bases....(27-15 +22.57 units)

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  • MadCapper
    SBR MVP
    • 01-27-08
    • 4179

    #1
    **'s Tuesday Bases....(27-15 +22.57 units)
    YTD: 27-15 +22.57 units

    Coming off a bad day....

    Putting out my first 3 unit play of the season. There won't be many of these.

    Phillies +134 (2 units) (Moyer/Perez)
    Yankees/Royas UNDER 9 -112 (3 units)
    Rays +105 (1 unit) (Action)
    My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
  • ChuteBoxe
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-21-07
    • 6885

    #2
    Good luck bud, scaring me with that Phillies play though. At first look, I loved the value, and was going to take them. Then I was going back and noticed the Mets are 5-1 in home openers, and play generally much better against the Phillies in the begining of the year, compared to later in the year. Also felt the Phils pen was a little suspect. If you don't mind me asking, what was your thinking that made you pull the trigger? I wound up taking the Mets -1.5 btw.
    Comment
    • MadCapper
      SBR MVP
      • 01-27-08
      • 4179

      #3
      Originally posted by ChuteBoxe
      Good luck bud, scaring me with that Phillies play though. At first look, I loved the value, and was going to take them. Then I was going back and noticed the Mets are 5-1 in home openers, and play generally much better against the Phillies in the begining of the year, compared to later in the year. Also felt the Phils pen was a little suspect. If you don't mind me asking, what was your thinking that made you pull the trigger? I wound up taking the Mets -1.5 btw.
      As crazy as this may sound, I would be more hesitant to take the Phillies if they were a +155 underdog. I think the books are begging people to take the Mets today, in their home opener, with the much better starter, coming of an off day against a left handed hitting heavy Phillies team that hasnt been off in a while. The fact that they are only a +130-135 dog right now tells me that the books do not want Philly action. Additionally the Phillies will be up for this game. This has become a big time rivalry with Rollins mouthing off last year and Beltran mouthing off before this season. I also have a thing that I usually play the decent sized dog anytime I can against Oliver Perez. This is one of those situations. Finally, theres the Burrell factor. He still owns the Mets.

      Good luck with the rest of your action!
      My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
      Comment
      • ChuteBoxe
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-21-07
        • 6885

        #4
        Originally posted by MadCapper
        As crazy as this may sound, I would be more hesitant to take the Phillies if they were a +155 underdog. I think the books are begging people to take the Mets today, in their home opener, with the much better starter, coming of an off day against a left handed hitting heavy Phillies team that hasnt been off in a while. The fact that they are only a +130-135 dog right now tells me that the books do not want Philly action. Additionally the Phillies will be up for this game. This has become a big time rivalry with Rollins mouthing off last year and Beltran mouthing off before this season. I also have a thing that I usually play the decent sized dog anytime I can against Oliver Perez. This is one of those situations. Finally, theres the Burrell factor. He still owns the Mets.

        Good luck with the rest of your action!
        Thanks for the quick response. I didn't even think of the book factor in this case, and that has me even more worried. You're 100% right, they should probably be sitting around +145 at least. I do agree with you on the rivalry, Burrell owning the Mets, and Oliver Perez not being that great of a pitcher, even including his rebuffed delivery that he worked on this offseason. Too bad the MLB isnt like hoops, and we could be 2 pts different on our lines, and both of us could win. Looks like I'll be losing some cash on this play. As always though I'll be pulling for ya on the rest of your plays.
        Comment
        • diogee
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-11-08
          • 19477

          #5
          Good luck today **.
          Comment
          • MadCapper
            SBR MVP
            • 01-27-08
            • 4179

            #6
            Originally posted by ChuteBoxe
            Thanks for the quick response. I didn't even think of the book factor in this case, and that has me even more worried. You're 100% right, they should probably be sitting around +145 at least. I do agree with you on the rivalry, Burrell owning the Mets, and Oliver Perez not being that great of a pitcher, even including his rebuffed delivery that he worked on this offseason. Too bad the MLB isnt like hoops, and we could be 2 pts different on our lines, and both of us could win. Looks like I'll be losing some cash on this play. As always though I'll be pulling for ya on the rest of your plays.
            Oh hell no! This is anyones game. But I found value with the underdog.

            Its always good to talk baseball with you guys!
            My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
            Comment
            • Cee
              SBR MVP
              • 12-24-07
              • 1899

              #7
              Originally posted by ChuteBoxe
              Thanks for the quick response. I didn't even think of the book factor in this case, and that has me even more worried. You're 100% right, they should probably be sitting around +145 at least. I do agree with you on the rivalry, Burrell owning the Mets, and Oliver Perez not being that great of a pitcher, even including his rebuffed delivery that he worked on this offseason. Too bad the MLB isnt like hoops, and we could be 2 pts different on our lines, and both of us could win. Looks like I'll be losing some cash on this play. As always though I'll be pulling for ya on the rest of your plays.
              Cee here for mets also
              Comment
              • Cee
                SBR MVP
                • 12-24-07
                • 1899

                #8
                Originally posted by MadCapper
                YTD: 27-15 +22.57 units

                Coming off a bad day....

                Putting out my first 3 unit play of the season. There won't be many of these.

                Phillies +134 (2 units) (Moyer/Perez)
                Yankees/Royas UNDER 9 -112 (3 units)
                Rays +105 (1 unit) (Action)
                I got yanks under as a top play also
                Comment
                • ChuteBoxe
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-21-07
                  • 6885

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Cee
                  Cee here for mets also
                  Cee, what's up bud?
                  Comment
                  • ChuteBoxe
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-21-07
                    • 6885

                    #10
                    Originally posted by MadCapper
                    Oh hell no! This is anyones game. But I found value with the underdog.

                    Its always good to talk baseball with you guys!
                    I agree 100%. I love talking bases with guys like you, mo, cee, and dio. Not only do I respect you guys as cappers, but ultimately I respect you as people. Bunch of great guys.
                    Comment
                    • MadCapper
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-27-08
                      • 4179

                      #11
                      Originally posted by ChuteBoxe
                      I agree 100%. I love talking bases with guys like you, mo, cee, and dio. Not only do I respect you guys as cappers, but ultimately I respect you as people. Bunch of great guys.
                      Ditto!
                      My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                      Comment
                      • mockmic
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 02-28-08
                        • 75

                        #12
                        **, gotta quick question, on a 3 unit play, does this mean you feel more confident it will happen then a normal 2 unit or 1 unit?? Just curious. Appreciate all your help man, im trying to get into this!!
                        Comment
                        • MadCapper
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-27-08
                          • 4179

                          #13
                          Originally posted by mockmic
                          **, gotta quick question, on a 3 unit play, does this mean you feel more confident it will happen then a normal 2 unit or 1 unit?? Just curious. Appreciate all your help man, im trying to get into this!!
                          Yes. I wont have many of these. I feel very strongly about the outcome of this game.
                          My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #14
                            Hard to back Moyer - who blows against the Mets - best of luck
                            Comment
                            • MadCapper
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-27-08
                              • 4179

                              #15
                              Mets are having a ton of trouble scoring runs....vs ANYONE!
                              My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                              Comment
                              • trytrytry
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-13-06
                                • 23649

                                #16
                                thanks **
                                Comment
                                • MiamiBoy86
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-08-08
                                  • 581

                                  #17
                                  nice hit with Phili, keep it up, have NY str8 up instead of the under...cash those tickets!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • mockmic
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 02-28-08
                                    • 75

                                    #18
                                    i hope this scoring slows down in the NYY game
                                    Comment
                                    • MiamiBoy86
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-08-08
                                      • 581

                                      #19
                                      uh oh....hopefully Yanks bullpen can pull it together...otherwise we both may be in trouble...
                                      Comment
                                      • MadCapper
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-27-08
                                        • 4179

                                        #20
                                        Lets hold the score right here!
                                        My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                                        Comment
                                        • WestsidePete
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 07-19-07
                                          • 8049

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by MadCapper
                                          Lets hold the score right here!
                                          that would be nice...I've got both the under and KC +1.5...
                                          Comment
                                          • pokernut9999
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-25-07
                                            • 12757

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by WestsidePete
                                            that would be nice...I've got both the under and KC +1.5...
                                            I am pulling for you on this one.
                                            Comment
                                            • St. Andrew
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-23-08
                                              • 2265

                                              #23
                                              MADCAP, the Yanks won't score on Nunez or Soria. If they hold the Royals in the 8th, you're set.
                                              Comment
                                              • St. Andrew
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-23-08
                                                • 2265

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by St. Andrew
                                                MADCAP, the Yanks won't score on Nunez or Soria. If they hold the Royals in the 8th, you're set.
                                                2 Ks for Nunez, 1-2-3 inning. Guy's a stud.
                                                Comment
                                                • MadCapper
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-27-08
                                                  • 4179

                                                  #25
                                                  Fingers crossed!
                                                  My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bigugly
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-04-08
                                                    • 1329

                                                    #26
                                                    **, if you don't mind sharing more insight, what pushed the under play over the edge and into a 3 unit play?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • St. Andrew
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-23-08
                                                      • 2265

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by bigugly
                                                      **, if you don't mind sharing more insight, what pushed the under play over the edge and into a 3 unit play?
                                                      I can answer this. Brian Bannister at home is lights-out. It was absurd that Yanks were chalk. Royals BP has best ERA in the majors right now.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • myr10
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 01-20-08
                                                        • 483

                                                        #28
                                                        Hawkins making us sweat
                                                        Comment
                                                        • St. Andrew
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-23-08
                                                          • 2265

                                                          #29
                                                          Here comes the Soria show. Madcap, get ready to count your money.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • myr10
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-20-08
                                                            • 483

                                                            #30
                                                            Nice cash on the yanks under
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mockmic
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 02-28-08
                                                              • 75

                                                              #31
                                                              thanks **
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pokernut9999
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 07-25-07
                                                                • 12757

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by St. Andrew
                                                                MADCAP, the Yanks won't score on Nunez or Soria. If they hold the Royals in the 8th, you're set.
                                                                Good call


                                                                Comment
                                                                • MadCapper
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-27-08
                                                                  • 4179

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by bigugly
                                                                  **, if you don't mind sharing more insight, what pushed the under play over the edge and into a 3 unit play?
                                                                  BBD,

                                                                  A few factors played into it.

                                                                  1. Bannister is undervalued.
                                                                  2. Hughes was coming off a sharp outing and I thought he would do well vs KC.
                                                                  3. Joba was able to go 2 innings.
                                                                  4. KC has a strong 8th and 9th inning guys.
                                                                  5. Cold weather.

                                                                  Obviously the SP wasnt that good. But the pens were strong and the bats were off.
                                                                  My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MadCapper
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-27-08
                                                                    • 4179

                                                                    #34
                                                                    No problem guys! Glad you were all on board!

                                                                    2-0 +5.68 units so far today.....

                                                                    YTD: 29-15 +28.25 units

                                                                    ....with Tampa Bay pending
                                                                    My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • tiptoe
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 04-08-08
                                                                      • 1

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Good work MadCapper. Follow you today and it paid off.
                                                                      Comment
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