How do you win with baseball?

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  • Godzilla
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-12-08
    • 558

    #1
    How do you win with baseball?
    I am a full time basketball guy. Won a lot of money this season. But I am curious. Is there a strategy with baseball? Seems like anything can happen any night. Do you guys win with parlays, or so straight bets game by game to get ahead? Any info would be appreciated. Thanks.
  • diogee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-11-08
    • 19477

    #2
    Best of luck learning this season Godzilla...I will be learning baseball this year as well. I am a football guy but learned basketball over the last few months.
    Comment
    • pimike
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-23-08
      • 37139

      #3
      Baseball you need to have a bankroll and bet only single games no parlays. The key is picking the right guy on the mound.
      Comment
      • WestsidePete
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-19-07
        • 8049

        #4
        don't bet much baseball until around april 15 or later....need to see the trends..who's hot ...who's not...bullpens matter as well as the starters
        Comment
        • OLGC_Slayer
          SBR MVP
          • 02-28-08
          • 2186

          #5
          You need to identify matchups and home dogs.
          Comment
          • rm18
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-20-05
            • 22291

            #6
            nothing wrong with parlays because you get real odds at all books basically.

            I like to look at the lineups and wind before the game to get winners.
            Comment
            • andrewaxia
              Restricted User
              • 02-11-08
              • 1419

              #7
              Factor the days starting pitcher, defense and team bullpen into the equation. Pitching and defense prevails all the time.
              Comment
              • OLGC_Slayer
                SBR MVP
                • 02-28-08
                • 2186

                #8
                Weather is a huge factor, especially early in the spring.
                Some people like to look at umpiring crews. Some home plate umpires are "pitchers umpires" and will tend to keep a lower score because of a bigger strike zone. Somewhat useful for totals.
                I like to look for edges with starting pitchers vs the top of the lineup 1,2,3,4. I never look at overall team stats vs a pitcher, I try to weight them appropriately since the top of the order will face a starter more often.
                I like to look at team vs team records and identify stats things that don't make sense, like (fake example) why is Pittsburgh, the worst team in the league 5-2 at New York vs the Mets? I take a close look at the boxscores and try to see patterns to identify edges.
                A few more off the top of my head.
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #9
                  I'm actually trying something new. Takes patience, but I think it's easier to keep your bankroll from taking heavy hits during a looooong season. I'm playing mostly SERIES only instead of individual games. That way, I'm making two larger bets at the beginning of the week & two or three larger bets for the weekend vs. making several bets every day, etc. I'm still going to play a couple individual games each week, but mostly just taking shots with big dogs on those. Best of fortune to ya.
                  Comment
                  • szaidi99
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-09-08
                    • 484

                    #10
                    let me know what you guys think!

                    i was looking at ats standings for teams last year, and i was wondering if it is possible to pick the best teams and worst teams and bet with them and aganist them the whole season.

                    for sure you will end up with positive money!
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Just yank the minus (-) key out of your keyboard!
                      Comment
                      • diogee
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-11-08
                        • 19477

                        #12
                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                        Just yank the minus (-) key out of your keyboard!
                        I will keep that in mind myself.
                        Comment
                        • willyback
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-15-07
                          • 674

                          #13
                          Hard sport to learn, but once you get it - it's a never ending payday.
                          Comment
                          • Saunders FTW
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 03-10-08
                            • 986

                            #14
                            good luck in the future Godzila
                            Comment
                            • cobra_king
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-07-06
                              • 2491

                              #15
                              Originally posted by szaidi99
                              let me know what you guys think!

                              i was looking at ats standings for teams last year, and i was wondering if it is possible to pick the best teams and worst teams and bet with them and aganist them the whole season.

                              for sure you will end up with positive money!

                              In baseball the ats standings and the real standings are one and the same as a moneyline is used and not a pointspread. So if you plan on playing all the good teams, and playing against all the bad teams, all you will ever do is lay chalk after more chalk and you will be buried so deep that it will be more likely that Jimmy Hoffa will be found before your bankroll is.
                              Comment
                              • CashMoney
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-07-08
                                • 1982

                                #16
                                Basbeball is my favorite sport to cap. Looking forward to a great year. There are a ton of games played. You just need to be selective. It's all about pitching.
                                Comment
                                • szaidi99
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-09-08
                                  • 484

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by cobra_king
                                  In baseball the ats standings and the real standings are one and the same as a moneyline is used and not a pointspread. So if you plan on playing all the good teams, and playing against all the bad teams, all you will ever do is lay chalk after more chalk and you will be buried so deep that it will be more likely that Jimmy Hoffa will be found before your bankroll is.
                                  i use sportsinteraction, they have both ats, and moneyline for baseball

                                  as you can see i am new to all this, but i noticed all the good teams such as red sox, yankees, indians, did well against the spread last year and will probably do well this year too! i am going to bet all the games for these teams, and will probably bet against baltimore! hopefully i will make some money
                                  Comment
                                  • 20Four7
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-08-07
                                    • 6703

                                    #18
                                    You must be thinking run line. It's not really a spread. As cobra said, the yanks lost money last year if they bet them every game despite their 90+ win record. They were -12 units basically. TheGiants were more than 20 units down on the year despite Mr. Bonds.
                                    Comment
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