So I had a parlay today...

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  • Hotnicks
    SBR Sharp
    • 06-04-10
    • 423

    #1
    So I had a parlay today...
    Since the MLB season has been sort of crazy lately, i've decided to slow down on the betting and just bet on NCAAF and NFL. I admit i'm not the best at MLB capping, but i have learned a lot from Paco, No Coin, and Lb. Thanks guys

    So i looked at the board today and wanted to have minimal damage in baseball so i decided to throw a parlay today and here is what i came up with...

    Internet 4 Team Parlay
    Ticket # 77527610-1
    9/10/10 4:05 PM MLB /Baseball Florida Marlins +105 (A Sanabia -R) Must Pitch (J Lannan -L) Must Pitch Win 9/10/10
    4:05 PM
    9/10/10 5:10 PM MLB /Baseball Chicago Cubs +100 (C Zambrano -R) Must Pitch (D Bush -R) Must Pitch Win 9/10/10
    4:05 PM
    9/10/10 7:05 PM MLB /Baseball San Francisco Giants -105 (J Sanchez -L) Must Pitch (C Richard -L) Must Pitch Win 9/10/10
    4:05 PM
    9/10/10 4:05 PM MLB /Baseball Tampa Bay Rays +100 (J Shields -R) Must Pitch (B Cecil -L) Must Pitch Win 9/10/10
    4:05 PM

    18/270 270

    The reasoning behind this parlay was the following based on prior knowledge from the people mentioned above, Mostly Lb. I read somewhere in his post (or at least its what i transcribed from him) about picking the underdog when there is a big discrepancy on the RL where the + 1 1/2 is heavily juiced. Now this might just be a lucky night, but here is the correlation between the picks on the final lines from 5dimes around the time i put it in(cause i use a local)...


    FLA Vs. WAS
    ML (+105) (-115)
    Side +1 1/2 (-192) -1 1/2 (+177)

    CHC Vs. MIL
    ML (+107) (-117)
    Side +1 1/2 (-185) -1 1/2 (+170)

    TAM Vs. TOR
    ML (+114) (-124)
    Side +1 1/2 (-178) -1 1/2 (+167)

    SF Vs. SDG
    ML (-102) (-108)
    Side +1 1/2 (-240) -1 1/2 (+220)
    **This line didn't flip with my site until later but this around what i saw**


    Now i'm not sure if this was just luck or if i've discovered the fountain of youth but i thought i would decide to share my thoughts about why i picked this parlay. Again i'm not the best MLB Capper, so this could just be a squares luck or i lucky misinterpreted some information, Either way I thought i would share.
  • lunchbawks
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-31-10
    • 12873

    #2
    wayto post this after the games cleared
    Comment
    • Hotnicks
      SBR Sharp
      • 06-04-10
      • 423

      #3
      Originally posted by lunchbawks
      wayto post this after the games cleared
      Why would i post if i know i'm not the best at capping baseball and risk maybe somebody tailing?

      It was an experiment and i'm sharing my findings, people don't claim their information behind an experiment before their theory has been tested. i'll do it again tomorrow and post it before the game so i won't get remarks like that.
      Comment
      • bradleysnyder
        Restricted User
        • 04-18-07
        • 6662

        #4
        the red sox really screwed me tonight.i had a 7 teamer $12 to win $274 and boston lost,fuk
        Comment
        • Hotnicks
          SBR Sharp
          • 06-04-10
          • 423

          #5
          Originally posted by Hotnicks

          Why would i post if i know i'm not the best at capping baseball and risk maybe somebody tailing?

          It was an experiment and i'm sharing my findings, people don't claim their information behind an experiment before their theory has been tested. i'll do it again tomorrow and post it before the game so i won't get remarks like that.
          That even sounds funnny
          Comment
          • Jon825
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-06-10
            • 744

            #6
            red sox screwed me too. o well. i live to fight another day
            sbr
            Comment
            • lunchbawks
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-31-10
              • 12873

              #7
              Originally posted by Hotnicks
              Why would i post if i know i'm not the best at capping baseball and risk maybe somebody tailing?

              It was an experiment and i'm sharing my findings, people don't claim their information behind an experiment before their theory has been tested. i'll do it again tomorrow and post it before the game so i won't get /remarks like that.
              why would any9one want to tail you
              Comment
              • Hotnicks
                SBR Sharp
                • 06-04-10
                • 423

                #8
                Originally posted by Hotnicks

                That even sounds funnny
                Originally posted by lunchbawks
                why would any9one want to tail you
                Thats exactly why i posted that.
                Comment
                • JMobile
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-21-10
                  • 19074

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Hotnicks
                  Why would i post if i know i'm not the best at capping baseball and risk maybe somebody tailing?

                  It was an experiment and i'm sharing my findings, people don't claim their information behind an experiment before their theory has been tested. i'll do it again tomorrow and post it before the game so i won't get remarks like that.
                  I usually tail Parlays if its posted on time. I just don't wagger something I would regret.
                  Comment
                  • Hotnicks
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 06-04-10
                    • 423

                    #10
                    Originally posted by JMobile

                    I usually tail Parlays if its posted on time. I just don't wagger something I would regret.
                    I know, most people do. So unless its somewhat proven or maybe even has a high percentage of hitting, why would i post it? trust me, i dont want to be like most people and say 'parlay that will definitely hit' or 'Guaranteed parlay.' so i would only like to give some insight to why i picked my parlay.
                    Comment
                    • Hotnicks
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 06-04-10
                      • 423

                      #11
                      Ok so tomorrow....


                      STL
                      STL vs. ATL
                      ML (+115) (-135)
                      Side (-175) (+165)

                      CHC
                      CHC vs. Mil
                      ML (+105) (-110)
                      Side (-195) (+180)

                      SF
                      SF Vs. SDG
                      ML (+108) (-113)
                      Side (-215) (195)

                      NYY
                      NYY Vs. Tex
                      ML (-104) (-106)
                      Side (-200) (+175)

                      Others stuff like Opp. BA is included as long as trends to these leans.
                      Comment
                      • JMobile
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-21-10
                        • 19074

                        #12
                        So your using that as your Parlay then?
                        Comment
                        • Hotnicks
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 06-04-10
                          • 423

                          #13
                          Originally posted by JMobile
                          So your using that as your Parlay then?
                          Probably. i'm gonna sleep on it. my bookie sucks and my site doesn't have the runlines until tomorrow.
                          Comment
                          • Hotnicks
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 06-04-10
                            • 423

                            #14
                            Guess what, let's roll with it.

                            I'm going with the following:
                            STL ML
                            NYY ML
                            CHC ML
                            SF ML

                            little over half a unit. Hopefully it hits. I wouldn't suggest tailing unless you wanna experiment. either way whatever you bet, may the winners be ours.
                            Comment
                            • playersonly69
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-04-08
                              • 12827

                              #15
                              Hotnicks, those posters mentioned didnt teach you shit.


                              SO all you look for is runline discrepancy? DUH!!!


                              The runline is always high for games where the underdog is +120 or less
                              Comment
                              • siabdo23
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-02-09
                                • 300

                                #16
                                its hard this year to hit any parlay in baseball logic picks mean nothing
                                Comment
                                • denn333
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-16-05
                                  • 1191

                                  #17
                                  throw logic out the window.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hotnicks
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 06-04-10
                                    • 423

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by playersonly69
                                    Hotnicks, those posters mentioned didnt teach you shit.


                                    SO all you look for is runline discrepancy? DUH!!!


                                    The runline is always high for games where the underdog is +120 or less
                                    I said other things were involved too.

                                    secondly i wasn't saying i was a straight disciples from them either. I'm having second thoughts about starting this thread now. i was just throwing an idea out there.
                                    Comment
                                    • dizzy_7
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 07-12-10
                                      • 437

                                      #19
                                      good win
                                      Comment
                                      • JMobile
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-21-10
                                        • 19074

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Hotnicks
                                        Guess what, let's roll with it.

                                        I'm going with the following:
                                        STL ML
                                        NYY ML
                                        CHC ML
                                        SF ML

                                        little over half a unit. Hopefully it hits. I wouldn't suggest tailing unless you wanna experiment. either way whatever you bet, may the winners be ours.
                                        I switch SF with Cincy. I'm just hesitate about the SF/SD game. But anyways.
                                        Comment
                                        • TheBeautifulGame
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-26-08
                                          • 1286

                                          #21
                                          Stupid Baseball question from someone that hasn't a notion of the sport, can a DRAW occur in a Baseball game? As in, the final outcome of the game is a DRAW or does there have to be a definite winner?
                                          Comment
                                          • Hotnicks
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 06-04-10
                                            • 423

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by JMobile

                                            I switch SF with Cincy. I'm just hesitate about the SF/SD game. But anyways.
                                            Good luck to you too man.
                                            Comment
                                            • stuntin909
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 08-05-10
                                              • 933

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by TheBeautifulGame
                                              Stupid Baseball question from someone that hasn't a notion of the sport, can a DRAW occur in a Baseball game? As in, the final outcome of the game is a DRAW or does there have to be a definite winner?
                                              no draw. extra innings til there is a winner!
                                              Comment
                                              • TryOnce
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 03-23-10
                                                • 254

                                                #24
                                                Stupid Baseball question from someone that hasn't a notion of the sport, can a DRAW occur in a Baseball game? As in, the final outcome of the game is a DRAW or does there have to be a definite winner?
                                                Comment
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