Why its smarter to bet on a coinflip than baseball

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  • bettilimbroke999
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-04-08
    • 13254

    #1
    Why its smarter to bet on a coinflip than baseball
    At least with a coinflip you dont have to beat your head against the wall at the ridiculous decision making by pitchers, you can honestly just say you were unlucky if you lose and lucky if you win, but in baseball I mean these motherfukin pitchers must be dumber than a bag of rocks, HOW THE FUK DO THEY WALK THE LEADOFF MAN IN THE 1ST INNING???

    Seriously a guy comes up with a 30% or less chance of getting on base and a 1% chance of a homerun and you walk him to start the game, I mean **** why even fukin have coaches in this game if they're not going to impart any intelligence on the players, now you of course instantly are in a jam and instantly give up multiple runs in the first bc you HAVE to pitch to the next batters, which are always the best on the team, when you had a 70% or greater chance of getting the leadoff out and a 99% chance of not giving up a leadoff HR had you pitched to the guy, I mean unfukinreal these morons!
  • Prey
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-10-10
    • 457

    #2
    the coaches are not giving me the shit I need to win.
    Comment
    • Ninersnut
      SBR MVP
      • 05-20-10
      • 3730

      #3
      Yeah baseball is pretty much the wackest sport. Or I like the classic bring in a closer and let him walk 2 guys and still keep him in there to give up the runs. I love that play.
      Comment
      • bettilimbroke999
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-04-08
        • 13254

        #4
        I honestly think if any pitcher studied stats they would never walk the leadoff man again, its just the absolute sign of a pitcher thats going to lose the game, you're just PUTTING a guy on first to start the inning, I mean if the sob gets his 30% or less hit then so be it but **** with no one one base you walk him then have 3 outs behind him to score him, I mean whats the fukin sense of it, when it gets to 3-2 just throw a strike and if the guy gets a hit hes on 1st if he strikes out or gets out then hes not, but just throwin it in the stands and lettin him walk to first when there's no risk in pitching to him I just dont get, I mean maybe Pujols or something but just some random guy whose hit 3 homers all years its fukin unreal
        Comment
        • bettilimbroke999
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-04-08
          • 13254

          #5
          Originally posted by Ninersnut
          Yeah baseball is pretty much the wackest sport. Or I like the classic bring in a closer and let him walk 2 guys and still keep him in there to give up the runs. I love that play.
          I mean once they've walked the first 2 guys its allover anyway pretty much unless they had a lead, but basically if the closer walks the leadoff man he gets pulled in my book if its a close game, its obvious the idiot is fukin garbage if hes not even willing to take a 1% chance that the guy gets a HR, instead he throws it in the dugout and gives the team a 50% chance of scoring that inning

          My favorite baseball stat is when the leadoff man gets on there is a 51% chance over the last 25 years that the team scores a run that inning, when the leadoff man gets out there is a 14% chance that they score that inning, that's almost 4x the chance of scoring and all bc the motherfuker is scared some guy with 3 HRs out of 500 ABs is gonna homer on him
          Comment
          • teaserpleaser
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-14-08
            • 26015

            #6
            most guys here will tell you they win playing bases but i know better. Most will not end the season +
            Comment
            • ProfaneReality
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-14-09
              • 7607

              #7
              so... going out on a limb, did gavin floyd walk the leadoff hitter today?
              Comment
              • Rixsaw
                SBR MVP
                • 10-23-08
                • 4532

                #8
                Some people are better capping one sport than another. Stick to what you are good at and use MM to limit your losses.
                Comment
                • rfr3sh
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-07-09
                  • 10229

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ProfaneReality
                  so... going out on a limb, did gavin floyd walk the leadoff hitter today?
                  yes he did
                  Comment
                  • aggieshawn
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-24-07
                    • 4377

                    #10
                    A little bitter
                    Comment
                    • DrStale
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-07-08
                      • 9692

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Rixsaw
                      Some people are better capping one sport than another. Stick to what you are good at and use MM to limit your losses.
                      During baseball season he complains about baseball, during football season he complains about football, during basketball season he complains about basketball. The only time he ever posts is when he's complaining about a game, no idea why he even bets.
                      Originally posted by Dark Horse
                      If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
                      Comment
                      • bettilimbroke999
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-04-08
                        • 13254

                        #12
                        Originally posted by ProfaneReality
                        so... going out on a limb, did gavin floyd walk the leadoff hitter today?
                        Happens to me constantly but today was no different yes the moron walked the 3 HRs out of over 500 ABs leadoff hitter to avoid the less than 1% chance of him scoring and preserve the 51% chance of Detroit scoring that inning if he walked him which they did multiple times
                        Comment
                        • Rixsaw
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-23-08
                          • 4532

                          #13
                          Originally posted by DrStale
                          During baseball season he complains about baseball, during football season he complains about football, during basketball season he complains about basketball. The only time he ever posts is when he's complaining about a game, no idea why he even bets.
                          Because he bets til he's broke rather than capping to win. One needs to know when to fold'em.
                          Comment
                          • bettilimbroke999
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-04-08
                            • 13254

                            #14
                            Originally posted by DrStale
                            During baseball season he complains about baseball, during football season he complains about football, during basketball season he complains about basketball. The only time he ever posts is when he's complaining about a game, no idea why he even bets.
                            Your mom complains about my dick being too big but she still rides it
                            Comment
                            • bettilimbroke999
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-04-08
                              • 13254

                              #15
                              The problem with you idiots is that you dont see the plain truth, THESE MOTHERFUKIN BOOKIES ARE PAYING RIDICULOUS EXPENSES, EMPLOYEES, EQUIPMENT, RENT, ADVERTISING, 1-800 #S, CC FEES, BONUSES, ETC ETC ETC JUST TO RUN A SITE WHERE YOU WILL BET (AND LOSE) YOUR MONEY.

                              So I complain when a pitcher acts like a complete moron and loses my money and some idiot who is on the phone reloading with BetPhoenix (who may or may not pay even if he beats the odds) says why does bettilimbroke still bet, WELL OBVIOUSLY ITS CAUSE I LIKE TO GAMBLE LIKE EVERYONE ON THIS SITE, I MEAN FUK DO YOU THINK THESE 2000 ONLINE SPORTSBOOKS ARE SPENDING A FORTUNE AND MILLION LOCAL BOOKIES ARE RISKING JAIL TIME AND THAT YOU'LL STIFF THEM IN ORDER TO GIVE YOU THEIR MONEY?

                              YOU PROLLY HAVE THE SLOTS FIGURED OUT TOO RIGHT!

                              FUKIN GENIUS!
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388179

                                #16
                                All sports are really coin flips for the most part excluding maybe some big favorites on the ML. The majority of point spread covers have lots of luck and more than skill. If you coin flipped your results would not be that different, we do not coin flip because it is no fun and we do not get the self satisfaction of winning and losing a bet.
                                Comment
                                • teaserpleaser
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 08-14-08
                                  • 26015

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                  All sports are really coin flips for the most part excluding maybe some big favorites on the ML. The majority of point spread covers have lots of luck and more than skill. If you coin flipped your results would not be that different, we do not coin flip because it is no fun and we do not get the self satisfaction of winning and losing a bet.
                                  about the best post from jj in a while... Those that can win betting spreads month after month god bless em. Im doing well betting MLs rare i play a spread other then boise +1 or Lsu pk i'm pick winners guy i'd probably get killed playing spreads in cfb/nfl
                                  Comment
                                  • DrStale
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-07-08
                                    • 9692

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by bettilimbroke999

                                    Your mom complains about my dick being too big but she still rides it
                                    Ah yet another individual on SBR with the wit and fortitude to truly test the strengths of my arguments and ability to debate. I tip my cap to you sir.
                                    Originally posted by Dark Horse
                                    If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
                                    Comment
                                    • phillybadboy
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-11-09
                                      • 9383

                                      #19
                                      al in on tails
                                      Comment
                                      • ehp6737
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-11-08
                                        • 4185

                                        #20
                                        I'll take heads
                                        Comment
                                        • bettilimbroke999
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-04-08
                                          • 13254

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by phillybadboy
                                          al in on tails
                                          Originally posted by ehp6737
                                          I'll take heads
                                          At -110 the bookie is happy to book those bets
                                          Comment
                                          • durito
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-03-06
                                            • 13173

                                            #22
                                            I see somethings never change.
                                            Comment
                                            • gryfyn1
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-30-10
                                              • 3285

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ehp6737
                                              I'll take heads
                                              Tails is on a three flip steak during night flips on Thursdays. Heads just looks good because is started the year hot, but it has been struggling lately and regression says it time for Tails to get Hot.

                                              Sorry heads is a loser --- Tails is clearly the Lock of the Century
                                              Comment
                                              • Leverage
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 07-30-09
                                                • 253

                                                #24
                                                dude you post one of these every baseball season. if you cant handle the heat quit betting on baseball. jesus
                                                Comment
                                                • infamousbacardi
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-16-08
                                                  • 4556

                                                  #25
                                                  ^^^^^ fair enough
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bettilimbroke999
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-04-08
                                                    • 13254

                                                    #26
                                                    I wish I had a girlfriend that sucks dick as much as MLB
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bettilimbroke999
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-04-08
                                                      • 13254

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by gryfyn1
                                                      Tails is on a three flip steak during night flips on Thursdays. Heads just looks good because is started the year hot, but it has been struggling lately and regression says it time for Tails to get Hot.

                                                      Sorry heads is a loser --- Tails is clearly the Lock of the Century
                                                      Fuk that tails sucks im all in on heads, tails is a fishbet
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JW Cash
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-31-08
                                                        • 4453

                                                        #28
                                                        This thread would not have been started if you are winning at baseball....


                                                        Still money to be won in baseball
                                                        Comment
                                                        • GroundnPound
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-12-09
                                                          • 4070

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by bettilimbroke999
                                                          At least with a coinflip you dont have to beat your head against the wall at the ridiculous decision making by pitchers, you can honestly just say you were unlucky if you lose and lucky if you win, but in baseball I mean these motherfukin pitchers must be dumber than a bag of rocks, HOW THE FUK DO THEY WALK THE LEADOFF MAN IN THE 1ST INNING???

                                                          Seriously a guy comes up with a 30% or less chance of getting on base and a 1% chance of a homerun and you walk him to start the game, I mean **** why even fukin have coaches in this game if they're not going to impart any intelligence on the players, now you of course instantly are in a jam and instantly give up multiple runs in the first bc you HAVE to pitch to the next batters, which are always the best on the team, when you had a 70% or greater chance of getting the leadoff out and a 99% chance of not giving up a leadoff HR had you pitched to the guy, I mean unfukinreal these morons!
                                                          What is worst is when he then walks the second guy and then he starts to throw a few nice strikes, he then gets the next man out and your like now that is what I am talking about but he then goes on to give up one hit in the inning which results in two runs, because the idiot walked two batters
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bettilimbroke999
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-04-08
                                                            • 13254

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by GroundnPound
                                                            What is worst is when he then walks the second guy and then he starts to throw a few nice strikes, he then gets the next man out and your like now that is what I am talking about but he then goes on to give up one hit in the inning which results in two runs, because the idiot walked two batters
                                                            Exactly, I mean wtf are they thinkin, in a game where 30% hit rate is Hall of fame material they are too scared to pitch to some fukin no name player with no one on base thats only in the majors bc he runs like a deer and steals 80%, sometimes I think these pitchers just dont want to give up hits, theyd rather just walk him and have a chance at a no hitter or some bullshit than give him a 30% chance at a single, I really just dont fukin get it, some shrimp ass lead off hitter that runs like a deer with 20 stolen bases and 5 caught stealing and 3 HRs all year and you somehow decide to leadoff walk him putting yourself in position to have to pitch the power/best hitters who are actual legitimate HR threats, then spend 5 mins tryin to hold him at 1st then he steals 2nd and if any of the next 3 hitters hit a single (almost guaranteed since its top 3 hitters all batting around 300) he scores, I just dont fukin get how you pitch around that guy, I guess I just suck at capping baseball.

                                                            Also these are top pitchers doin this, not some rookie with a 10 ERA, itll be a 3 ERA veteran pitcher that just decides to smoke some crack in the dugout and come out and spot the other team some runs
                                                            Comment
                                                            • GroundnPound
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-12-09
                                                              • 4070

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by bettilimbroke999
                                                              Exactly, I mean wtf are they thinkin, in a game where 30% hit rate is Hall of fame material they are too scared to pitch to some fukin no name player with no one on base thats only in the majors bc he runs like a deer and steals 80%, sometimes I think these pitchers just dont want to give up hits, theyd rather just walk him and have a chance at a no hitter or some bullshit than give him a 30% chance at a single, I really just dont fukin get it, some shrimp ass lead off hitter that runs like a deer with 20 stolen bases and 5 caught stealing and 3 HRs all year and you somehow decide to leadoff walk him putting yourself in position to have to pitch the power/best hitters who are actual legitimate HR threats, then spend 5 mins tryin to hold him at 1st then he steals 2nd and if any of the next 3 hitters hit a single (almost guaranteed since its top 3 hitters all batting around 300) he scores, I just dont fukin get how you pitch around that guy, I guess I just suck at capping baseball.

                                                              Also these are top pitchers doin this, not some rookie with a 10 ERA, itll be a 3 ERA veteran pitcher that just decides to smoke some crack in the dugout and come out and spot the other team some runs
                                                              Too true they walk the 0.190 averaging dude who like you said runs hard and steals bases and then usually gets to third on a pass ball and then a sac fly for a run. No hits but a run scored. Hahah when u said 10 ERA that Florida scrub Tankserley came to my brain but at least he gives up HR's not walks.

                                                              That Volquez chump from Cinci is a proven walk giver. I hate betting on walk givers so frustrating. They always seem to get in "jams" where the bases are loaded with no outs and then they give up one/two runs and the commentators go onto commend them on their great skills on how they got out of it. He doesn't mention the four straight balls that got the cvnt on base
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bettilimbroke999
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-04-08
                                                                • 13254

                                                                #32
                                                                I can understand walking in certain situations of course but leadoff walks just make me want to puke, leadoff walks in the 1st inning should require an immediate onfield drug test before the pitcher is allowed to continue
                                                                Comment
                                                                • phLLyphan11
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 05-15-09
                                                                  • 322

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Come on dude, the pitchers aren't trying to walk the first batter...sometimes it just happens. I mean, we are talking about baseball...a sport where failing 7 times out of 10 is actually quite good.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • frostno98
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 09-11-07
                                                                    • 9769

                                                                    #34
                                                                    After betting BaseBall for the 1st time this season, resulting in an Oakland A's run line lost, i'm officially done with this sport. Better off betting the Canadian Football league.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mart59a
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-21-10
                                                                      • 936

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Canadian Football league is great for betting on. MLB has to be the worst.
                                                                      Comment
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