My SUNDAY NIGHT Play

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  • MadCapper
    SBR MVP
    • 01-27-08
    • 4179

    #1
    My SUNDAY NIGHT Play
    Thanx to that huge 8th and 9th inning comeback by Atlanta, I actually won some money today! Could have been a big day if Chicago Cubs had come through.

    Tonight...

    Rays -136 (4 unit play)

    Coming off that fantastic win last night, I really like the Rays in this spot. The Rays are playing at home and I feel this is actually a very cheap line for them. They are sending james Shields to the hill tonight. Shields had been struggling, but has been brilliant his last 2 times out: both against good opponents Anaheim and Texas. In his last start, against the Angels, he struck out 10 batters. The Red Sox are sending John Lackey to the bump tonight. Lackey has been very inconsistent. He seems to follow up every good start with a clunker. He was very good in his last outing, but the Rays are not an easy team to reverse that trend against. They have some very good left handed bats with Crawford, Zobrist, and Pena. And right handed bat, Longoria can hit anyone. Last nights loss has to have a lingering effect on this Sox team. It's not a loss any team could just shrug off. The Red Sox were up 2-1 late in the game. They could, obviously, smell/taste being just 3 1/2 games behind TB. But then just like that, with 2 swings of the bat, one by B.J. Upton and one by Dan Johnson (who?), it was back to 5 1/2 games. The pressue is squarely on the Red Sox tonight. And its never easy playing under pressure. Especially when they are missing their heart and soul of Pedroia and Youkilis. The biggest problem for Boston not be their starter tonight, but will once again be the bottom half of their order. Last night, Lowell, Nava, Kalsih, and Hall were a combined 1 for 15. Thats not a typo. That definitely will not get it done tonight. Especially against a tough pitcher like Shields. He will be able to pitch around Ortiz and Beltre if the bottom of the Sox lineup remains the same. I fully expect the Red Sox to battle, but talent will come through in the later innings, and the home team Rays will just about put the Sox playoff chances to bed.

    Final Score Prediction:

    Rays 6 Red Sox 4

    (Too close to play the plus money run line.)

    Good luck to all followers.
    My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
  • Power Play
    SBR MVP
    • 02-01-10
    • 1224

    #2
    I think it's the Sox's desperation versus Tampa Bay's home field. Both previoius games in the series were games that could have gone either way. I think this game's the same. The pitching matchup is basically a wash (not a huge fan of either pitcher). 50/50 game imo.
    Comment
    • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-18-10
      • 13389

      #3
      nice write up
      i like the over 8.5 your right about the lackey w/a gem and then a clunker all year long!this stat was interesting though he is 11-3 w/a 3.54 vs tampa life time.
      and shields is 4-9 w/a 5.25 era vs the sox's lifetime.
      tampa prevailing late might be right 6-4 sounds right
      the bottom half with kilish and nada are better then those stats suggest good luck tonight
      i'm going over 8.5
      Comment
      • MadCapper
        SBR MVP
        • 01-27-08
        • 4179

        #4
        Originally posted by Power Play
        I think it's the Sox's desperation versus Tampa Bay's home field. Both previoius games in the series were games that could have gone either way. I think this game's the same. The pitching matchup is basically a wash (not a huge fan of either pitcher). 50/50 game imo.
        Desperation does not necessarily correlate to better play. Desperation can lead to playing tight. Give me the home team, playing looser, with more talent.
        My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
        Comment
        • MadCapper
          SBR MVP
          • 01-27-08
          • 4179

          #5
          Originally posted by WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
          nice write up
          i like the over 8.5 your right about the lackey w/a gem and then a clunker all year long!this stat was interesting though he is 11-3 w/a 3.54 vs tampa life time.
          and shields is 4-9 w/a 5.25 era vs the sox's lifetime.
          tampa prevailing late might be right 6-4 sounds right
          the bottom half with kilish and nada are better then those stats suggest good luck tonight
          i'm going over 8.5
          All true. And I like Nava and Kalish. But they might be heading into the rookie slump now. We will see.
          My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
          Comment
          • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-18-10
            • 13389

            #6
            good luck mad capper that could be true the sox's need this win bad they will show up tonight. gl shield's has been hard 2 cap this year and lakey 2.
            Comment
            • MadCapper
              SBR MVP
              • 01-27-08
              • 4179

              #7
              Thanx WOB.

              Enjoy the game!
              My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
              Comment
              • sweethook
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-21-07
                • 12667

                #8
                50% chance rain and its a 100% right now at 6pm
                Comment
                • landers781
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-27-09
                  • 4774

                  #9
                  Originally posted by sweethook
                  50% chance rain and its a 100% right now at 6pm
                  They play in a dome
                  Comment
                  • MadCapper
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-27-08
                    • 4179

                    #10
                    Yes...You should know that
                    My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                    Comment
                    • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-18-10
                      • 13389

                      #11
                      they woke up tonight they being the bottom half of the order have scored all 3 runs , these young kids are hot for the sox's gl

                      redsoxs pen good for 1 or 2 runs lol
                      Comment
                      • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-18-10
                        • 13389

                        #12
                        lol there is the left handed batters w/a hr you were talking about and longoria right after with a double lol .we were both on the nose we should share info more often gl with tampa i just need the over
                        Comment
                        • MadCapper
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-27-08
                          • 4179

                          #13
                          Originally posted by WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                          lol there is the left handed batters w/a hr you were talking about and longoria right after with a double lol .we were both on the nose we should share info more often gl with tampa i just need the over
                          My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                          Comment
                          • MadCapper
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-27-08
                            • 4179

                            #14
                            Nice ending to the day!
                            My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                            Comment
                            • millflavor
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 07-25-10
                              • 566

                              #15
                              i feel like the entire forum was on the rays
                              Comment
                              • rake922
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-23-07
                                • 11692

                                #16
                                I needed the over... thought I had a good shot before upton's double play
                                Comment
                                • danrman
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-30-08
                                  • 2696

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by MadCapper
                                  Thanx to that huge 8th and 9th inning comeback by Atlanta, I actually won some money today! Could have been a big day if Chicago Cubs had come through.

                                  Tonight...

                                  Rays -136 (4 unit play)

                                  Coming off that fantastic win last night, I really like the Rays in this spot. The Rays are playing at home and I feel this is actually a very cheap line for them. They are sending james Shields to the hill tonight. Shields had been struggling, but has been brilliant his last 2 times out: both against good opponents Anaheim and Texas. In his last start, against the Angels, he struck out 10 batters. The Red Sox are sending John Lackey to the bump tonight. Lackey has been very inconsistent. He seems to follow up every good start with a clunker. He was very good in his last outing, but the Rays are not an easy team to reverse that trend against. They have some very good left handed bats with Crawford, Zobrist, and Pena. And right handed bat, Longoria can hit anyone. Last nights loss has to have a lingering effect on this Sox team. It's not a loss any team could just shrug off. The Red Sox were up 2-1 late in the game. They could, obviously, smell/taste being just 3 1/2 games behind TB. But then just like that, with 2 swings of the bat, one by B.J. Upton and one by Dan Johnson (who?), it was back to 5 1/2 games. The pressue is squarely on the Red Sox tonight. And its never easy playing under pressure. Especially when they are missing their heart and soul of Pedroia and Youkilis. The biggest problem for Boston not be their starter tonight, but will once again be the bottom half of their order. Last night, Lowell, Nava, Kalsih, and Hall were a combined 1 for 15. Thats not a typo. That definitely will not get it done tonight. Especially against a tough pitcher like Shields. He will be able to pitch around Ortiz and Beltre if the bottom of the Sox lineup remains the same. I fully expect the Red Sox to battle, but talent will come through in the later innings, and the home team Rays will just about put the Sox playoff chances to bed.

                                  Final Score Prediction:

                                  Rays 6 Red Sox 4

                                  (Too close to play the plus money run line.)

                                  Good luck to all followers.
                                  nice and sharp
                                  Comment
                                  • sweethook
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-21-07
                                    • 12667

                                    #18
                                    good call mad, nice win
                                    Comment
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