Marlins +1.5 is -215-225 on Thursday. Sure sign that they are the ML play.

mandude · 08-25-10, 11:39 PM

Good stuff LB. This will be interesting to track for a whole season to see what the long term results are.

No coincidences · 08-25-10, 11:40 PM

Annibal is a pretty solid pitcher. Only question here, like tonight, is is you take them FF or game because of their shitty pen.

LB, keep an eye on this Sanabia cat who pitched for them tonight. He'll be undervalued for a while.

lakerboy · 08-25-10, 11:43 PM

No coin i dont like FF bets. Mets could be leading 1-0 till the 6th and Marlins win 6-1.Its like Halftime bets in NBA for first half. Its only for stats guys. Not me. I do understand your point though.

millflavor · 08-25-10, 11:44 PM

i'm a mets fan and i love the marlins in this spot definitely gonna make a play on them thanks for the writeup LB

ROFLcopter · 08-25-10, 11:44 PM

Very interesting stuff, thanks LB

HoulihansTX · 08-25-10, 11:45 PM

Marlins ML 2 unit play.

add Oakland. They will sweep.

Truth Be Told · 08-25-10, 11:45 PM

niese has given up 1 or less in 10 of his last 15 starts, mets are much better at home

my moneys on the mets

No coincidences · 08-25-10, 11:47 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

No coin i dont like FF bets. Mets could be leading 1-0 till the 6th and Marlins win 6-1.Its like Halftime bets in NBA for first half. Its only for stats guys. Not me. I do understand your point though.

I typically don't either, but with Florida, you never know. They almost blew it tonight. Their pen blows.

Pauulzcappin · 08-25-10, 11:47 PM

Sanabia is pretty good.

Anyways, Florida is always a good bet against left-hander pitchers.

No coincidences · 08-25-10, 11:48 PM

Originally posted by Truth Be Told

niese has given up 1 or less in 10 of his last 15 starts, mets are much better at home

my moneys on the mets

You just answered why Florida is the play with your pro-Mets analysis.

millflavor · 08-25-10, 11:49 PM

Originally posted by Truth Be Told

niese has given up 1 or less in 10 of his last 15 starts, mets are much better at home

my moneys on the mets

marlins handle lefties well and anibal will shut down mets struggling bats

Checkerboard · 08-25-10, 11:50 PM

Thanks lb

I took Orioles 2nite for this though their rl was not in same league as ur examples above, juice-wise i mean.
They were rl -140 or something like that.

phillybadboy · 08-25-10, 11:50 PM

posted this ml play earlier in paco come back thread

Grits n' Gravy · 08-26-10, 12:04 AM

nice. the fl ml was one of three numbers that jumped out at me.

gilbert91016 · 08-26-10, 12:13 AM

What do u guys think under 7.5??

Truth Be Told · 08-26-10, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by Truth Be Told

niese has given up 1 or less in 10 of his last 15 starts, mets are much better at home my moneys on the mets

Pauulzcappin · 08-26-10, 06:50 PM

Kav · 08-26-10, 06:54 PM

niese with the no hitter through 3...

Truth Be Told · 08-26-10, 08:04 PM

fvckin mets

Ralphie1412 · 08-26-10, 08:04 PM

Originally posted by Truth Be Told

fvckin mets

Oh how fast things can change.

No coincidences · 08-26-10, 08:13 PM

Yep, yep.

A lot of square plays are dying today in bases. I stayed away altogether; would've gotten this game right, but missed others.

landers781 · 08-26-10, 08:17 PM

That's funny that you mentioned First Five yesterday and they didnt take the lead til the 6th

BookieOweMe · 08-26-10, 08:17 PM

good call

rallymonkey · 08-26-10, 09:03 PM

great catch lb, on both the marlins and the ff.

im somewhat new to this and am definitely learning a lot about what to look for with respect to weird lines, line movements, and all that.

thanks again for your help....

mandude · 08-26-10, 09:20 PM

I looked at todays results based on the +1.5 r/l with high juice. I'm going with r/ls being juiced at -160 or higher. It's only one day but the results are interesting & worth keeping an eye on from here on.

Today:
Clev +1.5 -160 won 3-2
Det +1.5 -175 won 7-1
Arz +1.5 -160 won 11-5
Fla +1.5 -200 won 11-4
Minn +1.5 -165 winning 6-0 at the moment

Razzzzzor · 08-26-10, 09:21 PM

Good shit LB...you a wizard with the LM!

millflavor · 08-26-10, 09:28 PM

nice call LB i was eying this game you put me over the top

mandude · 08-26-10, 09:32 PM

Here are the teams tomorrow that are being juiced heavy on the r/l.

Hou +1.5 -160 / ml +140
LAD +1.5 -160 / ml +136
Phil +1.5 -192 / ml +118
Det +1.5 -192 / ml +108
KC +1.5 -170 / ml +120
Bos +1.5 -192 / ml +113
Oak +1.5 -170 / ml +122

In my early opinion I would think Philly is probably the best play out of the bunch, followed by Det & Bos. We'll see how these turn out depending how the lines move & close tomorrow.

tanner40 · 08-26-10, 09:35 PM

rallymonkey · 08-26-10, 09:40 PM

Originally posted by mandude

In my early opinion I would think Philly is probably the best play out of the bunch, followed by Det & Bos. We'll see how these turn out depending how the lines move & close tomorrow.

I initially looked at that as well, but how much of that juice is due to the o/u being at 6?

JR007 · 08-26-10, 09:46 PM

Nats run line today was interesting.......thanks for the points rally monkey !!!

mandude · 08-26-10, 09:48 PM

I bet EVERYBODY will be siding with SD tomorrow after Philly being swept by Hou. It may be a good spot to buy back into Philly. Thebestthereis has some very good points on this in a thread. Check it out. he brings up a very strong case to back Philly tomorrow.

Hazious · 08-26-10, 09:55 PM

wow interesting. great call LB.

and man dude phili is -200 +1.5 ..... the ml @ +120 jumped out at me as well

MrTwiz · 08-26-10, 10:29 PM

Oswalt has good numbers with the stros against the padres. Id say that philly lineup wakes up sooner or later. By that I mean whenever latos goes out of the game from his pitch count he is on.