New to the forum and already down -250

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  • jck
    SBR Hustler
    • 08-02-10
    • 75

    #1
    New to the forum and already down -250
    Need some help
    these are my plays today 8/5 Thursday

    Basically a fav player for now cuz IMO the bookies have the teams figured out by now

    Any chance of recouping any lost bux with these picks or opinions appreciated

    Tampa Bay -151
    Detroit -142
    Arizona -133
    Seattle -118
    LA Dodgers -159


    Thanks guys for all your help
    Its greatly appreciated

    jck
    Seattle -118500covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/teams/team2973.html-





    Arizona -133500covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/teams/team2968.html-
  • ToNyyy
    SBR MVP
    • 07-21-10
    • 1009

    #2
    Take Detroit out. They suck
    Comment
    • southpaw74
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-21-09
      • 7104

      #3
      Yeah not sure Detroit can do it. And I'd take the Tampa under before I'd take Tampa. Good luck
      Comment
      • jck
        SBR Hustler
        • 08-02-10
        • 75

        #4
        ok guys Thank you
        consider it done

        jck
        Comment
        • Rixsaw
          SBR MVP
          • 10-23-08
          • 4532

          #5
          I don't like:

          Det - check the pitching matchup. No way I'm laying that juice.
          Dbag - their bats is inconsistence, the bullpen sux, WAS can hit just about anyone that is less than an ACE
          Sea - they have no bats. Felix is an ACE but doesn't have good number against Tex, and Hunter is a beast in his own right. Texas slaughtered the M last night. Chances are M will win today. But I don't see an edge or any value here. I wouldn't bet on it.

          Good luck.
          Comment
          • jck
            SBR Hustler
            • 08-02-10
            • 75

            #6
            Originally posted by Rixsaw
            I don't like:

            Det - check the pitching matchup. No way I'm laying that juice.
            Dbag - their bats is inconsistence, the bullpen sux, WAS can hit just about anyone that is less than an ACE
            Sea - they have no bats. Felix is an ACE but doesn't have good number against Tex, and Hunter is a beast in his own right. Texas slaughtered the M last night. Chances are M will win today. But I don't see an edge or any value here. I wouldn't bet on it.

            Good luck.
            Thanks Rix appreciate it
            no wonder im down 250 sheesh

            jck
            Comment
            • jcljack25
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-12-08
              • 619

              #7
              Basically a fav player for now cuz IMO the bookies have the teams figured out by now


              They also know that in baseball any team can win on any given day, so if you lay the juice for favorites all the time, they will still make money the 1 in 3 days that the favs lose.

              Best thing for baseball is to watch and play with the gut.
              Comment
              • Foggy
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 05-07-10
                • 664

                #8
                Originally posted by Rixsaw
                I don't like:

                Det - check the pitching matchup. No way I'm laying that juice.
                Dbag - their bats is inconsistence, the bullpen sux, WAS can hit just about anyone that is less than an ACE
                Sea - they have no bats. Felix is an ACE but doesn't have good number against Tex, and Hunter is a beast in his own right. Texas slaughtered the M last night. Chances are M will win today. But I don't see an edge or any value here. I wouldn't bet on it.

                Good luck.
                I like Detroit today.
                Freddy Garcia
                Day ERA: 5.73
                Road ERA: 5.89

                Max Scherzer
                Day ERA: 2.62
                Home ERA: 3.31
                6 wins in a row at home
                Comment
                • jays12
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 05-08-10
                  • 251

                  #9
                  you wanna make money?

                  check out this thread: http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...mlb-p1287.html
                  Comment
                  • jays12
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 05-08-10
                    • 251

                    #10
                    and favourites only win 55-60% of the time so dont always go for them...making money long-term is all bout money management, check out this ebook i have http://www.megaupload.com/?d=FULC91FW. read page 79 to get a quick fix on capping baseball and also check out the baseball under dog system. pg 59 has the sagarin era ranking website.
                    Comment
                    • Peregrine Stoop
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-23-09
                      • 869

                      #11
                      if the bookies have the teams figured out, as you propose in the originally OP, you should only be betting teams at prices that are off-market
                      Comment
                      • paco
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-07-09
                        • 62873

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jays12
                        you wanna make money?

                        check out this thread: http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...mlb-p1287.html
                        Thx for the compliment Jay
                        Comment
                        • tanner40
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-24-10
                          • 2129

                          #13
                          Only down 250? Your doing better than most
                          Comment
                          • jays12
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 05-08-10
                            • 251

                            #14
                            [quote=paco;5783281]

                            No problem, thanks for the picks See i aint betting for fun or to prove anything, just to make some cash for school. So its easier just tailing you than spending hours doing research and making less money. Fun for me is seeing the cash roll in... new comers dont hate if you unfortunately tail on a losing day, streaks happen all the time in capping, and its about the long-term, if you dont know that well your in trouble. (read the ebook!) with that being said, paco is solid.
                            Comment
                            • yankeerick
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-07-09
                              • 1171

                              #15
                              why going with your picks,if you are not good at it,paco is doing the work for you,paco and vegas gold will get you back on
                              the black.
                              Comment
                              • jcljack25
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 12-12-08
                                • 619

                                #16
                                I'm sure that -250 is much higher today.

                                You know once you lay off the favorites, they will start winning again. You have to go with your GUT! Although tailing Paco is much easier. lol
                                Comment
                                • Rixsaw
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-23-08
                                  • 4532

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by yankeerick
                                  why going with your picks,if you are not good at it,paco is doing the work for you,paco and vegas gold will get you back on the black.
                                  Being able to cap your own game is a gratifying experience.
                                  Comment
                                  • yankeerick
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-07-09
                                    • 1171

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Rixsaw
                                    Being able to cap your own game is a gratifying experience.
                                    name of this game is beat the books and make money,you also will like to fix your
                                    car but if you dont know what you are doing will never work.
                                    Comment
                                    • golfrulz
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-02-10
                                      • 2425

                                      #19
                                      been doing this for 40 yrs. yup i am an old guy....but i have never seen anyone better than paco. gl.
                                      Comment
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