Second Semester SMACKdown

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  • Grind-It-Out
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 05-04-10
    • 537

    #1
    Second Semester SMACKdown
    This will be my thread for the second half.

    I've been working on this new comp. program for about three months, and am now ready to let it fly. Many thanks to some of the statisticians in the think tank for helping me work out the kinks.

    I'm very confident in this system, but I've been fairly confident in systems before that haven't worked out for the best, so I shall take my own confidence with a grain of salt. This is by far the one I've had the most confidence in, though.

    I may or may not have a play on the all-star game tonight. Currently leaning towards the National League, but I don't have enough data yet.

    Best of luck to those who follow. My goal will be to hit at the equivalent of 57% ATS.
  • Grind-It-Out
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 05-04-10
    • 537

    #2
    First play...

    8:20 National League vs American League
    National League +113 (1 unit)

    I should mention that all bets are between 1 and 5 units, so this is my smallest possible play. Best of luck!
    Comment
    • Grind-It-Out
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 05-04-10
      • 537

      #3
      That wasn't exactly a big play for me, but 1-0 is certainly better than 0-1.
      Comment
      • Grind-It-Out
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 05-04-10
        • 537

        #4
        This isn't strong enough to be counted as an official play, but I'll be taking the Atlanta Dream -2 for some small cash (because I need something to do).

        Again, this will not be counted as a play.
        Comment
        • BeatingBaseball
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 06-30-09
          • 904

          #5
          Originally posted by Grind-It-Out
          That wasn't exactly a big play for me, but 1-0 is certainly better than 0-1.
          A win is a win.

          And as will happen so many times in the next three months, the difference came down to one swing of the bat.

          Congrats.
          Comment
          • youngerthree
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-13-10
            • 570

            #6
            grind it out good call
            Comment
            • Grind-It-Out
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 05-04-10
              • 537

              #7
              Thanks guys.

              Normally I will wait until about an hour before the game to post a pick, but since this one has already reached 5 units I'll throw it out there now.

              8:15 Los Angeles Dodgers vs St Louis Cardinals
              St Louis Cardinals -125 (5 units)
              Comment
              • Grind-It-Out
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 05-04-10
                • 537

                #8
                7:10 Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves
                UNDER 8.5 -110 (1 units)
                Comment
                • Grind-It-Out
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 05-04-10
                  • 537

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Grind-It-Out
                  7:10 Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves
                  UNDER 8.5 -110 (1 units)
                  Comment
                  • tmorton
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-15-09
                    • 560

                    #10
                    I will take atlanta all day long against the braves
                    Comment
                    • Grind-It-Out
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 05-04-10
                      • 537

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Grind-It-Out
                      8:15 Los Angeles Dodgers vs St Louis Cardinals
                      St Louis Cardinals -125 (5 units)


                      Another one in the books. Promising start to the system, albeit over only 3 games.
                      Comment
                      • GroundnPound
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-12-09
                        • 4070

                        #12
                        St Louis smoked them Dodgers
                        Comment
                        • Grind-It-Out
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 05-04-10
                          • 537

                          #13
                          7:05 Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Indians
                          Detroit Tigers -1.5 +115 (2 units)
                          Comment
                          • Grind-It-Out
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 05-04-10
                            • 537

                            #14
                            Adding

                            7:05 Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles
                            Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 +100 (2 units)
                            7:35 Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves
                            Atlanta Braves -1.5 +120 (2 units)
                            8:10 Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins
                            Minnesota Twins -130 (5 units)
                            Comment
                            • Grind-It-Out
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 05-04-10
                              • 537

                              #15
                              10:05 Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels
                              Los Angeles Angels -128 (5 units)
                              Comment
                              • Grind-It-Out
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 05-04-10
                                • 537

                                #16
                                4:10 Los Angeles Dodgers vs St Louis Cardinals
                                St Louis Cardinals -1.5 +140 (4 units)
                                Comment
                                • Grind-It-Out
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 05-04-10
                                  • 537

                                  #17
                                  Adding:

                                  7:10 Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds
                                  Cincinnati Reds -119 (5 units)
                                  Comment
                                  • Grind-It-Out
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 05-04-10
                                    • 537

                                    #18
                                    I've got to head out to a family reunion so I have to post the rest of tonight's games early.

                                    Adding:

                                    7:05 Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates
                                    Houston Astros +116 (2 units)
                                    7:05 Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles
                                    Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 +120 (5 units)
                                    7:05 Detroit Tigers GM 2 vs Cleveland Indians GM 2
                                    Detroit Tigers GM 2 -126 (1 units)
                                    7:10 Washington Nationals vs Florida Marlins
                                    Florida Marlins -1.5 -115 (2 units)
                                    7:10 Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves
                                    Atlanta Braves -1.5 +105 (1 units)
                                    7:10 Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins
                                    Minnesota Twins -143 (3 units)
                                    7:10 Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox
                                    Texas Rangers -1.5 +110 (5 units)
                                    OVER 9 +100 (1 units)

                                    8:35 Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres
                                    OVER 7 -110 (1 units)
                                    9:05 Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels
                                    Los Angeles Angels -1.5 +110 (2 units)
                                    Comment
                                    • Grind-It-Out
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 05-04-10
                                      • 537

                                      #19
                                      1:05 Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
                                      New York Yankees -132 (3 units)
                                      1:10 Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds
                                      Cincinnati Reds -141 (1 units)
                                      Comment
                                      • Grind-It-Out
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 05-04-10
                                        • 537

                                        #20
                                        Adding:

                                        4:05 New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants
                                        New York Mets -110 (5 units)
                                        Comment
                                        • Grind-It-Out
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 05-04-10
                                          • 537

                                          #21
                                          Adding:

                                          2:10 Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins
                                          Chicago White Sox -106 (2 units)
                                          Comment
                                          • Grind-It-Out
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 05-04-10
                                            • 537

                                            #22
                                            Adding:

                                            3:35 Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels
                                            Los Angeles Angels -1.5 +140 (1 units)
                                            4:05 Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres
                                            OVER 7.5 +100 (2 units)
                                            Comment
                                            • Grind-It-Out
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 05-04-10
                                              • 537

                                              #23
                                              Adding:

                                              8:05 Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs
                                              Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 -110 (2 units)

                                              Will update record after 4:00 game are over.
                                              Comment
                                              • Fiasco01
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 325

                                                #24
                                                Nice call on the Mets game!
                                                Comment
                                                • Grind-It-Out
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 05-04-10
                                                  • 537

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Fiasco01
                                                  Nice call on the Mets game!
                                                  Thanks. Choke job in the 9th, but luckily they got it done in overtime.

                                                  Updated Record:

                                                  Record: 14-12
                                                  Units: +19.94
                                                  Z-Score: 1.15
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Grind-It-Out
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 05-04-10
                                                    • 537

                                                    #26
                                                    Record: 14-13
                                                    Units: +17.74
                                                    Z-Score: 1.01
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Grind-It-Out
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 05-04-10
                                                      • 537

                                                      #27
                                                      8:10 Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals
                                                      Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 +125 (5 units)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Grind-It-Out
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 05-04-10
                                                        • 537

                                                        #28
                                                        Adding:

                                                        7:05 Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers
                                                        Detroit Tigers -118 (3 units)
                                                        OVER 9.5 -115 (2 units)

                                                        7:10 Colorado Rockies vs Florida Marlins
                                                        Colorado Rockies -1.5 +110 (5 units)
                                                        8:05 Houston Astros vs Chicago Cubs
                                                        Chicago Cubs -1.5 +145 (1 units)
                                                        10:05 Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics
                                                        Oakland Athletics -113 (1 units)


                                                        And that's probably it for the night.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Grind-It-Out
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 05-04-10
                                                          • 537

                                                          #29
                                                          Rough day yesterday. Oh well, still in the black. Will update the record a little later.

                                                          Today's plays:

                                                          7:10 San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves
                                                          Atlanta Braves -1.5 +135 (1 units)
                                                          7:10 Colorado Rockies vs Florida Marlins
                                                          OVER 9.5 -105 (3 units)
                                                          8:10 Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals
                                                          Toronto Blue Jays -107 (5 units)
                                                          8:10 Cleveland Indians vs Minnesota Twins
                                                          OVER 9.5 -105 (4 units)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Fiasco01
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 325

                                                            #30
                                                            No plays today?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Grind-It-Out
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 05-04-10
                                                              • 537

                                                              #31
                                                              7:05 Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
                                                              Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 +120 (2 units)
                                                              OVER 8.5 -115 (3 units)

                                                              7:10 San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves
                                                              Atlanta Braves -1.5 +125 (3 units)
                                                              OVER 8 -110 (4 units)

                                                              7:10 Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds
                                                              Cincinnati Reds +112 (1 units)
                                                              UNDER 7 -110 (1 units)
                                                              8:15 Philadelphia Phillies vs St Louis Cardinals
                                                              St Louis Cardinals -143 (3 units)
                                                              9:40 New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks
                                                              Arizona Diamondbacks -137 (5 units)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Grind-It-Out
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 05-04-10
                                                                • 537

                                                                #32
                                                                1:05 San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves
                                                                Atlanta Braves -1.5 +130 (1 units)
                                                                1:05 Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers
                                                                Detroit Tigers -1.5 +140 (1 units)
                                                                OVER 7.5 -110 (4 units)
                                                                9:40 San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks
                                                                San Francisco Giants -123 (5 units)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • empty cookie jar
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 05-14-10
                                                                  • 876

                                                                  #33
                                                                  keep on keepin on
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Grind-It-Out
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 05-04-10
                                                                    • 537

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Adding:

                                                                    7:05 Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles
                                                                    OVER 9 +110 (2 units)
                                                                    7:05 Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees
                                                                    OVER 9 -105 (4 units)
                                                                    10:10 New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers
                                                                    Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 +120 (1 units)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Fiasco01
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 325

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Definitely tailed your SFG pick, appreciate the solids picks! Any leans for today?
                                                                      Comment
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