Anti-JM MLB 2010

[DaBA]

Apr26_JM1_A_Pit_+1.5_Lost_3-17_Unofficial JM due to RPI
Apr26_AJM_A_Mil__ml_Won_17-3___1-0
Apr27_JM1_B_Pit_+1.5_Won_3-7____1-0

May08_JM1_A_Cle_+1.5_-180_Betus_Lost_4-6_Unofficial
May08_AJM_A_Det__ml_-143_Betus_Won_6-4___2-0
May09_JM1_B_Cle__ml_-105_Betus_Won_7-4___2-0

May10_JM1_A_Cin__ml_-120_Betus_Won 3-2___3-0
May10_AJM_A_Pit_+1.5_-160_Betus_Lost 2-3____3-0

May10_JM1_A_Tor_+1.5_-135_Betus_Lost_6-7____4-0
May10_AJM_A_Bos__ml_-190_Betus_Won_7-6____4-0

May11_JM1_A_Bal_+1.5_-130_Betus_Lost_1-5
May11_AJM_A_Sea__ml_-155_Betus_Won_5-1___5-0
May12_JM1_B_Bal_+1.5_-210_Betus_Won_5-2___5-0

May11_JM1_A_SFG__ml_-160_Betus_Lost_2-3
May11_AJM_A_SDP_+1.5_-160_Betus_Won_3-2____6-0
May12_JM1_B_SFG__ml_-190_Betus_Lost_2-5
May13_JM1_C_SFG__ml_-175_Betus_Lost_0-1_____5-1

May14_JM1_A_Sea_+1.5_Won_4-3_______________6-1 Unofficial (RPI)
May14_AJM_A_TBR__ml_-180_Lost_3-4
May14_AJM_B_TBR__ml_-205_Won_3-2___________7-0

May14_JM1_A_Hou_+1.5_Lost_2-8_________________Unofficial (RPI)
May14_AJM_A_SFG__ml_-133_Won_8-2___________8-0
May15_JM1_B_Hou_+1.5_Lost_1-2________________7-1

May14_JM1_A_Chc__ml_-210_Oddsmaker_Lost_6-10
May14_AJM_A_Pit_+1.5_-105_Betus_Won 10-6_______9-0
May15_JM1_B_Chc__ml_-250_Betus_Lost_3-4
May16_JM1_C_Chc__ml_-245_5Dimes_-260_Betus

I didn't plan on starting an Anti-JM thread for MLB.
Didn't want to spend the time over the summer and thought we would cruise to win after win with JM picks.
That thought looks dicey right now.
This season (especially May) seems out of wack and is killing many systems.
It also seems like the books (Betus more than the others as usual) are seriously inflating the lines.
So I will start posting JM vs AJM picks to compare as the season progresses.
NBA JM vs AJM had Identical records this past season at around 84-2. Can't remember without looking back at the thread.
I may also post alternative run line odds because if the books want to make the Cubs ml -250 and the Pirates +2.5 -190, I'll take my chances with the latter.
I think the format is easy enough to understand. JM1 just means Version 1. Other versions don't apply. May tweak it or spreadsheet it later.
If nothing else look at this as a way to limit your risk with the potential for a double win. Don't forget to use BetUs for AJM picks because of their relationship with Morrison.

[DaBA]

Big C game today @ around -250. What are the books smokin?

[John Morrison]

take the runline , to good to be true for pirate backers , cubs get the W today and should cover the rl , nice thread , will follow

[DaBA]

Congrats to all Cubs playas!

May14_JM1_A_Chc__ml_-210_Oddsmaker_Lost_6-10
May14_AJM_A_Pit_+1.5_-105_Betus_Won 10-6_______9-0
May15_JM1_B_Chc__ml_-250_Betus_Lost_3-4
May16_JM1_C_Chc__ml_-245_5Dimes_-260_Betus_Won_3-4____8-1

All chases cleared, records are JM_8-1, AJM_9-0.
If anybody is going to play this way I suggest you get a Betus account and tell them Morrison referred you. Your lines for AJM may be even better than what I get at Betus. (I had my Betus account before I ever heard of Morrison).
During NBA Betus ways always at least a half point against JM plays.
MLB may not be as easy with higher juice and I have not back tested yet but. We shall see how it pans out as the season progresses.

The MO is. Play the books to our advantage and play both sides for a game 1 middle.

[spippen]

bravo

[DaBA]

JM Official Plays

May10_JM1_A_Cin__ml_-120_Betus_Won 3-2___1-0
May10_AJM_A_Pit_+1.5_-160_Betus_Lost 2-3____1-0

May10_JM1_A_Tor_+1.5_-135_Betus_Lost_6-7____2-0
May10_AJM_A_Bos__ml_-190_Betus_Won_7-6____2-0

May11_JM1_A_Bal_+1.5_-130_Betus_Lost_1-5
May11_AJM_A_Sea__ml_-155_Betus_Won_5-1___3-0
May12_JM1_B_Bal_+1.5_-210_Betus_Won_5-2___3-0

May11_JM1_A_SFG__ml_-160_Betus_Lost_2-3
May11_AJM_A_SDP_+1.5_-160_Betus_Won_3-2____4-0
May12_JM1_B_SFG__ml_-190_Betus_Lost_2-5
May13_JM1_C_SFG__ml_-175_Betus_Lost_0-1_____3-1

May14_JM1_A_Chc__ml_-210_Oddsmaker_Lost_6-10
May14_AJM_A_Pit_+1.5_-105_Betus_Won 10-6_______5-0
May15_JM1_B_Chc__ml_-250_Betus_Lost_3-4
May16_JM1_C_Chc__ml_-245_5Dimes_Won_4-3____4-1

May24_JM1_A_Chw_ml_-160_Betus_Won_7-2_____5-1
May24_AJM_A_Cle_1.5_-115_Betus_Lost_2-7
May25_AJM_A_Cle_1.5_-140_Betus_Won_7-3_____6-0

May24_JM1_A_Tor_1.5_-190_Betus_Won_6-0_____6-1
May24_AJM_A_LAA_ml_-120_Betus_Lost_0-6
May25_AJM_A_LAA_ml_-115_Betus_Won_8-3_____7-0

May24_JM1_A_Bos_1.5_-175_Betus_Won_6-1____7-1
May24_AJM_A_Tam_ml_-135_Betus_Lost_1-6
May25_AJM_A_Tam_ml_-115_Betus_Lost_0-2
May26_AJM_A_Tam_ml_-155_Betus_Lost_3-11____7-1

Jun04_JM1_A_NYM_1.5_-175_Won_4-3____8-1
Jun04_AJM_A_FLA_ML_-110
Jun05_AJM_B_FLA_1.5_-190_Lost_1-6
Jun06_AJM_C_FLA_1.5_-220_Lost_6-7____8-1

Jun04_JM1_A_BOS_ML_-195_Won_11-0____9-1
Jun04_AJM_A_BAL_1.5_-105
Jun05_AJM_B_BAL_1.5_+105_Lost_2-8
Jun06_AJM_C_BAL_1.5_-110_Won_4-3______9-1

Jun07_JM1_A_Oak_ML_-125_Lost_4-2
Jun08_JM1_B_Oak_1.5_-120_Won_10-1_____10-1
Jun07_AJM_A_LAA_1.5_-190_Won_4-2______10-1

Jun08_JM1_A_Mil_ML_-155_Won_3-2_____11-1
Jun08_AJM_A_Chc_1.5_-155_Lost_3-2____11-1

Jun11_JM1_A_SFG_ML_-175_Won_6-2______12-1
Jun11_AJM_A_Oak_1.5_-???_
Jun12_AJM_B_Oak_1.5_-200_

[DaBA]

JM1
A 9-4
B 2-2
C 1-1

AJM
A 7-6
B 2-3 with Oak Pending
C 2-1

[DaBA]

JM Unofficial Plays
Apr26_JM1_A_Pit_+1.5_Lost_3-17
Apr26_AJM_A_Mil__ml_Won_17-3___1-0
Apr27_JM1_B_Pit_+1.5_Won_3-7____1-0

May08_JM1_A_Cle_+1.5_-180_Betus_Lost_4-6
May08_AJM_A_Det__ml_-143_Betus_Won_6-4___2-0
May09_JM1_B_Cle__ml_-105_Betus_Won_7-4___2-0

May14_JM1_A_Sea_+1.5_Won_4-3__________3-0
May14_AJM_A_TBR__ml_-180_Lost_3-4
May15_AJM_B_TBR__ml_-205_Won_3-2_____3-0

May14_JM1_A_Hou_+1.5_Lost_2-8
May15_JM1_B_Hou_+1.5_Lost_1-2_________4-0
May14_AJM_A_SFG__ml_-133_Won_8-2_____4-0

May24_JM1_A_Pit_1.5_-135_Betus_Lost_5-7
May25_JM1_B_Pit_1.5_-140_Betus_Won_2-1____5-0
May24_AJM_A_Cin_ml_-175_Betus_Won_7-5____5-0

May28_JM1_A_Bal_1.5_-140_Betus_Lost_0-5
May29_JM1_B_Bal_1.5_-125_Betus_Lost_2-5
May30_JM1_C_Bal_1.5_-???_Betus_Lost_1-6_____5-1
May28_AJM_A_Tor_ml_-190_Betus_Won_5-0_____6-0

May28_JM1_A_Hou_1.5_-200_Betus_Lost_6-15
May29_JM1_B_Hou_1.5_-135_Betus_Lost_2-12
May30_JM1_C_Hou_1.5_-???_Betus_Won_2-0_____6-1
May28_AJM_A_Cin_ml_-130_Betus_Won_15-6_____7-0

Jun07_JM1_A_Sea_ML_-120_Won_4-2______7-1
Jun07_AJM_A_Tex_1.5_-100_Lost_4-2
Jun08_AJM_B_Tex_ML_-115_Won_7-2______8-0

Jun08_JM1_A_Bal_1.5_+125_Lost_12-7
Jun09_JM1_B_Bal_1.5_+135_Lost_4-2
Jun10_JM1_C_Bal_1.5_????_Won_4-3_______8-1
Jun08_AJM_A_NYY_ML_-235_Won_12-7_____9-0

JM1
A 2-7
B 4-3
C 2-1
AJM
A 7-2
B 2-0
C 0-0

[DaBA]

Jun11_JM1_A_SFG_ML_-175_Won_6-2______12-1
Jun11_AJM_A_Oak_1.5_-???_
Jun12_AJM_B_Oak_1.5_-200_Lost_4-3______12-1

JM Official Plays
JM1
A 9-4
B 2-2
C 1-1
AJM
A 7-6
B 3-3
C 2-1

[SolidDala]

Wouldn't an anti JM-SYSTEM be at + odds all the time...

[Nick6570_123]

yes it would

[DaBA]

Not if the JM team is the dog which you would play +1.5 and AJM would be ML.

[DaBA]

JM Official Play(s)
Jun22_JM1_A_LAD_ML_-120_Lost_6-3
Jun23_JM1_A_LAD_1.5_-210
Jun22_AJM_A_LAA_1.5_-155_Won_6-3_____13-1

JM Unofficial Play(s)
Jun22_JM1_A_HOU_1.5_-130_Lost_3-1
Jun23_JM1_A_HOU_1.5_-160_
Jun22_AJM_A_SFG_ML_-145_Won_3-1_____10-0

[DaBA]

Update

JM Official Play(s)
Jun22_JM1_A_LAD_ML_-120_Lost_6-3
Jun23_JM1_B_LAD_1.5_-210_Lost_2-1_____13-1
Jun22_AJM_A_LAA_1.5_-155_Won_6-3_____13-1

JM1_Official Plays 13-1
A_9-4
B_3-2
C_1-1

AJM_Official Plays 13-1
A_8-6
B_3-3
C_2-1


JM Unofficial Play(s)
Jun22_JM1_A_HOU_1.5_-130_Lost_3-1
Jun23_JM1_B_HOU_1.5_-160_Won_6-3______9-1
Jun22_AJM_A_SFG_ML_-145_Won_3-1_____10-0

JM1_Unofficial Plays 9-1
A_2-8
B_5-3
C_2-1

AJM_Unofficial Plays 10-0
A_8-2
B_2-0
C_0-0

[goldnbear10]

Awesome work!

Sent you some points. Do you have a count of the total +units?

[DaBA]

Awesome work!

Sent you some points. Do you have a count of the total +units?

Thanks for the points.
I usually don't do unit totals because there are so many different ways to manage units (martingale, Labby, etc.).
I play both ways and base my unit allocation on winning Game 1. Game 2 is recovery plus a little, and game 3 recovery or more/less depending on my gut.

[DaBA]

Did a quick calc using martingale going for 1 unit win for every series.
SFO Lost 18.3 units
TAM Lost 10.6 units
BAL Lost 11.2 units

Subtract these unit losses from the amount of wins and there is your answer for the martingale approach (not good).

[DaBA]

Unofficial Play(s)
Jun25_JM1_A_Hou_1.5_+135_
Jun25_AJM_A_Tex_ML_-300_

May try Hou +2.5 and Tex -1.5.

[shantystar]

GL.

[DaBA]

Unofficial Play(s)
Jun25_JM1_A_Hou_1.5_+135_Won_7-4_____10-1
Jun25_AJM_A_Tex_ML_-300_Lost
Jun26_AJM_B_Tex_ML_-280_Won_7-2______11-0

JM1_Unofficial Plays 10-1
A_3-8
B_5-3
C_2-1

AJM_Unofficial Plays 11-0
A_8-3
B_3-0
C_0-0

[DaBA]

Official Play(s)
Jun28_JM1_A_Det_1.5_-155_
Jun28_AJM_A_Min_ml_-160_

Unofficial Play(s)
Jun28_JM1_A_Cle_1.5_-120_
Jun28_AJM_A_Tor_ml_-160_

Jun28_JM1_A_NYM_ml_-115_
Jun28_AJM_A_Fla_1.5_-160_

[DaBA]

Official Play(s)
Jun28_JM1_A_Det_1.5_-155_Won_7-5____14-1
Jun28_AJM_A_Min_ml_-160_Lost
Jun29_AJM_B_Min_ml_-125_Won_11-4____14-1

JM1_Official Plays 14-1
A_10-4
B_3-2
C_1-1

AJM_Official Plays 14-1
A_8-7
B_4-3
C_2-1

Unofficial Play(s)
Jun28_JM1_A_Cle_1.5_-120_Won_2-1____11-1
Jun28_AJM_A_Tor_ml_-160_Lost
Jun29_AJM_B_Tor_ml_-120_Lost_5-4
Jun30_AJM_C_Tor_ml_-125_Lost_3-1
Jul01_AJM__D_Tor_ml_-130_Lost_6-41_____11-1

Jun28_JM1_A_Fla_1.5_-160_Won_10-3_____12-1
Jun28_AJM_A_nym_ml_-115_Lost
Jun29_AJM_B_nym_ml_-115_Lost_7-6
Jun30_AJM_C_nym_ml_-120_Won_6-5_____12-1

JM1_Unofficial Plays 12-1
A_5-8
B_5-3
C_2-1

AJM_Unofficial Plays 12-1
A_8-3
B_3-0
C_1-1

Unofficial Play(s)
Jul02_JM1_A_Arz_1.5_-160_Won_12-5___13-1
Jul02_AJM_A_Lad_ml_-125_Lost_12-5
Jul03_AJM_B_Lad_ml_-155_Won_14-1___13-1

JM1_Unofficial Plays 13-1
A_6-8
B_5-3
C_2-1

AJM_Unofficial Plays 13-1
A_8-4
B_4-2
C_1-1

Official Play(s)
Jul05_JM1_A_Phi_ML_-200_Won_3-1____15-1
Jul05_AJM_A_Atl_1.5_-125_
Jul06_AJM_B_Atl_1.5_-170_Won_6-3____15-1

JM1_Official Plays 15-1
A_11-4
B_3-2
C_1-1

AJM_Official Plays 15-1
A_8-8
B_5-3
C_2-1

Official Play(s)
Jul06_JM1_A_Pit_1.5_-165_Lost_6-2___
Jul07_JM1_B_Pit_1.5_-200_Lost_6-3___
Jul08_JM1_C_Pit_1.5_-120_Lost_2-0_____15-2
Jul06_AJM_A_Hou_ML_-125_Won_6-2____16-1

JM1_Official Plays 15-2
A_11-5
B_3-3
C_1-2

AJM_Official Plays 16-1
A_9-8
B_5-3
C_2-1

7/6/10
Congrats on yet another easy winner on the [A] bet with my MLB
betting system, as the Phillies dismantled their opponent! We've had an absolutely tremendous winning run over the last few years, going 61-0 in the most recent NBA season, and 15-1 so far in the current MLB season. The one loss with San Fran has been the one and only loss my MLB betting system has ever suffered in 6 long years!
7/7/10
I have absolutely no doubt that Pittsburgh will pull in the win
in this series. Let's go pick up the win!
7/8/10
It's time for our gigantic payday! Let's get to it!
7/9/10
Yesterday proved to be invaluable! Although The betting series with Pittsburgh began with them being within the .15 range of RPI differential, that quickly changed as soon as they lost their first game. Pittsburgh had an RPI of .459 to Houston's .477 (.18 difference) before the [B} wager began, and an even greater deficit before the [C] game began. We must keep in mind that under no circumstances should a wager be made when the RPI difference between two teams is greater than .15. Going forward, it's important to walk away from a betting series if the RPI difference between two teams become
greater than the .15 limit during any time within the series!

For today, we have an official [A] wager on the Saint Louis Cardinals in their game versus the Houston Astros. This betting series will be 100% within the RPI differential filter throughout the entire series, so it is literally guaranteed for the win!

Official Play(s)
Jul09_JM1_A_Stl__ML_-180_
Jul09_AJM_A_Hou_1.5_-110_

[DaBA]

Official Play(s)
Jul09_JM1_A_Stl__ML_-180_Won_8-0____16-2
Jul09_AJM_A_Hou_1.5_-110_
Jul10_AJM_B_Hou_ML_-120_

[DaBA]

Official Play(s)
Jul09_JM1_A_Stl__ML_-180_Won_8-0____16-2
Jul09_AJM_A_Hou_1.5_-110_
Jul10_AJM_B_Hou_ML_-120_Won_4-1____17-1

JM1_Official Plays 16-2
A_12-5
B_3-3
C_1-2

AJM_Official Plays 17-1
A_9-9
B_6-3
C_2-1

[DaBA]

Official Play(s)
Jul15_JM1_A_Stl__ML_-120_Won_7-1____17-2
Jul15_AJM_A_LA__1.5_-190_L
Jul16_AJM_B_LA__1.5_-170_

Unofficial Play(s)
Jul15_JM1_A_Mil_1.5_-135_Lost_2-1___14-1
Jul15_AJM_A_Atl__ML_-150_Won_2-1__14-1

Jul15_JM1_A_Sea_1.5_-150_Lost_8-3
Jul16_JM1_B_Sea_1.5_-190_
Jul15_AJM_A_LA__ML_-150_Won_8-3__15-1

[spongerat]

interesting, I'm going to look into betus AJM

[killer59]

Is there anyone who has JM verison 2 system or do anyone know if it is posted somewhere else in the forum?

[DaBA]

Official Play(s)
Jul15_JM1_A_Stl__ML_-120_Won_7-1____17-2
Jul15_AJM_A_LA__1.5_-190_Lost
Jul16_AJM_B_LA__1.5_-170_Lost_8-4
Jul17_AJM_C_LA__1.5_-145_Lost_2-0
Jul18_AJM_D_LA__ML_-140_Lost_5-4____17-2

Jul19_JM1_A_Sfo__1.5_-220_Won_5-2____18-2
Jul19_AJM_A_LA__ML_-110_Lost
Jul20_AJM_B_LA__ML_-120_Lost_7-5
Jul21_AJM_C_LA__ML_-135_Won_2-0_____18-2

Jul22_JM1_A_LAD__ML_-170_Won_2-0_19-2
Jul22_AJM_A_NYM_1.5_-145_
Jul23_AJM_B_NYM_1.5_-100_Won_6-1__19-2

Jul26_JM1_A_Fla__1.5_-190_Won_4-3_20-2
Jul26_AJM_A_Sfo__ML_-135_
Jul27_AJM_B_Sfo__1.5_-170_Won_6-4_21-2

Jul26_JM1_A_Laa__ML_-130_Lost_6-3
Jul27_JM1_B_Laa__ML_-155_Lost_4-2_20-3 He says the series was a push
Jul28_JM1_C_Laa__1.5_-190_Lost_7-3_Cancelled
Jul26_AJM_A_Bos__1.5_-200_Won_6-3_20-2

[DaBA]

Two and 2/3 JM losses cost 39.5 units
Two AJM losses cost 57 units
Playing it the way JM says (martingale) highly unlikely any profit will be made.

[DaBA]

Official Play(s)
Jul30_JM1_A_Tor__ML_-200_Won_8-1__21-3
Jul30_AJM_A_Cle__1.5_-125_
Jul31_AJM_B_Cle__1.5_-120_Won_2-1__23-2

Jul30_JM1_A_nym__ML_-145_Lost_9-6
Jul31_JM1_B_nym__ML_-150_Won_6-5_23-3
Jul30_AJM_A_arz__1.5_-170_Won_9-6__22-2

Jul30_JM1_A_Fla__1.5_-180_Won_4-2__22-3
Jul30_AJM_A_sdp__ML_-143_
Jul31_AJM_B_sdp__ML_-120_Lost_6-3
Aug1_AJM_C_sdp__1.5_-170_Won_5-4_24-2

[DaBA]

JM1_Official Plays 23-2 and 2/3
A_18-7
B_4-4
C_1-2-1 (A&B loss, C Push on LAA)

AJM_Official Plays 24-2
A_11-15
B_9-6
C_4-2
D_0-1 ouch