Cliff Lee and Mariners Visit Orioles

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  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #1
    Cliff Lee and Mariners Visit Orioles
    MLB Betting: Cliff Lee and Mariners Visit Orioles

    Assuming Mother Nature cooperates, Cliff Lee will make his first start against the Orioles in nearly five years on Tuesday when the Seattle Mariners open a three-game set in Baltimore.

    To paraphrase Casey Stengel, can't anyone around here hit the ball? Apparently not when it comes to the two offenses that will battle at Camden Yards in a three-game set that starts on Tuesday.



    Seattle and Baltimore own the two weakest lineups in the American League. If not for the Houston Astros, the M's and O's would have the two most pathetic offenses in the majors. That will undoubted lead many to look at the pitching matchup and instantly think the Orioles are in big trouble when they face Seattle lefty Cliff Lee (0-2, 2.40). Baltimore will counter with right-hander David Hernandez (2-4, 5.75).

    Lee and the Mariners were handed 135-140 chalk in the early line release Monday afternoon. The total is listed at 7½, with the 'over' drawing a higher price.

    The Mariners just finished up a 1-8 homestand, their 8-1 win over the Angels on Sunday saving them from being swept in the stand at Safeco Field. Seattle could manage just 12 runs in the eight losses, with both Texas and Tampa taking a broom to the M's.

    Seattle is scoring just 3.29 runs per game as we hit mid-May. Chicago's Paul Konerko has 13 homers on the season while the Mariners have banged out just 12 among them. That lack of offense has not paid off obviously on the money line, with Seattle's 12-19 mark leaving it 8.6 units in the red. But 'under' bettors have enjoyed a little payoff on the Mariners' 17-12-2 record.

    Things aren't much better in Baltimore when it comes to scoring. The 18 extra home runs the O's have hit compared to the Mariners has translated to just an extra 0.05 RPG (3.34). The Birds have been held to three runs or less in 21 of 32 games, a big part of their 19-11-2 'under' record.

    Baltimore is just 9-23 in the standings, and down about 9.5 units on the moneyline. The Orioles are coming home off a 2-5 road trip through the Bronx and Minneapolis, with both wins coming at the Twins' new home.

    Lee hasn't faced the Orioles since 2005, so the only face he will recognize from then is Miguel Tejada. In three career starts versus Baltimore while pitching in an Indians uniform, Cleveland went 2-1 with Lee sporting a 3.20 ERA in 19 2/3 innings.

    Hernandez saw the Mariners twice last year with the O's splitting the two games. Ichiro Suzuki, Jose Lopez and Franklin Gutierrez are a combined 10-for-23 (.434) against the Orioles righty, with Lopez poking a long fly.

    When the O's traveled to Seattle about three weeks ago, the Mariners recorded a three-game sweep and outscored Baltimore 15-4. The 8-2 triumph in the series opener was the only 'over' among the trio of games.

    Bettors looking at this game will need to keep an eye on the weather. There is an 80 percent chance of rain in Baltimore for Tuesday, with the steady stuff expected in the afternoon before the odds drop to 50 percent in the evening. Temps should hover in the mid-to-upper 50s most of the day, with winds forecast out of the southeast in the evening at 10-20 mph (out to left).

    The series continues Wednesday when the M's send Ryan Rowland-Smith to the hill against Baltimore's Bred Bergesen. Felix Hernandez and Kevin Millwood are scheduled to duel in Thursday's finale. If a game in the set does get canceled due to inclement weather, Seattle does return to Charm City in mid-August when a makeup contest could be played.

    NOTE: The W-L records shown for starting pitchers are their team's W-L mark when they started games in the 2010 season. Statistical sources for this article were Retrosheet.org, Baseball-Reference.com, ESPN.com and, of course, S-BEE-R-dot-com!
  • Old Young
    SBR Hustler
    • 05-07-10
    • 81

    #2
    Cool and overcast here in Baltimore right now. Rain expected later today.
    Comment
    • obamaismyuncle
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-31-08
      • 17801

      #3
      Like Seattle alot.
      Comment
      • Willie Bee
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-14-06
        • 15726

        #4
        Originally posted by Old Young
        Cool and overcast here in Baltimore right now. Rain expected later today.
        Yeah, PuckCoach PMed me and noted that it felt like a "fall day" right now in Bawlmer. I hate these games where you don't know if rain might stop it an inning or two into the contest and screw with the starters.
        Comment
        • pinnerpsk
          SBR MVP
          • 03-16-09
          • 1687

          #5
          Originally posted by obamaismyuncle
          Like Seattle alot.
          Cliff Lee is going to have to pitch a shutout for them to have a chance.
          Comment
          • scarp
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-12-10
            • 697

            #6
            This will be a boring game..
            Comment
            • Marigold HD
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-03-07
              • 5053

              #7
              Was on the under, but at 7.5 sheeesh. Can't do it
              Comment
              • stealthyburrito
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-12-09
                • 21562

                #8
                hmmm... with that weather forecast i'll probably pass on this game.
                Comment
                • mukas pukas
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 11-30-08
                  • 85

                  #9
                  Willie, love the write up. The weather does appear to be an issue tonight. This line moved more than any other I've seen today, as high as -170 for Lee. The under looks strong if the rain holds off. The Mariners have generally good numbers it seems on Hernandez, but so far this year he looks his best by far at home and in night games. If Lee can go 7 or 8 in this cold weather (weather permitting), I can't imagine the Mariners beat the over themselves
                  Comment
                  • solobass
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-15-09
                    • 1277

                    #10
                    First one to score wins! Anyone cashing a mariners runline ticket is a prophet this year.
                    Comment
                    • reverend
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 06-01-09
                      • 880

                      #11
                      like lee today
                      Comment
                      • JMUplayer
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-27-09
                        • 2765

                        #12
                        The Orioles right now are playing with no purpose... they have to face deadly lineups in the AL EAST.

                        That being said... -170 is too much.
                        Comment
                        • Unicorn7
                          Restricted User
                          • 08-29-09
                          • 1445

                          #13
                          nice article

                          these teams will each lose 70-90 times this year

                          good luck picking the correct ones
                          Comment
                          • blueghost
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-11-09
                            • 1715

                            #14
                            to teams finding hard to score somebodys got to break out picking the Os to do that
                            Comment
                            • Justin7
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-31-06
                              • 8577

                              #15
                              Balimore is just so bad.. Not just on offense, but defense as well.

                              I like Seattle.
                              Comment
                              • Sexybet
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 12-15-09
                                • 6

                                #16
                                David Hernandez sucks he's 0-10 in his last 10 almost breaking a record for most losses for a orioles pitcher. The weather might actually help this guy though.
                                Comment
                                • tzMoney
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 04-16-10
                                  • 331

                                  #17
                                  I took the Mariners run line. Seattle is batting .302 as a team against Hernandez. 16 hits in 53 AB - 7 Doubles, 1 HR, 7 RBI's 5 walks
                                  Take a look: http://scores.espn.go.com/mlb/player...playerId=30058
                                  Comment
                                  • Muddy
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-16-09
                                    • 621

                                    #18
                                    It's hard to put anything on either of these teams. I would take the under in a boring game.
                                    Comment
                                    • mvp123
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-24-06
                                      • 1736

                                      #19
                                      i cant bet on these 2 shit teams
                                      Comment
                                      • cb8720
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 02-10-10
                                        • 357

                                        #20
                                        Got M's at -150 last night. Love them in this game.
                                        Comment
                                        • Chi_archie
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-22-08
                                          • 63167

                                          #21
                                          staying away from this game
                                          Comment
                                          • orangeheaven
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 02-28-10
                                            • 451

                                            #22
                                            Mother Nature will win. If I was forced to bet on this game, Id go with O's.
                                            Comment
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