Benjy's MLB's picks 2010

[benjy]

Monday, wk3

Almost all road teams. I'm concerned my model may not sufficiently compensate for travel days.

LAD -132
LAD/NYM over8.5@+100
Fish -155
Nats+139
Braves+100

M's-169
Tribe+175

[benjy]

Almost all road teams. I'm concerned my model may not sufficiently compensate for travel days.

LAD -132 VOID
LAD/NYM over8.5@+100 VOID
Fish -155 WIN
Nats+139 LOSS
Braves+100 LOSS

M's-169 LOSS
Tribe+175 LOSS

Second bad day. That mean is regressing quickly.

-3.69 units on the day, and for the week.

+1.57 units week 1, +6.82 units for week 2
+4.70 units total

[benjy]

Lines from Pinny:

LAD+100 Olivier is trash
over 9 @ +109
Nats+149 Gorzellanny!
over 8 @ -105
Reds+116

Tigers+108 Verlander
NYY-163 Millwood
lean but no bet on the over9 here
Tex-127 (Wilson the deal?)
KC-183 Greinke!

[benjy]

LAD+100 Olivier is trash LOSS
over 9 @ +109 WIN
Nats+149 Gorzellanny! WIN
over 8 @ -105 LOSS
Reds+116 WIN

Tigers+108 Verlander LOSS
NYY-163 Millwood LOSS
lean but no bet on the over9 here
Tex-127 (Wilson the deal?) WIN
KC-183 Greinke! LOSS

-1.72 units on the day, -5.41 for the week.

+1.57 units week 1, +6.82 units for week 2
+2.98 units total

[benjy]

Wednesday wk3

The NL.

Lines from Pinny. All road dogs.

pirates+145
nats+183
dbacks+135
reds+109
braves+145

[benjy]

The AL:

Twins/Tigers under 8.5@+102
Tribe+158
BoSox-153
A's+155

[benjy]

Adding Giants (Linceum) -143

line moved and it's too tasty to refuse.

[benjy]

pirates+145 WIN
nats+183 WIN
dbacks+135 WIN
reds+109 WIN
braves+145 LOSS
Adding Giants (Linceum) -143 LOSS

Twins/Tigers under 8.5@+102 LOSS
Tribe+158 LOSS
BoSox-153 WIN
A's+155 LOSS

+1.29 units on the day. -4.12 for the week.

+1.57 units week 1, +6.82 units for week 2
+4.27 units total

[benjy]

Thursday wk3

Lines from Pinny:

Braves+188 (Jurjens is way better than his record)
Dodgers-1.5@-111 (Burres belongs in AA)

Twins-129 (Willis has lost his mojo)
WhiteSox+128 (Floyd>Feldman)
A's+124 (coin flip, take the +$)
KC+226 (too much +money)

[benjy]

Lines from Pinny:

Braves+188 (Jurjens is way better than his record) LOSS
Dodgers-1.5@-111 (Burres belongs in AA) LOSS

Twins-129 (Willis has lost his mojo) LOSS
WhiteSox+128 (Floyd>Feldman) WIN
A's+124 (coin flip, take the +$) LOSS
KC+226 (too much +money) LOSS

What a rancid day. Four of the six lines above could've been scalped for decent money.

The grind continues.

-4.12 units on the day; -8.24 for the week.

+1.57 units week 1, +6.82 units for week 2
+0.15 units total

[benjy]

Friday wk3

dbacks+146
Mets+141
Reds+188
reds/cards over 7.5@-117
Pirates +264

Twins-103
Red Sox-152
LAA-115
KC+226

[benjy]

dbacks+146 LOSS
Mets+141 WIN
Reds+188 WIN
reds/cards over 7.5@-117 LOSS
Pirates +264 LOSS

Twins-103 WIN
Red Sox-152 LOSS
LAA-115 LOSS
KC+226 WIN

+0.86 units on the day; -7.38 for the week.

+1.57 units week 1, +6.82 units for week 2
+1.01 units total

[benjy]

Sat wk3

dbacks-104 Haren!
reds+174 too much +$
nats+146 volstad blows
pirates+166 duke's OK

NYY-148 vazquez get no respect

[benjy]

dbacks-104 Haren!
reds+174 too much +$
nats+146 volstad blows
pirates+166 duke's OK

NYY-148 vazquez get no respect

Brutal day. O'fer!

Nice numbers though. Could've got rid of my positions at game time and ended up with a small risk-free profit.

-5.52 units on the day; -12.90 for the week.

+1.57 units week 1, +6.82 units for week 2
-4.52 units total

[benjy]

Sunday wk3

Dbacks+136
Mil-101
Rockies+151

Tribe+147
LAA+104
Red Sox-145
KC+129
Tex+101

[benjy]

Dbacks+136 LOSS
Mil-101 LOSS
Rockies+151 WIN

Tribe+147 LOSS
LAA+104 LOSS
Red Sox-145 LOSS
KC+129 LOSS
Tex+101 WIN

Well I'm glad this week is over. Ack.

-3.94 units on the day; -16.84 for the week.

+1.57 units week 1, +6.82 units for week 2
-8.46 units total

[benjy]

Not much today.

Reds-127
Dback-103

[benjy]

Not much today.

Reds-127 WIN
Dback-103 WIN

+2.00 units on the day

+1.57 units week 1, +6.82 wk2, -16.84 wk3
-6.46 units total

[benjy]

Tuesday wk4

pirates+143
SF-177
Rockies+130

o's+219
red sox-176

[benjy]

pirates+143 WIN
SF-177 WIN
Rockies+130 LOSS

o's+219 LOSS
red sox-176 WIN

+1.43 units on the day; +3.43 units for the week

+1.57 units week 1, +6.82 wk2, -16.84 wk3
-5.03 units total

[benjy]

Wednesday, wk4

dbacks-103
Rockies+110

Texas-126
LAA+155
KC+126

[benjy]

dbacks-103 LOSS
Rockies+110 WIN

Texas-126 LOSS
LAA+155 LOSS
KC+126 LOSS

-3.16 units on the day; +0.27 units for the week

+1.57 units week 1, +6.82 wk2, -16.84 wk3
-8.19 units total

[benjy]

Thursday wk4

Braves-133
Fish-124
dBacks-127

O's+216
Jays+168

[benjy]

Braves-133 LOSS
Fish-124 LOSS
dBacks-127 WIN

O's+216 WIN
Jays+168 WIN

+2.27 units on the day.

[benjy]

Saturday wk4

braves+138
reds-104
o's+237
nyy-125

[benjy]

braves+138 WIN
reds-104 WIN
o's+237 WIN
nyy-125 WIN

Clean sweep. Sweet.

+5.75 units on the day

[benjy]

Sunday wk4

Giants-185
Braves+191
Brewers+138
Red Sox-107

[benjy]

Giants-185 WIN
Braves+191 LOSS
Brewers+138 WIN
Red Sox-107 WIN

+2.38 units on the day; +10.67 units for the week

+1.57 units week 1, +6.82 wk2, -16.84 wk3
+2.21 units total

[benjy]

Monday wk5

Small card today.

Nats+142
Braves-131

[benjy]

Small card today.

Nats+142 WIN
Braves-131 WIN

+2.42 units on the day

+1.57 units week 1, +6.82 wk2, -16.84 wk3, +10.67 wk4
+4.65 units total

[benjy]

Tuesday wk5

Fish+106
Braves-120
Pads+136

M's-159
NYY-145
Jays+142

[benjy]

Fish+106 WIN
Braves-120 WIN
Pads+136 WIN

M's-159 WIN
NYY-145 VOID
Jays+142 LOSS

+3.42 units on the day; +5.84 units for the week

+1.57 units week 1, +6.82 wk2, -16.84 wk3, +10.67 wk4
+8.07 units total

[benjy]

Wednesday wk5

Nats+155
Braves+141
Astros+161

A's+113
KC-101

[benjy]

Adding Yanks GM1 (Vazquez) -140

[benjy]

Adding Phils/Col (Moyer/Hammel) O10.5@-106