Cardinals v Brewers Hedge System
Sosince alot of these games are crapshoots anyways... Ive decided to try and hedge my Milwakee ML bet. I Placed $100 on Brewers ML @ +134. So to hedge it I will place $100 on St. Louis -1.5 @ +128. THE ONLY WAY I LOSE THIS IS IF THE CARDS WIN BY 1 RUN. So if the Brew win then itll be a $134 profit and if the Cards win by 2 or more then the profit would be $128. Either way I win here. Like I said only way I lose is if the Cards manage to squeek thru tonight with a 1 run win. This has a 66% chance of hitting. There are only 3 outcomes so 33% x 3 = 99%. 1% for the books I guess. So try with caution or dont try at all. Ill take 66% any day over the 50% you get when betting on just 1 side. Plus im getting +money not paying any vig since these lines are from Matchbook. BOL to all tonight. Ill come back after the game to post the results.
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no its $34 profit or $28 proft while your risking $200....stupid hedgeComment -
I think you are miscalculating a few things here. The most obvious being that you are putting up a total of $200... your 'profit' would be $34 or $28, should one of your bets hit. Putting up $200 to win about $30 doesn't seem like a good bet to me.
That said, I liek St. Louis tonight, but a 1 run win wouldn't surpise me at all with Carpenter and Wolf on the mound.
BoL in whatever you choose.Comment -
Brewers win = $134 but a loss of $100 from the hedge, so profit is $34, not $134, right?Comment -
My fault guys my math is on 3rd grade level right now. I still like it though and I expect it to hit.Comment -
Bad idea, it's like laying a ton of chalk and theres a good chance cards win by a runComment -
Best of luck with this systemComment -
Risking 200 to win 34 max.... that's like laying -588 on the cards not to win by 1... some serious juice. definitely NOT worth itComment -
brilliant idea...lol
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Not really worth it in my opinion
