TWG's 2010 Baseball Picks of April

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  • TWG1992
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-22-09
    • 492

    #1
    TWG's 2010 Baseball Picks of April
    Well Hello again! It's been quite awhile since i've been in the Baseball Handicappers Thread. Been since September. If anyone can remember, I was doing baseball picks from August thru late September.

    Also, I did some NHL handicapping early in the 09-10 NHL season, but strayed away from that, and this site.

    I'm here to pick up at the beginning of the season on the MLB season and to make some big $$$!

    Starting out with a roll of $300. Looking to get that around $700-800 by early June, preferably sooner.

    In case you cannot tell by my avatar, the St. Louis Cardinals is my favorite team (born there, raised there.) Expect a little more picks about the Cardinals, but there will ALWAYS be insight around my picks, unless the odds are -250 or higher.

    Look for me to make 1-3 picks daily, mostly in the 1-2 range.

    Missed opening day, Would've gone 1-0..Would've picked my Beloved Cardinals, but I won't make a big deal of it.

    Anyways, if you want to see my explanations, feel free to check out my daily blog over here at: http://twg1992.mysbrforum.com/blog

    It will contain some very good insight over there on the picks that I make.

    I will make a Monthly thread, to keep track of everything a lot easier so it doesn't get all cluttered.

    To a good, prosperous baseball season!
  • TWG1992
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-22-09
    • 492

    #2
    I will also be keeping a spreadsheet of all my bets.

    Follow them here as well:


    Comment
    • TWG1992
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-22-09
      • 492

      #3
      TWG1992's Baseball Bets April 6, 2010:

      Game #1: San Francisco Giants vs. Houston Astros (B. Zito vs. W. Rodriguez)

      Bet: San Francisco Run Line +1.5 (-190) (Risking $30, To Win $15.79)

      Game #2: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (C. Young vs. E. Jackson)

      Bet: Arizona Diamondbacks Money Line (-155) (Risking $35, To Win $22.58)

      MAKE SURE TO CHECK OUT MY BLOG FOR EXPLAINATIONS



      AND MY SPREADSHEET!




      and good luck!


      Comment
      • TWG1992
        SBR Sharp
        • 08-22-09
        • 492

        #4
        Small bump for the evening hours. Any insight/opinions/etc is appreciated!
        Comment
        • TWG1992
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-22-09
          • 492

          #5
          Actually a good Pitching duel down in Houston. Still have a +1.5 cushion midway through 4.
          Comment
          • TWG1992
            SBR Sharp
            • 08-22-09
            • 492

            #6
            Giants threatening in the 6th!
            Comment
            • TWG1992
              SBR Sharp
              • 08-22-09
              • 492

              #7
              Giants score 3 in the 6th, looking like a lock!
              Comment
              • TWG1992
                SBR Sharp
                • 08-22-09
                • 492

                #8
                Giants up 3 going into the 9th. Dbacks are down 2-0 in the 3rd.
                Comment
                • TWG1992
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 08-22-09
                  • 492

                  #9
                  Giants win! 3-0!

                  Now I just need the D'Backs to get out of their 3-0 rut.
                  Comment
                  • TWG1992
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 08-22-09
                    • 492

                    #10
                    Diamondbacks couldn't make it back into the game.

                    They cost me today.

                    Giants RL: (+ $15.79)
                    D'Backs ML: (- $35.00)

                    1-1 Today. A Push..I can handle that.

                    On The Season: 1-1-0 (- $19.21)

                    Time to post the picks for tomorrow!
                    Comment
                    • rydaphotoguy
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-31-10
                      • 753

                      #11
                      Bounce back tomorrow buddy! BOL
                      Comment
                      • TWG1992
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-22-09
                        • 492

                        #12
                        Originally posted by rydaphotoguy
                        Bounce back tomorrow buddy! BOL
                        Thanks, bro. Will try my best. Analyzing picks now.
                        Comment
                        • TWG1992
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-22-09
                          • 492

                          #13
                          First Pitch Preview: Wednesday, April 7, 2010
                          Only one game today:

                          Game #1: Saint Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinatti Reds (A. Wainwright vs. J. Cueto) Cardinals Money line (-145) (Risking $50; to win $34.48)

                          MAKE SURE TO CHECK OUT MY BLOG FOR EXPLANATIONS



                          AND MY SPREADSHEET!




                          and good luck!

                          Comment
                          • TWG1992
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 08-22-09
                            • 492

                            #14
                            Cardinals up 2-0. Lookin good!
                            Comment
                            • TWG1992
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 08-22-09
                              • 492

                              #15
                              Ahhh.Wainwright giving up a 2 run blast.
                              Comment
                              • TWG1992
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 08-22-09
                                • 492

                                #16
                                Single by Schumaker, walk by Ryan, RBI Single by Pujols, 2 RBI double by Holliday, = 3 runs, nobody out in the top of the 7th, putting the Cardinals back on top, 5-2
                                Comment
                                • TWG1992
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 08-22-09
                                  • 492

                                  #17
                                  Cardinals Win 6-3!

                                  Cardinals ML: (+$34.48)

                                  On the positive side of things!

                                  YTD: 2-1-0 (+$15.27)

                                  Will have tomorrow picks posted sometime early tomorrow!
                                  Comment
                                  • TWG1992
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 08-22-09
                                    • 492

                                    #18
                                    I'm going idle tomorrow as of now. I will update this tomorrow. If I do anything.
                                    Comment
                                    • TWG1992
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 08-22-09
                                      • 492

                                      #19
                                      Decided to go with a really safe bet for today.

                                      Phillies ALTERNATE Run Line (+1.5) vs. Nationals (-330) (Risking $83.85;to win $25.41)

                                      Comment
                                      • TWG1992
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 08-22-09
                                        • 492

                                        #20
                                        Already down in the 1st.... 3-0...
                                        Comment
                                        • TWG1992
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 08-22-09
                                          • 492

                                          #21
                                          Tie game!
                                          Comment
                                          • TWG1992
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 08-22-09
                                            • 492

                                            #22
                                            Thank GOD for the Alternate Run Line.

                                            PHI alternate run line (+1.5) = (+$25.41)

                                            YTD stats:
                                            3-1-0 (+$40.68)

                                            Only one pick tomorrow, the blog should be up within a few hours!
                                            Comment
                                            • TWG1992
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 08-22-09
                                              • 492

                                              #23
                                              Blog will be updated within 20 minutes!
                                              Comment
                                              • TWG1992
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 08-22-09
                                                • 492

                                                #24
                                                Posted the blog a lot faster than I expected.

                                                Picks for Friday, April 9, 2010:

                                                Game #1: Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals (T. Wakefield vs. K. Davies)
                                                Bet: Boston ML (-155) (Risking $40.68; to win $26.25)

                                                If I lose I'm still even on the season!

                                                & good luck!
                                                Comment
                                                • dynamitappletini
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 03-27-10
                                                  • 917

                                                  #25
                                                  Nice Thread, thank you
                                                  If I start to follow today would you still recommend betting 40.68$ cos you say that you're still even if you'd lose :P ?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TWG1992
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 08-22-09
                                                    • 492

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by dynamitappletini
                                                    Nice Thread, thank you If I start to follow today would you still recommend betting 40.68$ cos you say that you're still even if you'd lose :P ?
                                                    Well, I'm not just sitting here, picking a game to bet on. I look at pitchers stats, such as splits and things of that nature, I just don't like to include them in my explanations. Get's a little too technical for me. Boston is outright the better team in this matchup so I'm with them all the way.

                                                    Thanks for the compliment on my thread as well.

                                                    if you follow me!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dynamitappletini
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 03-27-10
                                                      • 917

                                                      #27
                                                      yeah of course, I also read your blog :P My question just concerned the money management but it's ok
                                                      One more question though: If I bet on ML there a few more options:
                                                      -on Betus you can choose between Action, Listed, Home, Away?
                                                      -on Pinnacle you can check/uncheck "T. Wakefield must start"
                                                      Which one is best to take and how does it influence the bet?
                                                      I'm pretty new to Baseball bets
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TWG1992
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 08-22-09
                                                        • 492

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by dynamitappletini
                                                        yeah of course, I also read your blog :P My question just concerned the money management but it's ok One more question though: If I bet on ML there a few more options: -on Betus you can choose between Action, Listed, Home, Away? -on Pinnacle you can check/uncheck "T. Wakefield must start" Which one is best to take and how does it influence the bet? I'm pretty new to Baseball bets
                                                        I just stick with what they give me. Whatever is listed as the default, go with it. Otherwise I get confused myself.

                                                        The money management, everyone has a different way of managing, . The more of a lock I believe it is, the more I will lay on the game. $40 is a pretty big number. The Phillies bet yesterday, I laid $85, because I was basically 100% confident it would win.

                                                        Hope this helps. If not, feel free to ask around to other, more experienced bettors.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dynamitappletini
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 03-27-10
                                                          • 917

                                                          #29
                                                          No it's ok I'll just stick with default then.
                                                          alright I'll get into the game today
                                                          Thanks for the help and Good Luck!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TWG1992
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 08-22-09
                                                            • 492

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by dynamitappletini
                                                            No it's ok I'll just stick with default then. alright I'll get into the game today Thanks for the help and Good Luck!
                                                            Not a problem. Hope I can help my followers out!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TWG1992
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 08-22-09
                                                              • 492

                                                              #31
                                                              Made blog roll again!

                                                              GO check it out!


                                                              Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TWG1992
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 08-22-09
                                                                • 492

                                                                #32
                                                                Red Sox's Bullpen Blew IT!!!!

                                                                Red Sox ML: (-$40.68)

                                                                Even on the season still.

                                                                YTD: 3-2-0 ($0.00)

                                                                Blog with Picks for tomorrow will be posted soon.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TWG1992
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 08-22-09
                                                                  • 492

                                                                  #33
                                                                  My Blog is updated!

                                                                  Here's My Pick for Saturday, April 10, 2010:

                                                                  TWO TEAM PARLAY:
                                                                  Phillies ML (-140)
                                                                  Cardinals ML (+115)
                                                                  Risking $30 to win $80.57

                                                                  I'm feeling this parlay, as I NEVER parlay any bets.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TWG1992
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 08-22-09
                                                                    • 492

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Cardinals up 4-0! Ludwick RBI single and a Molina 3-run homer!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by TWG1992
                                                                      Cardinals up 4-0! Ludwick RBI single and a Molina 3-run homer!



                                                                      have a feeling we gonna need all the runs we can get because id guess Garcia on a somewhat limited pitch count and you know how our bullpen is
                                                                      Comment
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