John morrison 2010 mlb system

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  • el jefe
    Restricted User
    • 05-21-09
    • 89

    #2311
    guy at freaksforum hit over 70% for the month of july.
    Comment
    • alexy
      SBR High Roller
      • 05-23-10
      • 217

      #2312
      August

      AUGUST WILL BE CRUCIAL TO RECOVER LOSES. COMMENTS AND ADVISE FOR EACH GAME WILL BE FOR THE BENEFIT OF THE PARTICIPANTS IN THIS THREAD. THANKS TO ALL YOU
      Comment
      • dukipl
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-08-09
        • 376

        #2313
        [b bet] win on mets. Lets hope August will have only wins.
        Comment
        • Betting-Eye
          SBR Rookie
          • 07-27-10
          • 24

          #2314
          Yes, I so hope so. Strange how now the losses are happening compared to the years before that have had no losses under the current system. Of course we had the losses but under a different rule criteria. I know what you are thinking but maybe this means good news for us now. Do I dare think that?
          Comment
          • hockey1980
            SBR Sharp
            • 04-15-10
            • 365

            #2315
            Take the win boys (and ladies)....Its been a rough season...
            Comment
            • Cyril
              SBR High Roller
              • 01-23-09
              • 245

              #2316
              I agree million2one. We should add new filters, and go heavy on those games that fall under them. For example, I was pretty big on TOR and NYM as I stated before the series started, and the rewards were good. I mostly took into consideration the filter with the RPIs, that their RPIs (on both TOR and NYM) were way bigger than their opponents.
              Comment
              • pollito
                Restricted User
                • 02-17-10
                • 347

                #2317
                No plays until Friday August 6th.
                Comment
                • krzychu78
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-08-10
                  • 291

                  #2318
                  What about Kansas tomorrow? RPI difference between Kansas and Oakland is 0.012 for today.
                  Comment
                  • million2one
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-19-09
                    • 1290

                    #2319
                    Thanks for the input Cyril, I suppose a large RPI differential is what I am mainly looking for as well.

                    Everybody hone in on the Phillies next Friday, should be a good play, only thing now is that Ryan Howard got hurt today and a possibility of being placed on the DL. So they could possibly be without Howard and Utley is still out, so I guess that series is up in the air at this point.
                    Comment
                    • HE.man
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 07-02-10
                      • 8

                      #2320
                      well Kansas is an official A bet, runline , for today... bol !
                      Comment
                      • knugen
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-09-09
                        • 2612

                        #2321
                        I'm thinking about doing à reverse bet on the kansas bet and bet oakland, what do u guys think?
                        Comment
                        • Betting-Eye
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 07-27-10
                          • 24

                          #2322
                          Reverse bet? We either follow the system or we dont. If Kansas cover the bet what then? As long as we win in the series then its ok right? I am thinking that morrison cant afford to drop another series so does that mean we be ok from now?
                          Its tempting doing the under and over bets or switching sides but arent we going against the stats? Will it lose in the end that way?
                          Comment
                          • xgame
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 07-21-10
                            • 675

                            #2323
                            Originally posted by knugen
                            I'm thinking about doing à reverse bet on the kansas bet and bet oakland, what do u guys think?

                            i think only reverse that going on c bet. not a b bet.
                            Comment
                            • dukipl
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 04-08-09
                              • 376

                              #2324
                              So Kansas it will be
                              Comment
                              • knugen
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-09-09
                                • 2612

                                #2325
                                And what are the odds on runline , decimal odds?
                                Comment
                                • krzychu78
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-08-10
                                  • 291

                                  #2326
                                  Kansas +1.5 1.752 at pinnacle
                                  Last edited by krzychu78; 08-02-10, 04:47 AM.
                                  Comment
                                  • Kev the Brit
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-25-09
                                    • 2027

                                    #2327
                                    Extracted from an e-mail from JM to his subscribers on Jul 9:
                                    We must keep in mind that under no circumstances should a wager be made when the RPI difference between two teams is greater than .15. Going forward, it's important to walk away from a betting series if the RPI difference between two teams become greater than the .15 limit during any time within the series!
                                    Good advice, John, except it was a day or so late ! At the outset of that series, on the morning of Tue Jul 6, the RPI difference between the Pirates and the Astros was 0.012. The difference then increased to 0.015 over the A and B bets, thus taking the series out of the limits. I printed them out every day.

                                    Lets look at the latest series that JM has identified for us to risk our money on, with a chase on KC Royals starting tonight:

                                    Today, the RPIs are:
                                    Athletics 0.499
                                    Royals 0.487.

                                    The Athletics are 0.012 higher than the Royals.

                                    Sound familiar?

                                    I strongly recommend that we DO NOT PLAY KC ROYALS this week. They might win one of the 3 bets, but its just too risky. I'm really surprised that JM has identified this series as a system bet. Its a stupid thing to do.

                                    Regards
                                    Kev the Sage (maybe)
                                    Comment
                                    • Casper TFG
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 07-28-10
                                      • 6

                                      #2328
                                      Here's to the hope that he knows what he is doing!
                                      Comment
                                      • hockey1980
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 04-15-10
                                        • 365

                                        #2329
                                        Kev the Brit....I am in agreement with you on the KC/Oak series.... If KC wins one of the 3 games, it is possible,.... could KC also be sweeped very possible....
                                        In the "A" game the RL+1.5 is the play...
                                        For me i will wait till later today if i place a wager (juice is higher then i like at present)...ROI with money management...
                                        I have been playing JM MLB chase for 3 years...todays RPI .012 is below the min.015...This series could be a trap... (gut feeling tells me to pass on this series or play reverse) BOL
                                        Comment
                                        • rickbo528
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-22-08
                                          • 1842

                                          #2330
                                          Originally posted by Casper TFG
                                          Here's to the hope that he knows what he is doing!

                                          You must be hoping Obama knows what he is doing too! Morrison knows what he is doing by getting people to throw money at a bad team. Then after the A bet loses or maybe the B bet loses he will say drop the series. Of course it won't count as an official loss. But you will have lost money. Like the Angels last week. He says it was a push since a last minute pitching change by the Angels cancelled the bet. But you lost big money on that push didn't you. No matter how you slice it this system has 3 LOSSES!!!

                                          I've played it before but it can no longer be relied on. You will throw money away if you continue to blindly follow it. I will not play it. If a game I like happens to be a JM game so be it, I will play it. But never chase especially all the way to a C bet where you might be wagering $1200 to win $100. The magic of his system somehow always pulling out a C bet are gone. This system is DONE.
                                          Comment
                                          • stevex
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-02-10
                                            • 5122

                                            #2331
                                            I wouldn't say the system is done. You can still profit from this system IF you pick and choose the right series to play. As stated before (if you want) you can just add a couple more filters by first making sure the team you're betting on is playing and home and by making sure the team you're wagering on has a BETTER RPI than the team they're playing against. Might be less plays, but at least you won't lose money or be in the negative. So for example the Royals - Oakland series you would pass on because the KC RPI is .012 less than the A's, not MORE. I'm personally goin to use the system for the rest of the year (as well as Baseball Crusher) but make sure I don't use a lot of my bankroll. I'm really hoping this upcoming Basketball season isn't as bad as this baseball year has been for his system.

                                            stevex
                                            Comment
                                            • doin
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 02-27-09
                                              • 457

                                              #2332
                                              Reading the threads, we really make an Athletics bet sound close to 100% choice!
                                              Comment
                                              • million2one
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-19-09
                                                • 1290

                                                #2333
                                                Sound advice here from some of these posters, I am glad to see the majority of people are wise when playing this system. Thank you to all those who are posting plays and giving solid advice for some of the newer players.

                                                Oh yeah and KC is well under a .480 win percentage, remember when he had this as a filter a few years back, what ever happened to that filter, the guy makes filters and then comes up with a new system every year so you will never have any accurate back testing.
                                                Comment
                                                • jphil
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 07-12-09
                                                  • 757

                                                  #2334
                                                  Originally posted by million2one
                                                  Sound advice here from some of these posters, I am glad to see the majority of people are wise when playing this system. Thank you to all those who are posting plays and giving solid advice for some of the newer players.

                                                  Oh yeah and KC is well under a .480 win percentage, remember when he had this as a filter a few years back, what ever happened to that filter, the guy makes filters and then comes up with a new system every year so you will never have any accurate back testing.


                                                  yeah, i remember.

                                                  kc doesn't fit the criteria of his old sys. either, so it was a no brainer decision in my case.

                                                  on paper oak. does look a little better, but definately not worth the ag.

                                                  had we stuck w/ the old rpi(.010), we wouldn't have 3 losses this season.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jphil
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 07-12-09
                                                    • 757

                                                    #2335
                                                    Originally posted by stevex
                                                    I wouldn't say the system is done. You can still profit from this system IF you pick and choose the right series to play. As stated before (if you want) you can just add a couple more filters by first making sure the team you're betting on is playing and home and by making sure the team you're wagering on has a BETTER RPI than the team they're playing against. Might be less plays, but at least you won't lose money or be in the negative. So for example the Royals - Oakland series you would pass on because the KC RPI is .012 less than the A's, not MORE. I'm personally goin to use the system for the rest of the year (as well as Baseball Crusher) but make sure I don't use a lot of my bankroll. I'm really hoping this upcoming Basketball season isn't as bad as this baseball year has been for his system.

                                                    stevex

                                                    I picked a bad wk. to start w/ CRUSHER. he was at a 8 win streak when i started on fri. 3 losses since. Ya def. have to even capp the cappers.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jphil
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 07-12-09
                                                      • 757

                                                      #2336
                                                      anyone catch this?


                                                      Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pollito
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 02-17-10
                                                        • 347

                                                        #2337
                                                        If anyone is betting Kansas tonight be carefull...it might fall out of the RPI difference, I will not play it myself.

                                                        GL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DustyDiamond
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-19-09
                                                          • 772

                                                          #2338
                                                          Morrison followers, have your two losses broke the bank?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Cyril
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 01-23-09
                                                            • 245

                                                            #2339
                                                            Nicely said Kev the Brit. If you decide to stick with the new rule (after the PIT loss), you should not play KC Royals. You'll most probably have the same scenario as the PIT loss not long ago.

                                                            The funny or sad part here is, you might win or lose here but JM is a winner in both cases. If KC Royals win one OR if they lose all three games he is a winner. Why ?
                                                            Because if they win on one of the three games (lets say he lose on the A bet because the difference is 0.12), he'll count it as a win not taking the new rule in consideration, and if they lose all three games he'll take the new rule into consideration, that means in either cases no loss to his records.

                                                            If that loss with PIT didn't happened, he wasn't going to mention this new rule. He was not planning to, but he had to find out how is he going to cover up this loss, so he came up with this.
                                                            After everybody who followed his system lost, he comes up with a new rule, and magically there is no system loss, although he sent emails on every single A, B and C bet saying us to bet on them. Soon after he deleted the pages (with A,B, C bets on PIT), sent to us in the emails. According to his records this never happened.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • stevex
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 05-02-10
                                                              • 5122

                                                              #2340
                                                              Definetly going to be very selective the rest of the way, specially with the RPI difference. Will always make plays on a team that have a better RPI, but if it's close.....staying away (IE: Royals tonight).

                                                              stevex
                                                              Comment
                                                              • alexy
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 05-23-10
                                                                • 217

                                                                #2341
                                                                Your prediction

                                                                The serie started as you said. Best if stay away. Thank you pollito
                                                                Originally posted by pollito
                                                                if anyone is betting kansas tonight be carefull...it might fall out of the rpi difference, i will not play it myself.

                                                                Gl
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dukipl
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 04-08-09
                                                                  • 376

                                                                  #2342
                                                                  For any risk players:
                                                                  Kansas [b bet] vs. Oakland -> RL play odd: 1,74@pinnacle
                                                                  The rpi difference is .013 so its still official alright
                                                                  GL
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pollito
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 02-17-10
                                                                    • 347

                                                                    #2343
                                                                    Once again: betting on Kansas in NOT safe...wait until the next series:
                                                                    LA Angels @ Detroit and Philadelphia vs. NY Mets (both on Friday 8/6) there's no need to risk your money in this kind of games, if you want action in the mean time, follow Teddy Covers, Power Play Wins or BB Crusher on a daily basis and be selective with JM plays...
                                                                    GL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Betting-Eye
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 07-27-10
                                                                      • 24

                                                                      #2344
                                                                      But guys... Either we are faithful in his system or we are not. His record has only been bad this season. Can it get even worse? These odds win all the time. I had 2 bets at 1.46 and 1.54 and both lost. So.... with the right RPI difference a win in 3 should be possible right?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • pollito
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 02-17-10
                                                                        • 347

                                                                        #2345
                                                                        IMAO It's much better and smarter to be selective.
                                                                        Comment
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