Baseball systems

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  • aajreyno
    Restricted User
    • 01-08-10
    • 46

    #1
    Baseball systems
    I know people don't always like sharing their systems, but I think we should all band together and share what we have.

    My addiction is developing working baseball theories. Best one is the one I will list, but I do not know what my winning percentage was because I am still converting from "recreational" to "serious"..

    SBR IS A KICKA$$ WAY TO CONVERT! This site is one-of-a-kind!

    The one I will share is my home pitcher series system

    Criteria 1: Home team must be above .500 overall

    Criteria 2: Home team must be above .550 at home.

    Criteria 3: In a three game series, the home team MUST have their Ace, the no. 2 pitcher & the no. 3 pitcher on the mound vs no better than the other teams no. 2 - no. 6 starters.

    Criteria 4: Between the Ace, the no. 2, or the no. 3 sp, ONE of them must throw left-handed or two of them must have a lifetime ERA of under 4 pitching at least two full seasons.

    Use 3 game chase system to win one stake. When you win, shut it down and move on to the next opportunity.

    I did not win thousands of dollars simply because there were not hundreds of opportunities to bet on this, but when I did bet I do not remember losing 3 straight.

    I was thinking of seeing how this system would fare if I were to do the same thing with the Mariners trio (Felix, Lee, Bedard) against whoever they are playing as long as it is the other teams 3rd SP or worse. More opportunities should come up in this situation if the bet could stretch into two different series'.

    Just a meaningless thought...
  • fastpitch_45
    SBR Rookie
    • 02-27-10
    • 49

    #2
    How often does this happen? Once a season???
    Comment
    • aajreyno
      Restricted User
      • 01-08-10
      • 46

      #3
      Not much man....but it works. Tweak it a little bit, just throwing it out there...
      Comment
      • dee_jas
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-09-08
        • 760

        #4
        thanks anyway for sharing
        Comment
        • nfinity78
          SBR Rookie
          • 03-24-10
          • 21

          #5
          this is good info for a rookie sport person, i usually play just numbers at SB's!!
          Comment
          • bozeman
            SBR MVP
            • 11-11-09
            • 2162

            #6
            What's the hit % if it's 60 % it's money, but garbage you know yourself, but if it's 75-80% you know I would be searching those plays every day, so how many games approximately did you find and what % won???
            Comment
            • thebestthereis
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-01-09
              • 11459

              #7
              Originally posted by fastpitch_45
              How often does this happen? Once a season???
              who cares if any system works, and there are many that, you win one or two all year it is more than you had before. professional investors in any area make most of their money only a few times a year. nobody makes all their money every day of the year equally, doesn't happen unless you are the government and you just print it when you want.
              Comment
              • aajreyno
                Restricted User
                • 01-08-10
                • 46

                #8
                Could not tell you man, I used to bet "recreationally" not I take it a little more serious. I guess what I posted is similar to something you would hear from Mr. Obvious, but that method of thinking helps lead you to profitable angles. Yes, that one may have been something for a beginner, but what I posted technically works, even if there are only 5 plays all year. What if you had several hundred of those per season with all the different teams? What does the ROI look like there? Im not saying I am going to do this, but wouldn't it work by theory?
                Comment
                • stingyrivers
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-15-08
                  • 1240

                  #9
                  we have been working on a similar system to this... it gives a lot more plays, with a few less of the conditions, and shows a 95 plus percent win rate as far as the series goes
                  Comment
                  • EXhoosier10
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-06-09
                    • 3122

                    #10
                    what are the lines on these games? -180?
                    Comment
                    • OMGRandyJackson
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-07-10
                      • 1680

                      #11
                      I would think they could be even worse. What if its doc and the phillies? -200+?
                      Comment
                      • G's pks
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-01-09
                        • 22251

                        #12
                        Go to covers all the systems you want! Also I posted one of the very few season long winning threads here at SBR last year you could look that up...
                        Comment
                        • G's pks
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-01-09
                          • 22251

                          #13
                          lines on these chase systems are always outrageous especially on the home team premise... Not as easy as it looks... lose a game in each series and it is equal to three losses...money management is the key...or I am sure someone will have the JM picks thread going but once again massive juice on losses...
                          Comment
                          • G's pks
                            Restricted User
                            • 01-01-09
                            • 22251

                            #14
                            at covers go to systems and strategies..
                            Comment
                            • G's pks
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-01-09
                              • 22251

                              #15
                              nothing new here people been running chases forever...
                              Comment
                              • OMGRandyJackson
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-07-10
                                • 1680

                                #16
                                Post count whore much you ****ing loser.
                                Comment
                                • BillAccpetor
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-07-09
                                  • 790

                                  #17
                                  Baseball is the best chase sport... If you take Hockey for example is the opposite! I remember the G's System was hot!
                                  Comment
                                  • superjeff24
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-17-10
                                    • 1078

                                    #18
                                    yeah, I can't imagine that you will profit much. What are you going to get for lines on the top 3 starters vs 3rd -5th? -180? Totally doesn't seem worth it
                                    Comment
                                    • G's pks
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 01-01-09
                                      • 22251

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by BillAccpetor
                                      Baseball is the best chase sport... If you take Hockey for example is the opposite! I remember the G's System was hot!

                                      Thanks starting to work on numbers again...have last two months of 09 season done by hand to add to my microsoft works spreadsheets...and then its time to cash!
                                      Comment
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