Kings Corner (3-10-10) Blue Jays Preview

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  • Enogsiwon
    Restricted User
    • 06-15-09
    • 4075

    #1
    Kings Corner (3-10-10) Blue Jays Preview
    Toronto Blue Jays Preview

    Win Total (5dimes)
    Over 71 +105
    Under 71-125


    The Blue Jays won 75 games last year and lost the best pitcher in the game (Halladay) in the off season. Shortstop Marco Scutaro has left to Boston and most think the Jays are in for a long season that they should use to rebuild.

    Whats to Like: Most probably wont agree with me but I like their pitching. They have potential to suprise people since the departure of Halladay has everyone down on them. Ricky Romero threw 178 innings as a rookie in '09 and held his own, he won 13 games and had a respectable 4.30 ERA. They brought in hard throwing B.Morrow from Seattle to bolster their rotation. A little inconsistent, but he has tons of room to improve and has a career ERA under 4.00. Lefty M.Rzepczynski can get people out, not over powering but proved he knew how to pitch last year against some tough AL East opponents. What I like most is the return of 2 guys that missed 2009 with injuries. I think most have forgotten how good Shaun Marcum and Dustin Mcgowan were before the got injured. Of course they may not return to form but if they do watch out, they could fill out a sneaky good rotation for the Jays.

    If you like HR's then you'll like the Jays this year. Second baseman Aaron Hill (.286,36HR's) and DH/LF Adam Lind (.305,35HR's) lead an offense that has potential to score a bunch of runs. Youngster Travis Snider is expected to have a breakout year which should include 30+ HR's. CF Vernon Wells, FB Lyle Overbay, OF Juan Bautista, and 3B E.Encarnacion are all expected to add about 20 HR's a peice. That is alot of round trippers people.. so say wahtever you want about these guys, they will hit their share of homeruns which will lead to some unexpected victories.

    The bullpen wont be dominant, and will see alot of work with all the young starters. The good thing is they have 3 solid guys in K.Gregg, J.Frasor, and S.Downs. They should be able to hold onto some of the leads that all their homerun hitter give them. They have about 6-7 potential starters so the ones that dont make the rotation should be ready for long relief.

    Whats not to Like: For a team expected to win about 70 games there isnt much I hate about them. Their team batting average is a concern. Lind, Overbay, and Hill might be the only everyday starters to hit over .270.

    They dont have a dominating Starter..

    Their Catchers and Shortstops will be below average on offense..

    Recap: I expect the AL East to get a little tighter this year, that means some must fall and somebody has to rise. In the Jays case I see them winning as many games as last year (75) if not more. This would be a huge suprise seeing that they lost Halladay and Scutaro. I may be crazy but the Jays are my suprise American League team of 2010. This being said the OVER 71 Wins +105 is a very strong play in my mind.
  • 3PtShooter
    SBR MVP
    • 04-13-08
    • 3936

    #2
    lot of people getting Jays band wagon this year
    Comment
    • Jaug
      SBR MVP
      • 01-11-09
      • 3087

      #3


      Thank you for the writeup. I think I will stick with my O69 wins for them. Might even add a little bit more.
      Comment
      • keyboarding
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-30-09
        • 6817

        #4
        Interesting review. You overlooked a few things that are hard to know unless you live here. First, Cito Gaston is still the manager of this team. The man is senile and makes some of the worst, worst, worst baseball decisions I have ever fukking seen.

        Also, Bautista is batting lead off. Your lead off hitter is Jose Bautista. Bautista will be the guy batting first. The hilarity of that alone is enough to make you worry.

        That outfield defensively might be one of the worst in all of Major goddamn League Baseball. Wells will never return to anything close to a Gold Glove CF, and Snider, Lind, or whatever else they throw out there isn't going to help.

        The bullpen and pitching is the only real upside strength. It's really, really deep. They have more than enough pitching to help if others struggle, or inevitably get injured. The big thing will be how McGowan returns. That is the big piece to the rotation.

        I love the Blue Jays, but saying "there isnt much I hate about them" isn't the same as saying there is a lot to love about them.
        Comment
        • Beastxxx
          SBR Sharp
          • 06-26-09
          • 446

          #5
          Great Post.
          I also believe the Jays will be the surprise team of the season.
          Comment
          • benjy
            SBR MVP
            • 02-19-09
            • 2158

            #6
            So many question marks. Will Marcum and/or McGowan return to form? If they both do 71 wins seems easy. Will they make a trade with all their pitching depth? Will Hill/Lind improve w/ age (they are entering better statistical years) or will the league find holes in their swing and adapt.

            I'm waiting to hear more before I bet anything on the Jays.

            Nice write up though. BOL
            Comment
            • Willie Bee
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-14-06
              • 15726

              #7
              I'd root for you to be right about the Jays' pitching, enog, and you may be on to something regarding there being value betting Toronto early on. But cheering your 'over' is cheering me to not cash my 'under.' Good luck.
              Comment
              • OMGRandyJackson
                SBR MVP
                • 02-07-10
                • 1680

                #8
                They also lost barajas.

                From a fan point of view it will be nice to Johnny Mac get some more playing time
                Comment
                • keyboarding
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 07-30-09
                  • 6817

                  #9
                  Originally posted by OMGRandyJackson
                  From a fan point of view it will be nice to Johnny Mac get some more playing time
                  Not at the plate.
                  Comment
                  • OMGRandyJackson
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-07-10
                    • 1680

                    #10
                    lol obviously
                    Comment
                    • iifold
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-25-10
                      • 11111

                      #11
                      this Enogsiwon guy is sharp...
                      Comment
                      • Deuce
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 01-12-08
                        • 29843

                        #12
                        Originally posted by iifold
                        this Enogsiwon guy is sharp...
                        As sharp as this...

                        Comment
                        • stealthyburrito
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-12-09
                          • 21562

                          #13
                          Originally posted by iifold
                          this Enogsiwon guy is sharp...
                          Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                          Comment
                          • Regul8er
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-06-07
                            • 10666

                            #14
                            I hope your whole bank is riding on this one. Good preseason pick, I never would have guessed it.
                            Comment
                            • chant815
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 05-04-10
                              • 80

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Enogsiwon
                              Toronto Blue Jays Preview

                              Win Total (5dimes)
                              Over 71 +105
                              Under 71-125


                              The Blue Jays won 75 games last year and lost the best pitcher in the game (Halladay) in the off season. Shortstop Marco Scutaro has left to Boston and most think the Jays are in for a long season that they should use to rebuild.

                              Whats to Like: Most probably wont agree with me but I like their pitching. They have potential to suprise people since the departure of Halladay has everyone down on them. Ricky Romero threw 178 innings as a rookie in '09 and held his own, he won 13 games and had a respectable 4.30 ERA. They brought in hard throwing B.Morrow from Seattle to bolster their rotation. A little inconsistent, but he has tons of room to improve and has a career ERA under 4.00. Lefty M.Rzepczynski can get people out, not over powering but proved he knew how to pitch last year against some tough AL East opponents. What I like most is the return of 2 guys that missed 2009 with injuries. I think most have forgotten how good Shaun Marcum and Dustin Mcgowan were before the got injured. Of course they may not return to form but if they do watch out, they could fill out a sneaky good rotation for the Jays.

                              If you like HR's then you'll like the Jays this year. Second baseman Aaron Hill (.286,36HR's) and DH/LF Adam Lind (.305,35HR's) lead an offense that has potential to score a bunch of runs. Youngster Travis Snider is expected to have a breakout year which should include 30+ HR's. CF Vernon Wells, FB Lyle Overbay, OF Juan Bautista, and 3B E.Encarnacion are all expected to add about 20 HR's a peice. That is alot of round trippers people.. so say wahtever you want about these guys, they will hit their share of homeruns which will lead to some unexpected victories.

                              The bullpen wont be dominant, and will see alot of work with all the young starters. The good thing is they have 3 solid guys in K.Gregg, J.Frasor, and S.Downs. They should be able to hold onto some of the leads that all their homerun hitter give them. They have about 6-7 potential starters so the ones that dont make the rotation should be ready for long relief.

                              Whats not to Like: For a team expected to win about 70 games there isnt much I hate about them. Their team batting average is a concern. Lind, Overbay, and Hill might be the only everyday starters to hit over .270.

                              They dont have a dominating Starter..

                              Their Catchers and Shortstops will be below average on offense..

                              Recap: I expect the AL East to get a little tighter this year, that means some must fall and somebody has to rise. In the Jays case I see them winning as many games as last year (75) if not more. This would be a huge suprise seeing that they lost Halladay and Scutaro. I may be crazy but the Jays are my suprise American League team of 2010. This being said the OVER 71 Wins +105 is a very strong play in my mind.

                              Jose Bautista and don't forget SS Alex Gonzalez. And Scott Downs is going to be inserted into rotation any moment now. Scutaro was no big loss and he's hurt at the moment. Definitely a good wild card candidate if they can keep this up especially after the break.
                              Comment
                              • yisman
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-01-08
                                • 75682

                                #16
                                Originally posted by iifold
                                this Enogsiwon guy is sharp...
                                Are you for real?

                                I would bump all your losses, but that might take a week.
                                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                [/quote]

                                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                Comment
                                • Vesuvius
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-19-08
                                  • 3886

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by yisman

                                  Are you for real?

                                  I would bump all your losses, but that might take a week.
                                  Bound to get 1 out of 30 right.
                                  Comment
                                  • obamaismyuncle
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-31-08
                                    • 17801

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by yisman
                                    Are you for real?

                                    I would bump all your losses, but that might take a week.

                                    Well to the King's credit, thats 95% of the forum..
                                    Comment
                                    • philswin
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-18-07
                                      • 1279

                                      #19
                                      The King, The Colt, The Goon, IIFold - when does the stupidity end
                                      Comment
                                      • illmatick
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-05-09
                                        • 5456

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by yisman
                                        Are you for real?

                                        I would bump all your losses, but that might take a week.
                                        Comment
                                        • keyboarding
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 07-30-09
                                          • 6817

                                          #21
                                          Guys, what are you saying he is right about? Take a look at what he actually said:

                                          Lefty M.Rzepczynski can get people out, not over powering but proved he knew how to pitch last year against some tough AL East opponents. Hasn't started a game.

                                          I think most have forgotten how good Shaun Marcum and Dustin Mcgowan were before the got injured. Of course they may not return to form but if they do watch out, they could fill out a sneaky good rotation for the Jays. McGowan was never going to start on the team. Will be lucky to get in the rotation this season. Marcum "filling out" the rotation? He has no idea what he is talking about here again.

                                          They dont have a dominating Starter.. Wrong again.

                                          Their Catchers and Shortstops will be below average on offense.. Not going on the limb here saying Buck and Molina won't produce but Buck has 8 HRs and 26 RBI in 43 games. Gonzalez has 11 HR and 32 RBI in 52 games.

                                          So to recap, his prediction might be right but all he guessed right was that the team would hit HRs. Though, I won't give him credit for that because he thought Hill would lead the offense and Bautista and Wells wouldn't.
                                          Comment
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