Just bare-bones writeups, but these are my plays:
WSox ML (+110), Over 9 (-105): Buehrle should keep the Sox in the game, Wakefield should return to his mediocre ways and the total is low considering the pitching involved, even though the Sox are weakish offensively.
Philly ML (-125): Philly is primed for a win, and Hensley is having real problems that don't appear to be solved at all yet, and that will be real trouble against Philly in this park. Even though Lohse is iffy himself, he's better than Hensley at this point, and at this line is worth going with.
Tampa Bay ML (-120), Over 8.5 (+105): Blanton should be vulnerable here, he's been having trouble when not getting a break from facing weak lineups or going in pitchers' parks. Kazmir should be ok, Oakland will test him a little but not too much, TB should be able to pull this one out and get over the low total.
Atlanta ML (-140): Stl is struggling offensively, Pujols may be slightly injured, and Tim Hudson is rolling, pitching solidly and consistently with low pitch counts. Atlanta's lineup against Pineiro should be able to score enough to get a solid lead.
Washington ML (+130), Over 10 (+100): Jimenez is good and Redding will be vulnerable, but Wash has a decent lineup and could easily score a lot in this one, this game could turn into a pinball game, going easily over, and giving Wash as good a chance to win as Colorado.
Texas ML (+115): Seattle has been a great bet this year, and they have a strong lineup and quality bullpen, but Ramirez has been awful his entire career in hitters' parks, so much so that that factor alone gives Texas value as a dog here IMO.
Angels ML (-130): Toronto is really just not getting done offensively at all of late, and they are ill-suited to win on the road at Angel stadium. Marcum is likely to keep them in the game, but even if he does, the Angels should be able to pull it out. This is a low line for the Angels considering they have a decent starter going and Toronto's problems.
WSox ML (+110), Over 9 (-105): Buehrle should keep the Sox in the game, Wakefield should return to his mediocre ways and the total is low considering the pitching involved, even though the Sox are weakish offensively.
Philly ML (-125): Philly is primed for a win, and Hensley is having real problems that don't appear to be solved at all yet, and that will be real trouble against Philly in this park. Even though Lohse is iffy himself, he's better than Hensley at this point, and at this line is worth going with.
Tampa Bay ML (-120), Over 8.5 (+105): Blanton should be vulnerable here, he's been having trouble when not getting a break from facing weak lineups or going in pitchers' parks. Kazmir should be ok, Oakland will test him a little but not too much, TB should be able to pull this one out and get over the low total.
Atlanta ML (-140): Stl is struggling offensively, Pujols may be slightly injured, and Tim Hudson is rolling, pitching solidly and consistently with low pitch counts. Atlanta's lineup against Pineiro should be able to score enough to get a solid lead.
Washington ML (+130), Over 10 (+100): Jimenez is good and Redding will be vulnerable, but Wash has a decent lineup and could easily score a lot in this one, this game could turn into a pinball game, going easily over, and giving Wash as good a chance to win as Colorado.
Texas ML (+115): Seattle has been a great bet this year, and they have a strong lineup and quality bullpen, but Ramirez has been awful his entire career in hitters' parks, so much so that that factor alone gives Texas value as a dog here IMO.
Angels ML (-130): Toronto is really just not getting done offensively at all of late, and they are ill-suited to win on the road at Angel stadium. Marcum is likely to keep them in the game, but even if he does, the Angels should be able to pull it out. This is a low line for the Angels considering they have a decent starter going and Toronto's problems.
