MLB's Season Long Thread.

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  • mandude
    SBR MVP
    • 12-16-09
    • 1474

    #211
    I'm going against what I said about the Dodgers. I'm leaning towards them tonight. If they fuk up tonight then maybe I'll start the fade against myself.
    Comment
    • mlb
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-04-09
      • 10509

      #212
      Originally posted by mandude
      Thanks. You had a profitable night as well. As usual I have quite a bit of plays I'm looking into tonight. I'm really liking CHW, NYY, SD, Mil & Philly tonight. I'm looking into others but those are the ones that stand out to me. What are you looking at tonight? I'll probably post my plays again later tonight.
      Nice nice .. I'll post what I'm thinking in a few minutes ... I will not be able to catch any late movement or anything seeing as I will be out from like 4ish until after the games start .. so I'll post all my plays before I leave, but probably won't be any huge plays because like I said I won't see line movements... good luck again
      Comment
      • mlb
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-04-09
        • 10509

        #213
        Originally posted by mandude
        I'm going against what I said about the Dodgers. I'm leaning towards them tonight. If they fuk up tonight then maybe I'll start the fade against myself.
        same here I'm pretty sure
        Comment
        • mlb
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-04-09
          • 10509

          #214
          7-4 last night. +2.725units.
          Comment
          • mlb
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-04-09
            • 10509

            #215
            Dodgers -135 (1.5u)
            San Fran +110 (1.5u)
            Chicago Cubs -105 (1.5u)
            Florida -145 (1.5u)

            Good luck to all tonight .. will be my only plays as of right now. I might be back on way later for the late games ... got some things going on for right now.
            Comment
            • keith22
              SBR Sharp
              • 03-27-10
              • 357

              #216
              They are calling for rain in NY. Could be a shortened game. You think that might favor the cubs with perez pitching?
              Comment
              • mlb
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-04-09
                • 10509

                #217
                Originally posted by keith22
                They are calling for rain in NY. Could be a shortened game. You think that might favor the cubs with perez pitching?
                Don't know if it necessarily favors them, but I'm not buying Perez this year and I think Silva has had decent stuff. We'll see how it goes and we'll see how the rain factors in. You on either side yet?
                Comment
                • mlb
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-04-09
                  • 10509

                  #218
                  After I make 100 plays, I will most likely post a list of things I have learned, figured out and various other tidbits that I need to keep in mind going forward. I would appreciate any feedback that comes with my postings. Good luck to all and keep winning.

                  I can tell you one will be limiting my plays. Many of you have said this and I feel like I am liking too many games sometimes and I need to figure out better ways to pound the plays I like. Like I said, I will continue with this later.
                  Comment
                  • mandude
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-16-09
                    • 1474

                    #219
                    Originally posted by mlb
                    After I make 100 plays, I will most likely post a list of things I have learned, figured out and various other tidbits that I need to keep in mind going forward. I would appreciate any feedback that comes with my postings. Good luck to all and keep winning.

                    I can tell you one will be limiting my plays. Many of you have said this and I feel like I am liking too many games sometimes and I need to figure out better ways to pound the plays I like. Like I said, I will continue with this later.
                    If your system of making a lot of plays has been working for you why fix it if it's not broken? It's not like you've been losing your ass. That's my two cents. As far as tonights plays can I ask why SF? I like SD tonight. I can't get myself to back Wellenmyer. He's terrible. Not that Garland is Cy Young, but he has had success against SF. Just curious what your reasoning is behind the pick? I like the LAD pick even though it makes me nervous playing on this damn team. We'll see what happens.
                    Comment
                    • mandude
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-16-09
                      • 1474

                      #220
                      Here's what I'm going with tonight. GL tonight.

                      Tex/Bos un9 x1
                      CHW -120 x4
                      Clev/Minn un8.5 x1
                      Det/LAA ov9 x1
                      NYY -150 x3
                      SD -120 x1
                      Mil -140 x2
                      Phil -140 x1
                      LAD -150 x1
                      Hou +130 x1
                      Arz +140 x1
                      Comment
                      • mandude
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-16-09
                        • 1474

                        #221
                        LOL! Looks like the ole Dodgers are at it again. Gotta love it. I guess I'm a glutton for punishment.
                        Comment
                        • mlb
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-04-09
                          • 10509

                          #222
                          Originally posted by mandude
                          Here's what I'm going with tonight. GL tonight. Tex/Bos un9 x1 CHW -120 x4 Clev/Minn un8.5 x1 Det/LAA ov9 x1 NYY -150 x3 SD -120 x1 Mil -140 x2 Phil -140 x1 LAD -150 x1 Hou +130 x1 Arz +140 x1
                          W Sox 4 units hurt you a little bit.. but not terrible
                          Comment
                          • mlb
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-04-09
                            • 10509

                            #223
                            Originally posted by mlb
                            Dodgers -135 (1.5u) San Fran +110 (1.5u) Chicago Cubs -105 (1.5u) Florida -145 (1.5u) Good luck to all tonight .. will be my only plays as of right now. I might be back on way later for the late games ... got some things going on for right now.
                            2-2 last night. -.675 units

                            struggling a little bit right now this week, but not losing huge amounts which is always good. Like I said need to reevaluate how I'm doing just to keep learning.
                            Comment
                            • mlb
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-04-09
                              • 10509

                              #224
                              Not really liking anything tonight .. may have a 1 or 2 plays later.
                              Comment
                              • GT Hoosier
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 11-05-09
                                • 118

                                #225
                                Mlb you're close to your 100 game mark with a great record! Look forward to your retrospective on the past 100. I'm not a big baseball person but have been trying to figure out what's going on this year and doing some light tailing.
                                Comment
                                • mandude
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-16-09
                                  • 1474

                                  #226
                                  Originally posted by mlb
                                  W Sox 4 units hurt you a little bit.. but not terrible
                                  Yeah it hurt a little. I missed on that one big time 12-0 ass whooping. Oh well you'll have that. I still ended up 2 units for the day so i'll take that. I havent looked into today yet. I'll be back in a bit with my input.
                                  Comment
                                  • mandude
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-16-09
                                    • 1474

                                    #227
                                    I'm going Mil -170 x2 for the first early game. I hate these early games sometimes. Damn thing called a job makes it hard to cap the early ones. Fuk working hard, I hardly work.
                                    Comment
                                    • mandude
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-16-09
                                      • 1474

                                      #228
                                      The Brew Crew is looking good so far. Two more I'm going with in the early games.

                                      NYY/Oak un8 x2
                                      Wash +160 x2 (fading Jimenez off a no hitter in this one)
                                      Comment
                                      • mlb
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-04-09
                                        • 10509

                                        #229
                                        Originally posted by GT Hoosier
                                        Mlb you're close to your 100 game mark with a great record! Look forward to your retrospective on the past 100. I'm not a big baseball person but have been trying to figure out what's going on this year and doing some light tailing.
                                        Thanks man .. yeah I'll be working on some stuff here before the weekend... I'm a huge baseball person and I'm still trying to figure things out so don't worry .. just don't kill yourself tailing .. but I'm sure you have figured that out .. it will come. Good luck and thanks for the post.
                                        Comment
                                        • mlb
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-04-09
                                          • 10509

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by mandude
                                          I'm going Mil -170 x2 for the first early game. I hate these early games sometimes. Damn thing called a job makes it hard to cap the early ones. Fuk working hard, I hardly work.
                                          haha well excellent capping on this one at your job!! haha
                                          Comment
                                          • mlb
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-04-09
                                            • 10509

                                            #231
                                            Originally posted by mandude
                                            The Brew Crew is looking good so far. Two more I'm going with in the early games. NYY/Oak un8 x2 Wash +160 x2 (fading Jimenez off a no hitter in this one)

                                            Good luck on these 2 .. we shall see on that under ... since that homer hasn't been much at all... I'm fairly certain I am on the Nats as well .. if I do I will post it soon.
                                            Comment
                                            • mandude
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-16-09
                                              • 1474

                                              #232
                                              Yeah that 1st inning homer wasnt a good start to the under play. Hopefully is continues at it's current pace. I feel ok about it right now.
                                              Comment
                                              • mlb
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-04-09
                                                • 10509

                                                #233
                                                So as of now I will not have any plays. Was thinking about the Nats but I passed as well as was thinking about the Marlins, but line movement screams way to loud at me and I do not want to make that mistake again. Long season, I'm not too crushed with a day without action. Good luck to all. Curious about anyone's plays or input on games or lines.
                                                Comment
                                                • mlb
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-04-09
                                                  • 10509

                                                  #234
                                                  Crazy day ... glad I passed... I only took Florida for points, but didn't want to make a real wager .. hope you all cashed.. already working on tomorrow!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mandude
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-16-09
                                                    • 1474

                                                    #235
                                                    Nice call on laying off last night. Wish I could have. I did well in the early games but not so good in the night cap. I'm still up for the week so I guess that's good. I'm looking at Tor/TB un8.5, Minn/KC ov10, NYY -130, Clev/Oak un7.5, SD +105, Hou -170, CHC -130, Phil -170 & Stl +145 (value play). What are you looking at tonight? My fav is CHC. I like the pitching matchup & line movement in this one.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mlb
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-04-09
                                                      • 10509

                                                      #236
                                                      I see ... I def think line movement is in your favor so that means I'm most likely a no play against my Brewers ... but I missed the early games due to being busy and looking at later games now .. we'll see ... I don't like to force picks if I haven't done proper looking .. I'll see you tho ... good luck with your plays
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mlb
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-04-09
                                                        • 10509

                                                        #237
                                                        Milwaukee EVEN (1.5u)
                                                        Tampa Bay -138 (1u)
                                                        Philly +101 (2u)
                                                        Cards -150 (1.5)

                                                        Those are my plays for today and I will be once again gone for at least the start of them so I didn't want to go to crazy with the units in case the other team gets pounded. But good luck and hope everyone has been making money as I've been having no plays lately!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mlb
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-04-09
                                                          • 10509

                                                          #238
                                                          Looks like Cards and Brewers going to F me ... man that NL Central.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mandude
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-16-09
                                                            • 1474

                                                            #239
                                                            At least you broke even. Better than a loss. I was looking over tommorows card & a few popped out at me. I love Fla +150 tommorow. I don't see how De La Rosa should be priced this high & I like the movement on the line from the opener. Opened at -175 at Pinny now down to -157 with the pubes on Col. De La Rosa has not pitched that well against Fla either. I think there is definite value in Fla.

                                                            I also like Cinn +104. I know it seems hard to back these turds but I'm not sold on Richard on the road. His splits are night & day when you look at his home & road starts. I know it's just one start but he did get hammered last year in Cinn when he pitched for CHW. Bailey has done well in his limited starts against SD. I just think most people will be on SD based on their winning streak, recent dominance over the Reds, Richards last start against the Giants & that Bailey has sucked a fat one lately. I don't think this a good spot to back Richard & the Padres.

                                                            I'm also looking at Bal/Bos ov10, TB -1.5 +105, Det +120, Pitt/Hou ov9.5, CHC +106, Stl +108 & Atl/NYM un7.5. I'll probably play Fla & Cinncy for sure. I'm still digging into the other ones. Thoughts are welcome.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mlb
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-04-09
                                                              • 10509

                                                              #240
                                                              Originally posted by mlb
                                                              Milwaukee EVEN (1.5u) Tampa Bay -138 (1u) Philly +101 (2u) Cards -150 (1.5) Those are my plays for today and I will be once again gone for at least the start of them so I didn't want to go to crazy with the units in case the other team gets pounded. But good luck and hope everyone has been making money as I've been having no plays lately!
                                                              2-2 Last night. -.73 units.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mlb
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-04-09
                                                                • 10509

                                                                #241
                                                                Should have more time today to make some plays as well as start a little list of things that I have learned and looking for any feedback as I'm hoping it will help more than a few people. Good luck today guys.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mlb
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-04-09
                                                                  • 10509

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Cinnci -105 (3u) -I really think the Reds will salvage a game in this series and try to regroup. Squares all over San Diego for a sweep, yet the line is dropping. Bailey takes the mound and I really think he comes out to pitch today. hopefully! We'll see what happens.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mlb
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-04-09
                                                                    • 10509

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Pittsburgh +140 (1u) - If Morton is so bad, why is this line so low and if the public loves Houston, than why is the line dropping at a few places. Not completely sold on this one, but giving it a chance with a unit.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mandude
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-16-09
                                                                      • 1474

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Originally posted by mlb
                                                                      Cinnci -105 (3u) -I really think the Reds will salvage a game in this series and try to regroup. Squares all over San Diego for a sweep, yet the line is dropping. Bailey takes the mound and I really think he comes out to pitch today. hopefully! We'll see what happens.
                                                                      Nice. I on it with you. Really like how this has moved since it opened. GL today.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mlb
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-04-09
                                                                        • 10509

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Milwaukee -115 (3.5u) - Last game of the series, looking for Bush to had a quality start. Brewers need to take 1 of 3 in Milwaukee against the cubs after only taking 1 of 3 in Chicago. They didn't let me down last Sunday, let's see if they can do it again!
                                                                        Comment
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