Coming of a nice cash on Brendan Donovan (+675) last night, SBR's Sean Tomlinson is back with his best home run predictions for Friday, July 25th:
Kyle Schwarber To hit a home run (+195 via BetMGM)
Byron Buxton To hit a home run (+350 via BetMGM)
Elly De La Cruz To hit a home run (+330 via FanDuel)
Nick Kurtz To hit a home run (+330 via DraftKings)
Parlay odds: +17939 via FanDuel ($10 to win $1,793.94)
Best Bet: Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) to hit a home run (+195 BetMGM)
"Schwarber may not be the runaway leader in the MLB MVP odds like a certain opposing masher in this Yankees-Phillies collision of contenders, but he still warrants near daily consideration for your best home run bets today.
That happens when you've smacked 34 dingers to sit fifth leaguewide, just three behind Aaron Judge and well ahead of Pete Crow-Armstrong in sixth (27). More imporantly, Schwarber is also fifth in at-bats per home run (11.1), and second leaguewide in hard-hit rate (59.0).
There's room for positive regression too, which is a petrifying thought for opposing pitchers. A decent gap exists between Schwarber's expected slugging of .610 and his actual mark of .564.
He's also clubbed nine home runs in July, an abbreviated month due to the All-Star break, leading to a white-hot 1.044 OPS throughout the month, towering high above his .744 in June. Schwarber will take all that into a matchup against Yankees righty Will Warren, who enters the evening with a bloated 4.91 ERA, and his average exit velocity allowed rests in the 15th percentile.
Schwarber is the easy pick then to lead our best home run bets today, and the best MLB betting sites are mostly in line with the pricing. But if you're looking for longer odds and/or an option with better value, tab De La Cruz. FanDuel is listing him at a comparably juicy +330 ahead of a matchup against Zack Littell, who leads MLB in homers allowed. Caesars (+250) and DraftKings (+245) are far shorter."
Kyle Schwarber To hit a home run (+195 via BetMGM)
Byron Buxton To hit a home run (+350 via BetMGM)
Elly De La Cruz To hit a home run (+330 via FanDuel)
Nick Kurtz To hit a home run (+330 via DraftKings)
Parlay odds: +17939 via FanDuel ($10 to win $1,793.94)
Best Bet: Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) to hit a home run (+195 BetMGM)
"Schwarber may not be the runaway leader in the MLB MVP odds like a certain opposing masher in this Yankees-Phillies collision of contenders, but he still warrants near daily consideration for your best home run bets today.
That happens when you've smacked 34 dingers to sit fifth leaguewide, just three behind Aaron Judge and well ahead of Pete Crow-Armstrong in sixth (27). More imporantly, Schwarber is also fifth in at-bats per home run (11.1), and second leaguewide in hard-hit rate (59.0).
There's room for positive regression too, which is a petrifying thought for opposing pitchers. A decent gap exists between Schwarber's expected slugging of .610 and his actual mark of .564.
He's also clubbed nine home runs in July, an abbreviated month due to the All-Star break, leading to a white-hot 1.044 OPS throughout the month, towering high above his .744 in June. Schwarber will take all that into a matchup against Yankees righty Will Warren, who enters the evening with a bloated 4.91 ERA, and his average exit velocity allowed rests in the 15th percentile.
Schwarber is the easy pick then to lead our best home run bets today, and the best MLB betting sites are mostly in line with the pricing. But if you're looking for longer odds and/or an option with better value, tab De La Cruz. FanDuel is listing him at a comparably juicy +330 ahead of a matchup against Zack Littell, who leads MLB in homers allowed. Caesars (+250) and DraftKings (+245) are far shorter."