Thursdays winners

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  • strictlywinners
    Restricted User
    • 07-17-07
    • 3377

    #1
    Thursdays winners
    Yankees 4
    Arizona 8
    Cinci 2
    Whitesox 16
    Phills 6
    Cards 12
    Indians 8
    I know some of these mite seem like big losers but trust me they are winners. Mite add one or 2 games that werent on my board yet so i couldnt evaluate them and give u a number to multiply ur bet with.
  • Sundram
    SBR High Roller
    • 02-22-07
    • 232

    #2
    Truly an impressive day, strictly. I'm on your bandwagon!
    Looks like the last two games on Wednesday turned for the worse, though, & Seattle & Pads are now both tied.
    Quick question. Does the above play on Arizona mean wagering 8, or "to win" 8? I see their odds at +146 at Five Dimes.
    Thanks,
    Sundram
    Comment
    • strictlywinners
      Restricted User
      • 07-17-07
      • 3377

      #3
      it means to bet 8 so its 8 to win around 11.7
      Comment
      • strictlywinners
        Restricted User
        • 07-17-07
        • 3377

        #4
        well unfortunetly while i was hard at work this morning i found big favorite that is my play of the day dont like takin big favs for big money but gotta stick the system we are adding the
        ANGELS for 22
        Comment
        • Sundram
          SBR High Roller
          • 02-22-07
          • 232

          #5
          Questions

          Strictly, ever play totals, or run lines?
          Also, can you tell me what % of days are losing ones for you, over the long term? You went 10-2 yesterday, which is hard to believe.
          Sundram
          Comment
          • strictlywinners
            Restricted User
            • 07-17-07
            • 3377

            #6
            percentage of losing days to winning days is about 50 50 but the key is to limit ur loses on the losing days and to maximize ur profits and the winning days. As for runlines any of my picks can be takin moneyline or runline if u look at my runline percentage yesterday it was around 10 and 2 as well. When it comes to totals i am clueless dont have a system for it and people get screwed to often on totals anyway great example braves game 00 after 7 2 2 going into extra innings and somehow goes over 8.5 in 15 totals arent my thing but stick with my sides
            Comment
            • strictlywinners
              Restricted User
              • 07-17-07
              • 3377

              #7
              sorry i been gone all day here is todays update.
              angels win 22
              yankess lose 8.8
              dbacks lose 8
              cards lose 12
              hopefully we can get reds indians and phillies then we dont have a bad day at all. OH and LUNT says he has figured out my system so i guess everyone should go with his picks from now.
              Comment
              • babaoriley
                SBR MVP
                • 12-11-06
                • 2316

                #8
                Don;t give up on the cards just yet. They just need 11 runs in the next couple innings. Doable.
                Comment
                • Mr Nuts
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-22-05
                  • 1383

                  #9
                  Originally posted by babaoriley
                  Don;t give up on the cards just yet. They just need 11 runs in the next couple innings. Doable.
                  It's possible
                  Comment
                  • The HG
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-01-06
                    • 3566

                    #10
                    Originally posted by strictlywinners
                    OH and LUNT says he has figured out my system so i guess everyone should go with his picks from now.
                    yeah rite, LUNT if u know the system post it on the board, see what strictlywinners has to say about it. i dont believe it.
                    Comment
                    • WestsidePete
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 07-19-07
                      • 8049

                      #11
                      Reds come back !!!

                      Reds have come back...they need to hang on now....I'm going w/strictly on the phillies tonite....straight up and the run line
                      Comment
                      • strictlywinners
                        Restricted User
                        • 07-17-07
                        • 3377

                        #12
                        good job westside
                        Comment
                        • babaoriley
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-11-06
                          • 2316

                          #13
                          Seriously, you do realize that Young has an 0.82 ERA at home and opposing batters are hitting .168 against him at Petco, right?

                          I will give you credit for preempting your picks with your "Some of these may look like losers" statement. I was incredulous that you picked CWS, Philly, STL and NYY (laying that much wood). I agreed with the Anaheim, Arizona and Indians picks though (and had no opinion on Cinci). I also would have bet LAD with Lowe at home and that doesn't look so good. Whatever, I'll go back to my grinding after tonight. Fun tailing for a day, regardless. And I do wish you the best of luck with your picks.
                          Comment
                          • strictlywinners
                            Restricted User
                            • 07-17-07
                            • 3377

                            #14
                            well everybody here is todays update
                            angels 22 win 22
                            yanks loser 4 loser 8.8 this one hurt
                            dbacks 8 loser 8
                            cards 12 loser
                            indians 8 pending
                            whitesox 16 pending the whole day comes down to this game
                            phillies 6 pending
                            reds 2 winner 3
                            indians are looking good
                            Comment
                            • strictlywinners
                              Restricted User
                              • 07-17-07
                              • 3377

                              #15
                              baba i have a question for YOU. your so good at comin up with all of those stats YOU obviously put allot of time into data mining. now with everything that YOU know about the game and how good young is at home ask YOURSELF one question what is the line on the game. PADS minus 122 dont YOU think with youngs incredible record he should be favored by a little more at home
                              Comment
                              • WestsidePete
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 07-19-07
                                • 8049

                                #16
                                The thing is, the Pads don't score at home...Young has 8 home starts...won by more then 2 runs only twice...has lost 3 home starts and Pads won 3 others 1-0...so I took the 2 1/2 runs for the phillies on the adjusted line and a little straight up...if Pads win I'm thinking 3-1 or 4-2..but Phillies could hit a homer or get a couple of key hits to win this...
                                Comment
                                • babaoriley
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-11-06
                                  • 2316

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by strictlywinners
                                  baba i have a question for YOU. your so good at comin up with all of those stats YOU obviously put allot of time into data mining. now with everything that YOU know about the game and how good young is at home ask YOURSELF one question what is the line on the game. PADS minus 122 dont YOU think with youngs incredible record he should be favored by a little more at home
                                  The Padres lineup flat out sucks. Worst in the NL. Hamels is an equally good pitcher (at least in the mind of John Q. Bettor who has heard Cole Hamels' name more often than Chris Young's (it's that whole "phenom" thing). The Pads have the significant bullpen advantage, so yes I think the line looked low for SD. That said, it represented value. Now I'm rooting for a Young no-hitter because my book offers refunded wagers if your team gets no-hit.
                                  Comment
                                  • babaoriley
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-11-06
                                    • 2316

                                    #18
                                    So much for the no-no
                                    My point is this:
                                    The general public sees Hamel vs. Young as thinks (great pitching matchup in great pitcher's park). So, Hamels gets some backing because Howard has been on a tear as of late, Victorino, Rollins, and Utley are all great hitters, so the perception is that there is a somewhat equal pitching matchup (though huge edge to Pads bullpen if needed) but a huge edge to Phils lineup. So the line is driven down to reflect the lineup differential. Who knows, maybe Howard blasts one here and the Phils go up 2-1...
                                    Comment
                                    • babaoriley
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-11-06
                                      • 2316

                                      #19
                                      Meanwhile, if CWS can't get a run in with the bases juiced and no outs, I'll be pissed.
                                      Comment
                                      • Razz
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-22-05
                                        • 5632

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by babaoriley
                                        Meanwhile, if CWS can't get a run in with the bases juiced and no outs, I'll be pissed.
                                        Probably about 50/50.
                                        Comment
                                        • WestsidePete
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 07-19-07
                                          • 8049

                                          #21
                                          White Sox lead

                                          Yes...white sox lead!!! need more runs w/ their crappy bullpen..
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #22
                                            So question - how do you win 22 on the Angels if you bet 22 seeing as they were about -155 or so? Or am I missing how you score your bets?
                                            Comment
                                            • babaoriley
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-11-06
                                              • 2316

                                              #23
                                              Wow, coming through in the clutch. They need to get another one or two here. That delcarmen, Okajima, Papelbon trio is nasty in the later innings. You know, I'll give props to the South Side Sox for one thing: they made Dice-K throw 110 pitches in 5 innings. Because of that, they have a 3-2 lead despite only actually getting 3 base hits off Dice.
                                              Comment
                                              • babaoriley
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-11-06
                                                • 2316

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                So question - how do you win 22 on the Angels if you bet 22 seeing as they were about -155 or so? Or am I missing how you score your bets?
                                                They were -166 where I saw them (at closing time).
                                                Comment
                                                • babaoriley
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-11-06
                                                  • 2316

                                                  #25
                                                  based juiced again, though for Fields, who can;t hit RHP's.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • strictlywinners
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 07-17-07
                                                    • 3377

                                                    #26
                                                    u are missing something as usual when i bet on favorites its to win when i bet on dawgs its risking. i thought a smart guy like urself could figure that one out by looking at yesterdays picks guess not
                                                    Comment
                                                    • strictlywinners
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 07-17-07
                                                      • 3377

                                                      #27
                                                      for example had 4 on yanks look at how much i lost 8.8 thats a 240 juice line. I know ur a little slow so when u bet 4 u multiply that by the juice which gives u 8.8 understand. here is a dawg example for u the reds were plus 145 i had 2 on them so u multiply the 2 by the 145 and it gives you 2.9 yea we are doing fourth grade math.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • babaoriley
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-11-06
                                                        • 2316

                                                        #28
                                                        Wait, so you had 8.8 units on NYY to win 4, right? That's actually a -220 line, but we're splitting hairs here. I think the question was:
                                                        When you say NYY 4, does that mean you're betting 4 to win 1.8 or whatever, or does it mean 8.8 to win 4?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #29
                                                          Yeah your final #s are confusing because if you bet "22 units" on the Angels, then you would have won 15 or 16 not 22. Not bashing you - you picked a winner, but your #s seem inflated on some winners.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • strictlywinners
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 07-17-07
                                                            • 3377

                                                            #30
                                                            for the last time i won 22 on angels if i lost it would have been to lose 35 its not to difficult people on favs its TO WIN and on DAWGS its risking.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Jaymez
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 03-29-06
                                                              • 32

                                                              #31
                                                              strictly winners

                                                              i think you got the LA angels units wrong, didn't you put 22u onthe LA angels? They were at 1.56 to the $.Isnt it a win of 12u or something.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • wolverine71
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 07-06-07
                                                                • 29

                                                                #32
                                                                read above

                                                                Dawgs are to risk and favorites are to win. He won 22 on the Angels, he risked 35 to do it.
                                                                Comment
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