Matt Morris as a Home Dog - Don't Miss It!

moses millsap · 05-09-07, 12:42 AM

I hope it stays hot in the city, because I think both lineups match up well against these arms.

bigboydan · 05-09-07, 12:45 AM

Taco's boy probably won't be playing in this game.

The HG · 05-09-07, 07:41 AM

I don't know about this one EP, I'm definitely going to wait to see the lineups and movement. Yes betting on Morris this year has been a wise thing to do. He has the capability to be very effective when he is on, and his effectiveness and bad outings tends to come in bunches, because he has a tendency toward fatigue and arm-weariness, so his overall stats don't reflect how good he can be when he's good and how bad he can be when he's bad. Right now, he's good of course, but so is Maine. Morris is 3-0 at home, 2 as a dog? Well by the same logic, Maine is 4-0 on the road, 2 of them as a fave.

Even if SF does go into the late innings with a lead, it will still be Benitez/Hennessey time at that point. I know they've been good this year, but still. The Mets can hit, and if they don't get to the starter, they love to get a crack at the pen. How many times have they broken away late for a win this year? I don't know offhand, and I'm not going to look it up, but I know I've been the beneficiary of that a few times so far this year.

I think Bonds will play today, but if he doesn't that's a major hit to the SF lineup. I think I'll probably be taking the Mets today, depending on the movement and lineups.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-09-07, 11:23 AM

Line's been steady all day so far. I'm about to hop on the +135 Morris train!

bigboydan · 05-09-07, 12:02 PM

I can't dispute that theres some value with Morris today. My projected line on this game shouldn't have been more than maybe -130. I think the lineup cards are a must see before pulling the trigger on this game IMO.

RickySteve · 05-09-07, 01:46 PM

Great play.

AC1318 · 05-09-07, 02:02 PM

not that it matters but
morris is actually 5-4

06/04/2006 SF 7 @NYM 6 6 3 2 4 W 9 O -160 S Trachsel
04/26/2006 SF 7 NYM 9 5⅔ 4 4 0 L 8½ O -110 B Bannister
09/11/2005 STL 2 NYM 7 6⅓ 4 2 3 L 7½ O 110 P Martinez
05/15/2005 STL 4 @NYM 2 7⅔ 2 2 6 W 8½ U 105 A Heilman
08/06/2004 STL 6 NYM 4 7 2 2 3 W 8½ O -155 T Glavine
05/18/2004 STL 4 @NYM 5 6⅓ 3 1 2 L 7½ O 110 T Glavine
04/29/2003 STL 13 NYM 3 6 2 2 5 W 7½ O -155 A Leiter
04/23/2002 STL 3 @NYM 4 7 4 2 10 L 7½ U 100 J DAmico
04/27/2001 STL 9 NYM 0

good luck

The HG · 05-09-07, 02:15 PM

SF is up over +140, Bonds is playing. I like SF a good amount now, I took them myself.

bigboydan · 05-09-07, 04:40 PM

Thanks Hennessey

bigboydan · 05-09-07, 05:02 PM

You suck Benitez

EaglesPhan36 · 05-09-07, 05:09 PM

[QUOTE=Ganchrow HG;265471]Even if SF does go into the late innings with a lead, it will still be Benitez/Hennessey time at that point. I know they've been good this year, but still. The Mets can hit, and if they don't get to the starter, they love to get a crack at the pen. How many times have they broken away late for a win this year?QUOTE]

Add one more today. Nice prognostication! Unfortunately it's gonna cost us.

moses millsap · 05-09-07, 05:12 PM

Another chalky start to another day in bases. LOL.

bigboydan · 05-09-07, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by OWNED

Another chalky start to another day in bases. LOL.

I can't believe how chalky it's been lately. I haven't see chalk cash at this rate in a hell of a long time.