MLB Picks - Monday, 8/29/22

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB Picks - Monday, 8/29/22
    3 MLB Plays Monday

    Red Sox +118
    Phillies / Diamondbacks OVER 9 +107
    Padres / Giants OVER 7.5 +102


    YTD: 289-302-16, -20.58


    All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated

    Season low was -35.16 entering games of Thursday, 8/11/22
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    1 MLB Pick Addition

    4 MLB Plays Monday

    Red Sox +118
    Diamondbacks +158
    Phillies / Diamondbacks OVER 9 +107
    Padres / Giants OVER 7.5 +102
    Comment
    • Chiefs83
      SBR MVP
      • 08-01-16
      • 2809

      #3
      BetParx has Redsox +140 as part of some promo…I live in NJ
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Let’s have a good week LT
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by Chiefs83
          BetParx has Redsox +140 as part of some promo…I live in NJ
          Nice boost, I see no higher than +110 for real line right now.
          Comment
          • spippen
            SBR MVP
            • 03-17-09
            • 3874

            #6
            LT good luck today.

            Some of the plays you post are based on "weak lines" compared to your "model lines"?

            Question: when a price moves from a -103 to a -120 per say, would such a play have never made it into your official play had that been the price to begin with? I think lots of your plays only make the cut under strict pricing, correct?

            Thanks
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by spippen
              LT good luck today.

              Some of the plays you post are based on "weak lines" compared to your "model lines"?

              Question: when a price moves from a -103 to a -120 per say, would such a play have never made it into your official play had that been the price to begin with? I think lots of your plays only make the cut under strict pricing, correct?

              Thanks
              Well, ALL my plays have variances between model line and actual line at time of wager. The capping part comes in deciding which variances to act on and which ones to pass.

              As for your last part, it depends how far initial line was from model line. If model has 57% (-133), move from -103 to -120 would still be playable. If model has 54% (-117), then priced out at -120.
              Comment
              • spippen
                SBR MVP
                • 03-17-09
                • 3874

                #8
                Originally posted by LT Profits
                Well, ALL my plays have variances between model line and actual line at time of wager. The capping part comes in deciding which variances to act on and which ones to pass.

                As for your last part, it depends how far initial line was from model line. If model has 57% (-133), move from -103 to -120 would still be playable. If model has 54% (-117), then priced out at -120.
                Thank you sir.
                Comment
                • spippen
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-17-09
                  • 3874

                  #9
                  nice day
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Arizona was never in doubt
                    Comment
                    • pavyracer
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-12-07
                      • 82785

                      #11
                      Look at the haters today. LT goes 3-1 +2.67 units and no one is trolling. That's because they lost fading him.
                      Comment
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