MLB - Wednesday, 5/8/19

spippen · 05-08-19, 07:00 AM

LT I hope you can get some runs out the Blow Jays? They are in the basement with Miami and Detroit in most anemic offenses this season, respectfully that is. I hope they can put up some runs for you tonight. GL with the card today.

jjgold · 05-08-19, 07:28 AM

LT your better off playing baccarat

Meet me Penn National and I will teach you the game

LT Profits · 05-08-19, 07:42 AM

Originally posted by spippen

LT I hope you can get some runs out the Blow Jays? They are in the basement with Miami and Detroit in most anemic offenses this season, respectfully that is. I hope they can put up some runs for you tonight. GL with the card today.

I have Toronto offense rated above average, so fact that they have not been scoring as many runs as they should may be seen as a good sign as it points to positive regression coming.

Regul8er · 05-08-19, 08:02 AM

You may need to tweak your ratings Mr LT...the Jays offense is not above average, they rank near the bottom, regardless of how the last few days have gone. Above average is laughable man. And you know better then most that regressions can take weeks to start forming in baseball.

LT Profits · 05-08-19, 08:31 AM

Originally posted by Regul8er

You may need to tweak your ratings Mr LT...the Jays offense is not above average, they rank near the bottom, regardless of how the last few days have gone. Above average is laughable man. And you know better then most that regressions can take weeks to start forming in baseball.

My ratings are longer term than just this season (but not so long-term to become irrelevant due to very old data). And looking at my default Toronto lineup vs. righties, the only guy rated well below average is Sogard, and for some reason the Jays bat him leadoff, which could be a big part of the problem! Of the other eight guys, 6 are above average and 2 are slightly below, shake everything up and I get 4% above average vs righties.

LT Profits · 05-08-19, 08:35 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

My ratings are longer term than just this season (but not so long-term to become irrelevant due to very old data). And looking at my default Toronto lineup vs. righties, the only guy rated well below average is Sogard, and for some reason the Jays bat him leadoff, which could be a big part of the problem! Of the other eight guys, 6 are above average and 2 are slightly below, shake everything up and I get 4% above average vs righties.

And actually Jays HAVE been scoring runs lately, last night notwithstanding, so looks like they are starting to revert to the mean already.

oldscho0led · 05-08-19, 08:36 AM

LT, your thoughts on Sea and Cinci?

LT Profits · 05-08-19, 08:53 AM

Originally posted by oldscho0led

LT, your thoughts on Sea and Cinci?

Yankees 58% (-138) so that line looks more or less spot on.

In fact both games are tight as I also have Oakland 51% (-104), BUT that is including Khris Davis in the lineup.

LT Profits · 05-08-19, 08:57 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I also have Oakland 51% (-104), BUT that is including Khris Davis in the lineup.

FYI, when I replace Davis with average player, I get Cincinnati 51% (-104), so I doubt there will be value with or without him.

NBAtony · 05-08-19, 03:42 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

My ratings are longer term than just this season (but not so long-term to become irrelevant due to very old data). And looking at my default Toronto lineup vs. righties, the only guy rated well below average is Sogard, and for some reason the Jays bat him leadoff, which could be a big part of the problem! Of the other eight guys, 6 are above average and 2 are slightly below, shake everything up and I get 4% above average vs righties.

Half of the lineup has not seen gibson. BUT of the remaining players, sogard has the highest avg against.
on bluejays large
line now at +120

BOL

spippen · 05-08-19, 06:27 PM

Good Luck with the Jays. They just got out of a serious jam in the top of the 1st. Hoping it's a good thing.

Regul8er · 05-08-19, 09:52 PM

Jays was not the right side, and they werent close to reverting to the mean. I do think this rating you have is flawed for Toronto.

Either way, best of luck as always.

spippen · 05-09-19, 06:10 AM

Very Nice hit with Tampa Under. Regarding the other game I'm just absolutely shocked that the Blow Jays managed to get one run instead of zero. These bums look like they don't even want to step up to the plate, respectfully. Good Luck today. I'd love to see you go on a nice strong winning streak.