2019 MLB +1.5 Strategy

[Deenoz]

thanks for confirming Looking4Winners.

[michlafon15]

This could end badly for rockies

[frisky]

I think the Rockies are in the running with Miami for being the worst teams in mlb

[frisky]

Just curious -is this system for all teams or do you eliminate bad teams as the season goes on-kind of like the way JM does?

[spankmythighs]

SYSTEM #3

2019 System to Date: 6-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +600.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 3

G1 - (A) 2-5
G2 - (B) 3-1
G3 - (C) 0-0

April 9th: Royals A Bet +RL -160 --- Wager $160 to win $100 --- LOSS
April 9th: White Sox A Bet +RL -115 --- Wager $115 to win $100 --- LOSS
April 9th: Rangers A Bet +RL -150 --- Wager $150 to win $100 --- WIN
April 9th: Rockies B Bet +RL -285 --- Wager $885 to win $310 --- LOSS

SYSTEM #4 - No Play

[Scaples]

Yeah...as much as I want to follow the system I may need to pass on a C bet with the Rockies. I don't trust them at all today with Hoffman who they just called up and has a career era near 6. Just cut my losses now and move on. best if luck to anyone who sticks with them today!

[dumazz]

Yeah...as much as I want to follow the system I may need to pass on a C bet with the Rockies. I don't trust them at all today with Hoffman who they just called up and has a career era near 6. Just cut my losses now and move on. best if luck to anyone who sticks with them today!

Understand your hesitation... this way of betting isn't for everyone. But gotta look past the players/perceived situation to the system. That's the only way a system like this works.

[Scaples]

Yeah we'll see I may change my mind. Lol. Anyone have a line on the game yet? I don't see anything on bovada.

[dumazz]

I've got the Rockies +1.5/-155 at William Hill

[spankmythighs]

I've got the Rockies +1.5/-155 at William Hill

Ya I will be switching to WillHill for these

[spankmythighs]

Bet365 is killing me

[dumazz]

Rockies now at -140

[positivebankroll]

c bet

Yeah...as much as I want to follow the system I may need to pass on a C bet with the Rockies. I don't trust them at all today with Hoffman who they just called up and has a career era near 6. Just cut my losses now and move on. best if luck to anyone who sticks with them today!

C bet

[KingofKOP]

Rockies postponed. Nothing like a nice April blizzard.

[spankmythighs]

SYSTEM #3

2019 System to Date: 6-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +600.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 3

G1 - (A) 2-5
G2 - (B) 3-1
G3 - (C) 0-0

April 9th: Royals B Bet +RL -120 --- Wager $312 to win $260
April 9th: White Sox B Bet +RL -110 --- Wager $237 to win $215
April 9th: Rockies C Bet +RL -140 --- Wager $1673 to win $1195 postponed

SYSTEM #4 - No Play

[Looking4Winners]

SYSTEM #1

Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL (lose by 2 or more runs).
Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL, if favorite take the ML.

2019 System to Date: 6-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: 6.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 3 (Rockies -3.88, Royals -1.61, White Sox -1.10)

G1 - (A) 3-6
G2 - (B) 3-1
G3 - (C) 0-0

April 1st: Braves A Bet , Astros A Bet
April 2nd: Rockies A Bet
April 3rd: Rockies B Bet
April 5th: Cubs A Bet
April 6th: Cubs B Bet
April 7th: Orioles A Bet
April 8th: Orioles B Bet , Rockies A Bet
April 9th: Rockies B Bet , Rangers A Bet , Royals A Bet , White Sox A Bet

April 10th: Rockies C Bet (Postponed), Royals B Bet (+RL -120), White Sox B Bet (+RL -110)

[Looking4Winners]

SYSTEM #2

Look for teams that have lost 4 games SU and against the RL (lose by 2 or more runs). We will than start a 3-game chase. Whether a dog or favorite we will play the +RL.

2019 System to Date: 3-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: 3.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 1 (Rockies -1.85)

G1 - (A) 3-1
G2 - (B) 0-0
G3 - (C) 0-0

April 3rd: Rockies A Bet
April 6th: Cubs A Bet
April 8th: Orioles A Bet
April 9th: Rockies A Bet

April 10th: Rockies B Bet (Postponed), Royals A Bet (+RL -120), White Sox A Bet (+RL -110)

[nistor22]

So what are we going to do with Rockies being postponed? Are we going to take a C bet on Rockies against Giants?

[Looking4Winners]

So what are we going to do with Rockies being postponed? Are we going to take a C bet on Rockies against Giants?

Yes the series is still open.

[Scaples]

Yes the series is still open.

I feel better about taking them against the Giants! Guess we're just rooting for the white Sox and Royals today!

[Scaples]

Man I'm about as confident betting the white Sox as I am the Rockies right now! Yeesh.

On another note...has anyone looked at a system that is opposite the 3 loss by 2 run chase? Specifically, betting against a team that has won 3 in a row by 2 plus. Same rules apply... Bet the ml if the team is favored and RL if a dog. I checked it out for this year so far and according to my calculations it's 8-0 to date. Just curious if anyone has tried this.

[Kaction]

On another note...has anyone looked at a system that is opposite the 3 loss by 2 run chase? Specifically, betting against a team that has won 3 in a row by 2 plus. Same rules apply... Bet the ml if the team is favored and RL if a dog. I checked it out for this year so far and according to my calculations it's 8-0 to date. Just curious if anyone has tried this.

I've been tracking with a few stipulations depending on how good a team is(handful of good teams only need 2 "big losses" and handful of bad teams need 4). Was 12-0 until today. Angels started the season 1-5 and have gone on a 6 game win by 2+ streak. Swept MIL for a loss of about 12.31 units

[Kenny King]

If you use spanks recover method then there is no harm in that loss. I wonder what that looks like long term. If it’s equally as successful as it’s opposite then we are leaving money on the table.

[Looking4Winners]

SYSTEM #1

Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL (lose by 2 or more runs).
Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL, if favorite take the ML.

2019 System to Date: 7-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: 7.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 2 (Rockies -3.88, White Sox -3.41)

G1 - (A) 3-6
G2 - (B) 4-2
G3 - (C) 0-0

April 1st: Braves A Bet , Astros A Bet
April 2nd: Rockies A Bet
April 3rd: Rockies B Bet
April 5th: Cubs A Bet
April 6th: Cubs B Bet
April 7th: Orioles A Bet
April 8th: Orioles B Bet , Rockies A Bet
April 9th: Rockies B Bet , Rangers A Bet , Royals A Bet , White Sox A Bet
April 10th: Rockies C Bet (Postponed), Royals B Bet , White Sox B Bet

April 11th: Rockies C Bet (ML -117)

[Looking4Winners]

SYSTEM #2

Look for teams that have lost 4 games SU and against the RL (lose by 2 or more runs). We will than start a 3-game chase. Whether a dog or favorite we will play the +RL.

2019 System to Date: 4-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: 4.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 2 (Rockies -1.85, White Sox -1.10)

G1 - (A) 4-2
G2 - (B) 0-0
G3 - (C) 0-0

April 3rd: Rockies A Bet
April 6th: Cubs A Bet
April 8th: Orioles A Bet
April 9th: Rockies A Bet
April 10th: Rockies B Bet (Postponed), Royals A Bet , White Sox A Bet

April 11th: Rockies B Bet (+RL -265)

[Scaples]

If you use spanks recover method then there is no harm in that loss. I wonder what that looks like long term. If it’s equally as successful as it’s opposite then we are leaving money on the table.

I will be keeping track of this throughout the season

[spankmythighs]

SYSTEM #3

2019 System to Date: 7-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +700.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 2

G1 - (A) 2-5
G2 - (B) 3-2
G3 - (C) 0-0

April 9th: Royals B Bet +RL -120 --- Wager $312 to win $260 --- WIN
April 9th: White Sox B Bet +RL -110 --- Wager $237 to win $215 --- LOSS

April 10th: Rockies C Bet +RL -265 --- Wager $3170 to win $1195

SYSTEM #4 - No Play

SYSTEM #5

April 10th: Buffalo A Bet +RL -165 --- Wager $165 to win $100

[nistor22]

So colorado won it rl and lost it ml. But some bookies at some point (bet365) had colorado as a dog. What official odds are we using for this system, cause for me colorado was a loss?

[Scaples]

So colorado won it rl and lost it ml. But some bookies at some point (bet365) had colorado as a dog. What official odds are we using for this system, cause for me colorado was a loss?

Yep. I use bovada and had them at -114on the ML. Wish I had taken them on the RL... Lol

[Scaples]

So how are we handling Milwaukee and LAD? Both qualify to be plays but they play each other. I'm assuming no play?

[oilcountry99]

Spank what's the recommendation to recover last nights loss for those of us that played COL on the ML (System 1)

[spankmythighs]

Spank what's the recommendation to recover last nights loss for those of us that played COL on the ML (System 1)

Figure out the total loss which could vary from book to book and add it to the next 7 to 10 chases for recoup

[spankmythighs]

SYSTEM #3

2019 System to Date: 8-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +800.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 2

G1 - (A) 2-5
G2 - (B) 3-2
G3 - (C) 0-0

April 10th: Rockies C Bet +RL -265 --- Wager $3170 to win $1195 --- WIN

SYSTEM #4 - No Play

SYSTEM #5

2019 System to Date: 1-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +100.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 0

G1 - (A) 1-0
G2 - (B) 0-0
G3 - (C) 0-0

April 10th: Buffalo A Bet +RL -165 --- Wager $165 to win $100 --- WIN

[Looking4Winners]

So how are we handling Milwaukee and LAD? Both qualify to be plays but they play each other. I'm assuming no play?

Since you will be playing one team on the run line and one on the money line there is a possibility of hitting both, so I will list both in my system.

[Looking4Winners]

SYSTEM #1

Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL (lose by 2 or more runs).
Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL, if favorite take the ML.

2019 System to Date: 7-1 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: -2.59 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 1 (White Sox -3.41)

G1 - (A) 3-6
G2 - (B) 4-2
G3 - (C) 0-1
Losses: (Rockies -9.59)

April 1st: Braves A Bet , Astros A Bet
April 2nd: Rockies A Bet
April 3rd: Rockies B Bet
April 5th: Cubs A Bet
April 6th: Cubs B Bet
April 7th: Orioles A Bet
April 8th: Orioles B Bet , Rockies A Bet
April 9th: Rockies B Bet , Rangers A Bet , Royals A Bet , White Sox A Bet
April 10th: Rockies C Bet (Postponed), Royals B Bet , White Sox B Bet
April 11th: Rockies C Bet

April 12th: White Sox C Bet (+RL -108), Orioles A Bet (+RL +125), Dodgers A Bet (ML -146),
Brewers A Bet (+RL -160)