Mr. Crumbs Leans for Thursday 7/2/09

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #1
    Mr. Crumbs Leans for Thursday 7/2/09
    Well now, boys and girls for today's action in small ball we have a small slate of games but we do have some juicy ones, provided the bullpens don't kill your bets like they do with mine this year! Good luck, I have mine in a written form instead of my formula.

    Early games

    D-Backs
    D-Backs/Red Leggins over 8.5

    And why not? They got shut out yesterday, have an inferior pitcher on the bump who happens to be in better form than the favorite Davis WHIP is 1.47 to Harang's 1.61. I also have a wager on the over for this game as both pitchers are combined to havea WHIP over 1.50, and the slugging % is over .350 combined as well. This spells runs. The consensus for the total is 81% of bettors are on the under. I have to go the other way on that!

    San Diego+100 HEAVY

    Correia has been filthy nasty with a sterling WHIP of 0.51 that reads like a misprint. Chicken dinner lovers have jumped on the side of Houston 70% to 30%, but my ears on the ground out in Vegas say that some smart money was thrown on the Padres a little while ago, to counter what the joes are doing.


    Middle games

    Mets+128 HEAVY
    Mets-1.5 +180 RRL

    If you can believe it or not, Joe McLovin has jumped ship on the Mets after getting burnt the past few weeks. Kind of hard to get the joes off of a New York team, but the Mets have not won a game by 2 runs in 7 games. The ears on the ground in Vegas tell me that this is not a popular bet, matter of fact, no one is taking the Mets to win by 2 on the alternate runline, however, 98% of bettors are taking the Pirates runline. This is a good spot to get you some Metropolitans.

    Cubs-1.5 +140

    Well now here is an interesting pick. The Brewers are out of gas and now must face a Cubs team that as their own concerns. When you see Lou Piniella get tossed from a game, then you already know that the losses are starting to get to him. Soriano and Soto sat out for the Cubbos in their last game, and they still won. Now with them back and refreshed, this game has the look of a blowout. Maholm has been getting roughed up a bit lately. It will continue today as the Pirates once again prove that they are what we thought they were.

    I took the Royals for their series with the White Sox at -105. So with that in mind, I have to pick up two wins in this series. No better way to get things started than to go against the grain. Gimmie the Burger Kings!

    Royals+115
  • hrgonz0
    SBR High Roller
    • 05-21-09
    • 239

    #2
    FYI - I'm quite certain the Mets/Pirates game is at 12:30 EST
    Comment
    • Tennispro
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-13-09
      • 512

      #3


      Alright early pick from me, Pirates arrrrrrrrr..... or something like that.... GL all
      Comment
      • cocknocker
        Restricted User
        • 11-06-08
        • 8001

        #4
        Oh yeah, well anyway, I am on the Metros early then!
        Comment
        • SamsNCharge99
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-22-08
          • 41242

          #5
          Reds and UNDER in that gm CK
          Comment
          • oda11
            SBR MVP
            • 06-05-09
            • 3250

            #6
            CK, I saw somewhere that you were playing the Mets and San Diego HEAVY, did you change your mind? Thanks! Love the under pick by the way.
            Comment
            • cocknocker
              Restricted User
              • 11-06-08
              • 8001

              #7
              My bad, oda11, I forgot to label them! It's done now
              Comment
              • cocknocker
                Restricted User
                • 11-06-08
                • 8001

                #8
                Now we're good! Let's go Padres! It's why they play the game
                Comment
                • oda11
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-05-09
                  • 3250

                  #9
                  Originally posted by cocknocker
                  My bad, oda11, I forgot to label them! It's done now

                  Thanks you.


                  And c'mon Mets!
                  Comment
                  • Chi_archie
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-22-08
                    • 63167

                    #10
                    I like the Mets game alot alot as well..... Pirates team morale is so messed up after the latest rounds of trades, and they have a lineup that basically composed of all minor league guys at the start of the year, Sanchez their top BA and doubles guy is not in the lineup, and their bullpen is in disarray. Neither of these teams has any power right now, so under is also I nice play...


                    going forward, as a lifelong pirate fan and very close follower at the major and minor league level.... I see a 20-45 stretch upcoming for the buccos... maybe worse depending on who all gets dealt at the july 31 deadline
                    Comment
                    • ragiche
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-09-08
                      • 3110

                      #11
                      As for some early games :

                      Snakes ML (2x) Tailing CK.

                      Metros ML (6x) Tailing CK.

                      Ari/Cin OVER 8.5 (2x) Tailing CK.

                      Mid games:

                      Padres PK (6x) Tailing CK.

                      Late games:

                      Cubbies RL (2x) Tailing CK.

                      Phillies ML (2x) My pick.

                      Redbirds RL (2x) My pick.

                      Palehose RL (2x) My pick.

                      ALL BOOKED.So, GL to you all today guys.
                      Comment
                      • cocknocker
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-06-08
                        • 8001

                        #12
                        So Chi, you think that the Pirates are gonna have a fire sale before the trade deadline? Ihop ethat hey keep McCutcheon. That guy has style and effort
                        Comment
                        • jonnyj03
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 03-27-09
                          • 86

                          #13
                          Well I am on the Under in the Reds/Dbacks game. I am a huge Mets fan and at this point in time I wouldnt bet on or against the Mets in baseball. Their bats are so streaky right now it isn't even funny. Along with thier inconsistant pitching and bullpen along with a K-ROD who likes to come in latley and give up some as well trying to close. Also on Houston, Wandy is a beast.

                          Good luck on your plays though
                          Comment
                          • peterpan19
                            Restricted User
                            • 11-02-08
                            • 3377

                            #14
                            so anyone know how the weather in PIT is this morning ?
                            Comment
                            • jonnyj03
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 03-27-09
                              • 86

                              #15
                              its raining there a little bit now, supposed to stop soon game in a delay atm
                              Comment
                              • peterpan19
                                Restricted User
                                • 11-02-08
                                • 3377

                                #16
                                and the game is delayed again... wtf ? is going on there in PIT ?
                                Comment
                                • DeeWizzle
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-08-09
                                  • 3316

                                  #17
                                  Why would they start the game to squeeze in 11 pitches?
                                  Comment
                                  • djpremier36
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-11-08
                                    • 3479

                                    #18
                                    Small chalk day...

                                    ATL ML -135...Happ is due for a correction, good line movement

                                    NYY RL -125...C.C. is rolling along with the pinstripers

                                    CWS ML -135...I have to ride the streak + the much better SP

                                    Comment
                                    • peterpan19
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 11-02-08
                                      • 3377

                                      #19
                                      ...puhh...bases loaded and no outs and davis got away...only allowed 1 run...good job...Mets also had the bases loaded but couldnt score...damn it...
                                      Comment
                                      • peterpan19
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-02-08
                                        • 3377

                                        #20
                                        and PIT starts with a double...again....
                                        Comment
                                        • jonnyj03
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 03-27-09
                                          • 86

                                          #21
                                          mets are in trouble for a while until they get beltran/delgado/reyes back... or until their pitching comes around. bad news too reyes could only play 3 innings in a rehab assignment. pain in the leg.
                                          Comment
                                          • peterpan19
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 11-02-08
                                            • 3377

                                            #22
                                            redding looks awfull today...I know its early and so... but its not looking good... I mean he hit that guy with the last pitch...
                                            Comment
                                            • peterpan19
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-02-08
                                              • 3377

                                              #23
                                              reynolds homers and the Snakes are up 2-1...
                                              Comment
                                              • sportsguy04
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-21-08
                                                • 11885

                                                #24
                                                That Rain delay going to screw up my mets/pirates under.
                                                Comment
                                                • MILEHIGHMONSTERS
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 02-12-09
                                                  • 618

                                                  #25
                                                  On opposite side of most of your plays today CK. Gl to everyone today!

                                                  Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • peterpan19
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 11-02-08
                                                    • 3377

                                                    #26
                                                    mets are almost toast down 5 runs...but pit pen is not that bad...

                                                    edit plz let me be wrong....GO METS
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jonnyj03
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 03-27-09
                                                      • 86

                                                      #27
                                                      mets starting to show some life.

                                                      im with you LETS GO METS
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jonnyj03
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 03-27-09
                                                        • 86

                                                        #28
                                                        tied game
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Chi_archie
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-22-08
                                                          • 63167

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                          So Chi, you think that the Pirates are gonna have a fire sale before the trade deadline? Ihop ethat hey keep McCutcheon. That guy has style and effort

                                                          wouldn't call it a fire sale, as they don't have much to sell...


                                                          they are building around McCutch, they've been waiting for him for 4 years now... he is the Golden child and untouchable....with Pedro Alvarez coming in the next year or two the new management has been trying to stock the minors for the past 2 years with young talent to build around McCutch and Alvarez for 2011.... hence the Bay, Nady, McClouth type trades.

                                                          I can't remember a year when the pirates DIDN'T unload a vet or 3 before his contract expired or with a year left right before the deadline...so hopefully Wilson and Adam Laroche with get us 3-4 more decent prospects. We might be able to get somthing for Freddy Sanchez as well. speculation is that the pirates might even trade Zach Duke while his stock is high.

                                                          I think the pirates do have a shot at being a real team come 2011-2012.... but these trades are no popular with the fans that don't have a knowledge of how bad the previous management had left the minors and just wanna see a pittsburgh team win 82 games for once... and they'd be satisfied with that...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • peterpan19
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 11-02-08
                                                            • 3377

                                                            #30
                                                            qualls blows the game right here
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Enogsiwon
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 06-15-09
                                                              • 4075

                                                              #31
                                                              If the reds don't score here poeple should be fired!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Enogsiwon
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 06-15-09
                                                                • 4075

                                                                #32
                                                                Why does brandon Phillips not bunt with 1st and second, no outs.. ( I know he probably can't) reds are a mess.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Beastxxx
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 06-26-09
                                                                  • 446

                                                                  #33
                                                                  bases loaded for reds
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jonnyj03
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 03-27-09
                                                                    • 86

                                                                    #34
                                                                    tatis coming up big for the mets with that 2 run shot.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cocknocker
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-06-08
                                                                      • 8001

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Now how in the heck did the D-Backs blow that one? Wow! I think that because I skated by so many years not getting beaten by the bullpens too much that it is all being made up for this year, lol! Simply amazing...
                                                                      Comment
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